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Bred First To Be Champions

The SMU Mustangs are your 11th CFBHC National Champions!

Detroit Sends Lions to Maul Chiefs

Detroit has won Super Bowl X! DE Ilan Kuhn was named Super Bowl MVP with 1.5 sacks and fumble recovery TD.

Training Camp SZN

Training camp has now opened up. The defending AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs got to it early as they try to make their way back to Super Bowl XI.

The Cleveland Browns Select Zach Lombardi

With the first overall pick in the 2024 NFLHC Draft, the Cleveland Browns select Zach Lombardi, Quarterback, Navy.

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    With the NFL preseason on the horizon, college football is closer than ever. We're now close enough to take our fifth and final look at the national landscape: win projections. This was meant to go out last weekend, but our crack team of nerds has spent the last week adjusting our win projections formula a little bit this year based on the degree to which last year's formulas fit the actual results. (For posterity, the correct winner was chosen about 74% of the time, the median difference between the expected and actual margin of victory was 9 points, road teams covered a little less than 52% of the time, and favorites only covered about 43% of the time.) This year's win projections will also be presented a bit differently. First will be where we are actually projecting the season to go. But we know that some teams will overperform expectations and some will underperform, so we'll also present a Bad-Case Scenario and a Good-Case Scenario for each team. This is defined as over- or underperforming by 11.7 points per game, or 1.5 times last year's standard deviation of 7.8 points-per-game-compared-to-expectation. (Smaller variations don't create enough difference to make a point, and larger variations' differences are too big for their point to be meaningful.) In other words, these are not worst- and best-case scenarios, but ideally a strong majority of teams will fall inside this range. Enough shop talk, let's dig in to what you came for. This is the final part of a five-part series. I. Expected Scenario Ordered by projected conference record American Athletic Conference SMU (11.2-0.8 overall, 7.8-0.2 AAC) Navy (8.5-3.5 overall, 5.5-2.5 AAC) Temple (8.8-3.2 overall, 5.5-2.5 AAC) USF (7.7-4.3 overall, 4.8-3.2 AAC) East Carolina (7-5 overall, 4.6-3.4 AAC) Tulsa (5.6-6.4 overall, 3.8-4.2 AAC) UCF (6-6 overall, 3.5-4.5 AAC) Memphis (4.6-7.4 overall, 3-5 AAC) Cincinnati (6.2-5.8 overall, 2.9-5.1 AAC) Houston (2.7-9.3 overall, 1.4-6.6 AAC) Tulane (1.4-10.6 overall, 1.2-6.8 AAC) Atlantic Coast Conference Atlantic Division Clemson (10.6-1.4 overall, 7.2-0.8 ACC) Florida State (8.6-3.4 overall, 6.2-1.8 ACC) Boston College (8.2-3.8 overall, 5-3 ACC) NC State (4.1-7.9 overall, 2.8-5.2 ACC) Louisville (4.6-7.4 overall, 2.6-5.4 ACC) Syracuse (2.4-9.6 overall, 1.4-6.6 ACC) Wake Forest (0.8-11.2 overall, 0.6-7.4 ACC) Coastal Division Duke (9.4-2.6 overall, 6.2-1.8 ACC) Miami (FL) (8.8-3.2 overall, 5.9-2.1 ACC) Virginia (8.8-3.2 overall, 5.6-2.4 ACC) Pittsburgh (8.7-3.3 overall, 5.5-2.5 ACC) Virginia Tech (6.8-5.2 overall, 4.4-3.6 ACC) North Carolina (2.2-9.8 overall, 1.3-6.7 ACC) Georgia Tech (2.2-9.8 overall, 1.3-6.7 ACC) Big XII Conference TCU (8.8-3.2 overall, 7.3-1.7 Big XII) Oklahoma (9.2-2.8 overall, 7-2 Big XII) Oklahoma State (8.5-3.5 overall, 6-3 Big XII) Baylor (7-5 overall, 4.4-4.6 Big XII) West Virginia (6.7-5.3 overall, 4.4-4.6 Big XII) Texas Tech (6.9-5.1 overall, 4.3-4.7 Big XII) Texas (5-7 overall, 3.4-5.6 Big XII) Iowa State (4.3-7.7 overall, 2.9-6.1 Big XII) Kansas State (4.2-7.8 overall, 2.8-6.2 Big XII) Kansas (4.3-7.7 overall, 2.5-6.5 Big XII) Big Ten Conference East Division Michigan (8.5-3.5 overall, 6.5-2.5 Big Ten) Penn State (8.5-3.5 overall, 6.4-2.6 Big Ten) Michigan State (6.9-5.1 overall, 5.2-3.8 Big Ten) Maryland (6.6-5.4 overall, 5.1-3.9 Big Ten) Ohio State (6-6 overall, 4.9-4.1 Big Ten) Indiana (2.7-9.3 overall, 2-7 Big Ten) Rutgers (2.9-9.1 overall, 2-7 Big Ten) West Division Illinois (10.7-1.3 overall, 7.8-1.2 Big Ten) Purdue (9.5-2.5 overall, 6.8-2.2 Big Ten) Minnesota (7.8-4.2 overall, 5.2-3.8 Big Ten) Nebraska (6.2-5.8 overall, 4.6-4.4 Big Ten) Iowa (4.7-7.3 overall, 3.1-5.9 Big Ten) Wisconsin (3.6-8.4 overall, 1.8-7.2 Big Ten) Northwestern (3.2-8.8 overall, 1.5-7.5 Big Ten) Conference USA East Division Florida International (8.4-3.6 overall, 5.6-2.4 C-USA) Western Kentucky (6.3-5.7 overall, 5.3-2.7 C-USA) Charlotte (7.4-4.6 overall, 5-3 C-USA) Old Dominion (6.5-5.5 overall, 4.1-3.9 C-USA) Florida Atlantic (5.8-6.2 overall, 3.8-4.2 C-USA) Middle Tennessee (2.7-9.3 overall, 1.4-6.6 C-USA) Marshall (1.6-10.4 overall, 1.3-6.7 C-USA) West Division Rice (10.3-1.7 overall, 7.2-0.8 C-USA) UTSA (8.4-3.6 overall, 5.6-2.4 C-USA) North Texas (8.1-3.9 overall, 5.5-2.5 C-USA) Southern Miss (6.8-5.2 overall, 4.4-3.6 C-USA) UAB (6.1-5.9 overall, 4.3-3.7 C-USA) Louisiana Tech (2-10 overall, 1.4-6.6 C-USA) UTEP (2.1-9.9 overall, 1.1-6.9 C-USA) Mid-American Conference East Division Ohio (7.7-4.3 overall, 5-3 MAC) Akron (6.3-5.7 overall, 4.2-3.8 MAC) Buffalo (4-8 overall, 3.4-4.6 MAC) Bowling Green (4.8-7.2 overall, 2.8-5.2 MAC) Kent State (4.1-7.9 overall, 2.8-5.2 MAC) Miami (OH) (3.1-8.9 overall, 2.4-5.6 MAC) West Division Western Michigan (10.9-1.1 overall, 7.4-0.6 MAC) Central Michigan (9.8-2.2 overall, 6.7-1.3 MAC) Toledo (6.9-5.1 overall, 5.3-2.7 MAC) Ball State (6-6 overall, 4.1-3.9 MAC) Eastern Michigan (4-8 overall, 2.7-5.3 MAC) Northern Illinois (1.9-10.1 overall, 1.1-6.9 MAC) Mountain West Conference Mountain Division Air Force (6.6-5.4 overall, 4.9-3.1 MWC) Boise State (7.2-4.8 overall, 4.3-3.7 MWC) Colorado State (5-7 overall, 3.8-4.2 MWC) Utah State (5.1-6.9 overall, 3-5 MWC) New Mexico (4.6-7.4 overall, 3-5 MWC) Wyoming (3.6-8.4 overall, 1.8-6.2 MWC) West Division Hawaii (10.6-1.4 overall, 6.9-1.1 MWC) San Diego State (10.4-1.6 overall, 6.8-1.2 MWC) Fresno State (6.8-5.2 overall, 5.4-2.6 MWC) Nevada (7.5-4.5 overall, 5.1-2.9 MWC) San Jose State (2.9-9.1 overall, 2-6 MWC) UNLV (1.9-10.1 overall, 1-7 MWC) Pac-12 Conference North Division Oregon (9-3 overall, 7.2-1.8 Pac-12) Washington (8.4-3.6 overall, 6.3-2.7 Pac-12) California (7.1-4.9 overall, 5.3-3.7 Pac-12) Washington State (6.9-5.1 overall, 4.6-4.4 Pac-12) Stanford (3.8-8.2 overall, 2.7-6.3 Pac-12) Oregon State (2.1-9.9 overall, 1.6-7.4 Pac-12) South Division USC (8-4 overall, 6.9-2.1 Pac-12) UCLA (9.2-2.8 overall, 6.7-2.3 Pac-12) Arizona (5.8-6.2 overall, 4.3-4.7 Pac-12) Arizona State (5.3-6.7 overall, 4-5 Pac-12) Colorado (3.2-8.8 overall, 2.2-6.8 Pac-12) Utah (3.3-8.7 overall, 2.1-6.9 Pac-12) Southeastern Conference East Division Tennessee (9.5-2.5 overall, 6.2-1.8 SEC) Florida (9.2-2.8 overall, 6.1-1.9 SEC) Missouri (8.1-3.9 overall, 5.1-2.9 SEC) Georgia (7.5-4.5 overall, 4.4-3.6 SEC) Vanderbilt (6.6-5.4 overall, 3.6-4.4 SEC) South Carolina (4.7-7.3 overall, 2.7-5.3 SEC) Kentucky (2.1-9.9 overall, 0.2-7.8 SEC) West Division LSU (10.8-1.2 overall, 6.9-1.1 SEC) Auburn (9.5-2.5 overall, 6.1-1.9 SEC) Mississippi State (7.2-4.8 overall, 5-3 SEC) Alabama (7.4-4.6 overall, 4.2-3.8 SEC) Texas A&M (6.1-5.9 overall, 3-5 SEC) Arkansas (2.7-9.3 overall, 1.6-6.4 SEC) Ole Miss (3-9 overall, 0.9-7.1 SEC) Sun Belt Conference East Division Georgia Southern (6.3-5.7 overall, 4.9-3.1 Sun Belt) Georgia State (7.1-4.9 overall, 4.8-3.2 Sun Belt) Coastal Carolina (7.3-4.7 overall, 4.7-3.3 Sun Belt) Troy (4.7-7.3 overall, 3.2-4.8 Sun Belt) Appalachian State (3.7-8.3 overall, 1.9-6.1 Sun Belt) West Division South Alabama (6.8-5.2 overall, 5.2-2.8 Sun Belt) Louisiana-Monroe (7.1-4.9 overall, 5.1-2.9 Sun Belt) Louisiana-Lafayette (4.3-7.7 overall, 3.8-4.2 Sun Belt) Texas State (5-7 overall, 3.8-4.2 Sun Belt) Arkansas State (3-9 overall, 2.6-5.4 Sun Belt) FBS Independents BYU (8.2-3.8 overall) Notre Dame (6.2-5.8 overall) UMass (3.9-8.1 overall) New Mexico State (3.2-8.8 overall) Army (3.2-8.8 overall) Connecticut (3.2-8.8 overall) Liberty (1.3-10.7 overall) FCS Big Sky North Dakota State (8.9-3.1 overall) Eastern Washington (7.9-4.1 overall) South Dakota State (7.9-4.1 overall) Northern Iowa (7.4-4.6 overall) North Dakota (5.5-6.5 overall) Portland State (4-8 overall) UC Davis (3.7-8.3 overall) Montana (1.8-10.2 overall) FCS Eastern Harvard (8.4-3.6 overall) Delaware (7.5-4.5 overall) James Madison (6.6-5.4 overall) Youngstown State (5.8-6.2 overall) Illinois State (4.6-7.4 overall) New Hampshire (4.6-7.4 overall) Yale (4.2-7.8 overall) Florida A&M (3.4-8.6 overall) II. Bad-Case Scenario Note: Even though these are also ordered by conference record, do not read these as standings. Each team's prediction is its own universe. American Athletic Conference SMU (9.1-2.9 overall, 6.5-1.5 AAC) Navy (5.5-6.5 overall, 3.5-4.5 AAC) Temple (5.9-6.1 overall, 3.4-4.6 AAC) USF (5.1-6.9 overall, 2.9-5.1 AAC) East Carolina (4-8 overall, 2.5-5.5 AAC) Tulsa (2.9-9.1 overall, 1.9-6.1 AAC) UCF (3.1-8.9 overall, 1.7-6.3 AAC) Memphis (2.2-9.8 overall, 1.2-6.8 AAC) Cincinnati (3.3-8.7 overall, 1.1-6.9 AAC) Houston (1.1-10.9 overall, 0.4-7.6 AAC) Tulane (0.2-11.8 overall, 0.2-7.8 AAC) Atlantic Coast Conference Atlantic Division Clemson (8.4-3.6 overall, 5.8-2.2 ACC) Florida State (5.9-6.1 overall, 4.4-3.6 ACC) Boston College (5.4-6.6 overall, 3.1-4.9 ACC) NC State (1.9-10.1 overall, 1.5-6.5 ACC) Louisville (2.2-9.8 overall, 1.3-6.7 ACC) Syracuse (0.9-11.1 overall, 0.4-7.6 ACC) Wake Forest (0-12 overall, 0-8 ACC) Coastal Division Duke (6.6-5.4 overall, 4.2-3.8 ACC) Miami (FL) (5.6-6.4 overall, 3.8-4.2 ACC) Virginia (6-6 overall, 3.6-4.4 ACC) Pittsburgh (5.9-6.1 overall, 3.5-4.5 ACC) Virginia Tech (3.5-8.5 overall, 2.2-5.8 ACC) North Carolina (0.4-11.6 overall, 0.4-7.6 ACC) Georgia Tech (0.6-11.4 overall, 0.3-7.7 ACC) Big XII Conference TCU (5.5-6.5 overall, 4.9-4.1 Big XII) Oklahoma (6-6 overall, 4.5-4.5 Big XII) Oklahoma State (5.5-6.5 overall, 3.6-5.4 Big XII) Texas Tech (4-8 overall, 2.1-6.9 Big XII) Baylor (3.9-8.1 overall, 2.1-6.9 Big XII) West Virginia (3.9-8.1 overall, 2.1-6.9 Big XII) Texas (2.1-9.9 overall, 1.3-7.7 Big XII) Iowa State (1.5-10.5 overall, 0.9-8.1 Big XII) Kansas State (1.4-10.6 overall, 0.9-8.1 Big XII) Kansas (1.8-10.2 overall, 0.7-8.3 Big XII) Big Ten Conference East Division Michigan (5.5-6.5 overall, 4.1-4.9 Big Ten) Penn State (5.5-6.5 overall, 4-5 Big Ten) Maryland (3.4-8.6 overall, 2.8-6.2 Big Ten) Michigan State (3.9-8.1 overall, 2.8-6.2 Big Ten) Ohio State (3-9 overall, 2.5-6.5 Big Ten) Rutgers (0.9-11.1 overall, 0.7-8.3 Big Ten) Indiana (0.8-11.2 overall, 0.5-8.5 Big Ten) West Division Illinois (8.3-3.7 overall, 6-3 Big Ten) Purdue (6.8-5.2 overall, 4.4-4.6 Big Ten) Minnesota (4.9-7.1 overall, 2.9-6.1 Big Ten) Nebraska (3.1-8.9 overall, 2.3-6.7 Big Ten) Iowa (2-10 overall, 1.2-7.8 Big Ten) Wisconsin (1.7-10.3 overall, 0.6-8.4 Big Ten) Northwestern (1.3-10.7 overall, 0.4-8.6 Big Ten) Conference USA East Division Florida International (5.2-6.8 overall, 3.4-4.6 C-USA) Western Kentucky (3.7-8.3 overall, 3.1-4.9 C-USA) Charlotte (4.2-7.8 overall, 2.8-5.2 C-USA) Old Dominion (3.5-8.5 overall, 1.9-6.1 C-USA) Florida Atlantic (2.9-9.1 overall, 1.7-6.3 C-USA) Middle Tennessee (0.8-11.2 overall, 0.4-7.6 C-USA) Marshall (0.3-11.7 overall, 0.3-7.7 C-USA) West Division Rice (8.5-3.5 overall, 6.1-1.9 C-USA) North Texas (5.4-6.6 overall, 3.5-4.5 C-USA) UTSA (5.2-6.8 overall, 3.5-4.5 C-USA) Southern Miss (3.8-8.2 overall, 2.4-5.6 C-USA) UAB (3.1-8.9 overall, 2.2-5.8 C-USA) Louisiana Tech (0.6-11.4 overall, 0.5-7.5 C-USA) UTEP (0.4-11.6 overall, 0.3-7.7 C-USA) Mid-American Conference East Division Ohio (5-7 overall, 3.1-4.9 MAC) Akron (3.6-8.4 overall, 2.3-5.7 MAC) Buffalo (1.7-10.3 overall, 1.6-6.4 MAC) Bowling Green (2.1-9.9 overall, 1.2-6.8 MAC) Miami (OH) (0.8-11.2 overall, 0.8-7.2 MAC) Kent State (1.4-10.6 overall, 0.8-7.2 MAC) West Division Western Michigan (8.9-3.1 overall, 6-2 MAC) Central Michigan (6.8-5.2 overall, 4.7-3.3 MAC) Toledo (3.9-8.1 overall, 3.3-4.7 MAC) Ball State (3.3-8.7 overall, 2.2-5.8 MAC) Eastern Michigan (1.7-10.3 overall, 1.2-6.8 MAC) Northern Illinois (0.4-11.6 overall, 0.1-7.9 MAC) Mountain West Conference Mountain Division Air Force (3.8-8.2 overall, 2.8-5.2 MWC) Boise State (4.3-7.7 overall, 2.3-5.7 MWC) Colorado State (2.3-9.7 overall, 2-6 MWC) New Mexico (1.9-10.1 overall, 1.3-6.7 MWC) Utah State (2.3-9.7 overall, 1.2-6.8 MWC) Wyoming (1.2-10.8 overall, 0.4-7.6 MWC) West Division Hawaii (8.5-3.5 overall, 5.7-2.3 MWC) San Diego State (7.9-4.1 overall, 5.2-2.8 MWC) Fresno State (4-8 overall, 3.4-4.6 MWC) Nevada (4.4-7.6 overall, 3.1-4.9 MWC) San Jose State (1.3-10.7 overall, 0.9-7.1 MWC) UNLV (0.6-11.4 overall, 0.2-7.8 MWC) Pac-12 Conference North Division Oregon (6.3-5.7 overall, 5-4 Pac-12) Washington (5.4-6.6 overall, 3.9-5.1 Pac-12) California (4.2-7.8 overall, 2.8-6.2 Pac-12) Washington State (3.9-8.1 overall, 2.2-6.8 Pac-12) Stanford (1.3-10.7 overall, 0.9-8.1 Pac-12) Oregon State (0.4-11.6 overall, 0.3-8.7 Pac-12) South Division USC (5-7 overall, 4.6-4.4 Pac-12) UCLA (6.5-5.5 overall, 4.4-4.6 Pac-12) Arizona (2.6-9.4 overall, 1.9-7.1 Pac-12) Arizona State (2.4-9.6 overall, 1.9-7.1 Pac-12) Colorado (1-11 overall, 0.8-8.2 Pac-12) Utah (1-11 overall, 0.6-8.4 Pac-12) Southeastern Conference East Division Tennessee (6.9-5.1 overall, 4.4-3.6 SEC) Florida (6.5-5.5 overall, 4.2-3.8 SEC) Missouri (5.1-6.9 overall, 3-5 SEC) Georgia (4.6-7.4 overall, 2.4-5.6 SEC) Vanderbilt (3.8-8.2 overall, 1.7-6.3 SEC) South Carolina (2.1-9.9 overall, 1-7 SEC) Kentucky (0.8-11.2 overall, 0-8 SEC) West Division LSU (8.9-3.1 overall, 5.6-2.4 SEC) Auburn (6.6-5.4 overall, 4.1-3.9 SEC) Mississippi State (4.2-7.8 overall, 3-5 SEC) Alabama (4.3-7.7 overall, 2.1-5.9 SEC) Texas A&M (3.3-8.7 overall, 1.3-6.7 SEC) Arkansas (0.7-11.3 overall, 0.4-7.6 SEC) Ole Miss (1.5-10.5 overall, 0.1-7.9 SEC) Sun Belt Conference East Division Georgia Southern (3.6-8.4 overall, 2.8-5.2 Sun Belt) Georgia State (4.1-7.9 overall, 2.7-5.3 Sun Belt) Coastal Carolina (4.1-7.9 overall, 2.6-5.4 Sun Belt) Troy (1.6-10.4 overall, 1-7 Sun Belt) Appalachian State (0.8-11.2 overall, 0.2-7.8 Sun Belt) West Division South Alabama (3.8-8.2 overall, 3.1-4.9 Sun Belt) Louisiana-Monroe (4.3-7.7 overall, 3-5 Sun Belt) Louisiana-Lafayette (1.7-10.3 overall, 1.7-6.3 Sun Belt) Texas State (2.1-9.9 overall, 1.6-6.4 Sun Belt) Arkansas State (0.7-11.3 overall, 0.6-7.4 Sun Belt) FBS Independents BYU (5.1-6.9 overall) Notre Dame (3-9 overall) Connecticut (1.9-10.1 overall) UMass (1.5-10.5 overall) Army (1.2-10.8 overall) New Mexico State (0.8-11.2 overall) Liberty (0.2-11.8 overall) FCS Big Sky North Dakota State (5.8-6.2 overall) South Dakota State (4.7-7.3 overall) Eastern Washington (4.7-7.3 overall) Northern Iowa (4.2-7.8 overall) North Dakota (2.6-9.4 overall) Portland State (1.3-10.7 overall) UC Davis (1.2-10.8 overall) Montana (0.2-11.8 overall) FCS Eastern Harvard (5.2-6.8 overall) Delaware (4.6-7.4 overall) James Madison (3.7-8.3 overall) Youngstown State (2.6-9.4 overall) New Hampshire (1.7-10.3 overall) Illinois State (1.6-10.4 overall) Yale (1.4-10.6 overall) Florida A&M (0.7-11.3 overall) III. Good-Case Scenario Note: Same deal as the Bad-Case Scenario. Even though these are also ordered by conference record, do not read these as standings. Each team's prediction is its own universe. American Athletic Conference SMU (11.9-0.1 overall, 8-0 AAC) Temple (11-1 overall, 7.4-0.6 AAC) Navy (10.9-1.1 overall, 7.2-0.8 AAC) USF (10-2 overall, 6.6-1.4 AAC) East Carolina (9.7-2.3 overall, 6.5-1.5 AAC) Tulsa (8.3-3.7 overall, 5.6-2.4 AAC) UCF (8.8-3.2 overall, 5.4-2.6 AAC) Memphis (7.4-4.6 overall, 4.9-3.1 AAC) Cincinnati (8.7-3.3 overall, 4.9-3.1 AAC) Houston (5.6-6.4 overall, 3.3-4.7 AAC) Tulane (3.8-8.2 overall, 3.1-4.9 AAC) Atlantic Coast Conference Atlantic Division Clemson (11.8-0.2 overall, 7.9-0.1 ACC) Florida State (10.4-1.6 overall, 7.2-0.8 ACC) Boston College (10.4-1.6 overall, 6.7-1.3 ACC) NC State (7.2-4.8 overall, 4.8-3.2 ACC) Louisville (7.6-4.4 overall, 4.6-3.4 ACC) Syracuse (4.9-7.1 overall, 3-5 ACC) Wake Forest (2.5-9.5 overall, 1.6-6.4 ACC) Coastal Division Duke (11.1-0.9 overall, 7.3-0.7 ACC) Miami (FL) (10.7-1.3 overall, 7.3-0.7 ACC) Virginia (10.7-1.3 overall, 6.9-1.1 ACC) Pittsburgh (10.7-1.3 overall, 6.9-1.1 ACC) Virginia Tech (9.5-2.5 overall, 6.1-1.9 ACC) North Carolina (5.3-6.7 overall, 3.5-4.5 ACC) Georgia Tech (5.2-6.8 overall, 3.3-4.7 ACC) Big XII Conference TCU (11-1 overall, 8.7-0.3 Big XII) Oklahoma (11.4-0.6 overall, 8.5-0.5 Big XII) Oklahoma State (10.9-1.1 overall, 8.1-0.9 Big XII) Baylor (9.9-2.1 overall, 6.9-2.1 Big XII) West Virginia (9.5-2.5 overall, 6.8-2.2 Big XII) Texas Tech (9.7-2.3 overall, 6.8-2.2 Big XII) Texas (8.2-3.8 overall, 5.8-3.2 Big XII) Iowa State (7.5-4.5 overall, 5.3-3.7 Big XII) Kansas State (7.4-4.6 overall, 5.2-3.8 Big XII) Kansas (7.3-4.7 overall, 4.9-4.1 Big XII) Big Ten Conference East Division Michigan (10.6-1.4 overall, 8.1-0.9 Big Ten) Penn State (10.6-1.4 overall, 8-1 Big Ten) Michigan State (9.5-2.5 overall, 7.2-1.8 Big Ten) Maryland (9.4-2.6 overall, 7.2-1.8 Big Ten) Ohio State (9-3 overall, 7.1-1.9 Big Ten) Indiana (5.9-6.1 overall, 4.5-4.5 Big Ten) Rutgers (5.9-6.1 overall, 4.2-4.8 Big Ten) West Division Illinois (11.8-0.2 overall, 8.9-0.1 Big Ten) Purdue (11.4-0.6 overall, 8.4-0.6 Big Ten) Minnesota (10.3-1.7 overall, 7.3-1.7 Big Ten) Nebraska (9-3 overall, 6.7-2.3 Big Ten) Iowa (7.8-4.2 overall, 5.6-3.4 Big Ten) Wisconsin (6.7-5.3 overall, 4-5 Big Ten) Northwestern (6-6 overall, 3.6-5.4 Big Ten) Conference USA East Division Florida International (11-1 overall, 7.2-0.8 C-USA) Western Kentucky (9-3 overall, 7-1 C-USA) Charlotte (10.1-1.9 overall, 6.7-1.3 C-USA) Old Dominion (9.2-2.8 overall, 6-2 C-USA) Florida Atlantic (8.5-3.5 overall, 5.7-2.3 C-USA) Middle Tennessee (5.4-6.6 overall, 3.3-4.7 C-USA) Marshall (4.1-7.9 overall, 3.2-4.8 C-USA) West Division Rice (11.6-0.4 overall, 8-0 C-USA) UTSA (10.7-1.3 overall, 7.1-0.9 C-USA) North Texas (10.1-1.9 overall, 6.9-1.1 C-USA) Southern Miss (9.3-2.7 overall, 6.2-1.8 C-USA) UAB (8.9-3.1 overall, 6.1-1.9 C-USA) Louisiana Tech (4.5-7.5 overall, 3.3-4.7 C-USA) UTEP (5-7 overall, 3-5 C-USA) Mid-American Conference East Division Ohio (10.1-1.9 overall, 6.9-1.1 MAC) Akron (9-3 overall, 6.4-1.6 MAC) Buffalo (7.1-4.9 overall, 5.6-2.4 MAC) Kent State (7.3-4.7 overall, 4.8-3.2 MAC) Bowling Green (7.9-4.1 overall, 4.7-3.3 MAC) Miami (OH) (5.9-6.1 overall, 4.3-3.7 MAC) West Division Western Michigan (11.9-0.1 overall, 8-0 MAC) Central Michigan (11.3-0.7 overall, 7.6-0.4 MAC) Toledo (9.4-2.6 overall, 6.8-1.2 MAC) Ball State (9-3 overall, 6.1-1.9 MAC) Eastern Michigan (7-5 overall, 4.8-3.2 MAC) Northern Illinois (4.6-7.4 overall, 2.8-5.2 MAC) Mountain West Conference Mountain Division Air Force (9.3-2.7 overall, 6.6-1.4 MWC) Boise State (9.9-2.1 overall, 6.2-1.8 MWC) Colorado State (7.9-4.1 overall, 6-2 MWC) Utah State (8.2-3.8 overall, 5-3 MWC) New Mexico (7.6-4.4 overall, 5-3 MWC) Wyoming (6.6-5.4 overall, 3.7-4.3 MWC) West Division Hawaii (11.7-0.3 overall, 7.7-0.3 MWC) San Diego State (11.7-0.3 overall, 7.7-0.3 MWC) Nevada (10.1-1.9 overall, 6.7-1.3 MWC) Fresno State (9.1-2.9 overall, 6.7-1.3 MWC) San Jose State (5.5-6.5 overall, 3.8-4.2 MWC) UNLV (4.2-7.8 overall, 2.4-5.6 MWC) Pac-12 Conference North Division Oregon (10.9-1.1 overall, 8.6-0.4 Pac-12) Washington (10.8-1.2 overall, 8.2-0.8 Pac-12) California (9.7-2.3 overall, 7.2-1.8 Pac-12) Washington State (9.5-2.5 overall, 6.9-2.1 Pac-12) Stanford (7.1-4.9 overall, 5.1-3.9 Pac-12) Oregon State (4.9-7.1 overall, 3.8-5.2 Pac-12) South Division USC (10.3-1.7 overall, 8.5-0.5 Pac-12) UCLA (11.1-0.9 overall, 8.3-0.7 Pac-12) Arizona (8.9-3.1 overall, 6.6-2.4 Pac-12) Arizona State (8.5-3.5 overall, 6.4-2.6 Pac-12) Colorado (6.4-5.6 overall, 4.6-4.4 Pac-12) Utah (6.4-5.6 overall, 4.5-4.5 Pac-12) Southeastern Conference East Division Tennessee (11.4-0.6 overall, 7.5-0.5 SEC) Florida (11.4-0.6 overall, 7.5-0.5 SEC) Missouri (10.5-1.5 overall, 6.9-1.1 SEC) Georgia (9.8-2.2 overall, 6.2-1.8 SEC) Vanderbilt (9.2-2.8 overall, 5.4-2.6 SEC) South Carolina (7.6-4.4 overall, 4.7-3.3 SEC) Kentucky (4.4-7.6 overall, 1.4-6.6 SEC) West Division LSU (11.8-0.2 overall, 7.8-0.2 SEC) Auburn (11.4-0.6 overall, 7.5-0.5 SEC) Mississippi State (9.7-2.3 overall, 6.5-1.5 SEC) Alabama (9.7-2.3 overall, 5.9-2.1 SEC) Texas A&M (8.9-3.1 overall, 5.1-2.9 SEC) Arkansas (5.7-6.3 overall, 3.5-4.5 SEC) Ole Miss (5.4-6.6 overall, 2.4-5.6 SEC) Sun Belt Conference East Division Georgia Southern (9.3-2.7 overall, 6.9-1.1 Sun Belt) Coastal Carolina (10.1-1.9 overall, 6.8-1.2 Sun Belt) Georgia State (9.8-2.2 overall, 6.8-1.2 Sun Belt) Troy (7.6-4.4 overall, 5.3-2.7 Sun Belt) Appalachian State (6.8-5.2 overall, 4-4 Sun Belt) West Division South Alabama (9.9-2.1 overall, 7.2-0.8 Sun Belt) Louisiana-Monroe (9.9-2.1 overall, 7.1-0.9 Sun Belt) Louisiana-Lafayette (7.5-4.5 overall, 5.9-2.1 Sun Belt) Texas State (8.2-3.8 overall, 5.9-2.1 Sun Belt) Arkansas State (5.8-6.2 overall, 4.7-3.3 Sun Belt) FBS Independents BYU (10.9-1.1 overall) Notre Dame (9-3 overall) UMass (7-5 overall) Army (6.2-5.8 overall) New Mexico State (6-6 overall) Connecticut (5.8-6.2 overall) Liberty (3.8-8.2 overall) FCS Big Sky North Dakota State (11.2-0.8 overall) Eastern Washington (10.6-1.4 overall) South Dakota State (10.8-1.2 overall) Northern Iowa (10.3-1.7 overall) North Dakota (8.4-3.6 overall) Portland State (7.2-4.8 overall) UC Davis (6.7-5.3 overall) Montana (4.8-7.2 overall) FCS Eastern Harvard (11-1 overall) Delaware (10.1-1.9 overall) James Madison (9.6-2.4 overall) Youngstown State (9-3 overall) Illinois State (7.5-4.5 overall) New Hampshire (7.5-4.5 overall) Yale (7.1-4.9 overall) Florida A&M (6.6-5.4 overall)
  2. 29 points
    tsweezy

    Like for a tbh

    Like for a tbh
  3. 25 points
    For those unaware, SB Nation has a really interesting series where they look at teams that were either champs, or very close to being champs and how those teams fell apart. Link to an example. I thought it would be interesting to look at a team in NFLHC who fit this model, the New Orleans Saints. Before I post the link to the article, please note this is not an attack on any one person. Sometimes, things just go sideways. Bad Picks are made, players get hurt, etc. Huge shoutout to @acewulf for the graphics, they turned out incredibly. Article - https://app.luminpdf.com/viewer/5ee6895432dd2e0012f49a46
  4. 20 points
    bellwoodbomb611

    Bellwoodbomb611

    1. Please list your email address and/or your reddit username at which you can be contacted. benmaxfield611@gmail.com 2. Before continuing, please thoroughly read the coaching course and feel free to ask questions. Confirm that you have read the coaching course by writing "Confirmed" below. Confirmed 3. What team do you want to coach? Western Michigan 4. Please select two backup teams (in descending order of preference) in case your first choice is unavailable. Troy Portland State 5. In three or more sentences, tell us a little about yourself. How old are you, what do you do, where are you from, why would you be a good fit here, etc. I’m 21 years old, from Colorado, and will be heading back to college in Idaho this fall. I was a member of the site from 2016ish until 2018, and then I left for a two year mission trip. I just got back this last week and I’m super excited to join again. 6. This site can be as time consuming as you want it to be. Weekly duties can be completed in 30 minutes or less, however interacting with your fellow players throughout the week makes it more enjoyable for most people. Approximately, how much free time do you have during a typical week? Enough to make an obscene amount of spreadsheets lol, this site is really my number one go-to when I have a free minute. 7. Losing games is an inevitable reality on this site, especially when accepting newer teams. Do you believe you can handle losing? Disappointment is expected, however we have had issues with people freaking out, and even leaving the site because of losing. Yessir, took some thicc Ls back in the day and I’m still crawling back for more. 8. How did you find out about this site? If recommended by a friend, please post his/her username. It was my boi pumph way back when
  5. 16 points
    Lubbock, TX 2024 Texas Tech Schedule Poster The season is just around the corner and the excitement from the fans is at one of the program's peaks. The season ended with a bang with a Bowl win over former Big 12 conference rival, and current preseason top 25 Missouri, and fans feel that this season can be just as exciting. The Texas Tech Athletic Department has released this season's schedule poster just in time for the season to start which includes some of the new faces of the program: QB Grayson Gillette, WR Dominique Dixon and WR Jeremiah Shackelford. These guys are only some of the faces that fans will be familiar with as the season goes on as the real buzz of the offseason was the rumored improvements to the offense that the program hasn't seen in a number of years. Texas Tech Football Announces 2024 Team Captains The Texas Tech Football Program is also proud to announce that the team has elected 2 main captains for the 2024 season. These Red Raiders are longtime mainstays of the program and the players feel that their leadership will be needed for this 2024 campaign. Offensive Captain C Charlie Becker 6-2 304 Sr Flatonia (Flatonia TX) 5.0 of 5.0 [Run Blocking] Charlie is a 4 year starter on the offensive line for the Red Raiders after starting as a true freshman. He has been the anchor of the OL during the Solomon era and has been a the consistent rock that the offense could look toward for leadership. He had the opportunity to leave for the NFLHC draft this past season, but elected to stay for his Senior season citing that he wanted to continue what he started here in Lubbock with one last go around with the boys. Defensive Captain: OLB Austin Callahan 6-3 224 (Sr) Van Alstyne (Van Alstyne TX) 4.0 of 4.0 [Coverage] The former Big 12 Defensive Freshman of the Year, Austin has also been a 4 year starter for the Red Raiders, but has been the anchor in the LB corps for his 4 years. He has played in both the inside and outside of the Front 7 on defense and has always been a playmaker. He is tied for 2nd all time in Texas Tech career interceptions after an incredible freshman season. Austin was happy to step up to the task of leading this defensive group after learning tremendously from Curtis Jones over the past few seasons.
  6. 16 points
    HAFFnHAFF

    Adoption Request

    A lot of you probably know that my wife and I adopted internationally in 2017. I talked about it here back then and answered questions a lot of people had. Well we are nearly 2 years into another adoption. This adoption should have been finalized in December but was delayed due to the political unrest in Hong Kong. Then it should have been completed in May but COVID slowed things down and pushed it back to June. Then in June it was pushed back indefinitely, to the point that our case worker is making plans to redo the visa medical appointment when it expires in October. We have had the opportunity to Skype with our daughter 3 times now and it is getting increasingly more difficult for her to understand that we are actually coming because usually you Skype 1 month before you come. We have received the court order that awarded us guardianship, but we are unable to travel to bring her home because of Hong Kong travel restrictions. Our agency has told us the best thing to do is contact US senators and representatives so we put out a plea to our friends and family to do that with overwhelming response. The problem is that our sphere of influence is largely Oklahoma based. They have received enough to start looking into it but they told us they need more help from other states. So if any of you would be willing to contact your senators and representatives on our behalf I would be forever grateful. My wife has everything you need to do so. If you would e-mail her at BepJones@Gmail.com and just say you want to help adopting families bring their child home, she will send you the letter and everything you need.
  7. 16 points
    Don't mind anything that doesn't add up to 100%. Rounding and having to cut out a few bad seasons threw off our round numbers. For anyone who doesn't remember, these projections are based of fan expectations and log5. I used those probabilities to simulate a lot of NFLHC seasons and get probabilities based on a few events. You'll notice that 3 different teams managed to field a winless season, but the good news for HOU and LAC is they made the playoffs at 9-7 as well (and there are more winless seasons coming with the NFC edition). Teams like BUF, KC, and TEN are expected to run away with their divisions. The AFCN is pretty wild and the difference between PIT and CIN is random, they have almost identical shots. BAL lags behind due to having a 1st place schedule. The wildcard numbers are particularly interesting. MIA and JAX dominate the WCs and would cream the AFCN if they played there. CLE is the only team to not post ANY winning records in our simulations, although it's certainly possible. With the edition of a 7th wildcard game, double digit wins are almost a guarantee to get you into the playoffs (over 97% of the time). NFC Edition will come in the following weeks (we're doing playoff tiebreakers by hand to ensure accuracy)
  8. 16 points
    If the fans are right. By divisions I've seen the future and here are the answers you're looking for: What is this? I took the fan expectations, averaged them (a range of 4-7 wins was considered 5-10-1), and then plugged those numbers into the schedule to get your SOS. What about the record prediction? I ran the fan expected average into a log5 formula that also accounts for home-field advantage (Home teams win .550 of the time in the regular season. How accurate is the prediction? Not at all! Even disregarding team altering events like injuries, there's too much game to game variance to expect these to be accurate. I'm working on a part 2 that should provide a reasonable range of expectations for your team.
  9. 15 points
    Hello everyone. To start I would like to thank those who applied for both HC and GM. There was a good turn out of people interested and it made the choice a bit difficult. But never the less I have made the call. I would like to welcome @jared2001usa as the new Head Coach of the Ravens, and @thatfunk as General Manager. I play against jared2001usa in the Sun Belt, and I know he's done a good job in Louisiana. Funk meanwhile adds much needed experience as a GM that I am sure will help balance out the less experienced members of our organization. Together with me and Scout Nate, we now have a full staff ready to continue the excellence we saw last season and hopefully, bring some titles to Baltimore. The floor is now open to questions and comments.
  10. 14 points
    This is the best media I've ever seen on the site.
  11. 14 points
    tsweezy

    B1G Coaching Records

    After taking a look at coaching skills yesterday, today is time to look at career histories for the 14 B1G Coaches. Overall table below: Some interesting notes from this: The B1G coaches overall have a cumulative record of 681-530 (.562) 2 coaches have been with their school since they joined 2 coaches are on their 3rd destination, with @lucas on his 4th school @inspiral has the highest win percentage overall, although @grv413 has the highest win percentage at a school for his current tenure at Penn State. Exactly half of the B1G coaches are above .500, and half are below, through sheer happenstance. Eastern Michigan, Maryland, and Indiana are the only schools to have had multiple B1G coaches. Let me know if I missed any stops or got anything wrong
  12. 14 points
    Editor's Note: B1G coaches can sign up a player for a similar piece in the B1G Conference Forum or by PMing me. @wrigleyfan Iowa QB Ryan Corbin III looks to the sideline after he scores his first rushing touchdown of his career. IOWA CITY, IA--- Ryan Corbin III wears jeans almost every day. His true freshman year, he showed up to his first day of class with a plaid button down shirt and his best pair of crocodile skin boots, too. He laughs when he thinks about it now. "Kedaveon [Vaughn] still makes fun of me for it." A country boy who spent his entire life beforehand on a farm, Corbin was just trying to make a good impression. "It's what I wear to church with my folks, so it's what I wore to class. I wanted people to know I was serious about school." I pressed him-- why did a four star quarterback recruit with NFL aspirations take his classes so seriously? "People don't leave Wonewoc. I felt like I owed it to the town." Wonewoc, Wisconsin, is a tiny town in the middle of the state. It's population is just under 1,000, and Corbin claims to know every one of them. His father, Ryan Corbin Jr., was a second generation farmer, and his namesake had lived on the same land they worked all their life. The eldest of the three, Corbin's grandfather, was the Methodist minister in the town. The modest farming operation the Corbins had was enough to get by, by Corbin remembers tough times. "I was born a few years before the financial crash of 2008 hit," he explains. "My dad had to sell off part of our farmland when I was in elementary school to keep us above water. We always had food on the table and a roof over our heads, but I don't think I ever took a vacation until I started being recruited. I'd never been outside Wisconsin and Minnesota until I visited the University of Iowa." Ryan Corbin III was the starlet of Wonewoc from a young age. In 7th grade he was already playing varsity basketball, coming off the bench as a three point specialist. His small school did not even have 11 man football until he was in tenth grade, and so his quarterback career began by winning the 6 man state championship as a freshman. "Those were fun times, but I was just a kid slinging it," Corbin says. "I didn't really know what it would take to get me to college. I never worked out, I never went to camps, nothing like that. Just was out there having fun." In his first year of 11 man football, Wonewoc High went 1-9. Corbin was the lone bright spot, rushing for 800 yards and 10 TDs while throwing for 6 more as part of a Wing-T offense. Also the school kicker, he accounted for every single point scored by Wonewoc in that inaugural season. He began getting recruiting letters from small schools, including two offers from NAIA schools in the area. "I kind of assumed that was it, you know? I still didn't grasp what the world of college football could really look like. I was thankful for the attention I was receiving, because all I knew was I wanted to go to college. Simpson College in Iowa was the first to offer me, and I immediately committed." He laughs and shakes his head as he remembers it. "Little did I know, you know?" During his sophomore year of high school, Corbin led a Wing-T rushing attack with over 800 yards and 10 TDs. His junior year changed everything. A new coach and a new offense meant that Wonewoc was going to showcase his talent. Corbin recalls that Coach Allen Garrett, his offensive coordinator, came to him at the beginning of summer camp and promised him that they'd do what it took to get him a 'proper offer.' "I didn't even know what that meant." Corbin threw for 2,600 yards and 20 touchdowns his junior year. Although Wonewoc only won 3 games, they qualified for the 1A state playoffs. They drew Necedah, a powerhouse at their level and one of Wonewoc's bitter rivals. In a shocking upset, Wonewoc beat Necedah 26-24 behind Corbin's 244 yards passing and 4 touchdowns. They lost in the second round of the playoffs, but the tape against Necedah was what Coach Garrett began sending to schools. "He'd decommitted from Simpson before his junior year, because we told him to keep his options open. It was way too early to make any decisions," explained Coach Garrett. "St. Cloud St. and Southwest Minnesota St. gave him offers through the year, so he was moving up. But I really believed he could make it bigger than D2. I made a call to one of my friends who I used to coach with, who was the offensive quality control assistant for Michigan State at the time. I told him about Ryan, you know, and sent him the tape. He didn't have a lot of pull, but he knew a couple position coaches around the MAC and Big 10, so he did me a favor and started spreading Ryan's tape. That's when his recruiting caught fire." By the summer of his senior year, Ryan was a 3 star prospect with offers from four B1G schools. He took official visits to Wisconsin, Northern Illinois, and Minnesota before Iowa came into the picture. His trip to Iowa made his decision easy. "I gave a silent commitment as soon as they let me. I wanted to focus on school and the farm without the headache of recruiting, and I really liked what Iowa had going on in terms of somewhat recent success and their education programs. It was close enough that my family could visit, too." Even though Wisconsin fought to keep him in state, Corbin's commitment never wavered. The town of Wonewoc rallied around him. The stores on Main Street were decked with Iowa Hawkeyes gear, despite being less than 2 hours from Madison. When he had unofficial visits to Iowa City, there was a signup list for someone to drive him and someone to take care of his farm chores while he was gone. He was the first athlete from Wonewoc to play D1 sports since the 1960s. Corbin's won 7 games in 2023, the most by a Hawkeye quarterback since Mikeal Black in 2020. Corbin redshirted his first year on campus. It was a completely new environment for him, and he claims he was overwhelmed. Despite the support the football team provided, he felt isolated in his adjustment until his roommate, Kedaveon Vaughn, invited him out one night. They went to a local karaoke bar, and Corbin says they bonded. "I sang the only song I could really sing: How Do You Like Me Now, by Toby Keith. Kedaveon said I sucked. But that night was the turning point for me at Iowa. He and I became good friends, and I hit my stride on the field soon afterwards, too." Corbin was named the starter as a redshirt freshman, joining Vaughn as the focal point of the backfield. He threw for 2783 yards, 20 TDs, and ran for another as the Hawkeyes went 7-5 and made a bowl game for the first time since 2020. Entering 2024, Iowa will be looking to build on a successful campaign. The quarterback room is more crowded, as local 5 star QB Daniel Collins arrives on campus this season. While he will redshirt, there are already a contingent of fans pushing for Collins to start in 2025 over Corbin if Corbin does not declare early. I asked Corbin what he thought about the Collins situation. "Truthfully, I am not worried about it. Daniel is a great guy and we've already got a good relationship. My job is, one, to be the best quarterback I can be, and two, to help the University of Iowa win ball games. That means helping Daniel adjust to the college game. I came here knowing there would be competition-- this isn't Wonewoc High anymore. But I can't pretend that I don't hear the people saying he should be the starter. I felt like I proved my worth last season, but I guess there are still some questions, so I'll put my head down and do it again this year." NFL scouts were watching him last year. Does he think he'll declare after 2024? "I am a Hawkeye. I only care about what happens this year. We've got certain goals and as the quarterback I have to be focused on those and lead by example. As far as I'm concerned, the NFL doesn't even exist in my head right now. I've got a one track mind." As I left the interview, I couldn't help but feel that the Hawkeyes were in good hands. I passed Kedaveon Vaughn on my way out of the building, and stopped him for a moment. What were his thoughts on Ryan Corbin? "Ryan's the GOAT. He is!" Vaughn laughs. "Big things are coming for the Hawkeyes this year, and Ryan's the one to lead us there. He's a big time player at a big time school. Watch out." Everyone else I asked agreed. Ryan was the leader of a Big 10 program on the rise, just three years after he'd been playing 1A ball in Wisconsin. Despite the faction of doubters in the fan base, the fate of the 2024 Iowa Hawkeyes rests in his hands. Not bad for a guy from Wonewoc.
  13. 13 points
    I'm taking the records from my Divisional Previews, but I do have a couple alterations to those records. Tampa Bay is now 0-16 This makes the Falcons to 11-5 After trading for DNJ, I reviewed the Giants Record, and only could find one more win. Over the Cardinals, this moves both teams to 3-13. AFC Playoffs 1. Kansas City Chiefs (13-3) 2. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4) 3. Miami Dolphins (11-5) 4. Tennessee Titans (11-5) 5. Baltimore Ravens (11-5) 6. Las Vegas Raiders (11-5) 7. Jacksonville Jaguars (10-6) Just Missed: 8. Buffalo Bills (10-6) 9. Indianapolis Colts (9-7) The Jags make the playoff over the Bills thanks to W/L Record in Common Games. Wild Card Round: 2 Pittsburgh Steelers host 7 Jacksonville Jaguars. I think Jags have enough firepower to take on the Pit Defense. Jacksonville Wins 3 Miami Dolphins host 6 Las Vegas Raiders. I have concerns about aging stars on Both Teams, but I think the Raiders can't keep up. Miami Wins 4 Tennessee Titans host 5 Baltimore Ravens. I don't think the Titans can handle the Ravens Defense. Baltimore Wins Divisional Round: 1 Kansas City Chiefs host 7 Jacksonville Jaguars. Chiefs Offense is too good at home for the Jags. Kansas City Wins 3 Miami Dolphins host 5 Baltimore Ravens. Brian Brown is very hard to beat at home, I like the Phins in this one. Miami Wins AFC Championship Game: 1 Kansas City Chiefs host 3 Miami Dolphins. KC has a great Offense, but Brian Brown has magic left in him. I think the Phins take it this year. Miami Wins NFC Playoffs 1. Detroit Lions (13-3) 2. San Francisco 49ers (12-4) 3. Washington Redskins (12-4) 4. Atlanta Falcons (11-5) 5. Green Bay Packers (12-4) 6. Dallas Cowboys (11-5) 7. Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) Just Missed: 8. Carolina Panthers (9-7) 9. Chicago Bears (9-7) Wild Card Round: 2. San Francisco 49ers host 7 Philadelphia Eagles. I love the Eagles Offense, but I think the 49ers Offense can keep up and outscore them at home. San Francisco Wins 3 Washington Redskins host 6 Dallas Cowboys. At this point, these teams are very familiar with each other. Washington is a deeper, more complete team. Washington Wins 4 Atlanta Falcons host 5 Green Bay Packers. I love the Falcons Defense, but I think the Packers have the talent to beat them. Green Bay Wins Divisional Round: 1 Detroit Lions host 5 Green Bay Packers. Another two teams very familiar with each other. The Loins have the league's best Defense, and I think that's enough to win at home. Detroit Wins 2 San Francisco 49ers host 3 Washington Redskins. I think the Redskins will struggle to keep up with the Niners on the Road. San Francisco Wins NFC Championship Game: 1 Detroit Lions host 2 San Francisco 49ers. Detroit is still a good team, but I don't think they have enough offense to win this one. San Francisco Wins Superbowl: 2 San Francisco 49ers versus 3 Miami Dolphins. Two Veteran, and former SB Champs, QBs lead their teams back in the Big Game. Phins have a more complete defense, but SF has a more balanced offense. I think the SF Offense beats out the Phins Defense. San Francisco Wins Top 5 Picks 1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-16) 2. Cleveland Browns (1-15) 3. New Orleans Saints (3-13) 4. Arizona Cardinals (3-13) 5. Seattle Seahawks (3-13) With the Giants winning over Arizona, they went from picking 3rd to picking 6th. The Saints, Cardinals, Seahawks, and Giants all tied with 3-13 Records. Saints had 46% SOS Cardinals had 48% SOS Seahawks had 51.1% SOS Giants had 51.9% SOS
  14. 13 points
    Rocketcan

    [2024] Pre-Season Week #3 - TNF

    Nice. Nice. Nice.
  15. 13 points
  16. 13 points
    Rome

    [2024] RNN #1 Pick Chances

    Based on RNN Simulations A taste of what's to come with RNN's NFLHC Part 2! Based on our simulations, these are the chances that teams will get the #1 overall pick. Yes, I cannot believe PHI got it one year either. This is based on Fan Expectations as outlined in the first part of the RNN special. We ran 100 simulations and tabulated the results. We used the predicted SOS for SOS tiebreakers (but it rarely came to that).
  17. 12 points
    Rome

    [2024] Coach Skill Quick Look

    Newer coaches not included Our leaders include @HughFreeze$$ at 20 Offense, @CadeRich5 at 18 Defense, Cade again for Special Teams (what are you doing Soluna??), Rome for Clock at 19 (no surprise), Rome and @TazerMan with 12 discipline, and @cmcgill is our best teacher at 16 Youth Development. What does this all mean? We're still not sure how much of an impact these skills have and what they all cover--see the OG post and make your own interpretations. The SEC as a whole favors investing in offense and defense, which is a national trend and quite expected. Offense is favored a bit more over defense, with OFF averaging 14.6 and DEF at 13.7. The biggest lead is my Clock management skill, with a whopping 8 points over the 2nd place coach. @Soluna and McGill are the two going the teacher route so far and I think that only bodes poorly for the rest of us. Here is Mr. SEC Average
  18. 11 points
    npklemm

    [2024] AFCN Preview

    Baltimore Ravens 2023 Record: 13-3 Offense Ranking: 20th Defense Ranking: 2nd Overall Rank: 5th 3 Key Players Offense QB Marcus Black 6-6 225 1 Auburn [Hybrid] [+2/C] [+] 86 RB Moussa Goode 6-1 198 4 Ohio State [Speed] [-2] 85 WR David Wells 6-5 187 8 Oregon State [Speed] [+1/C] 88 Marcus Black had a very good Rookie Year. He completed over 63% of his passes for 4,030 Yards with 28 Touchdowns to 9 Picks, he also rushed for 226 Yards and 4 Touchdowns. The Ravens OL allowed the 2nd most Sacks in the league with 48. All year long, he was running for his life, and still turned out a good rookie year. Definitely something for the Front Office to build around. If he takes a further step, and the OL improves, Baltimore's offense could be really good at times. Moussa Goode is kinda Moussa not Goode. he had 835 Yards and 7 Touchdowns last year on 4.24 YPC. The Ravens definitely need help on the ground from Goode, so hopefully he improves and becomes a real threat on the ground again. Wells has been Baltimore's best receiver since, he was drafted it feels like. He had over 1K Yards last year, but 3 Touchdowns. The Ravens certainly need him to stretch the field, and could use him to get in the End Zone more. 3 Key Players Defense OLB Tyrone Jones 5-11 233 9 LSU [Blitz] [-1/C] 99 OLB Kenyatta Henderson 5-11 228 8 Ole Miss [Blitz] [-1] 98 CB Troy Marshall 6-1 163 5 Texas [Zone Coverage] [-1] [#] 95 Tyrone Jones is an absolute beast. He's been one of the best Linebackers in the league since he was drafted. In 2023, he had 12.5 Sacks and 16 TFL (2nd and 1st on the Team). On top of that, he had 75 Tackles and 2 FF. He's the best Pass Rushing OLB in the league and is a guy you to have to shift your gameplan around. The only Raven to get more sacks than Jones in 2023 was Kenyetta, he had 14 Sacks and 13 TFL (1st and 2nd on the team). This two are an incredibly difficult duo to stop. Both are guys you have to gameplan around, and having both on the field on the same time makes your offense limited. You have to run lots of draws/screens to slow them down, and run quick passing plays. If you try to stretch the field too much, you will get sacked multiple times. When you do try to pass the ball quickly, you're being forced to throw against a secondary lead by Troy Marshall. Marshall had 8 Picks and 9 PD last season, which is insane. No other player in the league had more INT+PD combined (next closest was 13 - Travaris Jackson). Jones/Henderson gives Marshall and the boys the opportunity to be very aggressive in coverage. They know teams have to get rid of the ball quickly, and they can jump those routes and take the ball the other way. This is a very difficult Defense to attack. Biggest Losses None The Ravens didn't really lose anybody worthwhile talking about. They bring back their entire starting lineup. Biggest Additions OT Sawyer Dobbs 6-7 258 R Texas State [Pass Blocking] [0] 80 OG Raphael Brannon 6-2 334 R Rice [Pass Blocking] [-1] [#] 81 DE Michael Britt 6-5 258 R Boston College [Contain] [+1/C] 80 The Ravens have had major issues on the Line for a long time, they allowed the 2nd most Sacks last year. You have to protect your Franchise QB, so I love the moves to take Dobbs and Brannon. Dobbs likely won't start right away, but Brannon might. Either way, you've got two young guys to build around your OL (and also Tyson Chadwick you took last year). The DE spot has been a bit of a weakness for the Ravens as well. Benton/Davis are just meh. Britt may not be a stud prospect, but I think he'll fit the scheme well and play off of Jones/Henderson well. Strengths Growth of Black. Marcus Black went +4 in the off-season. After what he's done so far, he should be primed for a great 2024. OL Depth. While I don't love the starting OL, they do have solid depth now. In the past, they've been injury prone and unable to replace those guys. Now, they can take an injury and not miss a beat. Stability on Defense. All 11 Starters are back. The league's 2nd best Defense is in great position to take over the top spot from the Loins. Weaknesses Running Game. Moussa Goode really hasn't done much the past couple seasons. Young QBs really benefit from a reliable running game, and Goode is certainly a question mark if he'll do that. WR Depth. Wells is good, but they don't really have much behind him. Patrick Lambert, Hines Mertens, and Zahir Wall are the next guys up. I don't like that too much. Schedule Having won the Division, the Ravens have a tougher schedule this year. Coupled with an improved Pittsburgh, I think Baltimore "regresses" to 11 Wins. Cincinnati Bengals 2023 Record: 4-12 Offense Rank: 24th Defense Rank: 26th Overall Rank: 27th 3 Key Players Offense QB Joel King 6-1 220 5 Houston [Pocket] [0] 89 WR Adrian Jankowski 6-4 194 5 Texas A&M [Target] [0] 94 WR Jamir Blackburn 6-4 196 3 Minnesota [Speed] [-2] [#] 84 No one threw more passes in 2024 than Joel King. After the departure of Ron Thomas (fuck you), the Bengals had 0 running game. This forced them to air it out 47 Times/Game. King threw for 4,700 Yards (58% Completion), with 37 Touchdowns and 22 Picks, the most picks thrown in the league. Of course, when you throw it that many times, you're going to throw picks. I think King is an above average Quarterback, and you can definitely win with him. But, you need a running game. Of course, his job is made a little bit easier thanks to Jank. Jank lead the team with 1,332 Yards and finished 2nd with 7 Touchdowns. He just always seems to find himself open. His partner in Crime, Jamir Blackburn, had a great season as well. He had 1,037 Yards and 12 Touchdowns (lead the team). With how one-dimensional this team is going to be, the opposing defense is going to focus on this trio. 3 Key Players Defense DE Timothy Key 6-2 240 2 Florida [Contain] [-1] 87 OLB Damian Dailey 6-0 230 1 Vanderbilt [Blitz] [0] 81 SS R.C. Rone 6-1 204 10 Oklahoma State [Zone Coverage] [+1/C] 88 Key was a very hyped prospect, who had a tough sophomore year. He finished with 17 Tackles, 3 Sacks, 1 TFL, and 1 FF. Given where he was picked, the Bengals absolutely need Key to do better. The Defense isn't good enough for a Top 3 Pick to be quiet. He has to be a constant force in the backfield. Dailey finished 2nd on the team with 5 Sacks, and tied for 1st with 6 TFL. The Bengals LB Corps got very old, and Dailey was much needed infusion of youth. Cincy is hoping he improves on last year and becomes a much bigger threat rushing the passer. Lord knows they need it. Rone is one of the OGs, and continues to put up numbers. He had 44 Tackles with 3 Picks, 3 PD, 1 TFL, and 3 FF. He's a do-it-all kind of player, which is something the Bengals desperately need. Biggest Losses OT Blake Pile OLB Germane Dixon ILB Nick Upshaw OG DeJuan Holmes PIle and Holmes were both starters for the Bengals in 2023. Holmes was replaced by a stud Rookie, but Pile really wasn't. There's a huge Question Mark at Left Tackle right now, and with how much they throw, that's a massive issue. Losing Pile will really hurt. Nick Upshaw had just 29 Tackles in 2023. It's clear his time as an effective player was over, his loss won't be massive. Germane Dixon tied for the team lead in tackles with 59, while adding 2.5 Sacks and 4 TFL. He decided to hang them up, paving the way for a promising rookie to start. Biggest Additions OG Cyrus Naylor 6-4 322 R Florida [Run Blocking] [0/C] 82 OLB Miles Rinehart 6-1 242 R Louisville [Blitz] [0] 80 ILB DaeSean Woodard 6 -3 206 R Notre Dame [Will] [+3] 78 ILB Brick Madden 6-3 239 4 Oregon [Mike] [0] 82 Naylor is a stud in the making. He graded out very well, and the Bengals got a cornerstone of their OL for a long time. Loved that pick. I liked Rinehart a lot as well, he was super productive at Louisville and I think he'll pair with Damian Dailey pretty well. Really liked that pick as well. DaeSean Woodard is a player who needs some development, but he was also super productive in College. Daniel Watkins is still a good player at Will, but I think the Bengals got his replacement lined up already. The Bengals brought in Brick Madden to take over for Upshaw. He wasn't great in 2023, but did better than Upshaw. He's likely a 1-for-1 Replacement there. Strengths WR. Jank-Blackburn-Whelehan is a good trio. Any of these guys could go off in any game. Defending all three is hard to do. Weaknesses Running Game. Worst in the league. Linebackers. Youth at OLB could lead to inconsistent play. Losing Upshaw hurts chemistry, and Madden is far less experienced. CB. Zion Evans had a very good 2023, but the rest of the unit is very bad. Aaron Stiles and Russ Barker are not good. Kamari Cheatham and Darren Logan are also not good. This group will get toasted often. Schedule I like this Front Office/Coaching Staff. They'll turn this team around, but they just lack talent. The OL will be a mess at times, the offense is too one-dimensional. The Defense has almost no positives to take away. Cleveland Browns 2023 Record: 1-15 Offense Rank: 29th Defense Rank: 31st Overall Rank: 31st 3 Key Players Offense QB Zach Lombardi 6-3 200 R Navy [Hybrid] [0/C] 82 RB Sean Bell 6-1 209 4 Baylor [Speed] [0] 89 WR Jarius Shaw-Dodd 5-11 213 6 Virginia Tech [Speed] [-1/C] 89 Lombardi takes over for Mathew Dobbs and Jordan North. Both of whom sucked ass. I immediately think the Browns now are capable of winning upwards of 3 Games now. There are lots of questions surrounding his selection of course. All evidence points towards him only succeeding in a Pass Heavy Offense, while the Browns just gave Bell a big extension. Bell absolutely has to play a big role in he offense, he was the lone saving grace on it last year. How these two guys mesh together will go a long way to determining if this team can turn it around. Bell had 1,499 Yards with 10 Touchdowns on 4.7 YPC. That's insanely impressive to me. Every single team was putting 8 guys in the Box all the time, and he still managed to put up those numbers. JSD put up OK numbers with Buffalo last year. He had 846 Yards and 7 Touchdowns. I don't think he's all that good, but the Browns needed help at WR desperately. They have to hope he starts playing up to his Draft Pick Selection. 3 Key Players Defense DE Ray McBride 6-6 275 8 Alabama [Blitz] [-1/C] [#] 96 ILB Mark Craig 6-1 230 9 Penn State [Mike] [+1] 88 CB Cameron Marshall 6-1 170 4 Penn State [Zone Coverage] [-1] 86 McBride lead the Browns in both Sacks and TFL in 2023 with 11 and 8 respectively. No one else was really close to him, he was over 50% of their Pass Rush. He took on Double-Teams all year long. With suck little talent on the team, it's easier for opposing Offenses to isolate them and minimize their impact. He's a very good player, but he does need his teammates to show up. Craig was brought in to replace C.J. Thomas. In New England, he had 57 Tackles with 1 PD, 1 Sack, and 2 TFL. Solid, but not great production. The Browns are just hoping he's a more stabilizing presence in the locker room and he continues to be solid on the field. Marshall hasn't reached the potential he showed early in his career. He had 2 Picks and a PD last season. Cleveland will need to see more out of him this year. If they want to improve, all 3 guys above have to have standout years. Biggest Losses WR Kevin Garvin ILB C.J. Thomas Garvin is whatever. I don't think he's ever been more than a depth guy, so him leaving isn't a big deal. C.J. Thomas does hurt. He was a cornerstone guy on Defense, but his time in Cleveland had clearly run its course. The Browns did a good job of replacing him, but it's a short term replacement. Biggest Additions QB Zach Lombardi 6-3 200 R Navy [Hybrid] [0/C] 82 WR Jarius Shaw-Dodd 5-11 213 6 Virginia Tech [Speed] [-1/C] 89 OT Blake Pile 6-5 311 8 USC [Run Blocking] [+1/C] 90 OT Emil Colon 6-7 327 R Arizona [Pass Blocking] [0] 81 ILB Mark Craig 6-1 230 9 Penn State [Mike] [+1] 88 We've already discussed ZL, JSD, and Craig. The Browns had the 8th Worst OL Rating in 2023. They needed help. Getting Pile was a great move in my mind. OT was a huge issue prior to his arrival, and now is a strength. I also liked the picking of Colon in the 2nd Round. Cleveland used to have a good OL (back in my days), and it looks like they're back on their way to that. Strengths New QB, New Me? ZL has to be a significant improvement over North/Dobbs. If he isn't, then Cleveland will start feeling buyer's remorse pretty quickly. Weaknesses WR Depth. JSD is fine, but then you roll out Ricky Chambers, Darrell Mack, and Joseph Thurston. Oof. Linebackers. OLB is a huge question mark for me. Stephen Cannon, Caleb McNamara, and Jabari Fletcher all feel mediocre to me. Mark Craig is fine at Mike, but he definitely has lost a step. This group will struggle. Schedule I don't think Cleveland is good. They'll be bag again this year, and will be saved from a Winless Season thanks to the Bucs. Pittsburgh Steelers 2023 Record: 6-10 Offense Rank: 31st Defense Rank: 7th Overall Rank: 18th 3 Key Players Offense QB Taylor Heiden 6-3 197 8 Arkansas [Hybrid] [+1/C] 91 RB Ricky Vega 5-10 214 2 Penn State [Speed] [0] 82 WR Ja'Wuan Howard 6-2 186 2 Georgia [Target] [0] 83 Heiden did what he could in Tampa last season. He had 62% completion for 3.814 Yards with 25 Touchdowns and 12 Picks, while rushing for just 85 Yards and 3 Touchdowns. I loved the move to bring him to Pittsburgh, Brooksheer was clearly garbage. The Offense completely screwed this team over last year, and getting a legit QB will go a long way to fixing that. Vega got off to a slow start, but finished strong. He had 758 Yards with 7 Touchdowns on 4.28 YPC. I don't think Vega will ever be a Pro Bowl Player, but I do think he can play well along side Heiden. If Pittsburgh can now have a dangerous running game, that will open up everything for them offensively. Howard lead the team with 782 Yards and tied for team lead with 5 Touchdowns. The Steelers' Passing Game was atrocious last year, so him putting up those numbers is impressive to me. Heiden has shown the ability to be hyper efficient throwing the ball, and Howard is primed to benefit more than anyone else. 3 Key Players Defense DE Carlos Washington 6-0 261 3 Michigan [Blitz] [-2] 96 OLB Charlie Johnson 6-2 230 7 South Carolina [Coverage] [+1] 85 CB Kordell McKinnon 6-0 195 3 Michigan State [Zone Coverage] [0] [#] 90 No one had more Sacks + TFL Combined than Washington. He had 21 Sacks (most in the league) and 17 TFL (most in the league). He's a gamebreaking type of player. The entire Defense revolves around him. He's an insane player who will get his sack every game (or almost every game, 14 Statsheets in 2023). I don't have enough good things to say about him. Charlie Johnson returns from a ACL Rupture in 2023 to start once again in 2024. With the Injury to Patrick Murphy (6.5 Sacks, 9 TFL), Johnson will be super important for the Steelers. OLB is again an issue, and the Veteran will have to play well. McKinnon lead the team with 5 Picks and 6 PD in 2023. Like most teams with elite Pass Rushers, it allows your Corners to be aggressive and go after turnovers. McKinnon has benefited greatly from playing with Washington. Biggest Losses QB Norris Brooksheer RB Chester Henson Brooksheer was bad before getting benched for Rory Weston/Kyle Jefferson. He was barely completing over 1/2 of his passes, and was turning the ball over at a high rate. Losing him was addition by subtraction. Henson was never very good in Pittsburgh, last season he had 367 Yards and 4 Touchdowns playing mostly a RB2 role. Still, he was an experienced veteran and a good presence in the locker room. Biggest Additions QB Taylor Heiden 6-3 197 8 Arkansas [Hybrid] [+1/C] 91 RB Sean Meade 5-11 218 R Auburn [Power] [-2] 80 DE Miles Slater 6-1 248 2 Washington [Contain] [0] [+] 80 ILB Aaron Mathis 6-3 223 R Washington State [Will] [+1] 82 We've talked about Heiden. I love the pick of Meade, a good Power Back goes a long way in the Pros. I don't think he'll be a starter year one, but he should still be productive playing a RB2 Role. Slater was brought in on the cheap just to add some depth at DE. Outside of Washington, the Steelers are a Black Hole at DE. Slater busted in Houston and is just hoping to try and resurrect his career in Pittsburgh. Not many players better to feast on opposite of Washington. Mathis won't start year one, but could be a very good player in the middle of their defense for years to come. Strengths Update at QB. Trading Brooksheer and getting Heiden is an immediate improvement. The Offense should move at least to Middle of the League this year. Carlos Washington is a human cheatcode. Weaknesses Patrick Murphy's Injury. Murphy was 2nd on the team in 2023 with 6.5 Sacks. In his place will be Samuel Weiner, who starter for Charlie Johnson in 2023. Weiner didn't do much on the field, he's a clear step down from Murphy. This puts another big hole right in the middle of the defense. OL Depth. I still don't love the Steeler's OL, and they have virtually no one in place to take over in case of Injury. Given the injuries they've had on the OL the past couple of years, this is a huge concern heading into the season. Schedule I like Pittsburgh a lot this year. The Defense will still be very good, and the addition of an actual QB should make the offense scary again. Divisional Standings I like the Steelers to win the Division, but Baltimore will be right on their heels. Cincy will be bad again, and the Browns will be saved from the #1 Overall Pick thanks to the Bucs.
  19. 11 points
    .tg {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;} .tg td{border-color:black;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px; overflow:hidden;padding:10px 5px;word-break:normal;} .tg th{border-color:black;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px; font-weight:normal;overflow:hidden;padding:10px 5px;word-break:normal;} .tg .tg-wr44{background-color:#6a5acd;text-align:left;vertical-align:top} .tg .tg-y6fn{background-color:#c0c0c0;text-align:left;vertical-align:top} Mountain West Preseason Power Rankings Rank (Poll Pts.) Team (First Place Votes) Record Streak Change From Last Week Game From Last Week Game This Week 1 (102) Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (6) 0-0 (0-0) - - - vs Arizona 2 (95) San Diego State Aztecs (2) 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye 3 (86) Boise State Broncos 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye 4 (76) Colorado State Rams 0-0 (0-0) - - - vs Colorado (Denver) 5 (73) Fresno State Bulldogs (1) 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye 6 (68) Air Force Falcons 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye 7 (62) Nevada Wolfpack 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye 8 (45) New Mexico Lobos 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye 9 (39) Utah State Aggies 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye 10 (30) Wyoming Cowboys 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye 11 (18) San Jose State Spartans 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye 12 (16) UNLV Rebels 0-0 (0-0) - - - Bye
  20. 11 points
    npklemm

    [2024] AFCS Preview

    Houston Texans 2023 Record: 6-10 Offense Rank: 9th Defense Rank: 23rd Overall Rank: 17th 3 Key Players Offense QB Alex Leshoure 6-1 205 5 Boston College [Pocket] [0] 90 RB Simeon Wells 5-11 210 1 Texas [Power] [0] 84 WR Marvin White 6-4 184 8 Ohio State [Speed] [+1/C] 89 Leshoure threw the fifth most passes last season, with 606 Attempts. He completed just over 60% of his passes for over 4,500 Yards with 33 TDs to 15 Picks. He's got talent, but I think the Texans have leaned on him too much, although it should be said they haven't had a running game for his entire career in Houston. I'd like to see him go to Middle of the Pack in terms of Attempts and let Wells take a bigger role in the offense. Not that I think Leshoure is bad, but I think he will be more effective with a lighter workload. Wells only had 175 Carries in 2023, but rushed for over 880 Yards with 7 TDs on 5.05 YPC. I'd really like to see him get more than the 14 or so carries per game he saw last season. Getting him closer to 20 would be the ideal spot for me. Houston has a real good backfield here, and the offense is in a real good spot for 2024. Marvin White has been among the most productive receivers during his tenure in Houston. He lead the team with 1,245 Yards and 9 Touchdowns in 2024. He's a constant deep threat and gives Leshoure a big target down the field. This trio should lead the Texans to a Top 5/10 Offense once gain. 3 Key Players Defense DT Bob Ballard 6-1 292 9 Penn State [2-Gap] [+2/C] 88 DE Robert Fulton 6-0 266 5 LSU [Contain] [-1] 90 SS Frederick Fain 6-1 197 6 Auburn [Zone Coverage] [+1] 91 Ballard has been a stud his whole career, and that hasn't changed since coming to Houston. He lead the team with 13 TFL, and tied for lead in Sacks with 9.5. He is a constant nuisance to opposing teams' backfields. He's not only a great player in the middle of the DL, but he's one of the teams best players in the locker room. He leads the defense, and brings pressure right up the middle into the QB's face. Fulton is his trusty sidekick, and tied Ballard with 9.5 Sacks while adding 7 TFL himself. Having these two guys right up front gives the Texans both pass rush and run defense in one layer of the defense. This allows the rest of the defense to flow free and play coverage. Fain is the glue that holds the secondary together. The corners in Houston have historically not been good, so they've relied on Fain to help clean up mistakes back there. he was 3rd on the team with 43 Tackles (FS Reynaldo Harris was 2nd with 44). This just shows that the Texans are relying on their safeties to fill in the gaps where necessary. Being a sure tackler and playing stout coverage in the back is insanely important for Fain. If he isn't, they'll give up a lot of big play Touchdowns. Biggest Losses OT Matt Bogle DE Miles Slater ILB Tom Henderson Bogle is one of the OG Linemen that made Houston's OL fearsome. But, age had caught up to him. Losing him does hurt, but the Texans planned for it and have Kendall Gresham in place to take over for him. I think they'll be fine. Miles Slater is addition by subtraction. He had just 8 Tackles with 1 Sack and 1 TFL last year. He was a complete bust, and the Texans were smart to move him. Tom Henderson had 21 Tackles and a Sack last year, he's being replaced by the much younger Danieal Pennington. The Texans will be better off with Pennington starting. Not the worst losses for a team to take. Biggest Additions C Byron Alexander 6-3 299 R Clemson [Run Blocking] [-1] 78 C Aden Hastings 6-2 282 4 Iowa State [Pass Blocking] [-3] 80 DE/OLB Curtis Jones 6-5 275 R Texas Tech [Contain] [+1] 78 DE Adam Williams 6-8 266 6 Purdue [Contain] [-1] 81 CB Logan Swain 6-1 187 R Louisville [Man Coverage] [0] 81 Houston needs a Center for the future, and they tapped Byron Alexander to be that guy (maybe a round too early for me). He looks to have a promising future, and luckily won't have to start right away. The Texans also signed Aden Hastings. The now Journeyman Center will likely get the start for 2024. I like that move. It gives you a veteran presence on the OL, and allows you to sit a a guy who needs some seasoning before getting major minutes. I fell in love with Curtis Jones during my scouting process. He too went way early in my mind, but I think the Texans had a playmaker on their hands. He's very athletic for a DE, but just an average athlete for OLB. Some experts would put him at OLB, but I'd put him at DE. That's where he played his whole college career at (and excelled by the way). Placing him on the DL with Bob Ballard and Robert Fulton will make a fearsome DL down the line. But, year one, we probably won't see that. Veteran Adam Williams is in Houston after spending a very quiet year in Seattle. He had just 1 Tackle and 1 Sack last year, so I don't expect much from Williams. He's at worst a one-for-one replacement for Miles Slater. As mentioned earlier, Houston has severely struggled at Corner for what feels like ever. He is injured, and won't be back to full strength until about Mid-Season. But I did like him quite a bit. He was an absolute ball hawk at Louisville, and his success in Houston will be huge for the Franchise's long term plans. The South loves to throw, so having competent Corners is a bare minimum. Strengths Balanced Offense. Houston should be in a position to run a balanced Gameplan. This should allow Leshoure to be a little more careful and cut back on the Picks, while also allowing for greater ball control and stay on the field more. Giving that defense as much help as possible is necessary. Weaknesses OL Depth. They still have solid to good starters, but they don't have much behind them. This team really can't weather an injury to a starter. CB. With Swain injured, their top guys are: Shane Brinkley, Tom Wyman, and Leveon Brooks. That doesn't give me much hope. This is the clear weak point on Defense to target, and I think will lead to Houston losing games they probably shouldn't lose. Schedule Houston will stay level with their 2023 Selves. The South is a bloodbath, and I think Houston is clearly a step behind everyone else. Indianapolis Colts 2023 Record: 9-7 Offense Rank: 10th Defense Rank: 19th Overall Rank: 15th 3 Key Players Offense QB Aaron Shea 6-2 204 6 Missouri [Pocket] [+2/C] 99 RB J.B. Blacknall 5-8 207 4 UAB [Power] [0] 89 WR Mosi Bartos 5-8 161 8 Boston College [Speed] [-1] [++] 89 Shea completed over 62% of his passes for over 4K Yards with 38 Touchdowns and 11 Picks. Like Leshoure, he was one of the most pass heavy guys in the league (tied for 7th). He's one of the best players in the NFLHC, and is my lord and savior. Like Houston, we really haven't had a running game during his tenure (2018 excluded). Now, we have a bonafide good RB in JBB, so I'd like to see us go more balanced as well. JBB finished 14th in the League with 1,126 Yards. He had 843 Yards and 7 TDs on 4.41 YPC with Indy. He also broke The Streak. Having a true running threat in the backfield should only make the passing game that much more fearsome. Mosi is one our Franchise's cornerstone guys. He's been a playmaker since he stepped onto the field in 2016, and that only took off to a new level once we brought in Shea. Now, he's clearly near the end of his career. He was 3rd on the team last year with 710 Yards and tied for 5th on the team with 3 TDs. He still has more in his legs, and we will absolutely get every last ounce out of them. The Offense should once again be Top 10. 3 Key Players Defense DE Anthony Miller 6-3 253 4 Tennessee [Blitz] [0] 91 ILB Kelly Mitchell 6-3 217 6 Michigan State [Will] [+2/C] 89 FS Sean Burton 6-0 202 9 Oklahoma [Zone Coverage] [0/C] 89 Anthony Miller lead the team with 14.5 Sacks and 9 TFL in 2023. Since coming to Indy, he's only gotten better and better. He gives us a constant presence in the other team's backfield, and has the ability to ruin any QB's day. Kelly Mitchell has been moved from his natural position to playing Coverage OLB. He had 58 Tackles and a Pick last year, and is the Franchise leader in career tackles (309). We didn't have a good option opposite Lukas Forman in 2023, so we slotted Mitchell over there. His performance there will be key for our defense. If he adapts well, we'll have a pretty damn good Front-7. Otherwise, we'll have issues on the 2nd Level. I don't need to hype up Sean Burton too much, He's the Franchise leader in Picks (33), Defensive TDs (4), and PD (16). He finished 2nd on the team with 42 Tackles, while leading us with 4 Picks and 4 PD last season. He's the ultimate playmaker back there, and has multiple All Pros to prove it. We have legit playmakers on all three levels of the defense. Biggest Losses RB James Otero WR Keith Setzer TE Cayden Reese OT Craig Foster Otero was a shell of himself when we brought him, and was even a further shell of himself last year. We won't miss much from him on the field. Setzer was a solid player for us, but had a couple injury issues and couldn't stay on the field. We aren't super deep at WR, so his loss does sting a little. Reese was tagged to be our starter after Shane Kaufman. But injuries derailed his career and allowed Tyler Dotson to go beast mode. He was a rotational guy who played well when he got action, but couldn't stay healthy. We'll miss him in that role, but his loss isn't huge. Foster was a back up level player last year, and nothing more. We won't miss him much. Biggest Additions WR Sean Waller 6-2 167 3 USC [Speed] [0] 82 OT Oliver Lewis 6-6 309 5 Arizona [Run Blocking] [-2] 80 K Garrett Strange 5-10 194 R Northwestern [Power] [0/C] 82 With losing Setzer, and having a couple young guys not really progressing well, we needed a WR. Denver didn't have use for him, so we swapped some mediocre players for each other. I don't expect much out of Waller, but I'm hopeful with an actual good QB he can show some of his potential that I saw in him when he went pro. Lewis is just a replacement for Foster. Anyone who's paid 1/2 a minute of attention to us knows we've had kicking issues since like 2020. We used our first pick (a 3rd Rounder) on Strange. We desperately need some talent and stability there. We have high expectations for Strange. Strengths More Balanced Offense? Having a legit RB now should allow us to take some pressure off of Shea. I think getting him help back there will only make us better. Healthy WR. We had tons of injuries at WR last year, and were relying on Practice Squad guys to get us through Week 17. Having these guys back and healthy will be huge. Defensive Line. We have one of the best, if not the best, DL in the whole league. We really don't need to bring blitzes to get after the QB. That gives us a ton of flexibility with the rest of the defense. Weaknesses WR Depth. We may be healthy, but we aren't very deep. An injury to Mosi or QP will strain us once again. SS. We don't really have an answer here. Neither Jonathan Norman or Brody Gibbons is separating themselves clearly from the other. We do have Sean Burton to help, but we need the SS Spot to get locked down by one guy. Schedule I think we're better than 9-7, but we have a tough schedule. We get the NFCN, Pittsburgh on the road (who I'm high on again), Buffalo, KC and LV out of the West and of course we play in the South. We don't have many favorable Road Games (LAC and Houston are the only true answers). If we had even an average schedule strength, we're an 11-Win team with no doubt in my mind. Jacksonville Jaguars 2023 Record: 13-3 Offense Rank: 3rd Defense Rank: 3rd Overall Rank: 2nd 3 Key Players Offense QB Taylor Rodriguez 6-1 209 6 Arizona [Pocket] [0] 90 RB Asante Sowell 6-3 194 5 Wisconsin [Power] [0] [+] 96 WR Raheem Robinson 6-3 192 4 Oklahoma State [Speed] [0] 96 Tay Rod tied with Shea for the 7th Most Attempts last season. He was actually very good, throwing for over 4,300 Yards with 32 Touchdowns and 5 Picks. By QB Rating, he was the 3rd best starting QB in the league (behind Harris and Lester). Having a guy that good makes up for so many deficiencies. It also doesn't hurt to have 2 guys on your offense who are arguably Top 3 at their Positions. Sowell finished 5th in attempts in 2021 with 291. He rushed for 1,472 Yards with 15 Touchdowns on 5.06 YPC. It's not fair having two guys this efficient and this good on the same team. I would like to make a formal complaint to the Commissioner's Office. Joking aside, Sowell gives this team a big play threat. Any time the ball is in his hands, opposing teams have to hold their breath and hope he doesn't torch you. Another deep threat is the incredible Raheem Robinson. Raheem lead the entire league in both Catches (113) and Yards (1,528). He also had 11 Touchdowns, which lead the team. Just like Sowell, he can take any touch the distance. Having guys like them in your offense stretches the field and opens up everything for everyone else. 3 Key Players Defense DE Ron Rice 6-6 275 8 Michigan [Blitz] [0] 94 ILB Christian Haywood 6-3 243 5 Arizona [Mike] [0/C] 91 CB Jay Wade 5-10 211 5 Alabama [Zone Coverage] [0/C] 90 Rice was an absolute stud last year, leading the team with 16 Sacks while finishing 2nd with 9 TFL. Like all elite Pass Rushers, Rice is a guy you have to gameplan around. You need to double team him, chip him, keep your RB back on his side. Anything to slow him down. What this does is take passing options off the field, and leaves other pass rushers usually in 1-on-1 battles. Haywood is a stout tackler, leading the team with 68 last season. He added in a Sack and 2 TFL. I would definitely like to see him get more involved in the backfield, but even if he's just a stud tackler in the middle of the defense, you can't go wrong there. Jay Wade is the top dog in the CB corps, and had 5 Picks and 7 PD last season. You play in a division with Leshoure, Shea, and Wheeler, you have to defend the pass. Wade is very good at that. The Jags have studs on every level. Biggest Losses WR Marcus Holmes TE Derek Harrison OT Rafael O'Donnell DE Preston Bryant FS Seth Scott Losing Holmes will have a big impact. He had over 1K Yards and 6 Touchdowns last season. He was a huge threat opposite of Raheem, and added another big play threat to the Offense. He wasn't replaced, so his loss will be hard to bear. Derek Harrison finally hung them up, he wasn't very involved in the offense. He had just 244 Yards and 2 Touchdowns last season. So, I don't think his loss will be very impactful. TE Jordan Kemp looks to be a very good blocker, but likely isn't much of a receiving threat. But, again, neither was Harrison last year. O'Donnell was a back-up last year, who got an insane contract in New York after a good progression. The Jags were deep at OT, so his loss isn't too big. Preston Bryant was also a very good DE. He had 10 Sacks and 12 TFL last season. The Jags didn't truly replace him, so his loss will be hugely impactful in the defense. Rice and Bryant combined for 26 Sacks, the rest of the team had 6 total combined. Seth Scott showed insane potential as a Junior at Colorado, but a poor Senior year and poor pre-draft process took off most of the shine. The Jags picked up him to hopefully settle the FS position. He never made it past a rotational role alongside Kevin Johnson. I don't think losing him will be a big deal. Biggest Additions QB Jake Davis 6-3 227 R Washington [Pocket] 82 DE Tyriek Humphrey 6-2 245 R Arizona [Contain] 78 FS Prince Pruitt 5-10 215 R Oklahoma State [Zone Coverage] 81 Trading up to take Jake Davis was surely a shock to me. In my mind, you make that move for one of two reasons. 1. You don't think Rodriguez is worth his second contract. 2. You think Davis will be an elite player. Statistically, Rodriguez is absolutely worth a 2nd Contract. Of course, you have to pay Sowell and Raheem. A rookie QB gives you a cheap starter for 3 years, and then a below market QB for the 4th year. I've never been a big fan of Rodriguez, so I don't think he's worth that next contract. Of course, the Jags are in position to compete for a Superbowl right now. Not taking a guy who gives you help year one is hard for me to stomach. Nothing against Jake Davis, but if Jacksonville never wins the Superbowl, fans may point to his drafting as a reason why. Tyriek Humphrey was pretty good in College, combining for 16.5 Sacks over the past two years. Ron Rice seems to think he's a good fit opposite him after Training Camp. But, he's not Preston Bryant. He may struggle this year and the Jags' pass rush will take a hit. The Jags took Pruitt to be their solution at FS. He was a good prospect, and has acquitted himself nicely with his teammates. He should be a solid player for them year one. Strengths Raheem/Asante - Having guys these good gives your offense versatility and big play threats. Even if your QB is having an off game, Raheem and Asante can pick up the load and carry the team to a win. Offensive Line. Some of these guys are aging, but they're still very talented. This unit will give Sowell plenty of open lanes and keep Rodriguez upright. Weaknesses WR Depth. After Raheem, it becomes a black hole. Taylor Eifert is a fine depth player at WR, but is the #2 guy. Tyrone Turner is the 3rd Guy, and Antonio Caldwell is the Slot guy. I don't think the Jags have a truly reliable receiver after Robinson. Front-7 Depth. The Jags have 1 backup DE, maybe no backup DTs (if running 4-3), 1 backup OLB, and a couple backup ILBs. An injury to one of these positions will leave a gaping hole. Schedule I think the Jags take a step back. The South has a couple tough match-ups, with the NFCN and AFCW. Tennessee Titans 2023 Record: 9-7 Offense Rank: 8th Defense Rank: 12th Overall Rank: 11th 3 Key Players Offense QB Thomas Wheeler 6-1 208 9 Florida State [Pocket] [+1/C] [+] 93 RB Chad Dess 6-1 241 9 Virginia [Power] [-1] 88 WR Kevin Williams 6-0 165 8 Boston College [Speed] [+3/C] 91 Wheeler wasn't have a great season by his standards before his injury. He completed over 58% of his passes for 9 TDs and 4 Picks, with a QB Rating of 85.82. The Titans have to hope that he recovers well and goes back to his old self. Even with him gone, the Titans still managed to go 9-7 and just miss the playoffs. Dess was very good last year, rushing for 1,361 Yards and 15 Touchdowns on 4.99 YPC. He has been insanely efficient since coming to Tennessee, and last year was no exception. He's a very good counter in the offense to Wheeler and plays his role exceptionally well. K Will is one of the most unlikely stars in the NFLHC. He lead the team with 1,120 Yards and 8 Touchdowns. No other receiver had more than 766 Yards, Williams was very clearly the best target out wide. All three guys are aging, so their effectiveness has a ticking clock. But, they will still be a good trio this year and help lead a good Titans Offense. 3 Key Players Defense DE Tyler Jones 6-1 257 4 Mississippi State [Contain] [0] 93 ILB Tyrese Thompson 6-3 228 2 Auburn [Mike] [-1/C] 86 CB Jack Ramsey 6-2 172 6 Virginia Tech [Zone Coverage] [-2] 96 Jones lead the team with 11.5 Sacks and 10 TFL last season. Having your DE in a 3-4 be that good in pass rush is such a bonus. He's such an impactful player, and is a menace on all 3 downs. Thompson has gotten to a bit of slow start in his career. He had 36 Tackles with a Pick, a Sack, and 2 FF last season. Not a terrible year, but I think Thompson has much more in him. The Titans do need a reliable player there in the middle. Jacksonville and Indy have good running backs, and the Tits have to stop them. That will be the primary focus of Thompson's season, if the Titans can shut down those running games, they stand a much better chance to win. Ramsey wants a bigger contract, and he has absolutely earned it. He had 5 Picks and 3 PD last season. Like I've mentioned in this preview, having good corners is an absolute must in this Division. Biggest Losses QB Ryan Clark OLB Jeff Cox Clark was brought in to start once Wheeler went down. He was mostly solid, throwing for over 62% of his passes with 14 TDs and 8 Picks. He also rushed for 207 Yards and 5 Touchdowns. But, losing him won't hurt as long as Wheeler stays healthy. With the ascension of Terrence Plummer, the Titans could afford to move on from Cox. He'd been a long term Titan, but I think Tennessee will be fine. Biggest Additions TE Mikal Valentine 6-3 192 R Missouri [Receiving] [0] 81 DE Glenn Thorpe 6-0 271 R Clemson [Contain] [-2] 81 FS Logan Evans 5-11 203 R Miami(FL) [Zone Coverage] [0/C] 81 Hastin Rider just hasn't panned out. He had just 354 Yards and a TD in 2023. I think his time is clearly going to be up soon. I like Valentine coming out, I think he'll at least be equivalent to Rider. But, it's much more likely in my mind that he'll be much better. Thorpe was one of the DEs who fell a little bit during the draft process. Steven Jordan had a good season in 2023, but is in the twilight of his career. Thorpe showed insane potential early on, but got crowded out later in his collegiate career. I think he'll be a good fit in Tennessee long term. Poor Evans, he'll miss around half of the regular season, but graded very well during Pro Days and Combine. He looks like a very good player in the making. Strengths Healthy Wheeler. Getting Wheeler back to full strength will go a long way for this team. Stability. The core of this team returns and gets healthy. The Titans were an 11-Win team if Wheeler stays healthy. So keeping that core together bodes well for 2024. Weaknesses Safety. I had this down as a weakness even before Evans' injury. But, now the starting FS will either be Messiah Henderson or Damani Crump-Jackson while the corpse of Tywan Tafoya holds down the fort at SS. Going deep on the Titans looks like a winning strategy right now. Schedule I really like Tennessee again. In my mind, they're the team to beat in the South going into the season. Divisional Standings Like I just said, I like Tennessee the most. Jacksonville has a really good squad. But their depth and lack of weapons in the passing game concern me right now.
  21. 10 points
    -- Columbia, SC With Coach Hagan's resignation and subsequent hiring at the University of Georgia, the cocks were suddenly looking for a new handler. Recently relieved from his duties at MTSU though with a pristine undefeated record, Coach Sarge's hire was coming sooner than anticipated and the empty sack was once again filled. With new found energy in the program, the rock hard foundation that Coach Hagan had left for HC Sarge will continue to be built upon vigorously and with enthusiasm. With each stroke of the pen, Coach Sarge has gripped this new coaching opportunity by the footballs and is thrusting ahead into Week 1. Locker Room Voted Team Captains: Offense: TE Max Green 6-1 216 Jr Jones County JC (Ellisville MS) 5.0 of 5.0 [Receiving] Defense: SS Blake Barrett 6-1 174 Sr Meridian Community College (Meridian MS) 5.0 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] Special Teams: P Nathan Laughlin 5-11 165 Sr Rosewood (Goldsboro NC) 4.5 of 4.5 [Accuracy] Player Watch List Week 1 Offense: QB Gael Cambeiro 6-3 205 Jr University of South Carolina Salkehatchie (Allendale SC) 3.5 of 4.5 [Scrambling] WR Dean Michaud 5-10 184 So Calhoun Falls (Calhoun Falls SC) 2.5 of 4.5 [Speed]WR Emmanuel Atkins 6-4 152 So Rock Hill (Rock Hill SC) 2.0 of 4.5 [Speed] OG Charles Tatum 6-4 336 (Fr) Clarksville (Clarksville TN) 3.0 of 4.5 [Pass Blocking] TE Max Green 6-1 216 Jr Jones County JC (Ellisville MS) 5.0 of 5.0 [Receiving] Defense: DT Griffin Weber 6-2 270 (So) Edisto (Cordova SC) 3.5 of 4.5 [1-Gap] ILB Greg Schlosser 6-3 258 So Seneca (Seneca SC) 4.0 of 4.5 [Mike] OLB Noah Greene 6-4 227 So Crescent (Iva SC) 2.5 of 5.0 [Coverage] CB Branden Pollard 5-10 187 Jr McCormick (McCormick SC) 5.0 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] FS Omar Powell 6-2 207 (Jr) Northwest Whitfield (GA) 4.5 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] ----- 2024 Senior Class QB Jon Beauchamp 6-5 236 (Sr) Orangeburg-Wilkinson (Orangeburg SC) 3.0 of 3.0 [Pocket]QB Ivan Napier 6-2 193 Sr Wayne County (Jessup GA) 3.0 of 3.0 [Hybrid]QB Riley Locke 6-2 224 Sr Northview (Bratt FL) 3.0 of 3.0 [Scrambling] WR Kapueo Lesa 6-0 161 (Sr) Chamberlain (Tampa FL) 3.0 of 3.0 [Speed]WR Ron London 6-5 224 Sr Wesley Chapel (Wesley Chapel FL) 3.0 of 3.0 [Target] WR Janoris Mayfield 5-11 191 (Sr) Chapin (Chapin SC) 2.0 of 2.0 [Speed] TE Jayson Mosher 6-1 242 (Sr) Lake View (Lake View SC) 3.0 of 3.0 [Blocking]TE Emmanuel Santiago 6-6 190 Sr Tucker (Tucker GA) 3.0 of 3.0 [Receiving] OG Brandon Moeller 6-1 266 Sr Chapin (Chapin SC) 3.0 of 3.0 [Run Blocking]OG John O'Brien 6-1 315 Sr Wesley Chapel (Wesley Chapel FL) 2.5 of 2.5 [Pass Blocking] OG Elias Gardner 6-1 315 Sr Aiken Technical College (Aiken SC) 4.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] OG Raphael Betts 6-3 304 Sr Marlboro County (Bennettsville SC) 2.5 of 2.5 [Pass Blocking] DT Luca Overstreet 6-1 314 Sr Orangeburg-Wilkinson (Orangeburg SC) 3.0 of 3.0 [1-Gap] DT Armani Barraza 6-3 315 (Sr) Bowman (Bowman SC) 3.0 of 3.0 [1-Gap] DT Jermon Steward 6-5 310 (Sr) Brookland-Cayce (Cayce SC) 3.0 of 3.0 [2-Gap]DT Holokai Lealofi-O-A'ana 6-1 299 Sr Pelham (Pelham GA) 2.5 of 2.5 [2-Gap]DT Trevor Grace 6-5 299 Sr Palm Harbor University (FL) 2.5 of 2.5 [1-Gap] DE Felix Pritchard 6-7 241 Sr Marlboro County (Bennettsville SC) 3.5 of 3.5 [Blitz] OLB Beckett Shaver 5-11 239 Sr Whitefield Academy (Mableton GA) 2.5 of 2.5 [Coverage] CB Hunter Bell 6-1 181 Sr Greenville (Greenville GA) 3.5 of 3.5 [Man Coverage] CB Leon Easley 6-2 204 Sr Calhoun Falls (Calhoun Falls SC) 3.0 of 3.0 [Man Coverage]CB Matthew McDowell 6-2 172 Sr Loganville (Loganville GA) 2.0 of 2.0 [Man Coverage] FS Khiry Whitaker 5-10 200 Sr Pelham (Pelham GA) 2.5 of 2.5 [Zone Coverage] SS Blake Barrett 6-1 174 Sr Meridian Community College (Meridian MS) 5.0 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] SS Shiloh Magee 5-10 200 (Sr) Chapin (Chapin SC) 3.0 of 3.0 [Zone Coverage]SS Gerald Forte 5-11 181 Sr Loganville (Loganville GA) 2.5 of 2.5 [Man Coverage] P Nathan Laughlin 5-11 165 Sr Rosewood (Goldsboro NC) 4.5 of 4.5 [Accuracy]
  22. 10 points
    rabidsnowman

    What do you look like?

    Me now and me before the weight loss....and me in my new sunglasses.
  23. 10 points
    stinsy

    [2024] Preseason Coaches Poll

    Darman when he sees Miami ranked above him
  24. 10 points
    npklemm

    [2024] NFCS Preview

    Atlanta Falcons 2023 Record: 9-6-1 Offense Rank: 23rd Defense Rank: 9th Overall Rank: 16th 3 Key Players Offense QB Donald Culver 6-1 192 2 Utah [Pocket] [+2/C] 83 RB Akili Wallace 5-10 180 8 Florida State [Speed] [-1] 91 TE Jason Erwin 6-6 242 4 Arizona State [Receiving] [+3] 90 Culver, Culver Culver. If he were just merely average last year, Atlanta is a 12-Win Team. He completed under 56% of his passes for 3,216 Yards with 15 Touchdowns and 18 Picks. Among player who started at least half their team's games, he finished 3rd Worst in QB Rating with 69.31. The Falcons absolutely need Culver to pick it up, and immediately. The defense is so good, an the offense just completely lagged behind. He doesn't have to be MVP level even, with a good RBBC behind him, he just has to be average. If he can play more like (in terms of efficiency) like AJJ or Watkins, Atlanta can be really scary team. A lot this year rides on his shoulders, and how much he improves. Akili Wallace finished with just 1K Yards and 8 Touchdowns last year. That may not be too impressive for a bellcow back, Akili isn't that anymore. He did average 5.5 YPC as Bradley Cooley took over 100 Carries from him. Wallace is supremely reliable and consistent. Erwin is one of those late round guys who actually pan out. He had 672 Yards and 6 Touchdowns last season. Like I've said in other previews, having good "vet" targets like Erwin can be so important for the development of young Quarterbacks. 3 Key Players Defense DE Early Davis 6-3 259 5 Georgia [Blitz] [0] 92 ILB Devin Frazier 6-1 257 1 Akron [Mike] [+3/C] 84 FS Darius Jones 6-1 205 6 Washington [Zone Coverage] [0] 93 Early Davis missed a little bit of time last year to some minor injuries, and thus only finished with 6 Sacks and 4 TFL (1st and Tie-1st Respectively). The Falcons throw a lot of guys in the pass rush, and they all tend to split the load. But Davis is certainly capable of getting double digit sacks, and I think we see that out of him this year. Frazier almost single-handedly changed this defense. Taking over for Marcus Grant, Frazier brought a real attacking style of play to the ILB spot. He lead the team with 45 Tackles, 1 PD, 1 Sack, 1 TFL, and 1 FF. He's a reliable tackler and is perfectly capable to tracking down the ball carrier in the backfield. Jones was a top 3 pick for the Falcons, and has been consistently one of the best FS in the league since. He had 43 Tackles with 3 Picks and 4 PD last season. Like other good Safeties, he gives coaching staffs flexibility to go a little aggressive in the gameplan because they'll be back there to clean up anything that leaks through. Biggest Losses SS Mario Ruff Ruff had gotten replaced last season by Romulus Jackson, and finished with just 2 Tackles and 1 Pick (he also missed some time due to injury). I think the Falcons will be fine without him. Biggest Additions OT Aneterea Sapolu 6-7 280 R Pittsburgh [Pass Blocking] [0] 79 DT Zion Gaines 6-1 297 R Texas [2-Gap] [0] [#] 81 Kelly Meier is on the verge of retirement and Julian Sykes can't be that far behind him. You need to develop some young guys at OT, and Sapolu is a good guy for that. Won't play much right away, but should be a starter down the road. DT has obviously been a meme for a long time in Atlanta. A year after picking up Oluwatoke Abiodun, the Falcons doubled up and took Zion Gaines. They now have two good young guys they can develop there. It might still be a bit of a weakness year one, but the level of play should be much better than what they've seen. Strengths Stability. A majority, if not all, starters from the end of last year's team return to the fold this year. The Falcons build through the draft, which has brought them incredible stability. There usually isn't too big of a fluctuation from one year's team to the next. Poor Division. While not directly a strength of the Falcons, it helps them quite a bit. I'm real low on TB and NO, and Carolina is a complete question mark to me right now. Weaknesses CB. Wilburn is regressing, and he doesn't have great support behind him. I'm not sure this team has a true #2 on the roster. Could be an area of exploitation on defense. WR. Bo Woodall, Riddick Smith, Malcolm Davis, and Stevie Henderson are the top 4. That doesn't inspire me too much. QB. Culver hasn't shown anything much yet. But, like Dowden, he's only had one real season to start. He might have to prove himself this year if he wants to keep his job in 2025. Schedule Like I've already said, I don't like the other teams in this division too much. I also think they get mostly favorable Home/Away splits out of conference. Getting Washington, SF, Dallas, and Baltimore at home will help quite a bit. Carolina Panthers 2023 Record: 7-9 Offense Rank: 19th Defense Rank: 21st Overall Rank: 21st 3 Key Players Offense QB Christian Skaggs 6-1 214 10 Florida State [Pocket] [-1] 98 WR Monte Jackson 6-6 227 5 Miami [Target] [-3] 93 TE Curtis Henry 6-6 202 4 Utah State [Receiving] [-1] [+] 93 SKAGGS. He's still one of the best QBs in the league. He had over 5,000 Yards and 41 Touchdowns (14 Picks) last season. All the while throwing the 3rd most passes. He's built his career on going out and chucking the damn ball. He gives the Panthstars the ability to win any single game they play. It hasn't lead to Playoff Success, but he's been one of the best regular season QBs in league history. Jackson was one of the top receivers last year, finishing with 1,435 Yards and 12 Touchdowns. He's a very talented receiver who has also benefitted from playing with an elite QB in a high passing offense. He gets some of the most targets in the league, and brings a vast majority of them in. Henry had one of the best seasons out of a TE we've ever seen in 2023. He had 1,196 Yards and 9 Touchdowns (12th most yards in the league by all players). Having this duo in the passing game forces a team to have to try and double cover two players. While this should open up things for everyone else, only Troy Wilson managed more than 500 Yards (850), showing that Jackson and Henry are clearly the two top targets in the offense by a wide margin. 3 Key Players Defense DE Damien Atkins 6-0 262 R Ohio State [Blitz] [0] [#] 82 ILB Chris Tucker 6-3 230 5 Tennessee [Mike] [0] 88 CB Nate Tensi 6-0 196 9 Clemson [Man Coverage] [0/C] [#] 88 Kendrick Droughns was the team's leading sacker in 2023 with 6. The Panthers took Atkins in the first to give a much needed infusion of youth and talent in the pass rush department. The rest of the defense could really benefit from an improved pass rush, and Carolina will look to Atkins to do that for them. Tucker was brought over from the Jets to fill a huge hole in the middle of the defense. He had 38 Tackles with 1 Sack and 2 FF & FR. Not an elite season by any stretch, but the Panthers rely on him to be a strong presence there. They need him to make the tackles as they come to him and stop big plays before they happen. Tensi has been the top dog in Carolina for a while. His time is clearly coming to an end soon, but they're hoping he gives them all he has for the short term. Biggest Losses DE Demarius Strong CB Russ Barker SS Darren Manning Strong finished 2023 with 5 Tackles and 2.5 Sacks. He's been replaced in the starting lineup by Damien Atkins. I think Carolina will be fine with him somewhere else. Russ Barker had 3 Picks last season playing CB2 behind Tensi. He's not a top end #2 guy, but he's certainly better than Damani Jeffries or Darron Rucker. Losing Manning is what really hurts. Manning lead the team with 71 Tackles, while adding 3 Picks, 5 PD, 1 Sack, 1 TFL, and 1 FF. He was literally everywhere on that defense. He was one of the best Safeties in the league last year, and they couldn't retain him. He's being replaced by a young guy with some upside, but they are going to sorely miss Manning. Biggest Additions RB/WR Griffin McHanna 5-10 184 R TCU [Speed] [+1] 80 DE Damien Atkins 6-0 262 R Ohio State [Blitz] [0] [#] 82 CB Darron Rucker 6-2 182 R Washington State [Man Coverage] [0] 78 I get the appeal of a player like McHanna, I truly do. But he's not good at anything. He can't catch, he can't run. I don't know how you use him in the offense. He's a returner at best to me. I don't think he's going to move the needle in any noticeable way on Offense. We've already discussed Atkins. The Panthers need bodies and youth at CB, so they turned to Rucker. I'm not high on him, but maybe sitting for a couple years and playing a rotational role can let him develop into a useful CB. Strengths SKAGGS. Like I said before, Christian gives the Panthers the ability to win any game they suit up for. Anytime you go out there, you have hope. LBs, I guess. You throw out Trent Haynes, Jeff Brooks, and Chris Tucker. That's not a bad trio, but it's not elite either. They should at least give you some stability in the middle of the defense. Weaknesses Depth. This team becomes a complete mess at every position once you look past the starting lineup. WR is a disaster. The OL is pretty brutal. The Front-7has virtually no room for error. The Secondary as a whole is a disaster. Just about any injury will have a major impact on this team. Running Game. Latta has put in some good years, those are well past him now. McHanna isn't a running back, and shouldn't get many carries. Ronnie Peterson, lol. Secondary. Starters are: Nate Tensi-Damani Jeffries-Darron Rucker-Carlton Sylvester - Eddie Burks. Just, oof. It won't necessarily kill them in Division, but will absolutely crush them out of the Division. Schedule I think they have favorable match-ups in Division, but are at a big disadvantage out of Division. 5-1 against the NFCS, and 4-6 against everyone else is what I see. New Orleans Saints 2023 Record: 3-12-1 Offense Rank: 14th Defense Rank: 29th Overall Rank: 24th 3 Key Players Offense QB Aaron Devereaux 6-6 204 8 LSU [Pocket] [+1] 94 RB DeSean Dockery 5-10 201 2 Louisville [Speed] [+1] [+] 83 WR Sean Jenkins 6-6 182 7 North Texas [Speed] [+1] [+] 96 Devy missed a couple games due to injury, but still threw for 4,387 Yards with 39 TDs and 16 Picks. He's one the league's biggest gunslingers. The Saints have for a long time relied on his arm and his arm solely to win games. But, like other elite QBs, having them on your side gives you a chance to win any game. However, he's out for the first couple of weeks of the year and will be limited after that. Making DeSean Dockery super important this year. The Saints really need him to step it up and play well. He had just 496 Yards and 5 Touchdowns on just 3.82 YPC last year while also missing some time himself. The Saints are going to rely on him quite a bit early on to try and keep them in the thick of things. He doesn't have to be great, he just needs to be good. Speaking of great, Sean Jenkins is one of the top guys in the league. He had 1.389 Yards and 8 Touchdowns last season (he was outperformed by one Mike Miller). Jenkins is what makes this offense go however, he opens up everything for Miller and Gano and anyone else who lines up. A 6-2 Speedster is hard to match-up against, and he's made a career out of blowing past guys. 3 Key Players Defense DT Jeremy Miller 6-1 304 8 Texas Tech [2-Gap] [+2/C] 92 ILB Garrett Holliday 6-3 234 3 Arizona State [Mike] [-1] 88 SS Corey Davis 6-2 195 4 Pittsburgh [Zone Coverage] [+1] 85 Jeremy Miller finished second on the team in both Sacks (5.5) and TFL (7). He's a monster right in the middle of the OL and blows plays up. He also eats double teams quite often which allows his teammates to flourish (example - Shamar Manning lead the team in Sacks and TFL). He's such a good player. Holliday had a really bad 2023. He finished with 13 Tackles, and that's it. As the Mike in a 3-4, you expect him to be the team leader. But, he just didn't do it. This Defense absolutely needs him to be much better this year. They can't go with him being quiet on the statsheet, he needs to make plays in the backfield and create turnovers. Is Corey Davis finally starting to put it all together? He had 30 Tackles with 1P ick and 2 PD last season. He's the highest rated player in the Secondary (Yikes), so they'll rely on him to keep everything in front of him. If he's not solid, the Saints will give up lots of big plays. Biggest Losses OT Wesley Dawkins CB George Brady CB Maury Gregg Dawkins was the LT for quite a while in New Orleans, but decided to hang them up after a good career. Fortunately, the Saints planned for this and have Damian Mason in line to start. They'll be fine at LT. George Brady actually had a solid career. He finished 2023 with 16 Tackles and a Pick. His loss will be more impactful than most would think. Gregg was a depth player who wasn't in the rotation much late. His loss won't be that big. Biggest Additions WR Robert Hatcher 6-3 199 R Alabama [Speed] [0] 78 DE Cece Condon 6-1 263 R Ohio State [Contain] [-2] 82 Sean Jenkins and Mike Miller are both really good. But they don't have anyone behind them. Hatcher will play the slot this year. I'm not big on him, so I don't think he'll be all that good. But, he'll be an improvement over Cameron Lindsey. Condon was one of the easiest picks in the Draft. Manning had a good 2023, but regresed and is entering his 7th season. Charles Woods hasn't done a whole lot in New Orleans. They needed some youth at the spot, and Condon is a great prospect. Definitely worth the 5th Pick, and I think will become a very good player in the Pros. Strengths Passing Game. Devy-Jenkins-Miller are a very formidable duo in the air. Even with Devy out for a few games, this trio will be a thorn in every team's side. Weaknesses Running Game. Paul Davenport will be Devy's replacement during his time out it appears. The team will have a whole different look than what we're used. But, I don't know if Dockery has it in him to become a real threat on the ground. Even with a mobile QB, this team will struggle to run. WR Depth. After the top trio, it goes Marcus Ratterman, Cameron Lindsey, and Langstom Landrum (Ratterman and Landrum are on the IR anyways). They're throwing backup TE in to fill the depth at WR. An injury to Miller or Jenkins will absolutely sink this unit. Secondary. Boy, this is not a good unit. At Corner, you have Devin Little, Justin Williams, and Eric Hall. At Safety you have Koren Donahue and Corey Davis. I don't know how you expect this unit to consistently slow down a team like Carolina. They'll get exploited all year long. Schedule I just don't see how this team wins games in 2024. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Record: 3-13 Offense Rank: 21st Defense Rank: 27th Overall Rank: 25th 3 Key Players Offense QB Norris Brooksheer 6-3 207 7 Oklahoma [Pocket] [+1/C] 89 RB DeNorris Jackson 6-0 235 3 UCF [Power] [-1] [#] 89 WR A.J. Edwards 6-4 217 1 Alabama [Speed] [-2] 84 The Days of Taylor Heiden are no more, and now begins the (very short, I'm certain) era of Norris Brooksheer. Norris was the 1st Overall Pick in 2017, and never lived up to his potential. Last year in 10 Games for Pittsburgh, he threw for 55% Completion, 2,438 Yards with 16 Touchdowns to just 11 Picks. He had a 76.5 QB Rating. It's abundantly clear at this point that Brooksheer isn't good. But, the Bucs aren't counting on him being good. They just need a body at QB to fill in until they find their QB of the future. DNJ got his career off to a good start, then was kind of slow for a couple years. He came back in a big way in 2023, rushing for 1,424 Yards (8th in the league) with 10 Touchdowns on 5.29 YPC. He was phenomenal, and I think he'll be as good this year. The offense will look different for sure, but you have to lean on DNJ if you want to compete at all. I wasn't big on A.J. coming out of college, but he had a perfectly respectable season for a Rookie thrown in to a bad WR corps. He finished with 905 Yards and 6 Touchdowns. He was thrown in to a WR Corp who the highest rated guy was Cotton Lewis. Edwards was made the #1 and had a good season. I was perhaps wrong on him. 3 Key Players Defense DE Charles Johnson 6-8 261 6 Hawaii [Blitz] [+1] 88 OLB Thomas Barry 6-1 225 7 Arizona State [Coverage] [0] 89 SS Darren Manning 6-4 189 8 Tennessee [Zone Coverage] [0] 93 Johnson had a super quiet year, getting just 3 Sacks but did lead the team with 8 TFL. The Bucs as a whole struggled to rush the passer, so they do need Johnson to improve. The defense could really use him to get to double digit sacks and get in the QB's face as often as possible. Barry is on the verge of walking away from the game, but for at least one more season he gets to try and cover Curtis Henry and Jason Erwin twice each. Boy, that's not a fun job. The Bucs lured Manning away from Carolina in Free Agency, and he should have a noticeable impact on the Defense. Chris Brown was fine for the Bucs last year, but Manning is such a better player. Along with Aaron Blakely, TB will have a solid Safety pairing to at least prevent long touchdown plays. Biggest Losses QB Taylor Heiden WR Cotton Lewis WR Anthony McCardell DT Jeremi Alexander DT Forest Williams CB Sammy Muhammad CB Blake Turner SS Chris Brown Man, that's a lot of loss for a bad team. Heiden meant everything to this team during his time here. Moving on from him was undoubtedly the right move, but it'll still be weird to see him in Pittsburgh. Cotton Lewis sucked, losing him makes you better. McCardell is a fine depth player at WR who did just about nothing last year in Tampa. Losing him isn't a big deal. Alexander was second on the team with 3.5 Sacks. Losing him will hurt a little, but the Bucs did draft a replacement at least. Forest Williams was nothing more than a vet backup, nothing major to lose him. Sammy Muhammad had a good career, but it was time to hang them up. He lead the team with 3 Picks last year, and he will be hard to replace. Blake Turner sucks, not a bad loss at all. Brown was perfectly fine for Tampa last year, but was also perfectly replaceable. Biggest Additions QB Norris Brooksheer 6-3 207 7 Oklahoma [Pocket] [+1/C] 89 WR Jarvis Heard 5-9 19 5 R LSU [Speed] [0] 81 WR Jeremy Bridges 6-0 231 R Oklahoma State [Target] [+2] 78 OT Dahntay Dickerson 6-5 295 R Temple [Run Blocking] [0] 83 DT Olivier Ponder 6-5 281 R Akron [2-Gap] [-1] 80 CB Ronyell Buchanon 6-1 171 7 Florida State [Zone Coverage] [-2] 81 CB Jamir Lacey 5-11 166 R Oregon [Zone Coverage] [0] [#] 80 SS Darren Manning 6-4 189 8 Tennessee [Zone Coverage] [0] 93 We've already spoken about Brooksheer. Heard was an excellent pick in my mind. The Bucs needed a Speedster to stretch the field, and they just didn't have it. Pairing him with A.J. Edwards should give you a formidable WR Duo for a long time. I really liked Bridges as well, he's not much more than a Depth guy at this point. But could develop into a nice outside guy down the line. The Dickerson pick may have been the steal of the Draft at #3. He's such a clear Franchise Tackle that you can build your entire Line around. Loved you taking him. Both Akron DTs are bad, and I don't think he'll every amount to much for you. Losing one Vet CB and finding another? Must be Tampa. Buchanon has had a good and long career, and will likely wrap his time up in Tampa. Don't mind the pick up as a Depth Piece. You also needed youth at CB desperately, and I liked the Lacey pick. He's clearly not the elite of his Draft Class but should be a solid Corner. We've already talked about Manning. Strengths Running Game. I truly like DNJ and he should be the focal point of you offense. Weaknesses QB. Brooksheer is bad. But, again, that's not the worst thing for this team who is clearly rebuilding. WR Depth. I like Edwards and Heard, but don't like much else this year. I like Bridges down the line. You have nothing else there though, Randall Johnson Jamaal Brown-Sanderson, Benjamin Franklin, and Finn Nielsen are all bad. CB. Still-Crawford Jr-Bucahnon-Lacey is who you're going to line up. Boy, that's rough man. Again, you're rebuilding so whatever. But still, fans will not have fun watching them out there. Schedule I don't know how this team wins many games honestly. Division Standings Atlanta's Defense gives them the edge over Carolina, but the offense holds them back enough to give the Panthers a chance to take this division.
  25. 10 points
    Sarge

    [2024] SEC Network Conference Preview

    We've already taken a look at the East and West divisions, now let's take a look at the conference as a whole. Resources: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ePs-Ow6ig2r1l9508icm_4lbnmFPJiD6XCEcqdWy8UI/edit#gid=769219219 OFFENSE RATINGS RANKINGS: #1 Auburn Tigers - OFF: 98.3 Player to Watch: ATH Donte Delmas 5-11 150 So Walter Wellborn (Anniston AL) 4.5 of 5.0 [Speed] #2 Florida Gators - OFF: 98.2 Player to Watch: WR Landon Scott 6-4 169 Sr Northview (Bratt FL) 5.0 of 5.0 [Speed] #3 LSU Tigers - OFF: 98.1 Player to Watch: RB Marcus Branch 5-9 194 (Jr) False River (New Roads LA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Speed] #4 Texas A&M Aggies - OFF: 96.6 Player to Watch: WR Bobby Frazier 6-1 228 (Sr) Paradise (Paradise TX) 4.5 of 4.5 [Target] #5 Alabama Crimson Tide - OFF: 95.5 Player to Watch: WR Lukas Shapiro 5-10 189 (Jr) Prattville (Prattville AL) 5.0 of 5.0 [Speed] #6 Missouri Tigers - OFF: 94.4 Player to Watch: QB Travis Ricketts 6-4 190 (Jr) Brentwood Academy (Brentwood TN) 5.0 of 5.0 [Pocket] #7 Georgia Bulldogs - OFF: 94.3 Player to Watch: QB Zeke Burkett 5-10 222 Sr Northeast (Macon GA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Pocket] #8 Vanderbilt Commodores - OFF: 88.1 Player to Watch: QB Tyler Mackey 6-3 239 (Sr) Covington (Covington TN) 4.5 of 4.5 [Pocket] #9 South Carolina Gamecocks - OFF: 85.3 Player to Watch: TE Max Green 6-1 216 Jr Jones County JC (Ellisville MS) 5.0 of 5.0 [Receiving] #10 Mississippi State Bulldogs - OFF: 81.1 Player to Watch: WR Nick Rawls 6-5 217 (Sr) Madison-Ridgeland Academy (MS) 5.0 of 5.0 [Target] #11 Arkansas Razorbacks - OFF: 78.1Player to Watch: WR Derek Thrasher 6-0 216 (Jr) Ringgold (Ringgold LA) 4.5 of 4.5 [Target] #12 Tennessee Volunteers - OFF: 72.4Player to Watch: QB Calvin O'Connor 6-6 205 (Fr) Cook (Adel GA) 2.0 of 4.5 [Pocket] #13 Kentucky Wildcats - OFF: 44 Player to Watch: RB Devon Burton 5-8 191 (Sr) Glasgow (Glasgow KY) 4.5 of 4.5 [Speed] #14 Ole Miss Rebels - OFF: 31.8 QB Alex Burnham 6-3 223 (Jr) Ringgold (Ringgold LA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Pocket] DEFENSE RATING RANKINGS: #1 LSU Tigers - DEF: 99.2 Player to Watch: DE Maximilian McKinley 6-1 262 (Jr) Northwest (Opelousas LA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Blitz] #2 Auburn Tigers - DEF: 97.8 Player to Watch: ILB Brett Combs 6-4 259 (Jr) Northeast (Macon GA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Mike] #3 Alabama Crimson Tide - DEF: 97.2 Player to Watch: DT Brandon Milligan 6-6 318 (Jr) Chipley (Chipley FL) 5.0 of 5.0 [1-Gap] #4 Tennessee Volunteers - DEF: 95.7 Player to Watch: ILB DeSean Thomas 6-3 259 (Fr) Baker (Mobile AL) 2.5 of 5.0 [Mike] #5 Missouri Tigers - DEF: 94.9 Player to Watch: CB Amral Waters 6-0 180 Jr Jasper County (Monticello GA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Man Coverage] #6 Texas A&M Aggies - DEF: 94.1 Player to Watch: DT Gavin Best 6-1 292 (Sr) Paradise (Paradise TX) 5.0 of 5.0 [1-Gap] #7T Mississippi State Bulldogs - DEF: 93.5 Player to Watch: FS Patrick Simms 6-2 200 (Sr) Moss Point (Moss Point MS) 4.5 of 4.5 [Zone Coverage] #7T South Carolina Gamecocks - DEF: 93.5 Player to Watch: CB Branden Pollard 5-10 187 Jr McCormick (McCormick SC) 5.0 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] #9 Vanderbilt Commodores - DEF: 83.3 Player to Watch: FS Terrell Terry 5-10 194 Jr Sevier County (Sevierville TN) 5.0 of 5.0 [Man Coverage] #10 Arkansas Razorbacks - DEF: 83.2 Player to Watch: DT Brendan Flanagan 6-1 305 (Jr) White Hall (White Hall AR) 5.0 of 5.0 [2-Gap] #11 Kentucky Wildcats - DEF: 78.5 Player to Watch: ILB Alshon Sinclair 6-4 248 (Jr) Gleason (Gleason TN) 4.5 of 5.0 [Mike] #12 Georgia Bulldogs - DEF: 68.6 Player to Watch: OLB Christian Crouch 6-4 230 (So) Warner Robins (Warner Robins GA) 3.0 of 5.0 [Blitz] #13 Florida Gators - DEF: 56.7 Player to Watch: CB Lavonte Chatman 6-0 184 Jr Vernon (Vernon FL) 3.5 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] #14 Ole Miss Rebels - DEF: 33.6 Player to Watch: ILB Kahiau Afamasaga 6-4 248 (Sr) Warren (Warren AR) 5.0 of 5.0 [Mike] Conference Strength of Schedule (For SEC Opponents. Only based on sum of OVR rating of opponents. Home/Away not currently factored.) 1 Kentucky Wildcats - 704.7 2 Arkansas Razorbacks - 689.5 3 Florida Gators - 681.4 4 South Carolina Gamecocks - 674.8 5 Texas A&M Aggies - 673.2 6 Auburn Tigers - 663.6 7 Alabama Crimson Tide - 661.2 8 Georgia Bulldogs - 658.5 9 Missouri Tigers - 648.9 10 Mississippi State Bulldog - 634.6 11 Tennessee Volunteers - 623.1 12 LSU Tigers - 619 13 Ole Miss Rebels - 615.1 14 Vanderbilt Commodores - 613 Kentucky, low on talent and having to deal with the toughest slate of SEC opponents does not look like they'll be in great shape this season. Meanwhile, LSU looks poised to waltz through their schedule sans the games against Auburn and Alabama. Take these stats for what you will, but I am definitely amped for SEC play to start sooner rather than later!
  26. 10 points
    @MasonAsher's first season at the helm of the Wildcats was likely not what he hoped with a 3-9 campaign. The future is bright for Northwestern if he can keep the momentum going on the recruiting trail. After coming from Northern Illinois, Coach Mason knew that it would be a rough few years in the Big Ten as he took over a team with no depth and very little offensive talent. After nabbing the #30 recruiting class in the country and filling some big holes on the defensive side of the ball, Northwestern is looking to shock a few teams and make a bowl this season. There is, of course, also the opportunity for Northwestern to go winless however with their inept offense. Let's dive right in to a preview of the 2024 season. Five Key Newcomers OLB Nathan Wallace 5-11 228 Fr Eden (Eden TX) 2.5 of 3.5 [Coverage] OLB Caleb McMahon 6-4 236 Fr Wesley Chapel (Wesley Chapel FL) 2.5 of 3.5 [Blitz] CB Gabriel Peters 5-9 165 Jr County College of Morris (Randolph NJ) 4.5 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] CB Armel Parham 5-9 164 Sr Henry Ford Community College (Dearborn MI) 4.5 of 4.5 [Zone Coverage] RB Sean Briscoe 5-8 185 Jr Eastern Florida State College (Brevard County FL) 3.5 of 4.5 [Speed] Northwestern hit the JUCO market hard as they brought in both Peters and Parham to start at the cornerback spot. This was a spot of need and grabbing two very good corners from JUCO will help them in the long run. The Wildcats also gained the commitment of a 2.0 of 4.0 cornerback who will be redshirting this season. Linebacker was a huge spot of need as they only had one rostered outside linebacker coming into the season. Coach Mason grabbed two 2.5 of 3.5 linebackers to stopgap that spot as it will definitely be a spot of need going forward. Getting two decent linebackers was a big get for the depth of this team. Briscoe is another JUCO find and he will be redshirting this upcoming season. Northwestern is hopeful to have him in the backfield for two years after Makai Denson graduates this season. Five New Impact? Starters CB Gabriel Peters 5-9 165 Jr County College of Morris (Randolph NJ) 4.5 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] CB Armel Parham 5-9 164 Sr Henry Ford Community College (Dearborn MI) 4.5 of 4.5 [Zone Coverage] OLB Juan Solano 6-0 242 (Fr) East Peoria Community (IL) 2.0 of 4.5 [Blitz] DT Xavier Williams 6-3 331 (Fr) Hales Franciscan (Chicago IL) 2.5 of 5.0 [2-Gap] WR Tarell Bynum 6-0 183 (So) Georgetown Ridge Farm (IL) 3.0 of 3.5 [Speed] We have already gone over the addition of Peters and Parham and they are going to be two of the most impactful players on this entire team next year. Northwestern is very excited to gain the services of both Solano and Williams on the defensive side of the ball. Both are Illinois kids and they were redshirted last year. They are going to be key players if Northwestern wants to slow down the attack of the Big Ten. Bynum is another guy who Northwestern hopes can shine this season. He had one catch last year and now as he moves into the starting wideout role should see a few more targets this season. Five Most Important Returners QB Nicola Rossi 6-2 234 (So) Driscoll Catholic (Addison IL) 3.0 of 4.0 [Hybrid] RB Makai Denson 5-8 212 (Sr) Georgetown Ridge Farm (IL) 4.0 of 4.0 [Power] OG Leolani Lealofi 6-4 318 (Sr) McCook Central (Salem SD) 4.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] ILB Griffin Paul 6-2 230 (Jr) John Marshall (Chicago IL) 4.5 of 5.0 [Mike] FS Alex Harley 6-2 217 (So) East Peoria Community (IL) 3.0 of 4.0 [Man Coverage] Rossi comes into the 2024 season with a little more confidence than last season. Rossi took over the starting job early in the year last season and it was his the rest of the season. Rossi is looking to have a much better season this year after a freshman year letdown. Denson was the feature back last season and will be back for his senior year. After rushing for over 1,200 yards last year he will look to bump that up to near 1,500 yards if Northwestern wants to make a splash. Lealofi did a great job commanding the offensive line last year and returns as a stalwart on the line. Paul was easily the defense's best player last year and the Wildcats are hoping that he is even more effective with a solid talent group around him. Harley is going to be a key player in the secondary as one of the two returning safeties. His communication will be key in getting the secondary into a cohesive group. Total Returning Production The only players who don’t count as returning production are graduated seniors and transfers. If a starter from last year isn’t starting this year, they still count as returning production. Passing - 100% Rushing - 100% Receiving (yards) - 52% Tackles - 72% Sacks - 46% Interceptions - 66% Returning Starting Offensive Skill Players QB Nicola Rossi 6-2 234 (So) Driscoll Catholic (Addison IL) 3.0 of 4.0 [Hybrid] 95/165, 1,008 yards, 3 TD's, 8 INT's RB Makai Denson 5-8 212 (Sr) Georgetown Ridge Farm (IL) 4.0 of 4.0 [Power] 234 carries, 1,237 yards, 10 TD's, TE James Burnette 6-3 201 (Sr) Rice Lake (Rice Lake WI) 3.0 of 3.0 [Receiving] 19 catches, 252 yards, 1 TD Returning Starting Defensive Players DE Corey Heard 6-1 262 (Jr) North Atlanta (Atlanta GA) 3.0 of 3.0 [Blitz] 8 tackles, 4.5 sacks ILB Griffin Paul 6-2 230 (Jr) John Marshall (Chicago IL) 4.5 of 5.0 [Mike] 58 tackles, 2 passes defended FS Alex Harley 6-2 217 (So) East Peoria Community (IL) 3.0 of 4.0 [Man Coverage] 15 tackles, 2 INT's Starters Red = 2nd year starting, Blue = 3rd year starting, Purple = 4th year starting Offense QB Nicola Rossi 6-2 234 (So) Driscoll Catholic (Addison IL) 3.0 of 4.0 [Hybrid] RB Makai Denson 5-8 212 (Sr) Georgetown Ridge Farm (IL) 4.0 of 4.0 [Power] WR Tarell Bynum 6-0 183 (So) Georgetown Ridge Farm (IL) 3.0 of 3.5 [Speed] WR Eric Lindquist 6-3 200 (Jr) Woodbury Central (Moville IA) 3.0 of 3.0 [Target] WR Rakeem Vereen 5-9 168 So Perham (Perham MN) 2.0 of 3.5 [Speed] TE James Burnette 6-3 201 (Sr) Rice Lake (Rice Lake WI) 3.0 of 3.0 [Receiving] OT Anthony Meier 6-4 284 (So) J.B. Conant (Hoffman Estates IL) 2.5 of 4.0 [Run Blocking] OG Leolani Lealofi 6-4 318 (Sr) McCook Central (Salem SD) 4.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] C Tyus Bridges 6-1 242 Jr East Peoria Community (IL) 3.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] OG Marc Watson 6-5 298 (Jr) Rice Lake (Rice Lake WI) 3.5 of 3.5 [Run Blocking] OT Anthony Hubbard 6-6 322 Jr Fleming Island (Orange Park FL) 3.5 of 3.5 [Run Blocking] Defense DE Corey Heard 6-1 262 (Jr) North Atlanta (Atlanta GA) 3.0 of 3.0 [Blitz] DT Xavier Williams 6-3 331 (Fr) Hales Franciscan (Chicago IL) 2.5 of 5.0 [2-Gap] DE Amara Oliver 6-2 246 So Roberto Clemente Academy (IL) 2.5 of 3.5 [Contain] OLB Juan Solano 6-0 242 (Fr) East Peoria Community (IL) 2.0 of 4.5 [Blitz] ILB Griffin Paul 6-2 230 (Jr) John Marshall (Chicago IL) 4.5 of 5.0 [Mike] ILB Luka Briggs 6-2 230 (Sr) Mitchell Christian (Mitchell SD) 3.0 of 3.0 [Mike] OLB Nathan Wallace 5-11 228 Fr Eden (Eden TX) 2.5 of 3.5 [Coverage] CB Gabriel Peters 5-9 165 Jr County College of Morris (Randolph NJ) 4.5 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] FS Alex Harley 6-2 217 (So) East Peoria Community (IL) 3.0 of 4.0 [Man Coverage] SS Jalen Richmond 6-0 215 (So) Rising Star (Rising Star TX) 2.5 of 3.5 [Man Coverage] CB Armel Parham 5-9 164 Sr Henry Ford Community College (Dearborn MI) 4.5 of 4.5 [Zone Coverage] 2024 Schedule Week 0: Bye Week 1: vs. Week 2: vs. Week 3: vs. Week 4: vs. Week 5: vs. Week 6: @ Week 7: @ Week 8: vs. Week 9: Bye Week 10: @ Week 11: vs. Week 12: vs. Week 13: @ Northwestern is in a rebuilding year but with a much better defensive unit they could surprise some people this year. They have two new starters on the offensive side of the ball both at the wide receiver spot. They also have a very veteran offensive line as well as a veteran running back. If they can hold teams at bay through the air they could actually be decent on the offensive side of the ball. On the defensive side they have eight new starters, many of which have jumped over last year's starters. With six underclassmen the defensive side of the ball looks bright. Paul is the only three year starter on the defensive side of the ball.
  27. 10 points
    Dacder

    Werewolf II Game Thread

  28. 10 points
    2024 ACC Coaching Skills Snapshot The conference highly values Offense and Defense with both having an overall average above 14 points. @D Stack and @ajyoungmark lead for offense in the ACC with both having 17 skill. Ajyoungmark is also tied for the lead defensively with @Emperor who also has 18 skill. I am the conference leader in special teams with a whopping 12 points. This is the conference's weakest category with an average of 9.6 skill. Clock management only appears to matter to Deans as @Dean and I lead the conference with 12 skill. Clock management is the conference's 2nd worst trait at 9.7 average skill. Dean and Emperor lead the most disciplined teams, whereas @LAX is living up to his name in terms of giving out punishment. @Broletariat and LAX lead the conference when it comes to youth management. This conference as a whole clearly prioritizes their youth as there is a 13.5 average skill.
  29. 10 points
    npklemm

    [2024] AFCE Preview

    Buffalo Bills 2023 Record: 11-5 Offense Rank: 13th Defense Rank: 6th Overall Rank: 6th 3 Key Players Offense QB Matt Jones 6-3 208 2 Purdue [Pocket] [0] 89 WR Gary Faneca Sr. 6-5 189 10 Oregon [Speed] [+2/C] 90 C Xavier Cuellar 6-3 249 2 Florida [Run Blocking] [+2/C] 90 Matt Jones is well on his way to being a top Quarterback in the league. He finished 2023 with nearly 4K Yards with 32 Touchdowns. He is the heart of the offense now, they have no running game right now. He'll have to carry this offense on his back now 100%. The Bills will live or die on the arms of Matt Jones, and there are plenty of worse QB's do that with. He's got a pretty damn good player to help him out in Gary Faneca Sr. Faneca lead the team with 1,074 Yards, while finishing second with 6 Touchdowns in 2023. He's made a great target for Jones, and I think that bond will get even stronger in 2024. The Bills receiving Corps has been fairly decimated, so Faneca will get a lot of attention. His play will make a huge difference in the outcome of the Bills season. Xavier Cuellar was picked 6 picks after Matt Jones, and has turned into a stud himself. He captains the Offensive Line (which had a very good season in 2023), and I think a lot of their improvement can be tied to Cuellar. He'll keep Matt Jones protected. 3 Key Players Defense DE Anthony Ortiz 6-7 262 7 Oklahoma State [Blitz] [0] 91 ILB C.J. Thomas 6-4 240 4 Georgia [Mike] [0/C] [#] 89 CB Elijah Williams 6-1 199 R Oklahoma [Zone Coverage] [-2] 84 Ortiz lead the team with 13.5 Sacks, and was second on the team with 7 TFL. He and Rodney Galbreath have made a great duo in their time together. Ortiz is the Star, and still manages to get constant pressure on the Quarterback. In a Division that likes to throw, Ortiz is insanely valuable. Brian Brown must be disrupted if you're going to beat him, and Ortiz is critical in that mission. C.J. Thomas suffered through a couple rough personal years in Cleveland. After being traded to the Bills, he's made his happiness public and clear. Thomas had 71 Tackles last year. Brick Madden, who started at ILB for Buffalo, had just 43. The middle of the Bills defense just got that much better. The Front-7 is stout with Ortiz/Galbreath at DE and Hammond/Thomas/Hernandez at LB. One area the Bills needed to improve at on Defense was at Corner. They were pretty poor at that position. They made a huge trade to get up to #3 and take Elijah Williams. I love Williams, and I loved that move. He instantly makes their Secondary much better. Biggest Losses RB Ron Thomas WR Jarius Shaw-Dodd TE Matt Thomas Losing weapons around your young QB when you're trying to make a playoff push is not ideal. Thomas had some injury issues last year, and only played 11 Games as a result. He was pretty good in those games however. He finished with 835 Yards with 7 Touchdowns on 5.19 YPC. He was getting around 14 Carries/Game. While not necessarily Pro Bowl Numbers, he was a reliable weapon in the backfield to give this offense a real threat in the running game. JSD was 2nd on the team with 846 Yards, and lead the team with 7 Touchdowns. He was moved to the Browns in order to get C.J. Thomas. Thomas is a better player in my mind, and makes their strong defense even better. But, now the depth at WR is bad. Isaiah Cronin is the next guy up. During the draft, Matt Thomas was traded away as part of the move to get to #3. At the time, I felt that Thomas wasn't that good of a player and wasn't a big deal to lose. However, in doing research, I found he was much better than I had thought. He had over 800 Yards and 4 TDs in 2023. His 813 Yards was 6th best among Tight Ends. His replacement is Anthony Fasani, who had 109 Yards being the #2 Tight End behind Matt. I think his loss will be big as well. Now, without much of a running game, the Bills lost 2 of their Top 3 Receivers. Biggest Additions RB Marshawn Matthison 6-0 234 5 NC State [Speed] [-3] [#] 81 OT D'Neal Norris 6-4 272 R Iowa State [Run Blocking] [-1] 81 ILB C.J. Thomas 6-4 240 4 Georgia [Mike] [0/C] [#] 89 CB Elijah Williams 6-1 199 R Oklahoma [Zone Coverage] [-2] 84 Marshawn has had some success in a limited role in Buffalo before. He was with Denver last season, and was brutally bad. He had just 593 Yards and 2 Touchdowns on 3.62 YPC. Right now, he's slotted to start at RB. I imagine he won't get much more than 10 Carries per game. His #2 is Rookie Etano Wendt. The running game in Buffalo is going to be a trainwreck. D'Neal Norris isn't slotted to start this year. However, Robert Haynes is on the verge of retirement and Norris is clearly his successor. Keeping up the Offensive Line has to be a priority for the Bills, and I loved picking him. Strengths Defense - The Front-7 (minus a big hole at DT) is in stellar shape. The secondary is looking much better after the addition of Elijah Williams. The Safeties are good. This team looks to be nearly a complete Defense. They were ranked 6th last season, and they should improve on that. Weaknesses Lack of Weapons Around Jones. I've touched on it a bit already, but they've lost quite a few big weapons on offense. The offense will likely take a step back this season, they have to hope Jones can carry them to the playoffs. DT. Like I mentioned above, this position is the lone true weakness in the Front-7. If they're going to get beat down, it will be up the middle. They made a move to limit this, but they may still struggle with power running teams. Schedule I think Buffalo will struggle against top teams out of their division. Pittsburgh's Defense should contain their offense pretty well, Dallas's passing attack could take their CBs to task, Washington is just a more complete team. However, 10-6 should be good enough to make the playoffs. Miami Dolphins 2023 Record :11-5 Offense Rank: 17th Defense Rank: 4th Overall Rank: 7th 3 Key Players Offense QB Brian Brown 6-4 228 9 Boise State [Pocket] [+1/C] 99 RB Marcus Barry 6-0 193 8 Ohio State [Power] [-1] 88 WR J.C. Weldon 6-2 183 3 West Virginia [Target] [0] 92 Brian Brown is Brian Brown. I don't need to say much more honestly. Marcus Barry has had a couple injury issues in recent seasons. He played 12 Games in 2023, and finished with 802 Yards with 7 Touchdowns on 4.8 YPC. His role has certainly decreased over the years, but he is still effective with the ball in his hands. His time in the league is coming to an end sooner rather than later, but he's still a very good counter in the offense to Brian Brown. Weldon finished 4th in the league in Receiving Yards in 2023, while adding 10 Touchdowns. He's become one of the best young receivers in the league, and is completely reliable. 3 Key Players Defense DE Dexter Flowers 6-1 265 4 Southern Miss [Blitz] [0] [#] 90 ILB Phillip Moore 5-11 216 7 Houston [Will] [0/C] 89 CB Justin Davis 5-11 173 8 Florida [Zone Coverage] [+1/C] 95 Flowers had 4 Sacks and 5 TFL in 2023. That's not nearly good enough. The team leader in sacks was Benjamin Blankenship with 6.5. This team as a whole has to get much better at rushing the passer. But, that starts with Flowers foremost. He's the clear #1 Pass Rusher by Rating now. They need him to step up in a big way. Phillip Moore has been the leader of the defense for a while now. He lead the team with 57 Tackles, while adding 2 Sacks and 3 TFL. You don't normally expect your Will LB to get Sacks, but Moore is able to slither his way into the backfield every once in a while. With a young and inexperienced DT in front of him, the Phins need Moore to be at the top of his game. Justin Davis had 4 Picks and 6 PD in 2023. He has the ability to shut down one side of the field, and that forces teams to target Laurent Christensen (which isn't a good idea either). As the leader of the secondary, Davis takes on the pressure of making plays and shutting down whoever he goes up against. Biggest Losses DT Josh Wilson Wilson had 3 Sacks and a TFL in 2023. However, the Phins picked up a young guy at the Draft who I think will be a much better player than Wilson. I don't think his loss will be all that big. Biggest Additions WR Sila Aveau 6-3 195 R USF [Speed] [- 1] [#] 79 OG Raphael Read 6-7 256 R Illinois [Pass Blocking] [-1] 81 DT Dominique Black 6-2 287 R Washington [1-Gap] [+1] 81 FS Adam Carroll 6-2 209 R Maryland [Zone Coverage] [0] [+] 80 After Weldon, the Phins WR Depth gets shaky. Jermaine Jennings looks good. But then it's Sonny Beckett and Sam Baugh. Sila will slot in between Baugh and Beckett. I'm not huge on him, but a great QB can elevate a poor receiver. Black is the younger DT I mentioned above. He may not be an All-Pro level player, but I think he'll get comfortably into the Above Average Category. That'd be a big improvement over what Miami has had there for a while. Safety has been an issue for a while. With the drafting of Antonio Jackson last season, that's starting to change. The Phins didn't really have a player they could count on coming into the draft at FS. Carroll had a good Camp and looks to be a solid Rookie Starter. Strengths Stability. The core of the team is back. There are very few positions with new starters. There shouldn't be too much variation from last year. Brian Brown. Having the league's best Quarterback makes up for lots of sins. Weaknesses RB. The Phins have to be worried about their backfield. Barry is getting older, and has started suffering injuries. They brought in Ricardo Reed to be the #2, and Gabe Ciamo was pretty dreadful last year in relief of Barry. The running game doesn't lead this offense, but the balance they bring is still super important to the team. Age. The Phins have been stable for a lone time. However, that means they're getting older. Injuries will become more common. More players will retire, or at least lose a step or two. Schedule Miami is still a solid team. The East as a whole is getting better, but I do feel like Miami is a step above the rest. New England Patriots 2023 Record: 6-10 Offense Rank: 25th Defense Rank: 18th Overall Rank: 23rd 3 Key Players Offense QB Josh Beckett 6-3 211 1 Georgia Tech [Pocket] [+2/C] 83 RB Ron Thomas 6-0 194 6 Iowa [Speed] [-3] 88 WR Jamel Beckham 6-0 213 5 TCU [Target] [-1] [#] 86 Josh Beckett took over part way through the season after Reggie Watkins struggled. He was worse. He finished with just above 50% completion, while throwing more Picks than Touchdowns. I think we can pin a lot of that to inexperience. Beckett wasn't ready to start, and it showed. However, the Pats have now turned to Beckett permanently. They need to see improvement immediately. Being a 2nd Round Pick means the Pats could go away from him if he's really bad again. If he's really bad, they'll be picking Top 3-5 and would be in great position to grab a new QB. The Pats picked up Thomas after he moved on from Buffalo. The Pats had some major injury issues at RB last season, with Tom Honeycutt getting the most of the carries. He was mostly good. However, Ron Thomas is clearly much better. Giving your young QB a talented RB to help him out is always a good idea. The Pats can be balanced on offense, and let Thomas shoulder some of the weight to give Beckett some help. Beckham finished 2nd on the team with 750 Yards, and first with 7 Touchdowns last season. He's listed as the #1 WR on the Depth Chart, making him Beckett's top target. He'll need to give his QB a consistently open target. 3 Key Players Defense DE Deontre Graham 6-7 244 1 Alabama [Contain] [-1/C] 85 OLB Phillip Davenport 5-11 226 2 Arizona [Blitz] [0/C] [+] 87 CB Dave Stokley 6-2 199 9 Minnesota [Man Coverage] [0] 89 The Pats employ a 3-4 Scheme, which asks the DE to be more of a Run-Stopper than a Pass Rusher. Graham finished his rookie season with 6.5 Sacks, 5 TFL, and 2 FF. For a rookie season, not bad. However, they need their Top 5 Pick to be more impactful. He'll need to get more than 14 Tackles, and I'd like to see him get to 10+ TFL. Phillip Davenport has been really good for the Pats, just a great pick for them. He finished 2023 with 70 Tackles, 7.5 Sacks, and 9 TFL. He was clearly their most important player statistically on Defense. Stokley lead the team with 5 Picks and 4 PD last season. He's consistently been their best secondary player for a long time. He's starting to regress, but is still a very good player. Biggest Losses QB Reggie Watkins ILB Mark Craig CB Jayshawn Watts SS Norris Nolan Watkins was mostly good in his time in New England. However, his time had come to an end as the Pats turned to a young gun. He was a leader, and a veteran presence. They'll miss him more in the locker room than on the field. Craig had been in New England for a long time, but much like Watkins, had aged out of his position. The Pats drafted his replacement and let the vet go. Jayshawn Watts was a former Cleveland Browns First Rounder. And his career clearly did not match his draft pick. Losing depth at CB sucks, but it's not like Jayshawn Watts was a stud. Nolan wasn't much more than an average player, who had been replaced during the draft. Most of these guys won't be missed much. Biggest Additions RB Ron Thomas 6-0 194 6 Iowa [Speed] [-3] 88 WR Spencer Sharpe 6-2 196 R California [Speed] [0] 79 DT Nikolas Gleason 6-2 317 3 Army [2-Gap] [0] [#] 82 OLB Daquan Darcey 6-4 232 4 TCU [Coverage] [-2] [#] 84 ILB Marcus Coles 6-2 230 R Tennessee [Mike] [0/C] [#] 81 CB Blake Turner 6-3 176 4 Ohio State [Man Coverage] [-2] 85 SS Jarvis Bolton 6-1 192 R Georgia [Zone Coverage] [0] 83 I've already talked about Thomas, so I'll skip him here. The Pats WR Depth is not good, so Spencer Sharpe will get some good minutes year one. New England had a huge hole at DT, and had to do something about it. They brought over Gleason from Dallas, and while I don't think Gleason will be a stud, he'll be decent enough up the middle for the Pats. Darcey is clearly a bust, the former first rounder floundered in New York before being released. New England had a hole at OLB, so they tapped the former division rival to fill it. I don't think he'll do much for them. Coles is a guy I liked a bit during the draft, and he's slotted to start at Mike LB right away. The Pats gave Blake Turner and insane amount of money, and I hate that so much. He sucks shit. Bolton could be a generational player at SS. Getting him where they did was fantastic. Strengths New Weapons for Beckett. Bringing in Ron Thomas, along with Rookie Speedster Trevor Workman adds some depth and talent in the backfield. Adding to the depth at WR, and giving Beckett more targets out wide was a good move as well. Offensive Line. The Pats have a good OL, Randolph and Sutton are the leaders. They'll keep Beckett protected and should give Ron Thomas some holes to run through. Weaknesses Youth. The Pats have gotten super young. While they've added some good talent, that youth and inexperience will bite them this year. That's the price you pay though, and I'm certain the Pats Front Office are OK with that given the potential long term. Schedule While I like most of the moves they've made, I think this team will take a step back. A full season of Beckett at QB will lead to a few dud games. New York Jets 2023 Record: 8-8 Offense Rank: 28th Defense Rank: 11th Overall Rank: 20th 3 Key Players Offense QB Erik Wegert 6-4 218 8 Wisconsin [Pocket] [+1/C] 94 TE Jonas Schumacher 6-5 209 R Ohio State [Receiving] [0] 80 OT Darnerien Sohn 6-7 306 6 Miami (FL) [Pass Blocking] [+2/C] 97 Wegert tore his ACL partway through the season, and regressed 2 Points. In the time he did play, he struggled. He completed under 60% of his passes while throwing 5 TDs and 5 Picks. The Jetes need him to rebound in a big way. The QB positions was an area of weakness on a weak Offense. Wegert has historically been very good for the Jets, so I think he'll get closer to the norm. Schumacher was one of my favorite players in the draft. I could see him becoming one of Wegert's top targets early on. He's in for a big season. Darnerien Sohn is an absolute stud. The Jets have prioritized OL over the years (in part due to draft position and draft board), and Sohn is no exception. He protects Wegert's blindside very well. He leads the Offensive Line, and is very reliable. 3 Key Players Defense DT Kyle Pratt 6-4 301 5 Virginia [1-Gap] [0] 88 ILB Adam Lovelace 6-2 234 2 Vanderbilt [Mike] [0/C] 83 CB Khalil Harrell 5-9 168 1 Florida State [Man Coverage] [-2] 85 Kyle Pratt lead the team with 9.5 Sacks and 5 TFL. He's become a true pass rush threat and force up the middle of the defense. The Jets have had some losses on Defense over the past couple of seasons, and Pratt's emergence has been essential. If he just continues that this year, the Jets Defense will continue to improve. After trading away Chris Tucker, they turned to Adam Lovelace to take over. He's played well, but he hasn't progressed very well. He lead the team with 61 Tackles, while adding 1 Sack, 1 TFL, and a PD. He did a little bit of everything for the Jets Defense last season. They certainly need him do that again this year. Harrell was picked in the Middle of the First Round of the 2023 Draft, and immediately lead the team with 5 Picks. CB has been a weakpoint, so getting a good one has been super important. Biggest Losses WR Paul Howell TE Matt Stone OT Joel Snow OG Joe Farmer OLB Daquan Darcey Howell lead the team with 896 Yards, and finished 2nd with 4 Touchdowns. He's been a cornerstone of the offense for so long, but his legs were clearly letting him down. It was a tough decision, but one good teams must make for the good of the franchise. Matt Stone wasn't much of a receiving threat, and has been replaced by a better player. Snow was expendable because of the Depth on the OL, so not a big loss. Losing Farmer stings. He's one of the top Guards in the league, but the Jets had to make Cap decision and he was the one left out. His loss will hurt big time, especially right away. Daquan Darcey is not very good, but has been replaced by a roughly equivalent player. So his loss is no big deal. Biggest Additions RB Robert Green 5-7 213 R Virginia [Speed] [-1] 79 WR Dominic Dixon 6-2 212 R Penn State [Target] [0] 81 TE Jonas Schumacher 6-5 209 R Ohio State [Receiving] [0] 80 OG/C Keith Holbrook 6-3 285 R Toledo [Pass Blocking] [0/C] 80 OLB Kristian Little 6-0 237 5 Alabama [Blitz] [0] 84 CB Samir Ware 5-11 200 5 Clemson [Man Coverage] [-3] 83 Frank the Tank lead the way in 2023, and I imagine he'll get the start again this year. Green will likely take the spot of Marvin Washington in the offense. He's got great speed, and I'd love to see the Jets get him the ball in space and force DBs to tackle him. I like Dixon, and boy do they need a big body out wide. He'll be a big part of the offense year one. I've already drooled over Schumacher. I loved the pick of Holbrook, getting some versatility on the Interior OL is great. With OG and C now being a note of concern, having a guy who could fill in at either spot gives this team flexibility going forward. Kristian Little was brought in to replace Darcey. Little had 46 Tackles with 4 Sacks and 1 TFL. Not a Pro Bowler by any means, but he might have a bigger impact on the defense than Darcey. Ware was brought in to bring Depth to CB, and I'll always like that (especially if you don't massively overpay). Strengths Health. Getting healthy on Offense should see the 28th Ranked Offense take a big step forward. They should instantly be a more reliable unit. Offensive Playmaker Additions. Adding guys like Green, Dixon, Schumacher, and Holbrook to the offense is huge. They got some much needed youth and talent infusion to work with. Weaknesses WR Depth. Losing Howell hurts, and I loved the addition of Dixon/Schumacher. But, Coles hasn't shown much of anything in his career, and Israel Hawker is a good, but specialized player. One injury to this unit could unfurl the passing game. OL Question Marks. The Jets have had a great OL for a long time. But, they have holes at OG/C right now. They also have a young RT. This unit is starting to show some cracks. Schedule While they get Wegert back, they have a lot of youth on Offense that I think will lead to some inconsistencies. However, they have the talent to make a push for the Playoffs. Divisional Standings I still think Miami is top dog, but their hold on that spot is starting to weaken.
  30. 9 points
    NEW ORLEANS -- Sun Belt Conference has released the All Preseason Team and Preseason Rankings for the 2024 season. Every team has been represented and we wish you luck for the upcoming 2024 season! Offense: QB: Jamel Woodson, Louisiana-Monroe RB: Amir Turner Jr., Georgia Southern* RB: Leonard Williams, South Alabama FB: Jacob Randolph, South Alabama WR: Rakeem Brown, Louisiana-Lafayette WR: Jordan Haley, Georgia Southern TE: Miles Hunter, Georgia State OL: Georgia Southern Defense: DE: Thomas Newsome, Louisiana-Lafayette DE: Dwayne McCrary, Georgia State DT: Milo Gardner, South Alabama* DT: Jeremy Spears, Texas State* OLB: Gerald Corbin, Texas State* OLB: David Bullock, Arkansas State ILB: Reece Matthews, Louisiana-Monroe* ILB: Robert Lugo, South Alabama* CB: Shane Pepper, Appalachian State* CB: Bobby Horton, Georgia Southern FS: Isaac Martin, Coastal Carolina SS: Keenan McAfee, Troy Special Teams: K: K.J. Bundy, Texas State P: Lukas Parr, Coastal Carolina* Sun Belt MVP Watch (Offense): QB Jamel Woodson, Louisiana-Monroe RB Amir Turner Jr, Georgia Southern RB Leonard Williams (2023 Winner), South Alabama WR Rakeem Brown, Louisiana-Lafayette Sun Belt MVP Watch (Defense): DE Thomas Newsome, Louisiana-Lafayette DT Milo Gardner, South Alabama ILB Reece Matthews (2023 Winner), Louisiana-Monroe FS Isaac Martin, Coastal Carolina Freshman to Watch: RB Kody Saunders, Troy TE JaWuan Darby, Louisiana-Lafayette ILB Acqwon Mingo, Louisiana-Monroe CB Bucky Samuels, South Alabama Preseason Rankings: 5 Coaches Reported []: Predicted to win Sun Belt (): Predicted to win Division
  31. 9 points
    Team Coach OFF DEF SPC CLK DIS YTH OVR Texas Ape 17 17 10 14 13 12 83 TCU DangerZoneh 16 16 9 10 10 19 80 Kansas stormstopper 14 16 10 12 14 14 80 Iowa State Minnow 16 19 10 9 12 14 80 Texas Tech acewulf 15 13 10 10 16 15 79 West Virginia smackemz 16 12 9 10 13 12 72 Oklahoma HAFFnHAFF 12 18 8 10 13 9 70 Kansas State Swipet 11 11 8 10 8 20 68 Oklahoma State Kremit 15 12 8 9 10 12 66 Baylor Vivid 13 13 9 8 9 12 64 The Nation's Most Exciting conference is known for its overall coaching consistency, with many of the coaches having been at their program since the beginning. @Ape leads the conference in overall with 83 total points, followed by @DangerZoneh, @stormstopper, and @Minnow with 80 overall. @Ape again leads the conference in offense with a total of 17, with @smackemz, @DangerZoneh, @Minnow each coming in with 16. @Minnow and @HAFFnHAFF lead the conference on defense with 19 and 18 points respectively, with a few others coming in at 16. The conference doesn't put much stock in special teams with no one going above the default value of 10. @Ape leads the conference in Clock Management while @Vivid comes in with the lowest score there at 8. @acewulf put a lot of stock in Discipline with 16 which is fairly significantly over everyone except storm. @Swipet leads the conference in Youth Management with a max score of 20 while @HAFFnHAFF has a low score of 9 in that category. The Big XII seems to have ranked the placed the categories in the following order of importance. DEF = OFF > YTH > DIS > CLK > SPC Here is how the average Big XII coach compared with the SEC and B1G. (I did not include the ACC because they did not have averages on their snapshot). Conference OFF DEF SPC CLK DIS YTH OVR BigXII 14.5 14.7 9.1 10.2 11.8 13.9 74.2 B1G 15.5 15.6 9.8 9.6 10.4 12.2 73.1 SEC 14.6 13.7 9.3 10.7 9.6 10.9 68.8
  32. 9 points
    Big XII Season Previews TCU Horned Frogs 2023 Season 5th in Big XII 8-4 (5-4) Record Orlando Bowl Loss (25-27) Virginia Tech Introduction Welcome back to the Big XII Network season preview series. I’m your host Leo McGarry and I’ll be handling this preview solo. Today we are going to examine the TCU Horned Frogs who are coached by @DangerZoneh. After consecutive runs to the playoffs in 2021 and 2022 the Horned Frogs took a step back in 2023 finishing 5th in the Big XII Conference with a loss to the Virginia Tech Hokies in the Orlando Bowl. As has been the case for the last several seasons, TCU heads into 2024 with one of the most talented teams in all of CFBHC, but will this be the year they finally put it all together? Key Departures ATH Griffin McHanna 5-10 184 (Sr) Central (Independence, OR) 5.0 of 5.0 [Speed] WR Finn Nielsen 6-2 194 (Sr) Roscoe (Roscoe, TX) 4.5 of 4.5 [Target] TE Miguel Aguilera 6-1 192 (Jr) Mesquite (Mesquite TX) 5.0 of 5.0 [Receiving]* OG Josh Carlisle 6-3 323 (Sr) Cooper (Cooper, TX) 4.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] DT Kwon Shaw 6-4 284 Jr Port Neches-Groves (Port Neches TX) 5.0 of 5.0 [2-Gap]* OLB Richard Farrell 6-2 236 (Jr) Bonham (Bonham TX) 4.0 of 5.0 [Blitz]* CB William Cooper 6-1 170 (Sr) Longview (Longview, TX) 4.5 of 4.5 [Zone Coverage] K Ian Todd 5-8 200 (Sr) Comanche (Comanche, TX) 5.0 of 5.0 [Power] For most teams losing this much talent would be hard to overcome, but at TCU they recruit well enough to just reload each season. Griffin McHanna finally moved from WR to RB, for his senior season, and had his best campaign for his time in Fort Worth, Finn Nielsen and Miguel Aguilera were the Horned Frogs top 2 pass catching options during the 2023 season, so it will be up to the quarterback Taylor Cook to see if he can develop chemistry with their replacements. TCU also suffered from early decs from DT Kwon Shaw and OLB Richard Farrell, but it seems like there are potentially players ready to step into their positions. The biggest loss might be that of kicker Ian Todd, a Lou Groza finalist, for the 2023 season. A kicker that a coach can rely on from anywhere is a big advantage in the college game, so it will be interesting to see how danger adjusts to having an untested option. Key Returning Starters QB Taylor Cook 6-3 199 (So) Northland Christian (Houston TX) 5.0 of 5.0 [Hybrid] RB Matteo Cates 5-9 179 (Jr) Robert E. Lee (Baytown TX) 4.0 of 5.0 [Speed] WR F.T. Grady 6-3 211 (Jr) Brackett (Brackettville TX) 4.5 of 4.5 [Target] WR Julio Robledo 6-0 163 (So) Apple Springs (Apple Springs TX) 4.5 of 5.0 [Speed] C James Kaplan 6-2 302 Sr Floydada (Floydada TX) 4.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] DT Hooker Jackson 6-5 285 (Jr) Irving (Irving TX) 5.0 of 5.0 [2-Gap] OLB Blake Burns 6-0 241 Sr Calhoun Community College (Tanner AL) 5.0 of 5.0 [Coverage] CB Patrick Ross 5-9 192 Jr Coronado (Lubbock TX) 5.0 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] Any article about returning TCU players starts and ends with Taylor Cook and Patrick Ross. Considered 2 of the top players from their recruiting class they are the most important players on each side of the ball for the Horned Frogs. If TCU wants to return to playoff contention they need Cook to improve drastically on his 2023 campaign. The numbers weren’t bad by any stretch of the imagination ~2,900 yards, 22 touchdowns, only 9 picks, but with the balance TCU wants to bring to the game that type of stat line isn’t going to be nearly enough to achieve their lofty goals. Look for him to elevate his game like the conference’s best quarterbacks before him. Patrick Ross has an argument as being one of the best players in college football. He started as a slot corner his freshman year, but in 2023 he moved to the outside and the move paid off to the tune of 5 interceptions and 5 pass deflections. He brings a lot to the game that isn’t seen on the traditional statsheet either by locking up the opposing team's number one option. Ross will be critical as the Horned Frogs will be starting new players at CB #2, CB #3 and FS for the 2024 season, he will need to ensure the unit is functioning on the same page. Matteo Cates had nearly 1,300 yards last season on 4.82 yards per carry. With the graduation of McHanna the burden will be on Cates to carry the TCU rushing attack. If he can get that YPC to 5 while increasing his workload to make up for the loss of McHanna that will go a long way towards TCU having an explosive offense in 2024. New Faces This Year TE Spencer Griffin 6-5 209 Fr Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota FL) 2.5 of 5.0 [Receiving] OLB Jarvis Bowen 6-2 234 Fr Baker (Mobile AL) 2.5 of 5.0 [Blitz] CB Yadean Overton 6-2 185 Jr Simmons College of Kentucky (Louisville KY) 4.0 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] CB Terrell Mosley 5-9 196 (Fr) Crowell (Crowell TX) 2.0 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] FS Gabriel Sanders Jr. 6-0 193 Sr Baton Rouge Community College (Baton Rouge LA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Zone Coverage] K Kyle Barfield 5-11 189 (Fr) Anson (Anson TX) 2.0 of 4.5 [Power] The most obviously exciting players on this list are TE Spencer Griffin and OLB Jarvis Bowen. Both of these guys have the potential to make a major impact on day one here in Fort Worth. Griffin should provide Cook that red zone threat and security blanket that he lost when Aguilera declared for the NFLHC draft. Bowen has a nose for the quarterback and should allow TCU to start to form some consistency in their defensive strategy. Both of these guys will be key as TCU looks to make a run back to the playoffs. The Questions? Is Taylor Cook ready to take the next step? Can TCU replace all of the offensive production they lost from the 2023 team? How will Hooker Jackson handle moving back to his natural position? Can Coach Danager manage such a crowded secondary? The Schedule SMU Bye at USC Texas Tech at Florida Oklahoma Baylor at West Virginia at Oklahoma State at Texas Bye Iowa State Kansas at Kansas State The Prediction The maturation of Taylor Cook is going to be the engine that drives the success of the 2024 TCU football season. The OOC schedule is brutal as the Horned Frogs open up with the defending national champion SMU Mustangs, travel to USC to play the Trojans, and travel to Gainsville to play the Gators. TCU could make major strides from the disappointing 2023 season and be staring at 0-4 after the first 4 games, their schedule is that hard. I think a split is more likely and the Frogs will head into a season defining game against the Oklahoma Sooners. That game will be a must win if TCU legitimately wants to make a run towards the playoffs. On paper TCU is a hell of a team. They have the talent to win the whole damn thing, but they play a killer first 5 games and have tough games at Oklahoma State and at West Virginia shortly after that brutal stretch. I think ultimately their schedule will end their at large playoff hopes early. I foresee a 9-3 regular season finish and an appearance in the conference title game. If they win that conference title game would it be enough to make them playoffs? AMENDED - I actually think TCU starts 4-1 and finishes 10-2 on the season.
  33. 9 points
    Graphic made by yours truly. NOTE: All review and insight is based off the composite CFBHC Team Ratings that coaches have filled out prior to the season start - References: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ePs-Ow6ig2r1l9508icm_4lbnmFPJiD6XCEcqdWy8UI/edit#gid=769219219 http://cfbhc.com/index.php?/forum/594-fbs-depth-chart-2024/ WEST Ratings Preview: LSU Tigers - OVR: 99, OFF: 98.1, DEF: 99.2 Auburn Tigers - OVR: 98.2, OFF: 98.3, DEF: 97.8 Alabama Crimson Tide - OVR: 94.9, OFF: 95.5, DEF: 97.2 Texas A&M Aggies - OVR: 94.4, OFF: 96.6, DEF: 94.1 Mississippi State Bulldogs - OVR: 81.5, OFF: 81.1, DEF: 93.5 Arkansas Razorbacks - OVR: 74.6, OFF: 78.1, DEF: 83.2 Ole Miss Rebels - OVR: 42.1, OFF: 31.8, DEF: 33.6 LSU and Auburn are in a tier of their own not only in the SEC West but in all of college football. You would be hard pressed to find more well rounded teams throughout the country, let alone within the same division of a conference. Alabama and Texas A&M are no slouches either, both fully capable of pulling off victories against either Tiger team and winning the division. After those top four teams, there is a distinct drop off with Mississippi State and Arkansas still being formidable teams if any of the top SEC West teams have a road game against them. Mississippi State will lean on their Defense to win them games against the top teams in the West as will the Razorbacks. Ole Miss brings up the trail as they continue to rebuild and challenge the other West teams in the near future. Best West Offensive Line Rating: LSU Tigers - 86.67 LSU's Offensive Line is littered with experience, having two RS Seniors starting on the line. The O-Line is anchored by their Left Tackle Nathaniel Stack III, a hometown hero among the Baton Rouge population and a common name in Louisiana households. Look for Stack to push for hardware and NFL scouts keeping their eyes on him against SEC defenses this year. QB Dontarrius Foster should consider himself extremely lucky. Best West Secondary Rating: Auburn Tigers - 83.93 Auburn is absolutely loaded in the secondary, with FS Daniel Joiner being the brains and brawn for the Tigers defense. Maybe fans will be shouting War Eagle more often as their secondary continues to attack and keep opposing Quarterbacks up at night. CB Nate Hutson will keep opponent's best receivers on an island with his prototypical size, speed, and hands. NFL teams thirsty for secondary help won't have to look far as long as they tune in to Auburn. Best West Linebackers Rating: LSU Tigers - 87.5 You don't become a consistent contender without consistent talent and reloading. LSU has even more talent on the defensive side of the ball than on the offensive side and it's hard to fathom. Not including their Bandit position, LSU only has ONE Senior starting at Linebacker, and if that isn't scary enough for offensive coordinators in the West, you can try to think about how you'll stop the pairing of OLB Leonard England and OLB Cameron Morgan. West Offenses Ranked by Rating: #1 98.3 #2 98.1 #3 96.6 #4 95.5 #5 81.1 #6 78.1 #7 31.8 West Defenses Ranked by Rating: #1 99.2 #2 97.8 #3 97.2 #4 94.1 #5 93.5 #6 83.2 #7 33.6 West Matchups to Watch: Auburn Tigers AT LSU Tigers WEEK 3 Alabama Crimson Tide AT Texas A&M Aggies WEEK 4 LSU Tigers AT Alabama Crimson Tide WEEK 9 Texas A&M Aggies AT Arkansas Razorbacks WEEK 11 Alabama Crimson Tide AT Mississippi State Bulldogs WEEK 11 Texas A&M Aggies AT LSU Tigers WEEK 12 Ole Miss Rebels AT Mississippi State Bulldogs WEEK 13 Alabama Crimson Tide AT Auburn Tigers WEEK 13 EDIT: Added poll for readers to predict the SEC West winner.
  34. 9 points
    Sarge

    What do you look like?

  35. 9 points
    Notes: None of these previews will predict records or standings, those will come in a future post. All stats are from 2023 unless otherwise mentioned. California Golden Bears: 6–3 conference, 8–5 overall Last Year’s Conference Finish: 6th (3rd Pac-12 North) Coach: @noodlz2 (3rd year) Returning Starters: Offense: 8 Defense: 9 Key Losses: QB Nick Ellison 6-5 225 (Jr) Galileo Academy (San Francisco CA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Scrambling]: 239 of 341 (70.09%) for 3124 yards, 22/8 TD/INT. 42 rushes for 276 yards, 3 TDs. RB Zachary McFadden 5-10 190 (Sr) Mammoth (Lakes, CA) 4.5 of 4.5 [Speed]: 279 rushes for 1610 yards, 17 TDs, 1 Fumble lost), 5.77 YPC. 11 catches for 174 yards, 1 TD - Drafted 160th overall by DET WR Spencer Sharpe 6-2 196 Sr Atlanta Metropolitan College (Atlanta GA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Speed]: 72 catches for 1124 yards, 8 TDs, 15.61 YPC - Drafted 78th overall by NE OLB Mamadou Holloway 5-11 226 Sr Justin-Siena (Napa CA) 4.5 of 4.5 [Coverage]: 22 TKL CB Shaq Kimbrough 6-0 163 Sr Darton State College (Albany GA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Zone Coverage]: 10 TKL, 3 INT, 1 PD, 1 TD - Drafted 230th overall by TEN Key Returnees: QB Max Lauer 6-5 202 (Jr) De La Salle (Concord CA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Scrambling]: Did Not Play in 2023 WR Marcus Hightower 6-3 192 (Jr) Glendale (Glendale CA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Speed]: 69 catches for 933 yards, 9 TDs, 2 drops, 13.52 YPC TE Kahiau Alama 6-3 212 (Jr) El Dorado (Placerville CA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Receiving]: 23 catches for 292 yards, 2 TDs, 12.70 YPC OT Philip Engel 6-2 301 Sr Golden Valley (Merced CA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Run Blocking]: 17 TKL, 4 TFL, 7.0 Sacks ATH Adam Gibson 6-3 331 Sr Horizon (San Diego CA) 4.0 of 5.0 [2-Gap]: 13 TKL, 1 TFL, 4.0 Sack ILB D'Andre Phillips 6-4 252 (Sr) Mission San Jose (Fremont CA) 4.5 of 4.5 [Mike]: 36 TKL, 2 TFL, 2.0 Sacks, 1 PD, 1 FR Key Newcomers: (true freshman unless noted otherwise) None 2024 Depth Chart (Pre-Transfer): http://cfbhc.com/index.php/topic/31953-2024-california-golden-bears-depth-chart-rs/ 2023 Review: Regular season: WON at Kansas State 30-27 WON vs. Houston 35-3 LOST vs. Oregon 20-31 WON at USC 17-16 LOST at Michigan 48-52 WON at Washington State 35-17 LOST vs. Washington 14-20 WON at Oregon State 49-24 LOST at Arizona State 21-24 WON vs. Utah 37-0 WON vs. UCLA 31-21 WON vs. Stanford 34-14 Postseason: LOST Holiday Bowl vs. Michigan State 24-27 In last season's preview, we tabbed Cal as the Pac-12's resident "spooky" team. Things certainly played out that way; their only loss by more than one score was a week four tilt versus Oregon. Even other conferences weren't immune to the BearScare as both Michigan and Michigan State needed fourth-quarter comebacks to knock off the Golden Bears. (The Wolverines game in particular should be on the shortlist for 2023 Game of the Year, with 21-point quarters by both teams and over 600 yards of offense from Cal.) Unfortunately for the 2023 Golden Bears, their signature wins (at USC, vs. UCLA) came against the Pac-12 South (AKA Not their division). Their losses against Oregon and Washington denied them a chance at the division title, instead sending them to the Holiday Bowl and a narrow loss to Sparty. But they doubled their 2022 win total and beat the crap out of rival Stanford, so there's that. In the end it's hard to call 2023 anything less than a successful one for the Golden Bears on the field. 2024 Key Points: Were you taking notes, Lauer? Coming into the 2023 season Nick Ellison was a question mark. He answered that question and then some, taking a huge step forward in 2023. The Michigan game introduced him to the world (25 of 32 for 413 yards, 3/1 TD/INT), but he was just really good all season - a far cry from the passing stats he put up in 2022 (195 of 339 for 2201 yards, 14/11 TD/INT). Ellison's improvement in the passing game made it impossible for teams to just stack the box against Zachary McFadden and Naiquon Barner and really supercharged the offense - the Golden Bears placed second in the conference averaging 30.38 points per game. Deciding to strike while the iron was hot, Ellison was a surprise early declaration and ended up signing with the Seahawks as a UDFA. So now it's up to Lauer to lead a fearsome Cal offense. He already has one start under his belt back in 2022, but it wasn't a good one (9 of 19 [47.37%] for 120 yards and 2 INTs). He'll need to be much better than that if Cal wants to challenge for the division in 2023. Two backs, one cup ball. Fresh off a redshirt, senior Raekwon Elam is listed atop the RB depth chart. As a JuCo player, he's yet to appear in actual FBS competition. Naiquon Barner played second fiddle to McFadden last year, and he's certainly talented enough to be the outright lead back. Will the Cal coaching staff run a two-back system? Or will he have to settle for a similar third-down role this year and wait until next year to shine? One thing's for sure; Naiquon is a heck of an insurance policy in case Raekwon fails to protect his neck. They might have them in the back half though, not gonna lie. While not ASU levels of bad, the Golden Bear cornerbacks (with a 3.0/3.5 at CB1) are the one position group every opposing coach is going to take a hard look at. And the Cal safeties aren't as talented as the Sun Devil tandem, so we'll see how much they can support the CB group while not losing their responsibilities. While Cal is well-equipped to limit their CBs' exposure via a healthy dose of offensive ground-and-pound, they have a LOT of formidable passing attacks on the docket. (Oregon, Wazzu, UW, USC, Auburn, even Kansas State likes to chuck the ball) Someone's already opened the window while we weren't watching. Returning 17 out of 22 starters (even if some play out of position) gives Cal lots of continuity and experience. Even though the departed players will be dearly missed - all five were draft-eligible - there is still a lot of talent here. But half of their current starters are upperclassmen, and there isn't a whole heck of a lot coming in the way of reinforcements outside of DT Constantine Holland, OLB Ned Morin, and SS Coleridge Beverly. 2024 might very well be their best shot at taking the division for the foreseeable future, especially with Washington breaking in a true freshman QB and Oregon caught sans kicker. Schedule: 0 Bye 1 Kansas State 2 at Washington 3 UNLV 4 at UCLA 5 Auburn 6 Washington State 7 Oregon State 8 Colorado 9 at Arizona 10 Bye 11 at Oregon 12 USC 13 at Stanford
  36. 9 points
    Darman

    Duke Blue Devils: The Next Generation

    There is no Final Frontier in the world of college football, for since no two seasons are the same, each year represents a new frontier for a team to explore. As coaches plan for the new challenges and mysteries they will lead their teams into this fall, they find themselves fighting alongside new crewmembers. Gone are the many of the veterans of the battles that their programs have fought, and in are the neophytes, equally eager and nervous of the trials they will face over their time on campus. The Duke Blue Devils have been one of the most successful programs over the past four years. After two CFBHC Playoff Appearances, two ACC titles, and a Heisman Memorial Trophy brought to the program, the leaders of the Golden Generation of Blue Devils have made their next step into the NFLHC. As has been well chronicled, Duke had had little success over most of the program's life, and this Golden Generation has shifted the expectations for the Devils beyond what any fan could have dreamed. While there are several players who helped lead Duke to their unprecedented success, the future now belongs to the Next Generation. Rasheed "No Bull" Bullock was a surprise addition to the Blue Devil's 2024 roster. As a junior college transfer from Seminole State College of Florida, highly touted QB chose to follow in the footsteps of 2023 Heisman Winner Bryce Thompson, hoping to replicate some of his success. While Bullock is battle tested, after playing three years at the junior college level, he will be playing against much tougher competition hoping to succeed in his Final Frontier at the college level. Donte Harrell hopes to be as an effective first mate to Bullock as Christian Collins was to Bryce Thompson. Donte is a much different style of player than the all time leading rusher in Duke history, but his steadiness in the backfield will prove to be important in steering the Duke offense to success. One of the most important parts of incorporating a new backfield to an offense, is the wide receivers. The three top receivers for the program are a battle tested position. Logan Miles, Dean Stinson, and Jeremy Foley are the weapons on this team that will allow for a greater safety net for Bullock as he finds his way on this level. Alongside these three is the fresh faced Kyle Park, who will be eager to prove to Devils fans across the country that he belongs at this level. He may be the wildcard on this offense. If he can step up to the plate for this team and perform, special things may come out of it. However, if he wilts under the bright lights year one, the ship may never take flight. The engine of any team is the offensive line. These are the men who will drive the team forward, and help them escape from situations that may put the rest of the crew in danger. To lead things up, you have the leaders of the offensive line, the Bash Bros, Esera Mulinu'u and Cyrus Swartz. Hard nosed, tough, and talented, these two players are veterans of many tough battles. With a new captain at the helm and an inexperienced first mate, these two may end up as the most important members of the team. In between the tackles, you have two other veterans in Eli Segura and Tyler Burton. These two are as steady as it goes when it comes to the engine room, and while they may not stand out, you cannot discount the presence of work horses who come into work every day hat in hand ready for battle. These veterans will be important in guiding along the neophyte of the offensive line, Charlie Lemus, a young but talented Guard, who will benefit from the mentorship of the veteran offensive line crew. Some say the best offense is a good defense. While this defense does not have the star power that this offense possesses, they are set to show they are not an afterthought in the operation of this team. While there are no immediate standouts on this defense, all of the depth chart is filled with players with experience at the top level of college football. Mo "Buckets" Puckett, Austin Hinds, and Alexander Richter don't represent the strongest unit on the team, but as veterans, they are acutely aware of the role they have on their team. The first line of defense on a football field is a defensive line, and these Duke linemen are focused on being a threat to be reckoned with. The linebacker corps will have a lot of responsibility this year. The strength of the defense, these men will be sacking and tackling machines for the Devils, as their roles become more important in the face of looming threats. There are a few different faces that will make appearances for this defense, from the steady K.K. Sykes and Jordan Harley to the young Jeremy Maddox, the inside linebacker position has talent but their ceiling is unknown. As for the outside linebackers, the talented trio of Ahmed "Five" Nicholas, Jermaine Dockery, and Laremy Easter, bring an edge to the defense that the Devils have not seen in years past. With the looming threats facing this crew in the upcoming season, these men will be given the biggest task of this defense. The defensive back unit is has a mix of old and new. Omar Major comes back for his fourth year on campus, joined by the redshirt freshman Cordell Drake. It may be true that redshirts die first, but their courage in the face of overwhelming odds gives them a potential legacy far further than the less noticed positions may gain. If Drake can perform as well as Coach Darman believes he can, his future may be in the stars. Safeties Noel "Captain" Kirkland and Victor Overton bring a steady hand to the back end of the defense. Cohesive play among these units will help lead the Duke defense to greater success as a unit than they may have as individuals. Sometimes, you need someone to get you out of tough situations or salvage the best out of a given moment. This is the special teams unit of this team. Louis Barfield is the veteran of this special unit. His job is to make the defenses job easier by giving opposing offenses long field positions. A punter can be a weapon with the right foot and Barfield hopes to be that sort of weapon. One who can earn you a good retreat, and one that can help set up your counter attack. True Freshman kicker Gavin Jackson may have the hardest job on the team. Coaches say he has a bright future ahead of him, but he is facing a different beast than he may be accustomed to. A kicker is the ultimate failsafe button for a team. Not all possessions can be a touchdown, and sometimes you have to get the best out of a bad situation. On the flip side sometimes the best thing a kicker can do, is excel in the routine. A good warp drive operator needs to be able to make both routine jumps without failure and high stress jumps to save his crew from potential doom. These are the starters for the Duke Blue Devils: The Next Generation. A mix of old and new players, who will lead the team to the Next Frontier.
  37. 9 points
    npklemm

    [2024] NFCN Preview

    Chicago Bears 2023 Record: 9-7 Offense Rank: 11th Defense Rank: 14th Overall Rank: 14th 3 Key Players Offense QB Mohammed Foster 6-0 194 3 West Virginia [Scrambling] [-1] 88 RB Vaughan Abraham 5-10 201 10 LSU [Speed] [-1] 90 WR David Gaines 6-2 190 10 Syracuse [Target] [-1] 86 MoFo has come a long way. His rookie season was pretty rough, but he's improved quite a bit. He still has some issues with turnovers, but he completed over 63% of his passes last season. He rushed for 738 Yards and 11 Touchdowns. He's a dynamic player, who can make a play happen on any down. Like with all teams in the NFLHC, the performance of the QB will dictate how the team performs. Vaughan Abraham is certainly past his prime, but he's still an effective player. He rushed for over 1,200 Yards and 8 Touchdowns in 2023. The Bears will bring a balanced attack again in 2024, and they should be a fearsome offense to face. David Gaines has been the guy out wide in Chicago for a while now. He's lost a couple steps, but can still play. Gaines lead the team with 944 Yards and 3 Touchdowns in 2023. The Bears aren't throwing it like they used, but they still need Gaines to be a 1st Down Machine. The Bears, as mentioned before, will go with a more balanced attack. That inherently lowers the importance of the receiving corps, but MoFo is still young. Having a Vet out wide he can trust will make his life a lot easier. 3 Key Players Defense DT David Medley 6-7 310 5 Colorado [2-Gap] [-1] 88 OLB Jordan Butler 6-0 221 R Nevada [Blitz] [0/C] 83 CB Ivory Hull 6-2 173 6 Texas [Zone Coverage] [0] 91 Medley is a big body right up the middle. He finished 2023 with 5.5 Sacks and 6 TFL. Most DT's in the league don't put up numbers like that. He's not a dominant player, but he consistently opens up lanes for his teammates, and if not blocked properly, makes plays for himself. With a rather inexperienced DE group (minus Jeff Holleyman who may not be starting anymore), having a guy like Medley in the middle is a huge boost to the defense. Jordan Butler got some hype for #1 (like a week). He came back down to earth a little bit, but the Bears made a big move to go up and get him. The Bears lack playmakers in the 2nd level of the Defense, and Butler helps remedy that instantly. He had an insane 2023 season at Nevada, and the Bears have to hope he brings that level of productivity to the Pros. He brings intensity off the edge, and gets constant pressure on the QB. Ivory Hull is an absolute stud. He had 4 Picks and 7 PD last season (probably why he's not a receiver). He's willing and able to lock down one side of the field to the passing game. You've got Kessler, Charles, Nomellini, McCain, and Cook in your division. Shutting them down is essential for this Bear's team. Biggest Losses OLB Trevor Reed SS Jesse Hutchins Trevor Reed had 17 Tackles with a Sack and a PD in 2023. He's been replaced by Jordan Butler. I wouldn't miss him too much if I were Chicago. Hutchins is a player. I don't think a single Bears fan will care that he's gone. Biggest Additions WR Joaquin Bond 6-1 233 R Miami (FL) [Target] [-3] 79 DE Matthew McNeil 6-2 255 R UCF [Contain] [+2/C] 77 OLB Jordan Butler 6-0 221 R Nevada [Blitz] [0/C] 83 The Bears have possibly the oldest WR group in the league. Getting some youth at that position is essential. They took Bond in the draft to do just that. He's not quite ready to be a major player in the offense, but they can take their time and let him develop. The Bears were extremely stable at the DE spot, but are suddenly in a state of flux. Ezekial Williams certainly looks like he's on his way to being a very good player. But, at the other spot, I don't know. Holleyman had a very good 2023, getting 13.5 Sacks. But he regressed 2 Points down to a 77. I imagine they start Holleyman right away, but definitely need someone in the wings to take over for him. McNeil appears to be that guy. He's for sure not ready for significant minutes, but he can get in rotationally. Jordan Butler is about to be the face of the defense. Strengths Offensive Line! They have a hole at Right Guard, but other than that, the Line is in great shape. After years of trying, this team finally has an OL they can rely on. Secondary. This team has some great players back there. Ivory Hull and Randall Jones are the top dogs. But Jaylen Harris lead the team with 5 Picks last season. Ryan Garvin is untested, but has potential at SS. Weaknesses Defensive End. I do like Williams (even though I hated him coming into the Draft). But he's still young and raw as a player, the other side is a huge question mark for me. This position could be a serious hole for the defense. Tough Division. You have 2 of the top 4 teams in the NFC in your division, and Minnesota can beat you on any day. Even though I think the Bears are going to be a better team, I think they'll struggle to make the playoffs. Schedule I think Chicago could force their way into the playoffs, but have a tough draw playing the AFCS. I actually have them with a 4-2 in Division Record, splitting each game with Detroit and Green Bay. They have the opportunities, but they may be a tad behind some of those teams on the road (SF, JAX, TEN). Detroit Lions 2023 Record: 14-2 Offense Rank: 6th Defense Rank: 1st Overall Rank: 1st 3 Key Players Offense QB Rob LeCount 6-3 212 9 Michigan [Pocket] [0] 88 RB Kenyon Randall 5-6 209 2 LSU [Power] [-1] 91 WR Jeremy Cook 6-0 217 4 Washington State [Target] [0] 88 I've been vocal in the past about my feelings about LeCount. But, he won a fucking Superbowl. He didn't have a great statistical season, completing just over 60% of his passes. He was very protective of the ball however, throwing just 7 Picks. His INT % was 3rd Lowest in the League. Protecting the ball goes a long way for a Quarterback, especially on a team with a good running game and excellent defense. It feels to me that his time as a starting caliber QB is coming to an end soon, but he is still good enough to help lead this team back to the Superbowl. Kenyon Randall is damn good. Randall was second in the league in Rushing Yards (by 7, to Solomon McLaughlin). Among starting RBs, he had the 7th highest YPC. Randall is a true bellcow that can carry an offense. He doesn't have to do that, but the Lions have a truly special player in the backfield. Jeremy Cook is also damn good. Cook lead the team with 923 Yards and 8 Touchdowns. With all the guys they lost out wide, Cook is going to be very important for the Loins. LeCount is suddenly lacking targets, so Cook has to get open consistently. 3 Key Players Defense DE Doug Carolan 6-0 263 6 Florida [Blitz] [-1] 96 OLB Cameron Jones 6-4 221 5 Arizona [Blitz] [+1] 93 CB Keyshawn Thompson 6-2 181 9 Michigan State [Zone Coverage] [0/C] 95 Carolan finished 2nd in the NFLHC with 16 Sacks, and tied for 2nd with 16 TFL. He's a dominant force pressuring the Quarterback, and having an elite pass rusher makes your secondary so much better. Doug is a guy you have to gameplan on every down. You need to chip him or keep your RB in the backfield to block him. Suddenly, your passing game is going out of its way to defend one player, and limiting your QB's options out in the field. Cameron Jones lead the team with 65 Tackles, he added 2 PD, 7 Sacks, and 6 TFL. This team has studs on all three levels of the defense. Jones is also a big pain in the backfield. When you've got guys like Carolan and Jones coming after your QB, you have to speed up your passing game. And speeding up that passing game allows the 3rd Key Player to really flourish. Thompson had 5 Picks and 5 PD last season. Thompson has been one of the best Corners in the league basically since he entered it. With Carolan and Jones getting after the QB, Thompson can afford to be aggressive in coverage and jump routes at will. With his speed, any pick can be returned for a Touchdown. Having these guys lead your defense (and we didn't even mention E Jax, Kieron Brooks, and Marquise Holliday) improves the rest of your team. Biggest Losses WR Rashad Simon OT Joe McCord OLB Donnie Bavaro WR Rex Walsh Simon wasn't their top target out wide. But he was experienced, and reliable. Losing a guy like that will certainly hurt the passing game. Joe McCord wasn't a starter, but was an experienced veteran. The Loins won't hurt too much from his loss. Donnie Bavaro was bad, they're better with him gone. Like Simon, Walsh wasn't a great player. But again, he was reliable. With him gone, the WR Depth on this team has been absolutely wrecked. Biggest Additions WR Jacob Benson 6-1 228 R ECU [Target] [-3] [+] 81 TE Robaire McNeill 6-4 201 R Alabama [Receiving] [+1] 81 OLB Dean Fagan 6-1 242 R New Mexico [Blitz] [+2] 79 I like Benson quite a bit. Adding him was a great move, but rookies typically struggle. He'll be forced into a big role right away, and has to be ready for that. I didn't love Robaire McNeill, but I liked him where he was picked. He's slotted to start ahead of Emory Johnson. And like Benson, he may struggle just due to inexperience. But, long term, picking these guys were good moves. I'm not a huge fan of Dean Fagan, luckily for him, he doesn't have to start for at least a couple of seasons. Learning from a guy like Cameron Jones is certainly a good situation to be in for Fagan. Strengths Defensive Stability. This team kept 9 of it's 2023 Starters in tack. The league's best defense should be the best defense again. Having that stability is a huge strength for this team. Balanced Offense. The Loins don't depend on the run or the pass to win games. They run a very balanced gameplan, which helps limit any offensive deficiencies in one area. Playing a balanced game also keeps opposing Defenses on their toes. They never really know what you're going to do on any given play. Weaknesses Wide Receiver. I like Jeremy Cook a lot, and I like Jacob Benson. After them is Frederick Bartlett, Artemio Ramirez, and Eli Austin. Oof. Luckily they have Kenyon Randall, so if the passing game suffers, they still have a great player to rely on. Schedule Detroit should be one of the best teams in the league again. I have them winning super tough games on the road at Washington and San Francisco. Those games could go anyway. 11-5 feels like absolute worst case for the Loins, but I think 13-3 feels pretty likely at this point. Green Bay Packers 2023 Record: 11-5 Offense Rank: 7th Defense Rank: 16th Overall Rank: 13th 3 Key Players Offense QB Jason Johnson 5-11 190 10 UCLA [Pocket] [0] 95 RB Jaz Durant 6-1 195 5 Auburn [Speed] [0] 87 WR Justin McCain 6-2 181 4 North Carolina [Speed] [-2] 92 The 2nd Overall Pick in NFLHC History, Jason Johnson has helped lead this team to 2 Superbowls. He threw for over 4,100 Yards last season, with 33 Touchdowns. He did throw 11 Picks, but threw 577 total passes which puts his INT % at 10th in the league. He's still a very effective passer, and perfectly capable of leading this team on another deep playoff run. Jaz Durant is underrated statistically (especially by me, I've never thought he was all that good). He finished last season with over 1,200 Yards and 12 TDs on 4.86 YPC. He's a threat to take any carry to the house. Having this duo in the backfield gives the GB Coaching Staff plenty of flexibility in their gameplan. If they need to, they can air it to win. Also, they can give the ball to Durant 25 times if they need to attack on the ground. Justin McCain is a stud. McCain had over 1,200 Yards and 11 Touchdowns in 2023. He can take the top off of the defense, and his threat on the outside helps open up everything else for the other receivers. Having a legit deep threat makes every passing game more lethal. 3 Key Players Defense DE Barron Anthony 6-3 278 9 USC [Blitz] [-1] 87 ILB Jamal Harley 6-3 222 3 Illinois [Mike] [+2] 88 CB/WR Marquise Reed 6-1 173 4 Clemson [Man Coverage] [-1] 93 Barron Anthony has been a consistent player for his career. He's never been a dominant player, but he's always been good. His 2023 was not too great however, getting just 6.5 Sacks and 3 TFL. The team as a whole struggled to get constant pass rush. Kaulana Groth lead the team with 7.5 Sacks, and the team had 20 Sacks get recorded on statsheets. The Packers will definitely need Anthony to improve quite a bit. Anthony needs to get to double digit Sacks and double digit TFL for this defense to do better than 16th in the League. Lack of pass rush really hurts them. Jamal Harley has become the leader of the middle of the defense. He was 2nd on the team with 57 Tackles, while also picking off a pass and getting 2 TFL. The Packers also struggled as a team to bring down RBs in the backfield, recording just 18 TFL as a team (reminder Detroit's Doug Carolan had 16 by himself). This team needs Harley to get into the backfield more and make plays back there. Creating negative plays and constant pressure on the QB will help this defense out a lot. One guy who doesn't really need to improve is Marquise Reed. Reed only had 2 Picks last season, but man can he shut down your best receiver. Biggest Losses RB Gil Novacek DE Kaulana Groth Novacek was never going to be a star player. But, he did bring a nice counter balance to Durant. I don't think his loss will be all that impactful. Kaulana Groth lead the team in Sacks. While he only had 7.5, losing your top pass rusher is never a good thing. I think his loss will be big. Biggest Additions RB Qua'sean Bell 5-8 215 R Western Kentucky [Power] [0] 78 DE Quincy Hobson 5-11 261 R Washington State [Blitz] [-1/C] 80 OLB Sam Caron 5-11 228 R Colorado [Blitz] [0/C] 82 SS Gregory Noel 5-11 199 4 Georgia State [Man Coverage] [0] 80 Qua'sean Bell was hardly used at WKU until midway through 2023. And when he got involved in the game, the WKU Offense absolutely took off. Bell has wheels for a guy his size, so he's an intriguing player. He'll get involved in the game in short yardage primarily as a Rookie. I imagine he'll get some carries here and there to give Durant a rest as well. I'd love to see him get involved as the 3rd Down guy, and let him get the ball in space and watch a DB try to tackle him. Quincy Hobson is slotted to take over for Kaulana Groth. He'll be a step behind Groth year one, but I think he could develop into a very similar player as Groth. So, that makes his loss a little easier. The Packers took Caron in the first round. I'm not a huge fan of Caron myself, but the Packers needed someone at OLB. They've had injury issues seemingly forever. If they use him aggressively, and let him get after the QB, I think the Packers could go a long way to correcting their Pass Rush. I added Noel as a big addition because I can't believe he's still an 80. I think he's been an 80 every season of his career yet. Strengths WR/TE. McCain, Nomellini, Jackson, Hopkins, Ferguson. JJ has so many option when he drops back to pass. And I don't know how a defense covers all of them. Offensive Line. 3 of the starters are over 90 Overall. They have OT David Hughes at 86, and then OG Walter Shannon at 81. Shannon is the weakpoint, but he's in his second year and just had a good progression. They won't have a problem keeping JJ upright and giving Durant open lanes. Secondary. Marquise Reed and Cameron Bowman are both 90+ at CB, FS James White is an 87, SS Julio Barnes is a 95. CB Vontae Johnson (3rd Guy on the DC) is an 83. Having a secondary this good helps make up for the issues they have rushing the passer. Weaknesses Front-7. They have some talent, but overall I think they're pretty mediocre. This is definitely the weakest part of the team, and if you need a place to attack, it's this unit. Schedule Even with the concerns I have with the Front-7, I still think this team is in great shape to contend for the North. They get mostly favorable Home/Away splits out of conference. Getting Tennessee, Jacksonville, San Francisco, and Dallas is certainly beneficial. Week 17 will very likely determine who wins the North. Minnesota Vikings 2023 Record: 4-12 Offense Rank: 27th Defense Rank: 24th Overall Rank: 28th 3 Key Players Offense QB Brian Vardell 6-2 200 10 Washington State [Pocket] [+1] 86 RB Evan Grant 6-0 194 2 Georgia State [Power] [0] 84 WR Jacory Kessler 6-3 224 4 Auburn [Speed] [-1] 87 V A R D E L L. Brian's career is coming to a close sooner rather than later. He only played in 6 Games last season. He was decent, but a far cry from what we've seen from him in the past. I don't know if he'll start past 2024, so I think we might see him fight for his future this year. I think Minnesota is clearly the 4th Team in the Division, but they can take down any team in the North. Vardell will be key in those efforts. I think we'll see Minnesota in the Top 10 of the 2025 Draft. Evan Grant's career got off to a very tough start. He's improved quite a bit since. The Vikes relied heavily on the pass, so Grant only got about 13 Carries a game. He turned that into 923 Yards and 9 Touchdowns. I think that's the role he fits best, the Power Back in a Pass Heavy Offense. Getting him 13-18 Carries per Game is the right range for him to be in. Jacory Kessler has turned into a pretty good receiver. He lead the team with 1,116 Yards and 6 Touchdowns. The Vikes receivers are not great, but Kessler does the same thing that McCain does. He stretches the field, and helps open up things for Charles, Cobb, and Jackson. 3 Key Players Defense DE Sebastian Smallwood 6-1 254 2 Alabama [Blitz] [-1/C] 87 OLB Paul Goodman 6-2 240 6 Penn State [Blitz] [0] 86 SS Joe Johnson 6-0 206 7 Houston [Zone Coverage] [0] 84 Smallwood was 2nd on the team in sacks with 6.5, and had 7 TFL. The Vikes need Smallwood to be much improved in 2024. The Vikes had 23 Sacks recorded on statsheets, which leaves room for improvement. As the former #9 Overall Pick, there is quite a bit of pressure on Smallwood to perform. The team leader in Sacks and TFL was Paul Goodman with 7 and 8. For an OLB, those are perfectly good numbers. He shouldn't be leading your team in Sacks with 7, but getting 7 sacks out of him is perfectly fine. I don't think I want to see much more out of him, what he did in 2023 was great. If he can just replicate that in 2024, that will help the Defense out quite a bit. Joe Johnson was a long time Eagle, and is now a Viking. He's been a pretty reliable Safety for his career, and I don't think that will be all that different this year. The Vikes Secondary is in pretty rough shape, so they could really use the steady hand of Joe Johnson to help clean up their mistakes. Biggest Losses OT MacKenzie Woods DT Bud Howard OLB Mike Johnson Woods was a backup level player by the end, so his loss isn't going to be that impactful. Bud Howard was never more than a mediocre player, so I don't think they're losing much there. Mike Johnson had 31 Tackles last year, but will likely be replaced by Devin Goss. I don't think his loss will be too big for the Vikes either. Biggest Additions QB Bryce Thompson 5-11 207 R Duke [Hybrid] [0/C] 81 OG Joe Farmer 6-1 322 9 Virginia Tech [Run Blocking] [0] 93 DT Nathaniel Hollis 6-4 308 R Florida [2-Gap] [0] 81 DE Jamari Callahan 6-0 250 R Kansas [Contain] [-1] [#] 80 OLB Freddie Hendricks 6-1 247 R Maryland [Blitz] [+1] 79 CB Trevor McKinney 5-11 166 R Virginia Tech [Man Coverage] [0] 82 SS Joe Johnson 6-0 206 7 Houston [Zone Coverage] [0] 84 I love BT, this pick was great for the Vikings. Vardell is definitely near the end of his career, and you need a replacement. BT is an incredible playmaker, and I think he'll have a great career. The Vikes focused the rest of their draft efforts on Defense. Nathaniel Hollis takes over for Bud Howard at DT, and I think that's an improvement right away. Callahan will likely split reps with Jamal Patton and probably take over for him next season. Hendricks is a guy who has a bunch of talent, but hasn't put it together. He'll get rotational minutes for a couple years, before potentially taking over for Goodman if he gets too expensive. I loved Trevor McKinney coming out of the draft, and he's a player the Vikings needed desperately. I love the focus they put on their defense, I think they did a great job. *Edit: I initially left out Farmer. He's a huge addition to this team. Guard was a liability for the Vikes last season, and is now a strength. Strengths Offensive Line. 4 of the Starters on the OL are 88+. Vardell will be protected very well, he shouldn't be in trouble most of the game. Weaknesses Secondary. I like the addition of Joe Johnson and Trevor McKinney. But Johnson is over the hill, and McKinney is super young. The rest of their secondary is in rough shape, and will be a serious issue. Quarterback. Vardell is clearly regressing. I think the passing game will struggle at times this year, and fans may clamor for BT before season's end. Schedule Getting Indy, the Rams, and Jacksonville on the Road is tough. Also, being in a division with Detroit, Green Bay, and Chicago is tough. They're improved, but you won't see it reflected much in the Standings. They added a ton of youth on defense, and I think those guys will struggle to be consistent this season. Divisional Standings At this point, I think Detroit takes it. But Green Bay is certainly in play.
  38. 8 points
    CUSA's TOP RECRUITS As expected, there should be a lot of hype for the upcoming freshmen. Overall, the C-USA have made really great picks when it comes to recruiting. There is no doubt (in my mind) that we can see at least one of these players hit the top tier -- which is the NFL -- whether it be with a C-USA team or not. They could play well on their respective teams, but the entire process is unpredictable -- they might transfer to another team or so. Nevertheless, this is a great recruit class for the entire conference as a whole. However, as we always do each year, we are going to look at the top upcoming freshman for each team. Remember the format: TEAM NAME PLAYER - High School # POSITION - School (City, State) Let us take a look: Charlotte Andre Murdock - #88 TE- Douglas Freeman (Richmond, VA) Florida Atlantc Mohammed Cullen - #14 QB- West Monroe (West Monroe, LA) Florida International Dashawn Stovall - #65 OT- East Georgia College (Swainsboro, GA) Louisiana Tech Justin LeBlanc - #67 DE- Douglas Freeman (Richmond, VA) Marshall Kieran Callaway - #67 OT - Castlewood (Castlewood, VA) Middle Tennessee Nat Cox - #9 SS - New Hanover (Wilmington, NC) North Texas Robaire Mims - #65 ILB- Flour Bluff (Corpus Chrsti, TX) Old Dominion Liam Farr - #18 WR - Memphis University High (Memphis, TN) Rice Akiem Middleton - #23 ATH - Hanover Park (East Hanover, NJ) @nemolee.exe Southern Mississippi Ian Beauchamp - #2 ILB - Eupora (Eupora, MS) Ian Beauchamp, an inside linebacker from Europa High school, knows that he could be play increasingly well in the colelge level. He proved just that, not only having 52 tackles, 7.0 sacks. and 2 interceptions, but he was a key fator in the school's state champinoship victory. Scouts compared him to Arizona Cardinals' Akeel Morris. Great pick for SouMiss. And great idea to redshirt him for the long run. UAB Booker Spiller - #4 WR- Fultondale (Birmingham, AL) UTEP Zachary Burdick - #75 DT- St. Joseph (Brownsville, TX) Western Kentucky Ronnie Wooten - #7 QB - Northridge (Dayton, OH)
  39. 8 points
  40. 8 points
    Big XII Season Previews Iowa State Cyclones 2023 Season 6th in Big XII 7-5 (5-4) Record Liberty Bowl Win vs Alabama Introduction We're back here with the 2024 Big XII Network Season preview series. I’m your host Leo McGarry and I’m actually joined by my co-host Kenny Battle @HAFFnHAFF. Over the next few weeks we are going to continue to dive into each program in the Big XII and examine where they are and where they will end up at the end of the season. Today we are here to talk about the Iowa State Cyclones coached by @Minnow. Iowa State had a bit of a resurgence last season as they settled into a more balanced game plan and allowed Vaughan Sheppard to take some of the load off Kofi McCullough. This resurgence took them from the dark ages at the bottom of the conference in 2022 to a Liberty Bowl victory over Alabama in 2023. Can the Sheppard/McCollough combo challenge for a conference title? Key Departures OT D'Neal Norris 6-4 272 (Sr) Norton Community (Norton, KS) 5.0 of 5.0 [Run Blocking] OT Brady Meek 6-3 272 Sr Columbus Community (IA) 3.5 of 3.5 [Pass Blocking] OLB Paul Bryant 6-0 233 (Sr) Border Central (Calvin, ND) 4.5 of 4.5 [Coverage] CB Khalil Howard 6-1 180 Sr McCook Central (Salem SD) 3.0 of 3.0 [Man Coverage] FS Mark Barbour 5-10 204 (Sr) Hot Springs (Springs, SD) 4.0 of 4.0 [Man Coverage] SS Laurent Daniel 6-2 184 (Sr) Notre Dame-Catherdal Latin (OH) 4.5 of 4.5 [Zone Coverage] Kenny: - Well Leo, I think the thing that sticks out the most to me is the departure of the safety duo of Mark Barbour and Laurent Daniel. This secondary wasn’t the best last season, but they could always rely on that duo to limit big play potential. This year with them out of the picture I am pretty concerned about that Cyclone pass defense. Leo, what sticks out to you here? Leo: - Kenny, I’m going to go with the OLB Paul Bryant. I was tempted to say D’Neal Norris, but the most concerning aspect of the 2024 Iowa State roster is the defense. They have the utility knife Demetrius Clay, who plays on both sides of the ball, but they lost a lot of talent on that defense and I’m not seeing an influx of talent there for 2024. Key Returning Starters QB Vaughn Sheppard 6-5 196 Sr York (York NE) 4.5 of 4.5 [Pocket] RB Kofi McCullough 5-9 177 (Sr) Lincoln (Sioux Falls SD) 5.0 of 5.0 [Speed] WR Luka Snell 5-11 165 (Jr) North Delta (Batesville MS) 4.0 of 4.0 [Speed] ATH Demetrius Clay 6-0 235 (Jr) Columbus Community (IA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Blocking] OG Dillon Dooley 6-6 256 So Dowling Catholic (Des Moines IA) 3.5 of 5.0 [Run Blocking] ILB Ian Johnson 6-1 210 (Sr) Kee (Lansing IA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Will] K Evan Shipley 5-8 188 (Sr) Adel-DeSoto-Minburn (Adel IA) 4.5 of 4.5 [Power] P Ben Groves 5-10 184 Sr Century (Rochester MN) 4.5 of 4.5 [Power] Kenny: - For all of the woes I expect from on the defensive side of the ball, Iowa State returns a lot of key contributors on offense. Anytime you bring back a senior QB and RB you should have a shot to be competitive. However, when that RB is Kofi McCullough you should inspire fear in your opponents. Last season he rushed for 1,625 yards and 19 TDs while averaging 5.6 yards per carry. He had 11 100 yard games on the year which led the conference. If Sheppard can take a step forward in his 4th year starting Kofi really has the potential to carry this team. Leo: - Demetrius Clay needs to be a force on the defensive side of the ball. We all know how talented he is at blocking from the tight end position, but Iowa State is going to need him to cause disruption on the defensive side of the ball. If he can get to the quarterback with consistency, it would allow all the new faces in the secondary time to gel. New Faces This Year OT Arthur Stout 6-2 284 Jr Howard Community College (Columbia MD) 4.0 of 4.5 [Pass Blocking] FB Alex Coffey 6-0 218 Fr Blair Oaks (Jefferson City MO) 2.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] ILB Amari Swann 6-1 257 Fr Durant (Durant IA) 3.0 of 3.0 [Mike] CB Malik Carradine 6-2 162 (Fr) Southeast Warren (Liberty Center IA) 2.0 of 3.5 [Zone Coverage] Kenny: - Iowa State brought in the 41st ranked recruiting class last season, but nobody is going to be more important to their success than JuCo transfer Arthur Stout. Losing their duo of OTs from last year is going to be tough on this offense, but Stout gives them a high quality starter on 1 side and from there they should be able to figure it out. Leo: - Arthur has big shoes to fill and it shouldn’t be discounted how important it is for Iowa State to give Sheppard and Kofi time and space to work. The Questions? Can Vaughn Sheppard take a step forward to take some of the focus off of Kofi? Can Clay keep up the two-way play? Will the defense be able to sustain the loss of their starting safety duo? Can special teams prowess keep this team afloat in close games? The Schedule Iowa at Arizona Bye Bye Kansas Oklahoma State at Kansas State at BYU West Virginia at Texas Tech Oklahoma at TCU at Texas at Baylor Predictions Kenny: - I could see this team taking a small step forward this year but not a big step, which is a shame for a team with such a generational talent at the RB position. Their out of conference schedule isn’t too bad and I think this is definitely a bowl bound team, but Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, and TCU certainly have them outmatched. Kansas State could also provide a pretty stiff challenge with the emergence of Shane Kruse against what could be a pretty porous secondary. West Virginia is also a team that could definitely take notch a win over them as well. I’m not sure what games they win and lose, but I see them in the neighborhood of a 7 or 8 win team. Leo: - I’m right there with you Kenny. I think this team will take another step on offense, but frankly I’m concerned about their defense. This seems ripe to be one of those seasons where the team improved, but the win total does not. I expect Iowa State to hit 7 wins this season with a chance to get 8 from a bowl game.
  41. 8 points
    2024 Pre-season ACC Power Rankings 1. Clemson Pretty sure I’m already going to make Darman mad but Demarion Moore was arguably the best back in the nation last season as a 2/5 freshman and I have more faith in his ability to lead his offense than I do in Rasheed Bullock for Duke. Clemson’s talent should be able to push them past most of the teams on their schedule. Only cause of concern for me is Frederick Snyder. He has so much talent around him to bail him out, however, so I think he will be alright. 2. Duke The reigning ACC champions are coming in at #2 in my power rankings solely due to my doubts about new starting QB Rasheed Bullock. Coach Darman has done well to bridge the gap between Duke legend Bryce Thompson and Garrett Reed but I can't help but be a little worried about the amount of turnover in Duke's offense as they also lost BT's right-hand man RB Christian Collins. Duke's success this season will be based off of how well Bullock and Harrell are able to play together and find their rhythm as their defense will keep them in games but likely won't win them many. 3. Pittsburgh Messiah Winston will be starting for his 4th and final season and the expectations have never been higher. Winston's name is getting thrown around in Heisman discussions around campus and Pitt's offense looks to be electric this year with Brayden Pepper and Kareem Jackson at Winston's side. Last season was a letdown for Pitt fans as they only went 7-6 following an 8 win season, but this year I expect the Panthers to meet their expectations. 4. Miami Miami has enough talent on this roster to win the ACC, but will they actually perform? That's been the big question looming around the Hurricanes for the past several years and we are yet to see any substantial results. That being said, it's hard to put them lower than 4 at the moment due to all that talent. Logan Wilson had a solid freshman season and now that Miami finally has an answer at quarterback, there is no excuse for them to not perform this year. 5. Louisville Louisville is coming off their first 10-win season in school history thanks to the stellar play from QB Nick Carr last season. Louisville lost a lot of talent on defense, and while they have some talent ready to step in and take their place, the loss of Miles Rinehart in addition to Zach Temple really hurt them. It's hard to see Louisville not taking a slight step back this year due to their defense, but Nick Carr should keep them competitive in any game. 6. Virginia I love Jeremy Ellington and I think he may end up being the best QB in the conference this season. Ellington was amazing for the Cavs last season, carrying them to an upset win over Clemson and finishing his freshman season with a 6-2 record. The loss of Soldier Brooks will really hurt UVA's defense but Ellington should be able to push past that and keep his team in contention. 7. Florida State Florida State's offense is going to be hard to stop this year. I think I gave Brett England too little credit in my preview for FSU. While he didn't get many passing touchdowns for FSU last year, he still moved the ball down the field. This works for the FSU offense because they have Wooten and Owens to run in touchdowns once they get in the redzone. England should perform at a higher level this year, and so should FSU. 8. Virginia Tech Virginia Tech is a very solid team, they just don't excite me at all this season. Vtgorilla has had the best beginning to a tenure of any coach in program history with back to back 10-win seasons. I kind of expect the Hokies to end up higher on this list because of that, but on paper their talent just doesn't excite me. 9. Boston College I'd be more inclined to have BC higher up if Kayshon Rhodes was the starter. Personally, I don't see J.M. Gill performing at a high enough level for BC to be as competitive as they should be with the roster around him. I think Kayshon Rhodes could do that, but I understand if Dean doesn't think he's ready yet. With Gill I just struggle to see them moving beyond this point in the ACC this year. 10. Georgia Tech Georgia Tech intrigues me so much this season. I know they struggled and only won 2 games but this roster is moving in the right direction fast. Jacob Ramsey will be the difference maker. If Ramsey can live up to his 5 star talent, Georgia Tech can become a force. If he doesn't, it might be another year at the bottom for the Yellow Jackets. 11. North Carolina North Carolina impressed many last season as Mitchell Denton led the Tar Heels to a 8-5 record with a bowl win over Texas A&M. It's hard for me to see the Tar Heels finding the same success without Denton. LAX proved he could do more with less last season, but this year he will have to do even more with even less. 12. NC State Honestly, it's a coin flip between NC State and Syracuse for this spot. Luca Maguire was a better QB than McLean last season and I would like to think that I will be able to keep that performance up. We face a formidable opponent in Week 0 with ECU and it should be a good litmus test for NC State's success this year. 13. Syracuse Syracuse has some very good young talent on their roster but they lost so much talent from their secondary to the NFL. Connor McLean also does not scream success for me. I could see McLean stepping up and pushing Syracuse past UNC and NC State in these power rankings but I think that is their ceiling this year. 14. Wake Forest Wake Forest is not a very good team. They only won one game last year and their QB situation doesn’t get much better. They can’t seem to hold a consistent coach and until they do, dark days will continue for the Demon Deacons.
  42. 8 points
    Jieret

    [2024] Oregon State Beavers Preview

    Notes: None of these previews will predict records or standings, those will come in a future post. All stats are from 2023 unless otherwise mentioned. Oregon State Beavers: 2-7 conference, 4-8 overall Last Year’s Conference Finish: 9th (5th Pac-12 North) Coach: @jc_superman (2nd year) Returning Starters: Offense: 7 Defense: 6 Key Losses: QB Jeffrey Davies 6-1 186 Sr Lompoc (Lompoc CA) 3.5 of 3.5 [Scrambling]: 184 of 340 (54.12%) for 2095 yards, 12/9 TD/INT, 174.58 YPG. 36 rushes for 168 yards, 2 TDs. C Antonio Bolin 6-4 267 (Sr) Desert (Edwards, CA) 3.5 of 3.5 [Pass Blocking] DE David Rainey 6-5 256 Sr Columbia (Burbank WA) 3.5 of 3.5 [Contain]: 16 TKL, 3 TFL, 2.0 Sacks, 1 FF ILB Nathaniel Brumfield 6-3 239 Sr St. Mary's College (Berkeley CA) 3.5 of 3.5 [Mike]: 31 TKL, 1 FF K Elliot Ellis 5-9 180 (Sr) La Marque (Marque, TX) 4.0 of 4.0 [Accuracy]: 31/31 XP, 10/12 FG (83.33%), Long 45 Key Returnees: RB Jayden Frey 5-8 194 (Jr) Corvallis (Corvallis OR) 4.0 of 4.0 [Speed]: 193 rushes for 875 yards, 15 TDs, 3 Fumbles (0 lost), 4.53 YPC OT Mason Hamby 6-3 277 (Sr) Powers (Powers OR) 4.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] OT Nathan Baumgartner 6-3 267 (Jr) Harper (Harper OR) 4.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] DE Larry Swain 6-1 242 (Jr) Blanchet Catholic (Salem OR) 4.0 of 4.0 [Blitz]: 15 TKL, 5 TFL, 5.0 Sacks OLB Jacob Cotton 6-0 222 Sr Mission San Jose (Fremont CA) 3.5 of 3.5 [Blitz]: 38 TKL, 3 TFL, 2.0 Sacks, 1 INT, 1 PD, 1 FR, 1 TD CB Dylan Talbert 6-0 174 (Jr) El Dorado (Placerville CA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Zone Coverage]: 13 TKL, 2, INT, 1 PD SS Eli Woods 5-10 200 (Sr) Powers (Powers OR) 3.5 of 3.5 [Zone Coverage]: 15 TKL, 1 FF Key Newcomers: (true freshman unless noted otherwise) QB Leonard McIntosh 6-4 213 (So) Munroe Day (Quincy FL) 3.5 of 3.5 [Hybrid] (Transfer - Ball State) WR Ryan Bowers 6-0 160 (Sr) Shade (Cairnbrook PA) 3.5 of 3.5 [Speed] (Transfer - Temple) C Jerrod Mattingly 6-4 292 Fr White Pigeon (White Pigeon MI) 1.0 of 4.5 [Run Blocking] OLB Carter Fletcher 6-0 230 Fr Newberg (Newberg OR) 1.0 of 4.0 [Coverage] ILB Usher Sherman 6-2 243 Fr Trabuco Hills (Mission Viejo CA) 1.0 of 4.0 [Will] ILB Abdoul Dubose 6-4 249 Fr Durant (Durant MS) 1.0 of 4.0 [Mike] FS Julius Seay 6-2 205 (Fr) Lompoc (Lompoc CA) 2.0 of 4.0 [Man Coverage] (Redshirt freshman) K Gavin Belanger 5-10 180 Fr El Dorado (Placerville CA) 1.0 of 4.0 [Accuracy] 2024 Depth Chart: http://cfbhc.com/index.php?/topic/32428-2024-oregon-state-beavers-depth-chart-rs/ 2023 Review: Regular season: WON vs. New Mexico State 28-7 WON at Central Michigan 23-13 LOSS vs. Georgia 0-45 WON at Utah 28-17 LOST at Washington 21-41 LOST vs. Arizona 17-28 LOSS vs. UCLA 22-38 LOSS vs. Washington State 13-23 LOSS vs. California 24-49 WON at Stanford 27-24 LOSS at Arizona State 24-41 LOSS vs. Oregon 28-31 Postseason: None As Oregon State took the field for the first time in 2023, Beavers fans watched and cheered intently. But their primary focus wasn't on any of their star players. Not running back Jayden Frey, not tackle Mason Hamby, not defensive end Larry Swain. Instead they watched a man who wore a visor and headset rather than a helmet and pads. After a long string of barely- and never-there coaches, new Beaver head man jc_superman promised two things; vision and commitment. He certainly delivered on the first part in the offseason, implementing a run-focused offense and letting longtime starter Eli Sherrill transfer to Virginia Tech as a result. So far, so good on the second part. The Beavers were aggressive on the 2023 recruiting trail, bringing in nine players with pro potential en route to their highest-rated class since 2016. And they won't be shy about giving them early experience either. Halfway through these previews, I feel pretty confident in saying that Oregon State's "Key Newcomers" section will be the biggest of all the teams with FIVE true freshmen slated to start. Oh, you wanted to know about how the Beavers did ON the field? Oh. Compared to their fellow Oregonians to the south, the Beavers would have been ecstatic with a double-digit win season. That didn't happen in 2023, although they DID double their 2022 win total. A 2-0 start was punctuated by a road victory over MAC champions Central Michigan, but the overall talent difference between them and their remaining opponents asserted itself afterward - Oregon State went chalk, beating who they should beat (on paper), losing to who they should lose (on paper). That meant Utah and Stanford would be their only victories the rest of the year. They at least made the Civil War a competitive game, but that was against an Oregon team giving Alex Gruber his first (and only) start. But still, 4 wins doubles their total from 2022. And the Beaver faithful accept that this is a ongoing process. 2024 Key Points: Beavers are ground animals. In 2022 Leonard McIntosh started the first six games for Ball State as a true freshman. He struggled heavily, barely completing 55% of his passes and throwing twice as many picks as touchdowns before losing his job to Andre Grubbs. He transferred once the Cardinals made the decision to go with Erik Parker, and now seeks to prove he's better than that. Riley Grossman is the future, but he's redshirting. It's up to McIntosh to prove he deserves to be a multi-year starter and not a one-year bridge. To do that, he'll need to show better touch and enough awareness to not force the ball into tight windows. Hopefully he learned a lot from his 2022 experience and his sit-out year. But if things go according to plan for the Beavers, they won't need McIntosh to carry things. Oregon State's offensive identity revolves around a rushing game designed to bleed clock and shorten the game. At 5'8" 194, redshirt junior Jayden Frey may not be the most physically imposing back out there. His 875 yards and 4.53 YPC in 2023 may not wow folks. But he WAS the only Pac-12 back to score double-digit touchdowns with less than 200 carries. Actually, he tied for fourth with 15 rushing TDs. He has a nose for the end zone, he just needs carries to make it happen. An offensive line starting four upperclassmen aims to do just that. The fifth? Wisconsinite Mattingly, Oregon State's highest-ranked recruit and the 12th-best center in last year's prospect pool. A defense in flux. Things are much more unsettled on the opposite side of the ball. Not only are the Beavers making a switch from a 4-3 to a 3-4, they're starting three true freshmen at linebacker. They also have Julius Seay at free coming off a redshirt, so there is a LOT of inexperience on this Beaver defense. This makes shortening the game even more critical to Oregon State's success this year, but it does also put a lot of pressure on the few upperclassmen such as Swain, Cotton, Talbert, and DT Erik Benner to rally and lead the defense. Welcome to the big pond? One of the main reasons Oregon State did so well in recruiting was having one of the highest point totals in the G5 pool. But it's looking very unlikely that will be the case this year, and they'll instead be dealing with the P5 recruit pool. The Beavers won't be able to bully many schools this season, so how well will they do convincing players to come to Corvallis? Can they stay a big fish in a small pond? Oregon State did very well in recruiting the G5 pool last year, and it looks VERY likely they'll do it again. But now that everyone's had a year to see how these recruiting pools work, can they repeat their performance? One could argue this is the true Beaver battlefield in 2024 instead of the gridiron. (Editor's Note: It was pointed out that we were using the wrong team's points when writing the original version of this section. It has since been adjusted accordingly. H/T to @anonemuss) Tomorrow and tomorrow and tomorrow/Creeps in this petty pace from day to day. This is not a team that's set to compete for the division this year. Oregon State fans are used to that. There's just not enough high-end talent on the field. Oregon State fans are used to that. There's a good amount of promising youth having to start early. Oregon State fans are NOT used to that. This isn't the place to talk in-depth about a team's future. But the future is where Beaver fans hang their hopes. For the present they're basically focusing on two things: Promise from the young guys and stars, and respectable play. A bowl berth would be the absolute best-case scenario, especially with the rough OOC they've set (@UAB, @Oklahoma State, BYU). But they'll settle for improvement. Schedule: 1 at UAB 2 at Oklahoma State 3 Washington 4 at USC 5 Arizona State 6 at Colorado 7 at California 8 BYU 9 Stanford 10 Utah 11 at Washington State 12 BYE 13 at Oregon
  43. 8 points
    Jieret

    [2024] Colorado Buffaloes Preview

    Notes: None of these previews will predict records or standings, those will come in a future post. All stats are from 2023 unless otherwise mentioned. Colorado Buffaloes: 1-8 conference, 3-9 overall Last Year’s Conference Finish: 11th (5th Pac-12 North) Coach: @NateTheGreat (2nd year) Returning Starters: Offense: 6* (This includes FB Beckett Williamson 5-11 238 (Sr) J.K. Mullen (Denver CO) 4.5 of 4.5 [Pass Blocking], even though Fullback was not listed on the Pre-Transfer DC.) Defense: 4 Key Losses: WR Nico Helm 6-3 212 (Sr) Hilltop (Vista, CA) 3.5 of 3.5 [Target]: 51 catches for 667 yards, 6 TDs, 5 drops, 13.08 YPC OG Wyatt Beck 6-4 288 Jr Hilltop (Chula Vista CA) 4.5 of 4.5 [Run Blocking] - Drafted 229th overall by WAS DE Josh Bain 6-3 259 (Sr) Columbia (Burbank, WA) 4.5 of 4.5 [Blitz]: 13 TKL, 3 TFL, 4.5 Sacks DT Jack Holland 6-6 333 Sr Sacramento City College (Sacramento CA) 4.5 of 4.5 [2-Gap]: 19 TKL, 4 TFL, 4.0 Sacks - Drafted 215th overall by TB OLB Sam Caron 5-11 228 (Sr) Williams (Williams, CA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Blitz]: 37 TKL, 3 TFL, 2.0 Sacks - Drafted 24th overall by GB SS Ivan Borden 5-11 195 (Sr) Lake Stevens (Stevens, WA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Man Coverage]: 37 TKL, 1 TFL, 1 INT Key Returnees: QB Mike Naylor 6-2 200 (Jr) West Covina (West Covina CA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Scrambling]: 241 of 428 (56.31%) for 2617 yards, 20/10 TD/INT. 37 rushes for 169 yards, 2 TDs. WR LaRon Quarless 6-2 209 (So) South Summit (Kamas UT) 3.5 of 4.5 [Target]: 41 catches for 422 yards, 1 TD, 1 drop, 13.52 YPC TE Kameron McCrary 6-5 200 (Jr) Brookhaven (Brookhaven MS) 4.5 of 4.5 [Receiving]: 30 catches for 374 yards, 3 TDs, 2 drops, 12.70 YPC OT Abdoul Wiley 6-7 299 (Sr) Atchison County Community (KS) 3.5 of 3.5 [Pass Blocking] ILB Noah Murphy 6-1 220 (So) Englewood (Englewood CO) 4.0 of 4.5 [Will]: No stats in 2023 OLB Frederick Grant III 5-11 227 (Jr) Limon (Limon CO) 4.5 of 4.5 [Blitz]: 24 TKL, 5 TFL, 3.5 Sacks, 1 INT, 1 FF CB Chad Manuel 6-2 203 (Jr) Thatcher (Thatcher AZ) 4.0 of 4.0 [Zone Coverage]: 4 TKL Key Newcomers: (true freshman unless noted otherwise) RB Johnny Hough 5-11 208 (Sr) Pioneer (Whittier CA) 4.0 of 4.0 [Speed] (Transfer) FS Cameron Ellington 5-11 194 So Elizabeth (Elizabeth CO) 2.5 of 4.0 [Man Coverage] (Redshirt Freshman) SS Xavier Barney 6-1 180 Fr DeLand (DeLand FL) 3.0 of 3.0 [Man Coverage] 2024 Depth Chart (Pre-Transfer): http://cfbhc.com/index.php?/topic/31760-2024-colorado-buffaloes-depth-chart-rs/ 2023 Review: Regular season: WON at Louisiana-Monroe 41-7 LOST at Georgia 24-30 LOST vs. Washington State 17-24 LOST vs. Arizona State 13-19 LOST at USC 12-14 LOST vs. Oregon 7-23 LOST at Stanford 18-20 LOST vs. Arizona 14-19 LOST vs. UCLA 21-24 WON at Colorado State 38-34 LOST at Washington 18-52 WON vs. Utah 35-17 Postseason: None Lots of coaches thought the Buffs would struggle with a new coach (MCanes305) and no Latavious Murray. And unfortunately they were all correct. The season started promisingly with a blowout win at ULM and a string of competitive losses, but competitive losses soon became the norm. Colorado suffered an eight-game losing streak where only one game didn't end within one score. The defense tried the best but it's not their job to score, and the Buffs' one-dimensional offense (and they often weren't very proficient in that dimension) couldn't get them over the hump. Add in a mid-season coaching change and a bad recruiting class, and Colorado's 2023 was mostly a season to forget. We say mostly because they did win two of their last three games to end the season, against regional rivals Colorado State and Utah. One could look at it as an omen of good things ahead (just don't pay any attention to that loss in the middle if you do). 2024 Key Points: Johnny Hough will be carrying MUCH more than the ball. Quarterback Mike Naylor took a big step back last year, regressing in every efficiency stat there is. A good example: Despite throwing 75 more passes in 2023 than he did in 2022, he only had 23 more passing yards to show for it. It was clear that he - and the Colorado offense - badly missed Latavious Murray, and that Naylor wasn't ready to be the sole focus of the offense (except for that one game). William Ruff was, well, rough as the next man up to carry the rock (581 rushing yards, 5 TDs, 3.65 YPC), and so now the Buffs turn to Fresno State transfer Johnny Hough. Hough ran for 975 yards and 16 TDs (4.41 YPC) during his last active season. A mixed statistical bag to be sure, but one Colorado would happily take right now. Anything to give them some semblance of balance on offense. The student must now become the master. Last year Colorado had... not a great defense. On a per-game basis, they were 4th-worst in yards allowed, 5th-worst in points allowed conference-wide. And that's WITH talent like Sam Caron, Jack Holland, and Josh Bain. Now they're gone; how do the Buffs adapt? They've switched to a 3-4 system, which probably suits their existing personnel better. And the four returning defensive starters is a bit misleading, as nickelback Abdul Drummond saw extensive play at CB2 in 2023 and promising Will linebacker Noah Murphy finally gets a chance to play his natural position. But the overall defensive talent level is much lower than last year's squad. Redshirt junior Frederick Grant had three years to learn from one of the best OLBs in the country in Caron. Now that this is his defense, Colorado's going to need Grant to elevate not only his play but that of his teammates. Probably not now, but when? From top to bottom, Colorado's roster isn't terrible. Outside of defensive end, there aren't any obvious holes to exploit. But it's very unlikely they'll be able to surpass the Pac-12 South California schools this year, and the fact of the matter is that they aren't likely to get much better in the short term. Their last three recruiting classes have all ranked in the bottom half of the nation and the vast majority of their squad are upperclassmen, with not much behind them. The expectations may be lowered in Boulder this year, but to turn this program around NateTheGreat has a ton of work in 2024 to do both on AND off the field. Schedule: 0 Colorado State (Denver) 1 Bye 2 at Kansas State 3 Nebraska 4 at Oregon 5 at UCLA 6 Oregon State 7 USC 8 at California 9 at Arizona State 10 Washington 11 Arizona 12 at Utah
  44. 8 points
    Bears QB Mohammed Foster has reportedly been raving to reporters about how the team has built the personnel on the team around him. With strengths at RB and the OL, the Bears are built to run the ball down opponents' throats and Foster couldn't be happier about it. ___________ Jim Otto · @NFLHCInsiderJimOtto · 8d Bears QB Mohammed Foster says this Bears team makes him feel like "it's his last year at WVU again." That year, he won the Heisman, so if that's true the rest of NFLHC better watch out. ___________ Fan of Da Bears · @DaBearsFan · 8d It's MoFo's year!!!! You guys don't even know! Ryan Harris? Never even heard of him. #WatchOutMoFos ___________ Former RB Justin Buchanan, a 1-time Pro Bowler who played for the Raiders for the first 3 years of NFLHC before joining Kansas City for his final 8, once formed a fearsome 2RB tandem with Chiefs RB Terrence Rodgers. Buchanan joined the Chiefs as a quality control coach for the 2024 season. RB Terrence Rodgers got a fitness boost. ___________ Kansas City Chiefs · @chiefs · 10d Happy to announce that longtime Chiefs RB @JustinBuchanan has joined the team as a quality control coach for the 2024 season! ___________ Justin Buchanan · @JustinBuchanan · 10d If I wasn't with the team as a quality control coach before, imagine how well the quality will be controlled now that I'm the one in charge? #Logic ___________ Chiefs Kingdom · @kck · 10d Justin Buchanan was always overrated. Hopefully he'll be a better coach than player. #JustSaying
  45. 7 points
    The Tampa Bay Buccaneers regret to announce the termination of the contract of head coach @Weeze effective immediately. This decision was made due to communication issues and neglecting coaching duties, and we wish him the best in his coaching future in NFLHC. We also wish to announce that we are promoting Head Scout @MasonAsher to the position of Head Coach, and will be signing him to a 2 year contract. We hope that he can lead the franchise and look forward to the future. Coach MasonAsher and I will be here to answer any questions you have.
  46. 7 points
    USA Today

    [2024] Preseason Coaches Poll

    table { width: 100%; border-spacing: 0; } table td { padding: 3px; } tr { background-color: #FFF; } tr:nth-child(even){ background-color: #EAEAEA; } table.boxscore tr { background-color: #fff; } table.boxscore td { font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 90%; text-align: center; border: 1px solid #D3D3D3; border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; } table.boxscore td:first-of-type { border-left: 0px; } table.boxscore tr:first-of-type td, table.boxscore tr:last-of-type td { border-bottom: 0px; } table.compare td { font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 80%; text-align: center; } table td.block { height: 35px; text-align: center; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 100%; background-color: #00004c; color: #fff; font-weight: bold; } table td.teamspecific { width: 49%; min-width: 400px; display:inline-block; } table td.teamspecific td.stat{ text-align: left; } table td.teamspecific td.name{ text-align: left; } table td.teamspecific td.stat.name{ width: 11%; background-color: #BBB; font-weight:bold; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 80%; } table td.teamspecific td.label { width: 35%; background-color: #BBB; font-weight: bold; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 80%; text-align: left; } @media (max-width: 840px) { table td.teamspecific{ width: 100%; } } COACHES POLL Preseason - 2024 Rank Conf Team '23 Rec Points 1 SMU Mustangs (6) 16-0 194 2 LSU Tigers (1) 13-2 190 3 Auburn Tigers 9-4 158 4 Florida Gators (1) 12-2 144 5 TCU Horned Frogs 8-5 144 6 Illinois Fighting Illini 11-3 139 7 Oklahoma Sooners 14-2 127 8 Clemson Tigers 12-2 124 9 Miami (FL) Hurricanes* 6-7 96 10 Duke Blue Devils* 12-2 96 11 Penn State Nittany Lions 8-5 87 12 Alabama Crimson Tide 6-7 86 13 Purdue Boilermakers 9-4 72 14 Rice Owls 11-2 71 15 Oregon Ducks** 10-3 66 16 USC Trojans** 9-4 66 17 Missouri Tigers*** 8-5 56 18 Michigan Wolverines*** 12-2 56 19 Oklahoma State Cowboys 9-4 55 20 Tennessee Volunteers 11-3 54 21 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors**** 10-3 48 22 San Diego State Aztecs**** 9-5 48 23 Texas A&M Aggies 8-5 39 24 Washington Huskies***** 10-4 30 25 Pittsburgh Panthers***** 7-6 30 Dropped from Rankings n/a Receiving Votes Notre Dame (25), Washington State (25), Boston College (24), Mississippi State (24), Navy (23), Ohio State (22), UCLA (22), Florida State (21), Georgia (20), Minnesota (20), Virginia (20), Texas Tech (16), Temple (15), Central Michigan (12), Baylor (11), Maryland (9), Western Michigan (7), Louisville (5), Indiana (1), Nevada (1), West Virginia (1) *Miami (FL)'s highest ranking is 4th *Duke's highest ranking is 5th **Oregon's highest ranking is 5th **USC's highest ranking is 9th ***Missouri's highest ranking is 11th ***Michigan's highest ranking is 13th ****Hawaii's highest ranking is 12th ****San Diego State's highest ranking is 13th *****Washington's highest ranking is 6th *****Pittsburgh's highest ranking is 12th
  47. 7 points
    alienufo

    [2024] Preseason Coaches Poll

    death, taxes, and Miami being way overrated in the preseason.
  48. 7 points
    TheSam

    [2024] Pre-Season Week #3 - TNF

    Free The Fish God
  49. 7 points
    Falcons starting QB Donald Culver has struggled in his 2 years in NFLHC. In 2023, among QBs who started the majority of their team's games, Culver was third to last in passer rating (69.31) and third to last in completion percentage (55.73%). The Falcons made the playoffs despite his play, and the Utah product spent this offseason trying to work on improving his accuracy. Falcons vets Javier Fields and Riddick Smith have spent ample time with Culver this offseason as he works out his accuracy issues. ___________ Jim Otto · @NFLHCInsiderJimOtto · 10d Falcons QB Donald Culver has apparently been working with team vets QB Javier Fields and WR Riddick Smith trying to improve his ball placement and accuracy this offseason. Going into his crucial year, Culver reportedly wants to give the team a reason to "pick up his option." ___________ Donald Culver · @MormonLasercannon · 8d @FieldsofJavier Let's get to work!! @Riddickulous you're hitting 1k this year, I guarantee it!!!! ___________ Caw caw caw · @Cawcawcawcaw · 8d Does anyone trust Culver at this point, caw caw? Falcons are only holding on at this point because he's expensive, caw caw caw! It's gonna be another year of the defense and Akili carrying us, caw caw caw caw.
  50. 7 points
    Sarge

    Pet Picture Thread

    This is my boy and I Harvey Dent
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