Jump to content

Tennessee Tumbles in Tuscaloosa

The Vols nearly take down #1 Alabama, but the defense can't keep up for long enough as Abdoul Pearson rushes it in to clinch it 26-23 in 2OT.

Ceci N'est Pas Un Pipe

The pipe stepped up this week, taking out Malcolm Davis, Norris Brooksheer, Kenji Sagatomo, and LaMichael Jones among others.

Rumblin' Raekwon

Northern Iowa RB Raekwon Thomas is looking to prove himself to NFLHC scouts, putting up 125 yards and 3 TD in a convincing win over Montana.

Fib Uring It Out

The Lions clinched at least a .500 record as they knocked off the Packers, 17-12, to jump to a surprising NFC North lead.

McLean on Me

Rice QB Eric McLean becomes the presumptive #1 QB prospect after receiving an 83 overall grade from scouts.

Leaderboard


Popular Content

Showing content with the highest reputation since 01/19/2018 in all areas

  1. 63 points
    Soluna

    Apologies

    I would like to apologize to those that have been hurt directly by my words or actions over the course of their time here. Theres probably a much larger number than the specific person I'd like to call out but please know that I do truly mean it. In particular I'd like to apologize to @deandean1998 for harmful words I've said in the past. It was taken too far and I hope this apology reaches him even if he is no longer here. I'd like to thank to Darmam in particular for talking to me personally in a responsible and friendly way. If you plan to continue to enjoy this site he can be thanked far more than what it seems. I'll be instituting some rules and site changes over the next few weeks to assure a consistent and peaceful environment on this site. Please know that I've read every single "testimonial" posted in aliens channel and every single pm I received (both on here and discord) even if I did not respond to them directly. I will spend the next few months to focus on improving the user experience on this site as a priority and hopefully we can all help in this endeavor together. Darman has had some great ideas to improve communication and general morale on the site and I can't think of a better person to help me improve the weakest aspect of this community. To those who have chosen to leave I can honestly say I'll miss you. Not everyone is my friend but I've still known some of you for quite a long time. Yes Ted even you. To those who are staying I ask only one thing, please help me in my sincere attempt to improve the site and to make sure this continues to become the best possible place for people to escape their lIves for even just a few minutes a day. To Darman, thank you for your words and thank you for lIstening. You've done far more than you can imagine. Soluna
  2. 56 points
    Soluna

    2021 End-of-Season Message

    Everyone, We're about to conclude our 9th season as a site for the CFB simulation. It hasn't been entirely sunshine this season but yet we're still around. We're recovering, relearning, and we narrowed our scope to restoration in the last three months, yet I am still happy with what we have and our outlook towards next season. I'm thankful to those of you who stayed through the problems and hope that you want to stay longer - I have plenty planned for the years ahead and I hope you are interested enough to keep an eye on it. You guys that reached out to me the last few months have helped far more than you can imagine and you know who you are. Let's keep building and working together. I know I nag for activity. I know I complain in the shoutbox. I'm passionate for my creation but I don't want that getting in the way of your enjoyment here. If you think that I'm angry or overreacting you're probably right; we're all human, we all make mistakes. All of you guys are awesome - you all helped me build this and everyone should be equally proud. If you've contributed something to this site whether it be a google sheet, a media piece, or a discussion thread, then you are the reason I made this. This next season will be a special one and I'll be sure to constantly have special events going on; it's not often that you create something that makes it to a 10th anniversary (even if the anniversary is not entirely truthful to the years truly spent building this!). 2022 will be a celebration of you guys. Expect extra games (the anniversary tournament included), new updates, and more information than any previous year. Congratulations to whoever wins tonight and whoever locks up the 2021 NFL title in a week's time. Soluna
  3. 44 points
    Soluna

    Admin Newsletter: August, 2018

    Soluna's Admin Newsletter No. 1 | August 2018 Based on some discussion I had with Jumbo I figure to post a monthly newsletter like this to discuss what I'm currently working on, what the site is facing in the next month, and what I'm hopeful of adding in the coming weeks (if anything at all). It'll just be a quick run-down of stuff you guys can expect to possibly hear about or see. Upcoming Events NFLHC off-season continuation and all aspects that come with that. The draft will take place at some point in August and training camp will likely follow within a week or two after the draft takes place. CFBHC in August will be dedicated entirely to progressions and give inspiral a chance to update the interface with the new recruiting regulations. CFBHC can't begin until NFLHC Week #1 proper so it gives me some time to do some progressions under less rushed conditions. What am I doing My main target right now is to make a variety of things on the forum less dependent on me to make it happen. The biggest change coming will be that all NFLHC front offices, CFBHC conferences, and certain "societies" like the Hall of Fame, storm's weekly "tv" discussion thread stuff, and such will be moved to use the Clubs feature. Owners of the NFL teams, Commissioners of the conferences, and leaders of the societies will be able to allow access to members themselves without needing my input and teams will have way more freedom in using their personal forum. In addition this makes it significantly easier for me to find and update things like re-signings threads or UDFA threads. I've attached an image of what the clubs will essentially look like. They will all use the same layout (at least initially). I'm working on some small recruiting changes (mostly numbers under the hood) that will be a part of the 2022 recruiting cycle but will be out in the next few weeks, What can you expect in the near future? Migration of your NFL team/ CFB conference/etc to a Club page. Progression of your team (if it has not occured). The NFLHC Draft (it will be live and you are welcome to take part in any way you see fit, watching, chatting, drafting, whatever!) Free Agency (NFL) Soluna
  4. 41 points
    Soluna

    Site Fully Resumes April 12th

    All games regular. Welcome back if you're still around. Spread the message so people have ample time to plan. Soluna
  5. 38 points
    Welcome to the Chicago Tribune's By the Numbers, a statistically minded look at the contenders and pretenders of the 2021 NFL season. We're approximately at mid-season, with the trade deadline coming up and seven or eight games in the book for all 32 teams. The playoff picture is starting to take shape, but in a lot of places it's awful jumbled--so we'll take a look at the numbers and try to make sense of it. We'll go division-by-division and team-by-team to tell you what has been, what is, and what might be. Not sure yet whether this will be a recurring series--if it is, it will likely only be occasional as opposed to weekly (and it probably won't be as long as this one). Quick note: Strength of played schedule excludes games involving the team in question. Strength of remaining schedule does not--that is, if you've already played 1 of 2 games against a division opponent, that game will be counted in strength of remaining schedule. This is just due to the fact that the former adjustment is easier to put in a spreadsheet than the latter. AFC East 1. Miami Dolphins (8-0) Scoring stats: 30.25 PF/game (2nd), 15.5 PA/game (1st), +14.75 PD/game (1st) Strength of played schedule: 25-28 (.472, 21st-hardest) Strength of remaining schedule: 26-31 (.456, 25th-hardest) Projected record: 14.0-2.0 Projected finish: 1st in AFC East, #1 seed in the AFC playoffs If you didn't get the memo, the Dolphins are good. Like, really good. Like, Super Bowl favorite good. Five of their eight wins have been by multiple possessions, and it hasn't really mattered how good their opponent is. They shot down the Jets and sailed past the Raiders, and that's just the past two weeks. With a 2.5-game lead on the rest of the conference and no sign of slowing, the Dolphins are favored to get the #1 seed in the AFC and earn their first playoff appearance since 2018. If Miami gets through the Rams without a blemish, they will be at a point where the conversation should shift to whether 16-0 is a possibility. As of now, they have a 9.9% chance of doing so; winning up to that point would get them into about the 25% range. Even if they don't go 16-0, this is the best team Miami's had since their two Super Bowl wins. Enjoy this, Miami fans. 2. New York Jets (5-2) Scoring stats: 29.71 PF/game (4th), 27.14 PA/game (25th), +2.57 PD/game (10th) Strength of played schedule: 25-22 (.532, 13th) Strength of remaining schedule: 32-34 (.485, 19th) Projected record: 10.4-5.6 Projected finish: 2nd in AFC East, #6 seed in the AFC playoffs We're coming up on six years since the New York Jets watched the playoffs on TV rather than playing in them. And more likely than not, that's not going to change this year...but for the first time in a while, there's room for doubt. The Jets started 5-0, but four of those wins came by one possession against three teams they probably should have beaten anyway (plus Jacksonville). They then were routed in the division showdown against the Dolphins before being upset at home by the Broncos in overtime. What's worrying is their defense: they're in the bottom quartile of the league, and they've given up 102 points in their last three games. As long as they can still throw points on the board, though, they'll be a playoff contender. 3. New England Patriots (4-4) Scoring stats: 27.0 PF/game (9th), 24.25 PA/game (16th), +2.75 PD/game (9th) Strength of played schedule: 27-22 (.551, 9th) Strength of remaining schedule: 29-31 (.483, 21st) Projected record: 8.0-8.0 Projected finish: 3rd in AFC East, miss playoffs, #17 overall pick unlikely to convey to Baltimore; also own Miami's projected #25-32 overall first-round pick The Pats are a bit of a strange team. Their point differential pegs them as a slightly better-than-.500 team, and the back half of their schedule shouldn't be quite as hard as the front half. But the projection still calls it a wash and expects them to essentially repeat their 4-4 first half in the second half. I think what's hidden is that there's a wide range for what New England is capable of. Maybe they pull an upset over the Jets in defense-optional mode and Old Man Reggie takes revenge against the Ravens to sneak them up to a playoff bid at 10-6. Maybe they lay a dud against San Francisco or Cleveland (either of whom could resurge down the stretch) and finish 6-10 to earn a top-10 pick. ...or maybe they do neither and finish a boring 8-8. They'll also have Miami's pick next year, so slipping down in the first round wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. Maybe the next J.C. Weldon will fall to them. 4. Buffalo Bills (2-5) Scoring stats: 21.1 PF/game (24th), 27.0 PA/game (23rd), -5.86 PD/game (27th) Strength of played schedule: 25-21 (.543, 10th) Strength of remaining schedule: 31-36 (.463, 24th) Projected record: 6.3-9.7 Projected finish: 4th in AFC East, miss playoffs, #10 overall pick plus Houston's projected #9 overall pick The Bills are currently projected in a crowd of teams that are all projected between 6.0 and 6.5 wins. Despite the fact that they aren't strong on either side of the ball, a finish anywhere from 4-5 to 6-3 is certainly possible because they play a smorgasbord of beatable opponents: the entire AFC North, the under-new-management Cardinals, the hapless Chargers, and the mercurial Patriots. If they sell off any assets between now and the trade deadline, it'll serve the secondary purpose of gaining the edge over other teams they're competing with for draft position. Or maybe the primary purpose. AFC North 1. Pittsburgh Steelers (3-4) Scoring stats: 22.43 PF/game (22nd), 24.14 PA/game (15th), -1.71 PD/game (19th) Strength of played schedule: 15-30 (.333, 31st) Strength of remaining schedule: 35-33 (.515, 13th) Projected record: 7.0-9.0 Projected finish: 2nd in AFC North, miss playoffs, #14 overall pick In their first seven games, the Steelers have played one team with a record above .500 (the Raiders) and one team with a .500 record (the Patriots). They haven't won a game outside the AFC North. They've provided the struggling Bills, Pats, and Lions with a win apiece. They have a sub-.500 record and a negative point differential...and they lead the division. I don't know if that's the good news or the bad news. But what's unambiguously bad news is that their schedule reverts to the mean going forward. Their next five games include 5-2 Chicago, 2-5 Cincinnati, 8-0 Miami, 7-0 Green Bay, and the 5-2 Jets. The Colts and Vikings follow, and they're capable of catching lightning in a bottle and playing better than their 2-6 record. Bottom line: the Steelers have to win tough games to stay in the division race, and that's not necessarily going to be true for everyone else in the North. 2. Baltimore Ravens (3-5) Scoring stats: 24.25 PF/game (17th), 22.63 PA/game (13th), +1.63 PD/game (13th) Strength of played schedule: 27-25 (.519, 15th) Strength of remaining schedule: 24-34 (.414, 29th) Projected record: 7.5-8.5 Projected finish: 1st in AFC North, #4 seed in the AFC playoffs, New England's projected #17 overall pick unlikely to convey The Ravens are the opposite of the Steelers. They're a game back in the loss column, but they've largely survived the hardest part of their schedule with a record that will let them compete for the division. The Bears and Jaguars are the only teams above .500 on the remainder of their schedule, but New England and Pittsburgh could be toss-up games as well. Detroit is also a wild card. They're probably going to need 8 wins to take the division, if not 9. It's going to be hard for them to get more than that, though they've been competitive in every single game other than the season-opening drubbing by Miami. The Ravens are currently the division favorite because of their potential and their schedule, but the division is so volatile that this could change again next week. 3. Cincinnati Bengals (2-5) Scoring stats: 25.71 PF/game (14th), 31.71 PA/game (31st), -6.00 PD/game (28th) Strength of played schedule: 13-33 (.283, 32nd) Strength of remaining schedule: 36-31 (.537, 8th) Projected record: 4.7-11.3 Projected finish: 4th in AFC North, miss playoffs, #3 overall pick The Bengals have played the worst schedule in the league so far and emerged with a 2-5 record from it. They upset the Bears, they outpaced the Chargers, and...that's it. The only other .500 team they played was New England, who waxed them. Most recently, they made Brad Davis and Keith Dunn look like an elite backfield. They can score, but they can't score enough to keep pace with a defense that's giving up 31.7 points per game to (again) the worst schedule in the league. The good news is that they'll be in great position to draft a premier defensive talent at the top of the draft. 4. Cleveland Browns (1-7) Scoring stats: 20.25 PF/game (26th), 25.13 PA/game (18th), -4.88 PD/game (24th) Strength of played schedule: 31-19 (.620, 3rd) Strength of remaining schedule: 21-38 (.356, 32nd) Projected record: 5.2-10.8 Projected finish: 3rd in AFC North, miss playoffs, #4 overall pick In week 1, the Browns beat the Bengals. Since then, they haven't beaten anybody--but their opponents have included six projected playoff teams and the Steelers. They've lost four games by 3 or fewer points. And going forward, the 4-4 Patriots are the only team on their remaining schedule with a .500 or better record. If there's a team that's a candidate for a second-half turnaround, it's the Browns--the problem is that any turnaround starts from a 1-7 position. If they were to go an unlikely 6-2 with wins over the Bills, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Steelers, and Bengals, then they probably still finish a game short of the division at 7-9. A perfect run would give them a shot at the playoffs, and they play good enough defense to do it. But unless they can start to score more, we're talking about the difference between a top-5 pick and a top-10 pick. AFC South 1. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2) Scoring stats: 30.14 PF/game (3rd), 20.71 PA/game (7th), +9.43 PD/game (7th) Strength of played schedule: 21-23 (.477, 20th) Strength of remaining schedule: 36-33 (.522, 11th) Projected record: 10.0-6.0 Projected finish: 1st in AFC South, #3 seed in the AFC playoffs What kind of CAR runs the quickest? A Jaguar, of course. The trio of Christian Barkley, Asante Sowell, and Raheem Robinson pace the third highest scoring offense in the league, and they've established the early pole position for what is currently the most important division race in the AFC. (The second place finisher is not a projected playoff team, so as of now it's win the division or go home in the South.) The biggest thorn in Jacksonville's side right now is their home loss to Tennessee on Thursday night of week 2. They followed that up with a Sunday night loss to the Jets. Other than that, they've taken care of business--including a potentially valuable win over fellow AFC contender Kansas City. Jacksonville's performance also holds up when adjusting for opponent performance moreso than any AFC team not named Miami or Las Vegas. Their schedule gets tougher down the stretch with 7 potential playoff contenders in their final 9 games. They don't have to win them all; they just have to win enough of them. 2. Tennessee Titans (5-3) Scoring stats: 29.50 PF/game (6th), 25.75 PA/game (21st), +3.75 PD/game (8th) Strength of played schedule: 23-27 (.460, 22nd) Strength of remaining schedule: 29-30 (.492, 17th) Projected record: 9.6-6.4 Projected finish: 2nd in AFC South, miss playoffs, #20 overall pick If the Titans miss the playoffs by a game, their baffling 35-20 week 3 loss to the Bills will loom large. They beat the Jaguars on the road. They've otherwise taken care of business against non-contenders, though they were gored by the Raiders and edged by the Panthers. With Wheelin' Dealin' Wheeler at the helm and a stable of wide receivers that can run wild on anybody in the league, Tennessee is capable of scoring--but they're not unstoppable, and their defense is prone to lapses. Their next four games are against teams that are .500 or better--including the home game against the Jaguars. That's likely going to be their make-or-break stretch. 3. Houston Texans (3-4) Scoring stats: 26.29 PF/game (11th), 30.86 PA/game (30th), -4.57 PD/game (23rd) Strength of played schedule: 21-26 (.447, 24th) Strength of remaining schedule: 35-32 (.522, 9th) Projected record: 6.3-9.7 Projected finish: 3rd in AFC South, miss playoffs, #9 overall pick conveyed to Buffalo The Texans have given up 94 points in their last two games, which is less than ideal. It could be worse, because one of those games was a 45-42 win over Indianapolis (hold that thought). But the defense is getting rung like a bell and things are only going to get worse with Frederick Fain out for the rest of the season. This is a very high-scoring, low-defense division with all four teams in the top 12 in over/under per game. But Houston's surprisingly solid offense and usually absent defense make them the 2nd most shootout-prone team in the whole NFL. Again, it could be worse. They'll sell a lot of tickets that way, fans will come to watch Leshoure row, and they won't have to think about the fact that Buffalo owns their next first-rounder too. 4. Indianapolis Colts (2-6) Scoring stats: 24.5 PF/game (16th), 29.88 PA/game (29th), -5.38 PD/game (25th) Strength of played schedule: 33-19 (.635, 2nd) Strength of remaining schedule: 29-29 (.500, 14th) Projected record: 6.1-9.9 Projected finish: 4th in AFC South, miss playoffs, #8 overall pick conveyed to LA Chargers Much has been made of the Colts' runningback situation, and their lack of 1st- or 2nd-round pick will make it tough to address that problem next season. While their offense ranks ahead of their defense by a lot, it's fair to place that kind of emphasis on the run game because otherwise they have the tools for a top-5 offense. They have one of the best regular-season quarterbacks in the league and a ridiculously talented set of receivers. But they still score at an average rate, and they don't hold the ball long enough to give their defense time to rest. Even with a run game, they won't win if they're allowing 30 points a game. They should get some much-needed regression to the mean with their second-half schedule, but they would need a perfect second half (and some luck) to even think about the playoffs. They're in talks to sell assets (including trading Jeremy Bell), so the front office seems to see the writing on the wall already. AFC West T-1. Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) Scoring stats: 23.29 PF/game (20th), 21.71 PA/game (10th), +1.57 PD/game (14th) Strength of played schedule: 25-20 (.556, 8th) Strength of remaining schedule: 26-41 (.388, 31st) Projected record: 10.6-5.4 Projected finish: 2nd in AFC West, #5 seed in the AFC playoffs Run the dang ball, and good things will happen. The Chiefs' two-headed bull-headed attack has worked wonders with the departure of Thomas Wheeler. Perhaps part of its success is actually just the fact that it keeps the opposing offense off the field considering that the Chiefs are still just 20th in scoring, but it's pretty frickin' hard to argue with wins over the Raiders and the Eagles. The Raiders win will be particularly valuable if things come down to a division tiebreaker; however, the loss to the Jaguars could bite them in a wild card tiebreaker scenario. Truly the best thing the Chiefs have going for them (other than being a solid team) is that their remaining schedule is favorable. They have as many games remaining against teams above .500 as they have games remaining against the Chargers (2). A win over the Titans would put them in enviable playoff position; a loss wouldn't necessarily eliminate them. T-1. Las Vegas Raiders (5-2) Scoring stats: 32.0 PF/game (1st), 19.29 PA/game (6th), +12.71 PD/game (2nd) Strength of played schedule: 25-21 (.543, 10th) Strength of remaining schedule: 32-33 (.492, 16th) Projected record: 11.4-4.6 Projected finish: 1st in AFC West, #2 seed in the AFC playoffs The Raiders possess the point differential of a team that should be 6-1 or 7-0; instead, they're on the short end of the tiebreaker with the Chiefs. Their two losses have been reasonable: a 3-point defeat to the Chiefs, and a 7-point loss to the white-hot Dolphins. They have one other competitive game on their résumé, a 30-24 win over the Colts. Other than that? They crushed the Chargers and Steelers, they smothered the Broncos, and they opted not to remember the Titans. This team has that extra gear that a contender needs, but their baseline is so high that they don't usually have to rely on it. Barring health problems, expect the Raiders to kick it up in the second half; it would be surprising (though not impossible) for them to earn anything less than a first-round bye. 3. Denver Broncos (4-4) Scoring stats: 19.63 PF/game (27th), 21.0 PA/game (8th), -1.38 PD/game (18th) Strength of played schedule: 21-29 (.420...I see what you did there, Denver) Strength of remaining schedule: 33-25 (.569, 4th) Projected record: 7.9-8.1 Projected finish: 3rd in AFC West, miss playoffs, #15 overall pick The Broncos have had a solid couple of weeks, dismissing the Chargers in week 7 before going on the road to stun the Jets in overtime in the early-going this past Sunday. If they're finding their offensive footing with 69 points in two weeks (nice), this is a really good sign for them...for next year. They just don't have a route to the playoffs at this point, even at a respectable 4-4. It's likely going to take 10 or 11 wins to get a wild card spot, and the Broncos have one of the toughest slates remaining. They have the Giants and Chargers, yes. Apart from those two, their other six remaining opponents all have winning records. That includes the Eagles, Jaguars, and Raiders once each and the Chiefs twice. And in order to truly turn up the heat down the stretch, they'll need to keep up that level of offense against opponents that aren't 32nd and 25th in scoring defense like the Chargers and Jets are. Does Todd Jennings have it in him? 4. Los Angeles Chargers (0-7) Scoring stats: 15.71 PF/game (31st), 35.43 PA/game (32nd), -19.71 PD/game (T-31st) Strength of played schedule: 18-26 (.409, 28th) Strength of remaining schedule: 37-29 (.561, 5th) Projected record: 1.2-14.8 Projected finish: 4th in AFC West, miss playoffs, #1 overall pick plus the Colts' projected #8 overall pick The Chargers are the last winless team in the NFL and currently riding a 22-game losing streak. There's about a 29% chance that they finish the season without breaking that streak. Their best chance is probably their home game against Buffalo week 12; maybe they get lucky and the Eagles or Chiefs rest starters at the end of the season. Their only competitive games so far have been against the Bengals and Giants. They still have the Raiders again, the Chiefs twice, the Eagles, and the Cowboys. They should begin considering who they want with the #1 overall pick. Projected AFC playoffs: #3 Jacksonville Jaguars over #6 New York Jets #5 Kansas City Chiefs over #4 Baltimore Ravens #1 Miami Dolphins over #5 Kansas City Chiefs #2 Las Vegas Raiders over #3 Jacksonville Jaguars #1 Miami Dolphins over #2 Las Vegas Raiders ************************************************************************************************************************************ NFC East 1. Philadelphia Eagles (7-1) Scoring stats: 29.63 PF/game (5th), 18.13 PA/game (5th), +11.5 PD/game (3rd) Strength of played schedule: 25-24 (.510, 17th) Strength of remaining schedule: 25-33 (.431, 28th) Projected record: 12.5-3.5 Projected finish: 1st in NFC East, #2 seed in the NFC playoffs By adjusted margin of victory, the Eagles are the second-best team in their own division. Part of that is owed to closer-than-expected wins against struggling Detroit and San Francisco in the past two weeks. We'll get into why Dallas is so highly rated in their own section, but let's not sleep on Philly. They're certainly one of the two best teams in the NFC, and only the Packers' undefeated record keeps the Eagles from being a projected 1-seed. They have an early 2.5-game lead in the division (2 games in the loss column), and the NFC isn't particularly deep this year. The Eagles are playing well on both ends of the field, one of 5 teams in the entire league to rank in the top 10 in scoring offense and scoring defense. They're a playoff team, and they're probably getting a bye. 2. Dallas Cowboys (4-3) Scoring stats: 26.14 PF/game (12th), 15.71 PA/game (2nd), +10.43 PD/game (5th) Strength of played schedule: 29-15 (.659, 1st) Strength of remaining schedule: 33-33 (.500, 14th) Projected record: 10.5-5.5 Projected finish: 2nd in NFC East, #5 seed in the NFC playoffs When the Cowboys win, they're dominant. They held the Giants to 3 points, Washington to 9, and both Denver and Kansas City to 6. Two of their three losses have come by one possession, and all three have come to elite teams. So adjusted margin of victory is quite kind to the Cowboys, who are rated as the 2nd-best team by that metric when their record doesn't back that up. Essentially, how much you want to believe in the Cowboys depends entirely on how much weight you put on their schedule and how much weight you put on their potential. The back half of their schedule isn't easy by any means--their next five opponents are all over .500, though none of their final four games are. There aren't that many teams they need to outpace; if they go 3-1 against the NFC South, sweep the Chargers and Giants, and find another win or two anywhere else on the schedule, they should be in the playoffs. 3. Washington Football Club (3-4) Scoring stats: 24.14 PF/game (18th), 22.29 PA/game (12th), +1.86 PD/game (12th) Strength of played schedule: 25-21 (.543, 10th) Strength of remaining schedule: 31-34 (.477, 22nd) Projected record: 7.9-8.1 Projected finish: 3rd in NFC East, miss playoffs, #16 overall pick Washington probably isn't a playoff team this year, but that's okay. There were exactly two things that mattered this season: Tanner Bowman's development, and the team's ability to build around him. They're showing positive signs on both fronts. Bowman's been solid as a rookie, and their offense has improved by 8.7 points per game. The defense has quietly snuck into average (or maybe slightly above-average) territory. They'll want to grab a signature win to build on, but they've got the makings of a solid future in the nation's capital. Watch this space next year. 4. New York Giants (1-6) Scoring stats: 9.43 PF/game (32nd), 29.14 PA/game (28th), -19.71 PD/game (T-31st) Strength of played schedule: 19-25 (.432, 25th) Strength of remaining schedule: 42-25 (.627, 2nd) Projected record: 2.2-13.8 Projected finish: 4th in NFC East, miss playoffs, #2 overall pick They won a game. In scoring a season-high 19 points (which is a horrifying phrase to write) despite David Brezina's 10 of 21 effort for 75 yards and 2 interceptions, the Giants pushed past the Chargers to earn their first win of the season. They might win another one, though it's actually harder to pick a most winnable game for the Giants than it is for the Chargers. Washington is the only remaining sub-.500 team they play. The real drama will come down to two questions: will the Giants average a double-digit point total this season, and will they find a way to sneak back ahead of the Chargers for the #1 overall pick? NFC North 1. Green Bay Packers (7-0) Scoring stats: 25.71 PF/game (14th), 15.71 PA/game (2nd), +10.0 PD/game (6th) Strength of played schedule: 20-27 (.426, 26th) Strength of remaining schedule: 29-35 (.453, 26th) Projected record: 13.3-2.7 Projected finish: 1st in NFC North, #1 seed in the NFC playoffs Green Bay is one of three teams that are clearly above the NFC pa--er, above the NFC fray. It's their defense that's been leading the way, spearheaded by Marquise Reed and Julio Barnes in the secondary. The median team in the NFL gives up about 24.4 points per game; the Packers have held every single opponent they've played below that mark. (In fairness, three of them scored 23 or 24 points. But that's the most of anybody.) What's scary is that it's hard to say whether the Packers are playing at their full potential. Dan Nomellini's been overshadowed, and Jaz Durant has tailed off. But they're winning their games, they've beaten the good teams they've played, they've beaten the bad teams they've played, and their schedule favors them the rest of the way. Expect Green Bay to get a top-3 seed, if not a bye. 2. Chicago Bears (5-2) Scoring stats: 23.0 PF/game (21st), 22.86 PA/game (14th), +0.14 PD/game (17th) Strength of played schedule: 16-29 (.356, 30th) Strength of remaining schedule; 31-34 (.477, 22nd) Projected record: 9.4-6.6 Projected finish: 2nd in NFC North, #6 seed in the NFC playoffs Like the Titans, the Bears will have one game that they look upon with regret if they miss the playoffs by a game: a defense that's normally been solid this year gave up 34 points to the Bengals for one of Chicago's two losses. The Bears are 5-2 in large part because of several close wins, a sweep of the Vikings, and a 28-14 rout of the Rams on the road--but we're still talking about a team that struggles to block, struggles in the backfield, and relies almost entirely on receiving and defense. The good news for the Bears is that they don't need to be perfect, and they might not even need to be that good depending on how the NFC South and the Dallas Cowboys shake out. Again, the NFC's not that deep this year. A 10-win season in 2018 left them short; 10 wins this year could get them in. Taking a game from the Packers would also go a long way, though they'll also need to beat back the Lions at least once to prevent any pursuit from behind. This may well be Norris Brooksheer's last opportunity to make the playoffs as a Bear, and exceeding last year's win total in the first half of the season is a good start. 3. Detroit Lions (2-5) Scoring stats: 15.86 PF/game (30th), 21.43 PA/game (9th), -5.57 PD/game (26th) Strength of played schedule: 25-19 (.568, 7th) Strength of remaining schedule: 30-37 (.448, 27th) Projected record: 6.4-9.6 Projected finish: 3rd in NFC North, miss playoffs, #12 overall pick Like the Colts, the Lions' 4-year playoff streak is in serious jeopardy after an ice-cold start. The difference is that the cavalry is coming for Detroit in a way that it couldn't for Indianapolis. Keyshawn Thompson missed time with a foot fracture, but he's back now. Rob LeCount has been out with a wrist fracture, but he's reportedly medically cleared to play and questionable for Sunday's game against Cleveland. Blake Shell has been a serviceable stopgap, but the Lions' offense simply doesn't have a big-time playmaker without LeCount. With him, their offense moves up to the ranks of the average. That said, average offense and great defense can make a playoff team, and the Lions' defense has been unwavering. This is a team that will be dangerous from here to the end of the season. A 2-5 start is probably too much of a hole to dig out of and they essentially can't afford a loss, but it's not like there's an unwinnable game on their schedule. 4. Minnesota Vikings (2-6) Scoring stats: 19.5 PF/game (28th), 27.75 PA/game (27th), -8.25 PD/game (30th) Strength of played schedule: 29-21 (.580, 6th) Strength of remaining schedule: 23-35 (.397, 30th) Projected record: 5.2-10.8 Projected finish: 4th in NFC North, miss playoffs, #6 overall pick The Vikings seem to have taken all the misfortunes of the NFC North and rolled them into one package: their offense wasn't loaded with playmakers in the first place. Both sides of the ball are dealing with serious injury issues. They're not scoring, they're not defending, and they're not winning. Except when they're playing the Bengals or the Cardinals, apparently. While the first half was the tougher half of their schedule, being down six players for the season is going to make it difficult to actually do anything about the cakelike second half. They'll get Brian Vardell back in the next few weeks, but what good will that do? Prized rookie Luke Cobb is done for the year, so there's no connection to establish between him and Vardell. There's not much to play for other than pride. That might be enough. NFC South T-1. New Orleans Saints (5-3) Scoring stats: 27.0 PF/game (9th), 25.63 PA/game (20th), +1.38 PD/game (15th) Strength of played schedule: 27-24 (.529, 14th) Strength of remaining schedule: 29-30 (.492, 17th) Projected record: 9.1-6.9 Projected finish: 3rd in NFC South, miss playoffs, #18 overall pick The NFC South is by far the most competitive division in the league. Need evidence other than the fact that every team is within 1.5 games of the top? How about the fact that the Saints are projected to be within 0.2 wins of the division lead...which is still only the third-best projection in the division. Despite injuries to their receivers, the Devereaux and Jenkins (and Jamaal Brown-Sanderson) Show is continuing to light up scoreboards leaguewide. And more importantly, they're playing a modicum of defense! Sure, it's league-average defense at best, but that's the difference between them and the reeling Colts. The Saints are 2-2 in division play: a split with Atlanta, a home win over Carolina, and a home loss to Tampa Bay. Their next six games are all non-divisional, so they'll likely have a shot heading into the final two weeks of the season. Given that both those games are on the road, they will likely need to be 1 game up entering that stretch. T-1. Carolina Panthers (5-3) Scoring stats: 25.88 PF/game (13th), 25.25 PA/game (19th), +0.63 PD/game (16th) Strength of played schedule: 31-20 (.608, 5th) Strength of remaining schedule: 32-26 (.552, 6th) Projected record: 9.3-6.7 Projected finish: 1st in NFC South, #4 seed in the NFC playoffs It is tough to imagine a playoff without Christian Skaggs, who has led the Panthers to the postseason for each of the past 5 seasons now. It's the second-longest streak in the league, and it's in danger this season. The Panthers are a solid offensive team, but not the elite unit you'd expect with the Skaggs-Latta-Jackson-Henry quartet. When adjusting for opponent, the Panthers are also a pretty solid defensive unit, but not an elite one there either. They've had one of the toughest schedules, with a loss to Green Bay and division losses to both New Orleans and Tampa Bay--the latter two could come back to haunt them. They've also picked up wins over the Rams, Falcons, and Titans, so we're still not talking about a team of scrubs. The problem is that they've had a tough schedule already, and they have a tough remaining schedule. Jacksonville, Philadelphia, and Dallas are three of their next four games; they also have to play each division opponent again. They have been in discussions to move either Jacoby Seaverns or Mike Latta, which would be surprising for a team that needs all the help it can get to stay playoff-bound in a division that could be decided by something as simple as a shift of the wind on a field goal attempt in week 17. 3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-3) Scoring stats: 28.86 PF/game (7th), 26.71 PA/game (22nd), +2.14 PD/game (11th) Strength of played schedule: 29-18 (.617, 4th) Strength of remaining schedule: 32-34 (.485, 19th) Projected record: 9.1-6.9 Projected finish: 2nd in NFC South, miss playoffs, #19 overall pick Tampa Bay is only going to go as far as Taylor Heiden takes them. When they're good, they can be really good. They're scoring an extra 4.8 points per game above what their opponents typically allow. The only team so far to hold them to fewer than 27 points in a game was the Eagles, who we've already established are pretty dang good this year. They followed up that 10-point effort with a 38-13 demolition of the Falcons, and they have a 3-0 record in division play. But even with a similar scoring defense ranking to their divisional compatriots, they've been more vulnerable to outright defensive collapses. They let up 45 to Tennessee and 38 to Philadelphia as their opening act. They've given up 35 to Indianapolis and 28 to New Orleans in their two most recent games. Good offenses don't just score on them, they torch them. But their offense is every bit as explosive as the Saints' offense, so they'll have a shot. Their schedule is chock full of games that are winnable but certainly not easy. That's the story of the NFC South, though: whoever wins those toss-up games is going to win the division. 4. Atlanta Falcons (3-4) Scoring stats: 22.43 PF/game (22nd), 25.00 PA/game (17th), -2.57 PD/game (20th) Strength of played schedule: 23-22 (.511, 16th) Strength of remaining schedule: 35-32 (.522, 9th) Projected record: 6.6-9.4 Projected finish: 4th in NFC South, miss playoffs, #13 overall pick Whereas the rest of the division is offense-first, defense-second, the Falcons have historically inverted that trend in the NFC South. That looked like a promising formula during a 2-0 start to the season with wins over the Niners and Saints. Since then, the Falcons have lost 4 of 5. They've given up 27 points or more in all four losses and 31 or more in two--that spoiled what has otherwise been a surprisingly solid offensive effort over that stretch. Three of those losses have come in division play, erasing the advantage they earned from the Saints win. And their remaining schedule doesn't have a single easy win on it given that the Lions can defend and the Colts can attack. The Falcons haven't made the playoffs since their Super Bowl run, though they came tantalizingly close last year. This skid has seriously damaged their chances of getting back. They're not in this predicament because their schedule's been overly tough; it's because they haven't been able to win enough toss-up games. Turn that around, and they're still not totally out of the running yet. NFC West 1. Los Angeles Rams (5-2) Scoring stats: 28.57 PF/game (8th), 17.29 PA/game (4th), +11.29 PD/game (4th) Strength of played schedule: 22-23 (.489, 19th) Strength of remaining schedule: 36-30 (.545, 7th) Projected record: 10.8-5.2 Projected finish: 1st in NFC West, #3 seed in the NFC playoffs If you told me that I had to pick one team to make the playoffs upon penalty of being exiled to Missouri, I'd pick the Rams. They're far and away the best team in their division. They've already built a 2-game lead, and the only other team that is capable of challenging them is stuck in third. They've earned both halves of their 5-2 record. On the one hand, they demolished Detroit (less impressive in retrospect) and routed Dallas (which I expect to look better by season's end). On the other, they dropped back-to-back games early to Chicago and Carolina and they don't have any other particularly notable wins. What's crucial to understanding their season is the fact that they've played bad opponents and beaten them by a lot. That matters! Their schedule's going to get harder in the second half, with the entire AFC East plus the Packers on their schedule. Does it matter? Probably not. If they take care of business in their four remaining division games, they likely don't even need to win any of those. Win those four division games and beat 2-5 Buffalo, and that would mathematically be enough to clinch the division. They've been elite on both sides of the ball for years. Nobody else in their division is top-10 in scoring defense or top-16 in scoring offense. The Rams will win the division by a lot. 2. Arizona Cardinals (3-4) Scoring stats: 20.57 PF/game (25th), 27.29 PA/game (26th), -6.71 PD/game (29th) Strength of played schedule: 17-28 (.378, 29th) Strength of remaining schedule: 42-24 (.636, 1st) Projected record: 6.1-9.9 Projected finish: 3rd in NFC West, miss playoffs, #7 overall pick plus Seattle's projected #11 overall pick Things started off very promising in Arizona after back-to-back wins over Seattle and Detroit to start the season. The results since then have indicated that their early success was a mirage. Both of those opponents have struggled mightily, and the Redbirds have dropped four of five since then. That's a similar arc to the Falcons, except for the fact that the Cards have lost to teams that their ornithological relatives would have beaten. It's no shame that they were routed by Los Angeles. A loss to New England makes sense. Getting routed by Washington and Minnesota, though? That's...not ideal. With a new ownership group, the Cardinals are looking to elicit a cultur3 change--but it'll be hard to pull that off given that their schedule gets ridiculously hard in the second half. The Rams are the only team above .500 that they've played so far. They'll play the Dolphins, Bears, Rams, Jets, Saints, and Packers between now and season's end. It's a young team that wasn't expected to do well, and being at 3-4 right now would have been a positive sign at season's dawn. They also own Seattle's pick that's currently trending toward the upper half of the first round. But this is probably as good as it's going to get for them this year. 3. Seattle Seahawks (3-5) Scoring stats: 17.75 PF/game (29th), 22.25 PA/game (11th), -4.5 PD/game (22nd) Strength of played schedule: 25-24 (.510, 17th) Strength of remaining schedule: 30-28 (.517, 12th) Projected record: 6.4-9.6 Projected finish: 2nd in NFC West, miss playoffs, #11 overall pick conveyed to Arizona The good news for Seattle is that they've finally figured out how to score points. Their point total failed to eclipse the legal drinking age in any of their first six games of the season. On Monday night of week 7 in Los Angeles, though, they put up an impressive 30 points on the Rams. (They lost, but still.) They followed that up by scoring 28 against Buffalo, accompanied by the return of their stout defense. Their remaining schedule isn't so strong that they're out of the hunt yet. They don't need their offense to become elite; they just need to not be at the very bottom of the league. As of now, they have 13 touchdowns and 12 turnovers, they've given up 20 sacks, and their 17.3 yards per point is the third-worst in the NFL. They're averaging 4.6 yards per carry and 7.5 yards per pass attempt, so there's a spark there. They just have to commit fewer turnovers, take fewer sacks, and convert more third downs to keep drives alive. Their defense will take care of itself. It may be too late to make a charge for the division, but the wild card race is wide open because (all together now) the NFC is not that deep this year. 4. San Francisco 49ers (2-5) Scoring stats: 23.57 PF/game (19th), 27.0 PA/game (23rd), -3.43 PD/game (21st) Strength of played schedule: 20-24 (.455, 23rd) Strength of remaining schedule: 42-25 (.627, 2nd) Projected record: 5.2-10.8 Projected finish: 4th in NFC West, miss playoffs, #5 overall pick Oh, Niners. Poor Niners. I'm not sure they're really as bad as their 2-5 record suggests. Adjusting for opponent, they're literally the opposite of the Seahawks: they're scoring reasonably well, but not really playing much defense. They have spots of hope, such as their close loss to Philadelphia on Monday night. They also have moments that show just how much things can change in 2 years, such as their blowout loss to Arizona. Their wins so far are against Seattle and Buffalo, neither of whom are particularly fervent believers in scoring. And they ain't seen nothin' yet: their next six opponents are all .500 or better, including the undefeated Packers and Dolphins. And the Rams. And the Rams again. And the Jets. All of those teams can score, and all of them ought to score. It's not going to be a fun stretch, but it'll at least outline exactly where the former champs need to improve this offseason. They'll be back soon enough. Projected NFC Playoffs: #3 Los Angeles Rams over #6 Chicago Bears #5 Dallas Cowboys over #4 Carolina Panthers #5 Dallas Cowboys over #1 Green Bay Packers #2 Philadelphia Eagles over #5 Los Angeles Rams #5 Dallas Cowboys over #2 Philadelphia Eagles ************************************************************************************************************************************ Projected Super Bowl Miami Dolphins over Dallas Cowboys That does it for this edition of By the Numbers. Until next time, whenever that time may be!
  6. 36 points
    Soluna

    CFBHC v1.5a

    CFBHC v1.5a Differentiation of Conferences / Unique Experiences Update May 25th, 2018 Pre-Release v1.5.0.7 Notes: Thanks to all those who helped testing and recommended stuff as usual. I will be changing the release schedule for the 1.5 update this year a little bit. First of all, you guys can expect the big patches to happen and activate in the off-season between each season. So 1.5 will be after the 2021 season, 1.6 after the 2022 season, etc. This does not count for smaller balance changes. Additionally instead of revealing everything with one giant 1.5 patch note post there will be several component parts (a-...) that each reveal part of the patch. General Info / Idea I've come to the point with the sim that I'm fairly happy with the backbone of how stuff is running and the features that are offered so I would like to focus on providing interest to differentiate the experience for users depending on the teams they coach and provide objectives for users to meet that are not just "win a national championship". There are 130 teams and only one champion so the majority of users will never see a title. I want to provide those users with other fun objectives to fulfill and to give them a chance to prove their worth in a variety of other ways. This update will begin to address that. Except there to be more stuff to make each conference feel totally unique and provide different gameplay and goals depending on where you are playing. CFBHC * Added a second recruiting master list of fewer total players than the main master list that goes only to 4.0 skill (with very few 4.0s) that is only accessible to member schools from the following conferences: AAC, MWC, MAC, CUSA, Sun Belt, and Independents This list of players will be added after the main master list is completed and will be active for the 2022 season. Schools from the before listed schools will be able to put points into either the regular master list or the G5 master list as they please. The G5 Recruits list will work entirely the same as the other one. Total numbers of recruits was already reduced in the main list to make it more competitive for the top talents and to allow for this new G5 list for the smaller schools. With the exception of the restriction for which school have access to this list it will function exactly the same as the other. Points/Visits/etc are shared between the two. This list represents those players who would rather play at a smaller school than sit on the bench at a bigger program. While not common, this does happen. * In the recruiting interface, all schools that have ever put points on a player should be listed when hovering over the "+" at the end of the display. Not their point values, just the name of the schools (@inspiral).
  7. 33 points
    INTRODUCTION Through the history of NFLHC, many good QB prospects have come through the ranks. But after the QBs taken in the 2016 NFLHC Draft, just one taken in the following drafts has made even a Pro Bowl. Thomas Wheeler, taken #4 in 2015, made his first just this season. So, we thought we would rank the QBs from the 2017 draft up to this year’s class - not based on career results, but just as prospects entering NFLHC. This allows for a comparison between this year’s prospects in a very strong QB draft (though based on the results of this article, perhaps one that’s been a bit overrated) and prior prospects at the position. We’ve broken the listed prospects down into four tiers based on how good of a prospect we thought they were and included some honorable mentions at the end. Over the past 6 classes, here are the top 10 overall prospects. This is a collaborative piece between myself and @Jumbo - all research, writing, composition, and glory is shared. TIER 4 10. QB Graham Burnett 6-3 211 R Oklahoma [Pocket] 82 (2020) Following the graduation of our #5 ranked prospect, Norris Brooksheer, Burnett immediately took over in Norman as starting QB of the Sooners as a true freshman. He definitely did struggle in his first two years especially compared to the first eight on this list; 30 TD to 18 INT in his first two seasons doesn’t exactly scream top prospect. His peripheral passer rating was better however, and solid completion percentage and YPA showed that he was still a promising prospect. He then proceeded to fully break out in his third and final year as a true junior, nearly winning the Heisman and leading Oklahoma to the playoffs where they lost a very close game to a tough Alabama squad. Burnett was pretty clearly the 10th best QB on the list overall based on his accomplishments and scouting criteria. Burnett’s best season was not as good as any of the other QBs on this list (besides AJJ, by efficiency standards) and he was the one most in danger of being knocked off in favor of some of the other QBs in consideration. Outside of his grades, his scouting traits were not that great; he’s not athletic and his 25 Wonderlic is tied for the second worst amongst all the QBs who appear on this list. Overall, Burnett was not an amazing prospect and his draft position was likely helped by a weak 2020 QB class. That said, he still would likely have been a top 10 pick with his grades either way. 9. QB Mohammed Foster 6-0 194 R West Virginia [Scrambling] 82 (2021) Foster was a one-season wonder at West Virginia whose dual-threat ability, and big play potential made him an intriguing quarterback prospect despite an embarrassing 22 on the Wonderlic and questions about his decision-making ability.His gaudy QB rating of over 182 in the magical 2020 WVU run saw him skyrocket on most draft boards after taking home the Big XII Player of the Year, Walter Camp, and Heisman Trophy awards. Unfortunately, a single absurd season does not equate to a top tier rating and so Foster finds himself just above Graham Burnett due primarily to his single notable season eclipsing that of the gunslinger from Oklahoma. Outside of the 2020 season, though, his achievements are pedestrian at best, with a high passer rating of just 141 in his previous two seasons as a starter, a TD/INT ratio of 36:19, and a completion percentage milestone of a mere 61%. However, it cannot be ignored that much of Foster’s value is derived from his ability to extend plays and make magic happen outside the pocket. Overall, his inability to carry a team (traits found in others on our list, Jefferson and King specifically) hurt him in the long run and his reliance on a generational talent at WR who accounted for 35% of all completions, 40% of all yards, and a staggering 61% of all touchdowns the quarterback amassed, place him here at #9. TIER 3 8. QB A.J. Jefferson 6-3 194 R North Carolina [Pocket] 82 (2017) Touchdown Jesus (or the False Prophet, depending on your perspective) was the first ever generated recruit to be drafted by an NFLHC team. Taken #2 by the Falcons, a team that had quite literally just won the Super Bowl, the expectations on AJJ were immense heading into the NFL. While he hasn’t quite lived up to those expectations, as a prospect he was probably the most intriguing player on this list. Jefferson was perhaps the most, but certainly first highly-touted recruit at QB CFBHC has seen. And when he came in, he had probably the most exciting true freshman season that the CFBHC world has ever seen as well. He attempted 642(!) passes in 14 appearances, which is over 45 attempts per game. He ended that season with 45 touchdown passes and 21 interceptions. Any game that AJJ played in was bound to be an exciting one. He slumped a bit more in his sophomore season before reaching approximately the same efficiency in his true junior year, after which he declared his eligibility for the NFLHC Draft. Now, while AJJ’s efficiency in total for his career was… not good. His career passer rating is worse than Mohammed Foster’s, who at least offered something as a scrambler. However, that is almost certainly offset by the sheer number of times he threw the ball. There are four 4-year starters on this list, and AJJ had the most career attempts by almost 200. When you played North Carolina from 2014-2016, you knew that you would be going against a QB throwing it 40 times a game basically no matter what. And yet by most measures he still managed to find some success. There were some worries that he had been broken and become too much of a gunslinger, and to some extent that has been validated in NFLHC as he has struggled to throw even with Akili Wallace in the backfield. Nonetheless, as a prospect his cannon arm and relative success on a UNC team that did nothing but throw the ball made him seem like he had elite upside at the very least. You could argue for him to be higher based on his scouting traits - he probably has the strongest arm of any QB here - but his questionable statistical success limits his ceiling on the list to here. 7. QB Alex Leshoure 6-1 205 R Boston College [Pocket] 82 (2019) Alex Leshoure’s CFBHC career is a tale of two Alexes. His redshirt freshman and sophomore seasons were AJJ-like - limited efficiency on lots of throws, and his team had a ceiling of 9 wins. His junior and senior seasons, meanwhile, were two of the best that CFBHC has ever seen. In fact, by passer rating, they’re the two best individual seasons thrown by any player on this list. Unsurprisingly, while his Boston College squad was capped at 9 wins in his first two seasons, they made the semifinals and National Championship in his last two years when he had on average about 200 fewer attempts. Balance works (especially if you have playoff Ben Curry). If you just looked at those final two seasons, you would think that Leshoure’s placement on this list is pretty low. But there are a few reasons he doesn’t rank higher as a prospect. He was surrounded by talent - as a senior he threw to two 4.5/4.5 WRs with a 3.5/4.5 in the slot along with a 4.5/4.5 tight end. While his Wonderlic of 37 was pretty good and his grades by the scouts were good, there were many who felt that Leshoure’s ceiling was limited. His scouting report noted that he might be more of a game manager, and with the talent around him at Boston College those concerns felt legitimate. It was very tough to ignore how good Leshoure was in his final two seasons, and that’s why he did eventually end up as a top ten pick. He was also relatively athletic for a pocket quarterback, more easily allowing for him to run schemes like the spread and pistol. King and Leshoure were very, very close in terms of ranking. Leshoure is just barely edged out for perceived ceiling reasons as well as the concerns that he played with more talent than did King. Leshoure’s final two seasons were obviously great and likely superior to King’s, but his first two were also much worse in comparison to King’s first two. Still, going with either wouldn’t have been bad, and even though they’re in the same tier with a third QB they both are relatively clearly superior to the quarterback ranked #8. 6. QB Joel King 6-1 220 R Houston [Pocket] 82 (2019) How many seasons has Joel King been a starter? One of the seemingly ageless players of CFBHC, Joel King was an unrelenting workhorse at Houston, dragging them to four straight AAC title games (winning the game and the MVP award to go with it three of the times) and three straight Bowl Games as well as a playoff appearance in his senior season. Of course, the whispers of competition and imbalance in the AAC continued to hound him throughout his career and culminated in a disrespectful 5th place Heisman finish in 2018 despite posting one of the best seasons we’ve seen from a CFB QB with a passer rating over 181 to go with an outstanding 72.6% completion percentage on 330 yards per game, the second time he’d thrown over 72% in his career. And the career is what’s important to consider here: King’s prospectus is more about the sum of the parts than any one season (looking at you Foster, Burnett). That consistency (along with stellar Pro Day grades, a non-disqualifying combine performance, and a bonkers 40 on the Wonderlic) made him a prospect that NFL scouts and GMs were tripping over themselves to move into position to select first overall (this one included!). Overall, King edges out Leshoure here for a couple of reasons. First, Leshoure spent his time at BC surrounded by a plethora of NFL-caliber talent, while King certainly did not at Houston. And despite that, they are quite comparable statistically. Second, I think that the concerns about competition in the AAC during King’s tenure are blown far out of proportion. In 2014 (his freshman season), King led his team to a AAC CCG victory over a powerful #10 Boise St. side, with King taking the game MVP, again as a freshman. There were also the USF and UCF rosters of 2016-2018 which were much stronger than they are now given credit for. And King beat them all, a lot. His Houston owned the conference with so much less talent. TIER 2 5. QB Norris Brooksheer 6-3 207 R Oklahoma [Pocket] 82 (2017) Norris Brooksheer rounds out the Tier 2 list. Besides Shea, the only QB on this list to go #1 overall - although Matt Jones looks likely to join those ranks - actually ended up right below a player who went #5 overall in the same draft. That’s because, of course, not every front office would make the same decision when given the #1 pick (see: this GM’s actions with the #1 pick in the 2016 draft). That doesn’t mean that taking Brooksheer was inherently the wrong decision - his main concern was how much of his production came from Tai Miller, although that’s looked more prescient once he began play in NFLHC. In college, Brooksheer did improve his play every year, although he really only started for two full seasons. His two full seasons starting were great, throwing 65 TDs to just 12 interceptions and upping his play from a 170 passer rating to a 180 from sophomore to junior. He won the National Championship as a sophomore and then managed to take home the Heisman as a junior. Although his only two seasons as a starter were as good or better than Jarius Jones’ seasons, there were a couple of concerns that knocked him down just below. First was the aforementioned Tai Miller conundrum. Miller caught almost 50% of Brooksheer’s passing yards as a sophomore although that improved to around 40% as a junior. Secondly, while his scouting grades look pretty good on the surface - a 40 Wonderlic is among the highest of any of these QBs and he looked to be a good manager with good accuracy, though with a questionable arm - he has similar concerns to a QB appearing later on this list in that he appeared to be mostly a game manager, though perhaps as elite a game manager as you will get. Nothing about him made him look like he would ever fully win games on his own in NFLHC. Still, Brooksheer was good enough to justify going #1 if he was to hit his ceiling as an elite game manager who would basically never lose you games on his own. While that clearly hasn’t happened - the Bears recently drafted another QB who appears on this list - a QB with an extremely high floor could seem favorable to an expansion team when compared to someone who was slightly lower floor higher ceiling like Jarius Jones. Ultimately, none of the top three from that draft particularly worked out anyway so it’s mostly moot, but Brooksheer is slightly less of a preferable prospect in a vacuum. 4. QB Jarius Jones 6-1 205 R Iowa [Pocket] 83 (2017) Jarius Jones is a peculiar QB prospect. On the one hand, he entered the NFL with the elusive 83 designation, and found ways to lead Iowa to increasing amounts of success each season as a starter alongside flashes of personal greatness. On the other hand, his career statistical progression reads like that of a misappropriated talent who didn’t find his gameplan fit until his final season in Iowa City, and was labeled by many with the dreaded ‘game manager’ tag. In many ways, he finds himself outside of the top tier solely due to a horrific 2015 showing where, despite a 10-4 finish capped off by a Citrus Bowl win and MVP honors, he finished the year completing just 64% of his passes (7th worst among all seasons of every QB on our list) and a passer rating just north of 130 (3rd worst among the same). It became clear that despite a breakout 2014 season (151 rating, 40 touchdowns on 549 attempts), Jones didn’t work in a volume passing offense. Had Jarius performed somewhere between his 2014 and stellar 2016 seasons, it’d be a more rosy lookback for him, statistically speaking. That said, it’s mostly good in regards to his outlook as a prospect. Many saw Jones as a statue in the pocket, immobile and unathletic. These myths were dispelled by an above-average showing at the 2017 Combine, where he edged fellow signal caller Norris Brooksheer in the 40, vertical, broad jump, and 3-cone, only being bested in the Wonderlic (34 to Brooksheer’s 40). In his private workouts, GMs learned of his stellar game management ability and comparable arm strength to the other top prospect (being beaten in perceived accuracy). This revelation fell in-line with what scouts saw in his final season at Iowa, where he threw just 333 times (compared to 672 in 2015), and posted some impressive numbers - 71.2% completion, 177.3 rating, and 10.3 ypa, which is good for 3rd best among all seasons evaluated here. Overall, Jones finds himself just above Brooksheer for the following reasons: Brooksheer had the incredible Tai Miller to lean on at Oklahoma, while Jones had no such weapon in the passing game at Iowa in his final year and ended with a comparable stat line. The pedigree of 83 is also something that cannot be overlooked, all argument about the value overall aside. At the time of the 2017 draft, most considered this an enormous indicator of professional success, and it plays into our comparative ranking of Jones and Brooksheer here. 3. QB Tanner Bowman 6-2 203 R Penn State [Pocket] 82 (2021) One of the most decorated and successful quarterbacks in CFB history, Tanner Bowman stepped into the starting QB spot on a stacked Penn State roster in 2019 and managed to exceed expectations, winning two B1G titles, two national championships, two B1G Player of the Year awards, and two 1st Team All American honors in, you guessed it, two seasons. And although he never won the big one, taking third in 2019 and second in 2020 Heisman Voting, he cleaned up the Davey O’Brien and Johnny Unitas awards in 2020. It feels bad to keep him out of the top tier simply because he had the good fortune of playing in State College on an absolutely stacked roster, but to us he is a shade behind the two tier one prospects on our list, but 2019 is a pretty good exemplification of our reasoning. Bowman was good, real good, but he wasn’t great, and it can be postulated that he didn’t have to do much other than not throw the ball away for his team to finish 16-0 and take home the National Championship. This knocks him out of the top tier, but strictly above guys like Jarius Jones and Norris Brooksheer because of what he did in 2020. Bowman’s 2020 season was absolutely gross, gaudy, insane, whatever word you want to use to describe 44 touchdowns against 6 interceptions, 71% completion percentage, and a 181 passer rating. In any other season, he would have added the Heisman to his collection, but Mohammed Foster happened and stymied his prospects to etch his name into history. Overall, Tanner Bowman is a name that will be forever enshrined in CFB, B1G, and Penn State lore as a stupidly efficient passer who was able to meet and even exceed the lofty expectations hoisted on him as a starting quarterback for the 2019 and 2020 Nittany Lions, some of the most impressive and talented rosters in CFB history. His career record of 31-1 overall (that’s a winning percentage of 97%, for those keeping score at home), and 18-0 in the B1G will be difficult to replicate as recruiting fertility moves south and power shifts and balances out in the bigger conferences. TIER 1 2. QB Matt Jones 6-3 208 R Purdue [Pocket] 83 (2022) You like that?! It was honestly very, very close between Shea and Jones - the two are basically in a tier of their own. Purdue’s acclaimed starting QB has won 10 games in each of his four seasons as a starter and as of publishing time for this article might go on to win a national championship this year. He had a passer rating of 162 as a freshman and has only improved on that since, with each of his successive seasons looking better and better. Two seasons with a 71%+ completion percentage is incredible. Surprisingly, however, Jones’ first career individual accolade came this season when he won the B1G Offensive Player of the Year award, though more may be to come. Jones’ consistency and winning pedigree are unmatched by any QB prospect ever in the history of CFBHC. Tanner Bowman might be better in this regard, but he only started in two seasons compared to four for Jones. The team will have finished in the top 13 in all four of his seasons and top 10 in three when his career is over, and his 46 wins that might top out at 48 are the most of any of the QBs appearing on this list, and perhaps the most of any QB in history. His only real serious loss was to Penn State in last year’s B1G conference championship game, a forgivable offense considering that team only lost one game in two years. With Tucker Dowden taking some of his shine in what could easily have been a QB award sweep for him otherwise, Jones’ final season could possibly not match the shine of Shea’s, unless he takes the Heisman or wins it all, both of which are distinct possibilities. But combine that unknown with his unknown scouted abilities, and he falls just short of the number one placement. Honestly, though, if he does win the Heisman or national championship this year… I would move him to #1, even without knowing his scouting ratings. He’s just flat out been that good. His past two seasons are very comparable to Shea’s final two and his freshman and sophomore campaigns are significantly better than Shea’s only other playing time. 1. QB Aaron Shea 6-2 204 R Missouri [Pocket] 83 (2018) The hype leading up to the first pick of the 2018 NFLHC Draft was simultaneously the most palpable I’ve ever experienced as a member of the site (in part because the Eagles picked #2 that season) as well as the most predictable. Shea #1 was a forgone conclusion long before draft night, and for good reason. He had everything you want in a quarterback, and he had it in spades. Statistical progression? Check. Heisman Trophy? Check. Combine? Check. Double check. I could continue here, but you get the point, so let’s start with the numbers. Shea got better every season, taking a huge leap from 2015 to 2016, and again in 2017 (smaller leap), when he posted his crowning jewel of a season completing 72% of his passes, throwing 35 touchdowns against just 4 interceptions, and recording a passer rating just shy of 180 before dragging his team to another SEC CCG and a CFB Playoff appearance on his way to a Heisman Trophy, 1st Team All-American, as well as Johnny Unitas and Davey O’Brien awards. Some will say that Shea shouldn’t be #1 on the list (and it’s close) because he never won a bowl game, conference championship, or playoff game. To those I say this - Missouri had no place in the SEC CG in 2016 or 2017, and they had no place in the playoff in 2017. They made those games because of their generational QB talent who dragged them there kicking and screaming. And they lost those two SEC Championship games by a combined 6 points to a loaded Alabama team that eclipsed them in talent in every conceivable way. One man can only do so much. Shea beats Matt Jones in my mind because Jones is still an unknown from a Combine/Pro Day standpoint, and because of the hype he generated as a surefire franchise QB from the time he took his first snap in 2016 to his last Combine event. It is yet to be seen if Jones will garner the same amount of attention throughout the scouting and pre-draft process as Shea and for that reason, and again it’s very close, Shea tops our list. JUST MISSED [Unordered] QB Christian Barkley 6-3 211 R Texas Tech [Pocket] 81 (2019) Barkley had a great 2018 season, but before that he was relatively mediocre. Most scouts at the time weren’t looking at him as a first round prospect - he eventually was picked at the top of the second round, and there were some that were even surprised at that. Soluna did pick him though, so that was followed by a bunch of people pretending they thought he was elite all along. Nonetheless, the major reason for Barkley missing this list is that nothing about him screamed elite as a prospect, while everyone who made the list at least seemed to have the potential to make it into that echelon. QB Donald Culver 6-1 192 R Utah [Pocket] 81 (2022) Culver suffers from Graham Burnett syndrome and that his only good season was this past one. The problem with that is his prios stats were even worse - sure, he was not actively coached, but a 120 passer rating last season is extremely worrying. His season this year leading Utah to the playoffs was a great one, but his supporting cast might be a bit underrated and without any scouting information it’s tough to justify putting a guy with one real elite season onto this list, especially when he’s not an 82 or 83 like the rest. QB Brett Fisher 6-2 211 R Miami [Scrambling] 82 (2020) Fisher was really, really good up until his senior season. Most of the good players on his Miami team left, and his production cratered as a result. While some would disregard that information, the fact that his production fell off a cliff worried many scouts and he nearly fell out of the first round entirely as a result. Everything else was solid - all his other seasons and his scouting grades looked good. But that terrible senior season, along with production that was really good but not quite reaching the heights of any of the players who made this list was enough to keep Fisher away from it. QB Ryan Harris 6-4 213 R Fresno State [Pocket] 82 (2022) While Harris has seen some success in college and is looked at as a promising QB prospect for the upcoming draft by some, there are a few things holding him back. His performance as a senior has not been inspiring, as his Fresno team failed to make a bowl even in the Mountain West. That should be concerning for someone looking for a QB to lead an NFLHC franchise. Besides that, we aren’t sure of his scouting ratings quite yet and without an elite WR like Sam Hiller-Weeden his stats have barely looked up to par. He seems like he should have a high ceiling, but might need to go to a good situation to find success. That doesn’t cut it for a top QB prospect. QB Tommy Jones 6-3 198 R Michigan [Pocket] 82 (2018) He was an 82 overall so he was considered for about a second. That said, he was picked in the fourth round and wasn’t particularly a good prospect outside of his overall à la Jamal Brunell, so he was basically the first prospect discarded from consideration. QB Matty Swift 5-11 198 R Texas A&M [Pocket] 82 (2019) QBs under 6 foot are worrisome. But outside of that, there were some serious concerns when it came to Swift, which is why despite being projected to be #1 at some point he fell all the way through half of the second round. His Pro Day showed accuracy and mechanics concerns, two of the most important aspects of playing QB in NFLHC, and there were also serious worries about how much of his production came from throwing to Adrian Jankowski. Ultimately that was enough to keep him off the list, although he would probably end up #11 if we had continued that far. QB R.J. Stanford 5-11 203 R Arkansas [Pocket] 80 (2018) Although a hybrid now, Stanford was a prolific pocket passer coming out. An amazing Pro Day that basically showed him as an elite QB in most facets shot him up draft boards, with many thinking he would go in the first round, though he eventually went in the second to the Giants. Despite his amazing Pro Day, Stanford was just an 80 overall. And although he threw the ball on par with the amount of times AJJ did, his production wasn’t as good - as a senior his passer rating was just 120 (Although on about 650 attempts). That was enough to keep him off.
  8. 32 points
    Soluna

    CFBHC v1.5b

    CFBHC v1.5b Differentiation of Conferences / Unique Experiences Update Part 2: Recruiting - Happy Birthday @DangerZoneh and @stormstopper June 5th, 2018 Pre-Release v1.5.0.15 Notes: Thanks to all those who helped testing and recommended stuff as usual. General Info / Idea I got a ton of feedback about how much the recruiting tiers were loved and how people wish they could adapt custom strategies more easily. I received several ideas from discord/PM/and feedback forums that I've integrated into our system. Additionally, inspiral provided me data on which talents were chosen by which schools so I've rebalanced a lot of the tiers aside from the updates. @inspiral I'm assuming this might be too complicated (although I'm not sure) in which case we could just do it via excel sheet and then tell you the value each school has for each variable instead of making it a GUI thing. Up to you - I know it's a lot of work and appreciate what you've already done. We can discuss details via PM. CFBHC * Recruiting Tiers now scale with the number of wins. Tier 1 is available upon reaching 1 win. Tier 2 is available upon reaching 4 wins. Tier 3 is available upon reaching 7 wins. Tier 4 is available upon reaching 10 wins. A new choice has been added for each tier that is only available for the teams that have reached the maximum number of wins in that tier (called Tier Mastery Talents). (For example if you have 1 win, your choice for the first tier below would be +1 point/+1 school visit/+1 coach visit and the mastery talent would be unavailable as a choice until you made 3 wins.) Tier 1 Choices (1 Win/2 Wins/3 Wins): OLD: (at 2 wins): +3 weekly points OR +3 school visits OR +2 coaches visits Strong Recruiter: +1/+2/+2 weekly recruiting points. School Spirit: +1/+2/+3 school visits. Well Traveled: +1/+2/+2 coaches visits. (New - Mastery Talent) Diversified Recruiting: Gain +1 weekly recruiting points. +1 school visit, and +1 coaches visit. Tier 2 Choices (4 Wins/5 Wins/6 Wins): OLD: (at 5 wins): 25% bonus on host camp recruits (instead of 15%) OR three additional team needs slots OR add a border state and receive 12 points on each recruit there if at least 5 are put on them Quality over Quantity: 22%/24%/26% Supreme Need: 2 extra slots/3 extra slots/3 extra slots Expansive Camps: 12 points/14 points/16 points (NEW - Mastery Talent) International Recruiting: Opt-in to participate in a tertiary, complete independent recruiting that allows you to fight over international recruits with only schools who have selected this as well. Points are shared with primary or secondary (G5) recruiting and visits may NOT be used. (recruits will be posted beforehand, there will be approximately 100 at normal distributions) Tier 3 Choices (7 Wins/8 Wins/9 Wins): OLD: (at 8 wins): home state recruits start with 30 points if at least 5 are put on them (instead of 25) OR bordering state recruits start with 18 points if at least 5 are put on them (instead of 12) OR ensure two JuCo recruits prefer your program. Home State Fortress: 29 points on in-state/31 points on in-state/33 points on in-state Regional Power: 19 points on bordering/21 points on bordering/23 points on bordering National Expsure: 1 JuCo prefers your program/2 JuCos prefer your program/2 JuCos prefer your gram and one further JuCo will have a secondary preference of your school (NEW - Mastery Talent) Over the Top: Improves JuCo Scholarships from +18 to +30 and JuCo Visits from +16 to +30. Receive an additional JuCo Scholarship and reduce your weekly recruiting points by -5. Tier 4 Choices (10 Wins/11 Wins/12 Wins): OLD: (at 11 wins): two star players at 12 points per week OR scholarships up to +25 (from 20) OR instantly claim a 1.0/5.0 or lower player and a 1.0/3.5 or lower player from your home state Rising Star: 2 Star Players at 8 weekly points/2 Star Players at 10 weekly points/2 Star Players at 12 weeekly points Strong Academics: Scholarships are +27/+29/+31 (instead of regular +20) Legacy Locks: Claim two 1.0/4.0 players (or lower) from your state instantly/Claim a 1.0/4.5 and a 1.0/4.0 (or lower) from your state instantly/Claim a 2.0/4.5 and a 1.5/4.0 (or lower) from your state instantly (New - Mastery Talent) Undiscovered Talent: Create a recruit (there will be a thread - subject to name and school approval by Soluna) and receive him as part of your recruiting class instantly. Max skill/potential for each position: QB (2.5/4.5), RB (2.5/4.5), FB (1.0/5.0) WR (1.0/5.0), TE (1.0/5.0), OT (2.5/4.5), OG (1.0/5.0), C (1.0/5.0), DE (2.5/4.5), DT (1.0/5.0), ILB (1.0/5.0), OLB (1.0/5.0), CB (1.0/5.0), FS (1.0/5.0), SS (1.0/5.0), K (2.5/4.5), P (1.5/5.0), LS (1.5/5.0), KR (1.0/5.0), PR (1.0/5.0)
  9. 32 points
    Ryan White, Nordic Network Auburn, Alabama Social media’s influence on the sports world has never been greater. In fact, just today, all of the top Twitter trends happened to revolve around the world of collegiate football. So it should come to no one’s surprise that…. Twitter is changing tradition. Tonight, the Iowa Hawkeyes (2-2) travel to Auburn to take on the undefeated Tigers, in a battle that could shape the season for either team. Iowa, still reeling from a loss at Indiana last Saturday Evening, is desperate for a win, and will rely on the arm and legs of redshirt senior quarterback Mikeal Black to carry them to victory. Auburn, with National Title hopes, will look to their own promising quarterback – Marcus Black. The fact that both quarterbacks have the last name Black is entirely coincidental; Twitter superfans dubbing this the #BLACKOUT, as seen at the top of the trending list, is not. As early as last Wednesday, fans of both Auburn and Iowa began a friendly twitter competition, noticing the shared surname, and then comparing the two Blacks, and eventually, some notable alums weighed in. Heisman trophy winning running back, former Auburn Tiger and current Green Bay Packer, Jaz Durant, supported his former teammate: Meanwhile, a few others, of Iowa fame, threw their names into the backing of Mikeal: Recognizing the friendly rivalry between his two Minnesota Vikings teammates Jared Lee and Jacory Kessler, but also recognizing the charity work both Marcus and Mikeal Black do around their communities, Vikings wide receiver Aaron Ayala decided to expand the challenge, extending the bet from Jaz Durant, Jared Lee, and Jacory Kessler to the entirety of both fan Iowa and Auburn fan bases. Shirts for the game can be picked up at shopncaasports.com/BLACKOUT, or in a limited supply at the game tonight. Each shirt (pictured below) comes in sizes S-XXL, choosing Iowa or Auburn, and will take $19.99 plus applicable tax out of your wallet. The front of each shirt features a commemorative logo, featuring images of both Mikeal Black and Marcus Black, along with basic information surrounding the game. The back of each shirt is unique to each school, showing allegiance to either Mikeal or Marcus Black. With all of the surrounding hype, inspired by the competition between the fan bases, and by Aaron Ayala’s recognition of their student-athletes, the University of Iowa and Auburn University decided to come together to do something special. Iowa is no stranger to wearing different uniforms. They’ve experimented in the past, wearing alternates against Minnesota. Mikeal Black scrambles against Minnesota during their Week 4, 2021 matchup, donning an alternate "Midnight" design. But Auburn has yet to change it up. They haven’t even worn white unis at home before, proudly wearing their Navy Blues at Jordan-Hare since 2013. This week, social media has changed tradition. Auburn, as the home team, will be wearing white uniforms. In honor of the two QBs taking the national spotlight, Auburn will be wearing all-whites, with black and gray trim, with an emphasis on the black. They’ve even pealed the typical Burnt Orange and Navy Blue decals off of their white helmets, opting for black and gray. And Iowa will be wearing almost entirely black unis, with a light gray trim and a steal-like numerical pattern, and charcoal gray helmets. Following the game, all uniforms from both teams will be auctioned off, with the proceeds joining Aaron Ayala’s t-shirt sale donations to Marcus and Mikeal’s causes. Players from Iowa and Auburn enjoyed taking part in a special photo shoot surrounding their alternate uniforms. Pictured are action models, ILB Elias French (left, Iowa) and Sean Meade (right, Auburn) “I never knew a last name could have this much importance,” laughed Mikeal Black in an interview earlier this week. “Now the university president is reaching out to me – the Auburn University president.” No matter the result this weekend, Twitter has shown the good-natured abilities and the reach of college football’s culture.
  10. 31 points
    Soluna

    10th Anniversary Tournament

    As a treat for the 10th anniversary season of the site (2022), at the conclusion of the season (following the 2022 national championship) we'll have an Anniversary Cup during the off-season that will follow the guidelines of the real soccer world cup. 32 CFBHC teams (with their 2022 rosters) will qualify based on the criteria listed below. The teams will be drawn into 8 round-robin groups of 4 where 2 advance. The second round consists of knockout matches based on the group placement. There will be a prize for the winner TBA. The offseason will continue as normal while this is going on. Selection criteria: No more than 6 teams per conference. Former CFBHC National Champions automatically qualify and will be placed into Pot 1 for drawing of groups. LSU Tigers, Alabama Crimson Tide (SEC), Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Independent), Texas Longhorns, Oklahoma Sooners (Big 12), and Penn State Nittany Lions (Big Ten) have already qualified. Either the Missouri Tigers or Purdue Boilermakers will qualify. Teams that have won their conference the most number of times. In the case of a tie of at least 3 victories all teams will qualify. If it is two or less the team to have reached that number earliest will qualify. If a team has already qualified for being a National Champion the runner-up will qualify, if needed this is continued down the line. Rice Owls (C-USA), Air Force Falcons (MWC), Houston Cougars (AAC), Florida State Seminoles (ACC), Kansas Jayhawks (Big 12), Michigan Wolverines (Big Ten), Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (Sun Belt), USC Trojans (Pac-12) The MAC has two teams who can qualify via this route: Northern Illinois Huskies OR Western Michigan Broncos The SEC has four teams who can qualify via this route: Georgia Bulldogs, Florida Gators, Tennessee Volunteers OR Missouri Tigers The remaining 14 or 15 teams will be determined by all time wins. Tournament seeding: Pot A: CFBHC National Champions. If there are only 7 then the 8th spot will be filled by the team with the most wins that does not have a National Championship. Pot B: 1-8 in win percentage from the remaining teams. Pot C: 9-16 in win percentage from the remaining teams. Pot D: 17-24 in win percentage from the remaining teams. The draw will be streamed live and scheduling will follow the World Cup schedule so games will take place over about a month. Each result will have full gameplanning and game reports as normal. Soluna PS: I'm sure someone can come up with an easy way to track qualification for this...
  11. 30 points
    Soluna

    CFBHC v1.5f

    CFBHC v1.5f Differentiation of Conferences / Unique Experiences Update August 28th, 2018 Pre-Release v1.5.4.11 Notes: Thanks to all those who helped testing and recommended stuff as usual. General Info / Idea Two features that were requested from people. No further comment. There will be one more big feature for NFLHC Owners coming to wrap up CFBHC v1.5. CFBHC * Scholarship limit introduced. CFBHC teams are limited to 85 players on their entire roster. As most teams are likely currently above this value teams will now be allowed to only recruit 21 players each year (regular recruiting and/or JuCo). After rosters have normalized I may change this to be your decision per year as long as you don't surpass 85 but for the foreseeable future 21 a year is the max. Walk-ons are still being considered for the future but in a different capacity. NFLHC * Regional newspaper requirement removed.
  12. 30 points
    Each trade analysis post will follow the same format: Type Net Change in Expected Win Total First Team - Net Change in Expected Win Total Second Team Benefits Analysis First Team Detriment Analysis First Team Benefits Analysis Second Team Detritment Analysis Second Team Type (in favor of _____ team) Unfair: Trade is extremely lopsided to one side and should be considered to be voided. The net value of one side is greater than twice the net value of the other. Lopsided: The trade value of one side is between 1.5 and 2.0 times greater for one side than for the other. Slight Edge: The trade value of one side is between 1.2 and 1.5 times greater for one side than for the other. Even: The trade value is within 0.2 for both sides. Because of the nature of trades the net change does not have to be cumulatively 0, it's possible for both teams to be negative, both teams to be positive, or both teams to differ in a way that does not sum to 0. Benefit/Detriment Categories: Leadership: Locker room presence adjustment Age: Likelihood of retirement, proneness to injury Chemistry: How the team is affected as a whole Unit Strength (O-Line, D-Line, Receivers, Linebackers, Secondary, Special Teams, etc): Whether complete or marginal impact on the overall cohesiveness and skill total of the unit. Morale: How much other players are impacted by a leader being traded, a top tier player being traded, or a player gaining competition at their position. Draft value More may be added in the future.
  13. 29 points
    Welcome to another edition of the Chicago Tribune's By the Numbers, a statistically minded look at the contenders and pretenders of the 2021 NFL season. We're through 12 weeks of the season, and every team has 11 games in the books. Some teams are fading, some are surging, and most are right on track heading into the all-important final five. As usual, we'll take a look at the numbers to try and get a sense of where everybody's going to be where the dust settles--and also note where everyone's win projection has moved since last time. Quick note: Strength of played schedule excludes games involving the team in question. Strength of remaining schedule does not--that is, if you've already played 1 of 2 games against a division opponent, that game will be counted in strength of remaining schedule. This is just due to the fact that the former adjustment is easier to put in a spreadsheet than the latter. No blurbs this time due to time constraints, but all the numbers remain. AFC East 1. Miami Dolphins (10-1) Scoring stats: 29.64 PF/game (5th), 15.64 PA/game (1st), +14.00 PD/game (1st) Strength of played schedule: 55-55 (0.500, 13th) Strength of remaining schedule: 21-34 (.382, 30th) Projected record: 13.8-2.2 (Δ -0.2 from midseason) Projected finish: 1st in AFC East, #1 seed in AFC playoffs 2. New York Jets (8-3) Scoring stats: 30.18 PF/game (2nd), 24.82 PA/game (18th), +5.36 PD/game (8th) Strength of played schedule: 48-62 (0.436, 29th) Strength of remaining schedule: 31-24 (.564, 7th) Projected record: 10.6-5.4 (Δ +0.2 from midseason) Projected finish: 2nd in AFC East, #5 seed in AFC playoffs 3. New England Patriots (5-6) Scoring stats: 26.45 PF/game (11th), 25.27 PA/game (20th), +1.18 PD/game (13th) Strength of played schedule: 58-52 (0.527, 9th) Strength of remaining schedule: 25-30 (.455, 22nd) Projected record: 7.6-8.4 (Δ -0.4 from midseason) Projected finish: 3rd in AFC East, miss playoffs, #14 overall pick plus Miami's projected #32 overall pick; Baltimore's projected #13 overall pick unlikely to convey 4. Buffalo Bills (3-8) Scoring stats: 18.09 PF/game (30th), 26.64 PA/game (26th), -8.55 PD/game (29th) Strength of played schedule: 52-58 (0.473, 22nd) Strength of remaining schedule: 30-25 (.545, 8th) Projected record: 4.9-11.1 (Δ -1.4 from midseason) Projected finish: 4th in AFC East, miss playoffs, #5 overall pick, plus Arizona's projected #8 overall pick, plus Houston's projected #12 overall pick AFC North T-1. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-6) Scoring stats: 21.09 PF/game (25th), 20.45 PA/game (6th), +0.64 PD/game Strength of played schedule: 52-58 (0.473, 22nd) Strength of remaining schedule: 24-31 (.436, 23rd) Projected record: 7.7-8.3 (Δ +0.7 from midseason) Projected finish: 1st in AFC North, #4 seed in AFC playoffs T-1. Baltimore Ravens (5-6) Scoring stats: 24.09 PF/game (16th), 24.55 PA/game (17th), -0.45 PD/game (18th) Strength of played schedule: 55-55 (0.500, 13th) Strength of remaining schedule: 22-33 (.400, 27th) Projected record: 7.5-8.5 (Δ +/- 0.0 from midseason) Projected finish: 2nd in AFC North, miss playoffs, #13 overall pick 3. Cleveland Browns (4-7) Scoring stats: 22.27 PF/game (21st), 22.45 PA/game (12th), -0.18 PD/game (16th) Strength of played schedule: 58-52 (0.527, 9th) Strength of remaining schedule: 21-34 (.382, 30th) Projected record: 6.7-9.3 (Δ +1.5 from midseason) Projected finish: 3rd in AFC North, miss playoffs, #11 overall pick 4. Cincinnati Bengals (2-9) Scoring stats: 22.64 PF/game (20th), 32.09 PA/game (31st), -9.45 PD/game (30th) Strength of played schedule: 49-61 (0.445, 27th) Strength of remaining schedule: 29-26 (.527, 13th) Projected record: 3.6-12.4 (Δ -1.1 from midseason) Projected finish: 4th in AFC North, miss playoffs, #3 overall pick AFC South 1. Tennessee Titans (8-3) Scoring stats: 29.73 PF/game (4th), 23.45 PA/game (13th), +6.27 PD/game (7th) Strength of played schedule: 53-57 (0.482, 18th) Strength of remaining schedule: 23-32 (.418, 25th) Projected record: 11.2-4.8 (Δ +1.6 from midseason) Projected finish: 1st in AFC South, #2 seed in AFC playoffs T-2. Houston Texans (5-6) Scoring stats: 27.82 PF/game (8th), 30.55 PA/game (30th), -2.73 PD/game (23rd) Strength of played schedule: 51-59 (0.464, 25th) Strength of remaining schedule: 32-23 (.582, 5th) Projected record: 6.9-9.1 (Δ +0.6 from midseason) Projected finish: 3rd in AFC South, miss playoffs, #12 overall pick conveyed to Buffalo T-2. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-6) Scoring stats: 29.82 PF/game (3rd), 25.82 PA/game (22nd), +4.0 PD/game (9th) Strength of played schedule: 60-50 (0.545, 6th) Strength of remaining schedule: 27-28 (.491, 18th) Projected record: 7.9-8.1 (Δ -2.1 from midseason) Projected finish: 2nd in AFC South, miss playoffs, #15 overall pick 4. Indianapolis Colts (3-8) Scoring stats: 25.18 PF/game (12th), 28.18 PA/game (27th), -3.00 PD/game (24th) Strength of played schedule: 61-49 (0.555, 4th) Strength of remaining schedule: 30-25 (.545, 8th) Projected record: 5.3-10.7 (Δ -0.8 from midseason) Projected finish: 4th in AFC South, miss playoffs, #7 overall pick conveyed to Los Angeles Chargers AFC West T-1. Kansas City Chiefs (7-4) Scoring stats: 21.82 PF/game (23rd), 22.00 PA/game (10th), -0.18 PD/game (16th) Strength of played schedule: 53-57 (0.482, 18th) Strength of remaining schedule: 23-32 (.418, 25th) Projected record: 9.6-6.4 (Δ -1.0 from midseason) Projected finish: 2nd in AFC West, #6 seed in AFC playoffs T-1. Las Vegas Raiders (7-4) Scoring stats: 32.09 PF/game (1st), 20.82 PA/game (7th), +11.27 PD/game (3rd) Strength of played schedule: 55-55 (0.500, 13th) Strength of remaining schedule: 27-28 (.491, 18th) Projected record: 10.5-5.5 (Δ -0.9 from midseason) Projected finish: 1st in AFC West, #3 seed in AFC playoffs 3. Denver Broncos (6-5) Scoring stats: 20.18 PF/game (26th), 21.00 PA/game (8th), -0.82 PD/game (19th) Strength of played schedule: 53-57 (0.482, 18th) Strength of remaining schedule: 28-27 (.509, 15th) Projected record: 8.4-7.6 (Δ +0.5 from midseason) Projected finish: 3rd in AFC West, miss playoffs, #17 overall pick 4. Los Angeles Chargers (1-10) Scoring stats: 18.27 PF/game (29th), 33.73 PA/game (32nd), -15.45 PD/game (31st) Strength of played schedule: 44-66 (0.400, 32nd) Strength of remaining schedule: 34-21 (.618, 3rd) Projected record: 2.1-13.9 (Δ +0.9 from midseason) Projected finish: 4th in AFC West, miss playoffs, #2 overall pick plus Indianapolis's projected #7 overall pick Projected AFC Playoffs #3 Las Vegas Raiders (-7) over #6 Kansas City Chiefs #5 New York Jets over #4 Pittsburgh Steelers (+1) #1 Miami Dolphins (-6.5) over #5 New York Jets #3 Las Vegas Raiders over #2 Tennessee Titans (+2) #1 Miami Dolphins (-3) over #3 Las Vegas Raiders ************************************************************************************************************************************ NFC East 1. Philadelphia Eagles (8-3) Scoring stats: 27.27 PF/game (9th), 19.45 PA/game (5th), +7.82 PD/game (5th) Strength of played schedule: 58-52 (0.527, 9th) Strength of remaining schedule: 22-33 (.400, 27th) Projected record: 11.4-4.6 (Δ -1.1 from midseason) Projected finish: 1st in NFC East, #3 seed in NFC playoffs 2. Dallas Cowboys (7-4) Scoring stats: 24.55 PF/game (14th), 16.64 PA/game (2nd), +7.91 PD/game (4th) Strength of played schedule: 71-39 (0.645, 1st) Strength of remaining schedule: 22-33 (.400, 27th) Projected record: 10.7-5.3 (Δ +0.2 from midseason) Projected finish: 2nd in NFC East, #5 seed in NFC playoffs 3. Washington Football Club (6-5) Scoring stats: 23.91 PF/game (19th), 23.55 PA/game (15th), +0.36 PD/game (15th) Strength of played schedule: 53-57 (0.482, 18th) Strength of remaining schedule: 30-25 (.545, 8th) Projected record: 8.3-7.7 (Δ +0.4 from midseason) Projected finish: 3rd in NFC East, miss playoffs, #16 overall pick 4. New York Giants (1-10) Scoring stats: 13.82 PF/game (32nd), 29.91 PA/game (29th), -16.09 PD/game (32nd) Strength of played schedule: 55-55 (0.500, 13th) Strength of remaining schedule: 34-21 (.618, 3rd) Projected record: 1.9-14.1 (Δ -0.3 from midseason) Projected finish: #4 in NFC East, miss playoffs, #1 overall pick NFC North 1. Green Bay Packers (10-1) Scoring stats: 24.00 PF/game (18th), 16.73 PA/game (3rd), +7.27 PD/game (6th) Strength of played schedule: 47-63 (0.427, 30th) Strength of remaining schedule: 29-26 (.527, 13th) Projected record: 13.0-3.0 (Δ -0.3 from midseason) Projected finish: 1st in NFC North, #1 seed in NFC playoffs 2. Chicago Bears (6-5) Scoring stats: 22.09 PF/game (22nd), 24.36 PA/game (16th), -2.27 PD/game (21st) Strength of played schedule: 46-64 (0.418, 31st) Strength of remaining schedule: 28-27 (.509, 15th) Projected record: 8.5-7.5 (Δ -0.9 from midseason) Projected finish: 2nd in NFC North, miss playoffs, #18 overall pick T-3. Detroit Lions (4-7) Scoring stats: 19.73 PF/game (27th), 22.00 PA/game (10th), -2.27 PD/game (21st) Strength of played schedule: 57-53 (0.518, 12th) Strength of remaining schedule: 26-29 (.473, 21st) Projected record: 6.7-9.3 (Δ +0.3 from midseason) Projected finish: 3rd in NFC North, miss playoffs, #10 overall pick T-3. Minnesota Vikings (4-7) Scoring stats: 21.18 PF/game (24th), 26.36 PA/game (24th), -5.18 PD/game (26th) Strength of played schedule: 60-50 (0.545, 6th) Strength of remaining schedule: 20-35 (.364, 32nd) Projected record: 6.1-9.9 (Δ +0.9 from midseason) Projected finish: 4th in NFC North, miss playoffs, #9 overall pick NFC South T-1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4) Scoring stats: 28.00 PF/game (7th), 25.27 PA/game (20th), +2.73 PD/game (10th) Strength of played schedule: 61-49 (0.555, 4th) Strength of remaining schedule: 27-28 (.491, 18th) Projected record: 9.67-6.33 (Δ +0.6 from midseason) Projected finish: 2nd in NFC South, #6 seed in NFC playoffs T-1. Atlanta Falcons (7-4) Scoring stats: 24.45 PF/game (15th), 21.91 PA/game (9th), +2.55 PD/game (11th) Strength of played schedule: 51-59 (0.464, 25th) Strength of remaining schedule: 35-20 (.636, 2nd) Projected record: 9.2-6.8 (Δ +2.6 from midseason) Projected finish: 3rd in NFC South, miss playoffs, #20 overall pick T-1. Carolina Panthers (7-4) Scoring stats: 27.27 PF/game (9th), 24.91 PA/game (19th), +2.36 PD/game (12th) Strength of played schedule: 66-44 (0.600, 2nd) Strength of remaining schedule: 32-23 (.582, 5th) Projected record: 9.72-6.28 (Δ +0.4 from midseason) Projected finish: 1st in NFC South, #4 seed in NFC playoffs 4. New Orleans Saints (6-5) Scoring stats: 24.91 PF/game (13th), 26.55 PA/game (25th), -1.64 PD/game (20th) Strength of played schedule: 64-46 (0.582, 3rd) Strength of remaining schedule: 24-31 (.436, 23rd) Projected record: 8.7-7.3 (Δ -0.4 from midseason) Projected finish: 4th in NFC South, miss playoffs, #19 overall pick NFC West 1. Los Angeles Rams (9-2) Scoring stats: 29.64 PF/game (5th), 17.36 PA/game (4th), +12.27 PD/game (2nd) Strength of played schedule: 54-56 (0.491, 17th) Strength of remaining schedule: 28-27 (.509, 15th) Projected record: 12.5-3.5 (Δ +1.7 from midseason) Projected finish: #1 in NFC West, #2 seed in NFC playoffs 2. Arizona Cardinals (4-7) Scoring stats: 18.55 PF/game (28th), 26.18 PA/game (23rd), -7.64 PD/game (28th) Strength of played schedule: 49-61 (0.445, 27th) Strength of remaining schedule: 36-19 (.655, 1st) Projected record: 5.6-10.4 (Δ -0.5 from midseason) Projected finish: 2nd in NFC west, miss playoffs, #8 overall pick conveyed to Buffalo, offset by the addition of Seattle's projected #4 overall pick T-3. San Francisco 49ers (3-8) Scoring stats: 24.09 PF/game (16th), 28.36 PA/game (28th), -4.27 PD/game (25th) Strength of played schedule: 59-51 (0.536, 8th) Strength of remaining schedule: 30-25 (.545, 8th) Projected record: 5.1-10.9 (Δ -0.1 from midseason) Projected finish: 3rd in NFC West, miss playoffs, #6 overall pick T-3. Seattle Seahawks (3-8) Scoring stats: 17.64 PF/game (31st), 23.45 PA/game (13th), -5.82 PD/game (27th) Strength of played schedule: 52-58 (0.473, 22nd) Strength of remaining schedule: 30-25 (.545, 8th) Projected record: 4.8-11.2 (Δ -1.6 from midseason) Projected finish: 4th in NFC West, miss playoffs, #4 overall pick conveyed to Arizona Projected NFC Playoffs #3 Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) over #6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers #5 Dallas Cowboys over #4 Carolina Panthers (+2.5) #2 Los Angeles Rams (-3) over #3 Philadelphia Eagles #5 Dallas Cowboys over #1 Green Bay Packers (+2) #2 Los Angeles Rams (-1.5) over #5 Dallas Cowboys ************************************************************************************************************************************ Projected Super Bowl Miami Dolphins (-2) over Los Angeles Rams That does it for this edition of By the Numbers. Until next time, whenever that time may be!
  14. 28 points
    HAFFnHAFF

    Adoption Story and AMA

    In September 2016 my wife and I decided to adopt a child. In November we were matched with a little girl from Nigeria and began the year long process of paperwork and applications. In November of 2017 we went to Nigeria and finalized the adoption in January of this year. Our local news station just ran a 3 1/2 story tonight about our process and you can find it at this link if ur interested. http://m.newson6.com/story.aspx?story=38687203&catId=112042 If any of you have ever thought about adoption or know anyone who has I would love to chat with you about how the process works and answer a questions you might have, no matter what they might be. When we started the process there were lots of questions we had that we didn’t know how to ask. So I promise no question will be offensive or anything like that. Just hit me up if ur interested at all. You can also get way more information about our journey through the blog my wife set up to chronically the process at https://haffwayaroundtheworld.com/
  15. 28 points
    Akiem Williams III, affectionally known as AW3 has captured the hearts and minds of football fans in Clemson, SC, Dallas, TX, and everywhere in-between. The junior college star quarterback will be making his final decision any day now, with Clemson and SMU as his two finalists. We spoke to national recruiting analysts and experts to breakdown his game and predict where the nation's top junior college player will sign. Frankie Thornton, 247sports.com When I look at Akiem Williams, I see an instant impact type player. He's got all the intangibles in the world and will immediately be atop the depth chart at whichever school he attends. His biggest strength by far is his size. He's every bit of 6'3" 235 lbs and is a terror for defensive players to bring down. When he gets into the open field, he doesn't shy away from contact and uses his linebacker frame to punish opposing defenders. He might not have track speed, but with his skillset he certainly doesn't need it. PREDICTION: SMU John Blever, Rivals.com Williams is elite - there's no other way to put it. He's big enough, strong enough, and has all the tools to be an NFLHC quarterback someday. A lot of folks talk about his ability to extend plays with his legs, but I think his arm strength doesn't get talked about enough. He's got a Howitzer attached to his right shoulder and he's not afraid to use it. Does that mean he sometimes tries to fit throws into tight spaces? Sure, but more often than not, he's right on the money. He'll bring an immediate boost to whichever roster he picks and already has NFLHC scouts salivating. PREDICTION: Clemson SCHOOL COMPARISON (all ratings before progressions and * denotes a signee) Biggest competition: QB Frederick Snyder 6-4 227 Fr Grady (Atlanta GA) 3.0 of 4.0 [Hybrid] - QB Marcus Burden 6-5 229 Fr Van Alstyne (Van Alstyne TX) 1.0 of 5.0 [Hybrid] - ADVANTAGE: NEITHER Best weapons WR Andrew Harrison 6-0 230 (Fr) Orangeburg-Wilkinson (Orangeburg SC) 2.0 of 5.0 [Target] WR Theo Chamberlain 6-5 213 Fr Hoggard (Wilmington NC) 3.0 of 5.0 [Target]* WR Sawyer Vogel 6-5 233 Fr Tucker (Tucker GA) 1.0 of 4.5 [Target] - WR Gabriel Munson 6-1 204 Jr Arkansas Baptist (Little Rock AR) 4.0 of 4.5 [Target]* WR Aidan Blount 5-10 178 (So) Bonham (Bonham, TX) 3.0 of 4.5 [Speed] WR Devin Samuel 6-1 220 Fr Willowridge (Sugar Land TX) 1.0 of 5.0 [Target] RB Josiah Brock 5-6 193 (Fr) White Knoll (Lexington SC) 2.0 of 4.5 [Speed] - RB Stephen Cunningham 5-11 194 (Fr) Henrietta (Henrietta TX) 2.5 of 5.0 [Power] TE Kisona Vailopa 6-3 239 Fr Meigs County (Decatur TN) 3.0 of 5.0 [Blocking] - TE Timothy Jennings 6-0 242 (Fr) Iraan (Iraan TX) 2.0 of 5.0 [Blocking] - ADVANTAGE: Offensive line OT Matt Maynard 6-6 314 Fr Cook (Adel GA) 1.0 of 5.0 [Pass Blocking] OG Philip Bowden 6-7 272 Fr Loganville (Loganville GA) 1.0 of 5.0 [Pass Blocking] C Byron Alexander 6-3 299 Fr Rock Hill (Rock Hill SC) 3.0 of 4.5 [Run Blocking] OG Philip Bowden 6-7 272 Fr Loganville (Loganville GA) 1.0 of 5.0 [Pass Blocking] OT Ivan Schultz 6-7 303 (Fr) Crescent (Iva SC) 2.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] - OT Terrell McRae 6-4 276 (Jr) Quinton (Quinton, OK) 4.5 of 4.5 [Pass Blocking] OG Derek Quintana 6-4 338 Fr Mesquite (Mesquite TX) 3.0 of 4.5 [Run Blocking] C Martin Rush 6-1 255 Fr Longview (Longview TX) 3.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] OG Jeremiah Berman 6-1 263 (Jr) Joaquin (Joaquin, TX) 4.0 of 4.0 [Pass Blocking] OT Jonathan Lang 6-3 322 Fr Robert E. Lee (Midland TX) 1.0 of 5.0 [Pass Blocking] - ADVANTAGE: Distance: - 871 miles (Clemson, SC -> Hutchinson, KS) - 367 miles (Dallas, TX -> Hutchinson, KS) - ADVANTAGE: Williams says his decision could come "any day now" Stay tuned.
  16. 26 points
    With Free Agency winding down cfbhc.com's own Npklemm and Dean_Craig_Pelton breakdown their Free Agency winners and losers. Dean's Free Agency Winners and Losers Winner-Greg Cobb The 5th year WR who spent the last few years getting dimes thrown to him by Brian Brown is cashing in on all his catches. Cobb tied the lead league in TD Receptions on the year with 16 and was sure handed with only 1 recorded drop on the year. Cobb's hands made WR needy and cap loaded teams go crazy and Owner-GMs pumph and Nmize went to war offering Cobb over $50 million guaranteed. While his QB won't be of Brian Brown quality next year, Cobb will have 20 million reasons not to care about that. Loser- The New York Giants Targets Greg Cobb Charlie Paul Malik Dawson The Giants are losers in the sense that they lost out on everyone that they bid for. However, I honestly think it wound up being a good thing as the Giants were able to save some cap. However, I believe they overpaid some aging declining veterans to make up for those losses (Polsfoot, Harper, and Duckworth) and only came away with one signing I really liked (Jeffreys). Regardless, if the Giants manage to get their hands on Matt Jones they can turn from Losers into Winners. Losers- Taylor Rodriguez and Paul Davenport With the current QB contract market Taylor Rodriguez and Paul Davenport thought they weren't getting their dues from their teams so they tested the open market. The problem is teams valued Davenport and Rodriguez even less then their former teams did. Davenport had to settle down with the Cardinals for 2/22 mil after getting offered 5 yrs/100 mil from the Giants during the regular season. Davenport may be able to make the money back after his two year stint in Arizona but the odds are against him now. The Cardinals also offered TRod a 3 y/36 mil offer and now TRod has been completely neglected in FA receiving 0 offers with no teams to offer in sight. It seems as if Rodriguez will have to wait until post draft to find his home. Winners- Mohammed Foster and the Chicago Bears With MoFo taking over the reigns as Brooksheer heads east to the Steelers, Family duo Stormstopper and Darman have started to assemble quite the arsenal of weapons for their new QB1 going out and signing Charlie Paul and Vaughan Abraham this offseason. Abraham was let go in favor of the younger Adrian Robinson in Dallas but Abraham now looks to be the face of a new look Bears offense. Foster will also have Paul to throw to alongside Bears longtime leading receiver David Gaines. With these new additions and the 11th overall pick in the draft the Bears are certainly a team to lookout for in 2022. Winners- Reggie Watkins and the Patriots This pair just works. Watkins has spent years as a underappreciated QB in the NFL and he is finally getting treated fairly in New England. Watkins is going to be able to settle down with 39 million coming his way over the next two years. The Patriots also did a wonderful job by keeping the final year of the deal non-guaranteed in case of a drop off but still made the deal manageable if Watkins stays on track. Wonderful deal for both sides. Losers-The Chargers Spending $20 million dollars to upgrade your offense after going 1-15 is a wonderful idea. But that $20 million dollars should have been spread out. The Chargers running game has been abysmal, ranking 6th worst in the league, and Matty Swift is your QB and cannot be relied upon as the sole option. Adding Greg Cobb to help him out makes sense but you needed help at running back too (Chacon is not a viable solution). Spending Cobb money on Dess or Abraham would have been a much better move. The Chargers should have made the moves the Bears are making and while I don't hate the Cobb signing in full. I'm not a fan of the direction the Chargers are headed in at the moment. Klemm's Free Agency Winners and Losers Winners – Cornerbacks: Marquez Warner got 32.5 MM fully guaranteed from Kansas City. Aaron Samuelsson received 14.5 MM from Arizona, Jaylen Harris received 22 MM from Chicago, D.J. Reed received 10.5 MM from Buffalo. These guys absolutely made bank in Free Agency, they would never have received these deals from their original teams. Now, are they worth those deals? Not really, they were massively overpaid. Which is why they come away as winners. Losers – OLB Hungry Teams: There was only one OLB rated higher than 80 to hit Free Agency. Kwazi Robb held that distinction. There were then two guys rated between 75-79, Ray Truax and Charley Graham. If you needed to replace a starting OLB in Free Agency this season, you were boned. The Colts lucked out by signing Robb, although Robb is getting almost $6MM for one season. There weren’t really any backup level guys available. This is going to make OLB a highly sought after position in the upcoming draft. Winner–Norris Brooksheer: Brooksheer signed a 56.75 MM deal over 3 years with the Pittsburgh Steelers. I certainly didn’t expect Brooksheer to get the biggest QB deal so far. Brooksheer had a promising rookie season, but didn’t seem to improve like many would have liked to see. The Bears drafted Mohammed Foster 5th overall last season, and then released Norris this year. Pittsburgh traded Paul Davenport to the Giants for RJ Stanford early on last season, only to release Stanford at the end of the season. They’re looking to Norris to lead them into the future and win the AFCN. Losers – Special Teams: So far, only one specialist has been signed. P Cliff Randall was signed by the Buccaneers. Other than that, no one has gotten any interest from the league. Long time kickers Daryl Holmes, Michael Turner, and Stanley Brewster are still searching for a new home. Punter Bud McCullough has nowhere to play either. Either teams are secure in their Special Teams units, or they’re looking at the draft to get their new starters. Winners–New York Jets: The Jets signed CB Lee Davis and SS Bennie Richardson. But that’s not why they’re winners. They’re winners for those sweet 2023 Comp Picks. They couldn’t re-sign Marques Warner, Kwazi Robb, and Bob Ballard. They should get a 4th and 2 5th for not having re-signed their star defenders. Losers – Centers: Not a single Center has been signed. Not a single Center has had a visit with a team. There has been 0 interest in these Free Agent Centers. Center depth around the league isn’t great, and these guys could step into backup roles on quite a few teams, but those teams don’t seem to want them. At this point, most of these guys will finish their careers as Free Agents.
  17. 25 points
    Jumbo

    Re-Visiting the 2017 NFLHC Draft

    (Format shamelessly stolen from this article because it's a good format - https://www.footballoutsiders.com/nfl-draft/2018/2012-nfl-draft-six-years-later) At the time, considered the best top of the draft in NFLHC history, the 2017 NFLHC Draft... has not quite lived up to the hype it was once given. It's possible that none of the Big 3 QBs that were taken in the top 5 will be starting at this time next year, although most of the big skill position players worked out to some extent. The depth of this class was... bad to say the least, and overall it didn't work out. But still, with contracts expiring this is an interesting time to look at how the players in the class worked out. Quarterbacks Conventional Wisdom: The big three all had their favorites. Some preferred Oklahoma's Norris Brooksheer, some preferred North Carolina's AJ Jefferson (I was in this camp), and some preferred Iowa's Jarius Jones. Brooksheer was coming off a Heisman season, AJJ was the first big early declaration from the first generated recruiting list, and Jarius had long been a stathead favorite. All three had their pros and cons but everyone thought at least one would pan out compared to what was looked at as a weaker 2016 class (that perception has since flipped). Lawyer Johnson was the most intriguing of the next tier with the highest Wonderlic score recorded by a QB up to that point, and following up the pedigree of Wisconsin QBs set by the Rams' Darrell Murphy and the previous year's #1 pick, the Jets' Erik Wegert. Pitt's James Dale had some hype, and he was the only one to defeat 2016's national champs Notre Dame, but his first round hype was mostly just smoke. Alabama's Erasmus McCready had some love but most just thought that he was a product of the incredibly talented team around him. Some were fans of some of the later round QBs. NC State's Donald Caldwell was a winner despite some of the lack of talent around him. Colorado State's Robert Martin came from a smaller, less competitive conference but put up some incredible stats. Washington's Anthony Newson, despite his low rating, did manage to make it to the national championship in 2016. Dick Cook, Sam Light, and Glen Spencer, all of whom were terrible, all managed to get drafted. At least Spencer was intentionally converted to WR. Highest Pick: Brooksheer, 1st overall to the Bears. Best Player: This is a tough one, because all of the top three did not pan out, Lawyer Johnson didn't either, and none of the late round QBs are sniffing playing time any time soon. The big three are the only three still starting so I'd think it would come from them. Overall, I would have to give it to Brooksheer. Even though he'll be kicked out the door and probably won't be starting for an NFLHC team next year, and the other two of the big three are significantly more likely to still be starting for their respective teams in 2021, he's performing the best of the three of them and has shown the most glimpses of being a passable starter. He's led a Bears team that shouldn't have been sniffing playoff contention pretty damn close, although it's been 5 years and he hasn't done that; his overall stats have been not great but the most consistent; and frankly, I don't think the other two are particularly good although AJJ's 2021 stats are technically the best. Biggest Bust: All three of the Big Three really, but I'd have to go with Jarius Jones. I don't think it's particularly his fault, but going to expansion team Arizona seems to have ruined any potential he had completely. He was just okay for three years, somehow got traded for two first round picks, and has been completely stinking it up in Seattle over the past two years. He's been significantly worse than the other two this year with just a 14 TD - 13 INT ratio. Honorary mention to Lawyer Johnson who was kicked out of New England pretty quickly after getting benched for Bad Davis last year. Best Value: Erasmus McCready was a third round pick and he's starting on a team that could make the playoffs. Let's ignore the 4 TD - 4 INT ratio in 9 starts, but that's still pretty passable for a third rounder. 6th round pick, UCLA's Ken Eller had a decent starting run in Philadelphia for a bit despite most people not even knowing who that was, and he honestly wasn't terrible for quite a time there. The pick right after Eller, USC's Mike Thomas got traded for a 4th round pick this offseason before stinking up the joint for the Giants. He's looked good in preseason at least. I'd honestly give it to McCready just for his game manager ability that Eller and Thomas don't have. Running Backs Conventional Wisdom: Despite having 3 81s and 2 80s, this was looked at as a relatively weak runningback class. Oregon's Shawn Anderson was generally considered the top RB in the class pre-combine, and none of the RBs really peaked out past him. Anderson had a pretty incredibly college career but there was some worry about tread on the tires. Syracuse's Chester Dorenbos and and FSU's Mike Latta were typically considered in the top three backs with, similarly to the QBs, everyone having their favorite. The class did have some decent depth. 81 overall RB who would eventually go in the 5th round, Northwestern's Michael Shoemaker, was good in college, but there were serious concerns when he ran a 4.68 40 at the combine. UCF's Buzz Etcheverry had his fans (see: el formulo™) and the next tier, while all high overall, were not considered particularly promising prospects: Arizona State's John Harris was just okay in college in a weak defensive conference, Purdue's Joseph Bowen was solid at the combine with decent production, and Missouri's Eddie Anderson was great in college but there were concerns he was carried by QB Aaron Shea (spoiler: he was). Some were fans of NC State's Jeff Collett and especially lower overall Notre Dame product Nick Engelberger, who was perceived as having carried the Irish to the national title. Highest Pick: Latta, 47th overall to the Panthers. Best Player: It's easily Latta. I wasn't his biggest fan at the time but then-Panthers GM randye clearly made the right pick. There were some rumblings about whether he'd stay in Carolina over his relative lack of workload, but he did recently sign a 3 year / $26 million deal to stay with the team. A threat in the receiving game and also to break one long, Latta is overall a pretty good fit for the Carolina offense. No other back sniffed a starting job for more than a couple of seasons, although Engelberger did have a decent run in Pittsburgh - but Latta is significantly ahead of the pack in all production metrics. Biggest Bust: Well, no runningback went in the first round so no huge busts. That said, the only other second round running back was UCF's Buzz Etcheverry... and he was not good for the Texans. After a disastrous rookie year in Houston, where he managed just 4 YPC behind what was rated the league's second best offensive line, he started just one game in Houston in his second season before he was traded in what amounted in a cap dump to Cincinnati, who had just drafted Ron Thomas and had no plans to start him. He didn't get a single start afterwards and is currently 3rd string in Kansas City. Honorable mentions to Dorenbos and Anderson, both of whom went in the third round and only effectively managed to hold down starting jobs for a season or two. Best Value: Surprisingly, taking the low overall Engelberger in the draft at all did work out, as he put in three seasons of starting football for expansion team Pittsburgh. He was actually pretty decent in '17 and '18 before putting up below 4 YPC in 2019. After the Chester Henson trade he was cast aside and is now the backup in Cincy. Collett also has managed to start a couple of games in Washington. Wide Receivers Conventional Wisdom: Recently FBS-added North Texas had a hyped start on their hands - one Sean Jenkins, who destroyed defenses in his only FBS season to the tune of 15+ YPC and 15 TD next to fellow starter Allen Allen. Some did prefer Oklahoma's Tai Miller to Jenkins, as he had put up an even better YPC (16.3) though with half the touchdowns. Those two were clearly established at the top as future stars, but there was also considered to be some good depth in the first round tier of receivers. Penn State's Mark Harrington, while disliked by his coach, put up a 17 YPC with 10 TD for 1100 yards and added 2 kick return TDs and a punt return TD along with it. He had perceived big play ability. Miami's Sonny Beckett was a combine darling, running an incredible 4.23 40 with a 42 vertical leap. He only had 44 receptions as a senior but he still managed 864 yards thanks to QB Paul Davenport's big arm. Some liked Michigan's Gordon Kleinsasser and Baylor's Eddie McFadden, the former with a good combine for a target receiver and decent college production and the latter with production concerns (just 33/462/2 as a senior) but who also blew up the combine. Highest Pick: Jenkins, 4th overall to the Saints. Best Player: We're 3/3 on the highest pick being the best player thus far. Jenkins is quite arguably the league's best receiver and has given QB Aaron Devereaux a consistent big play threat and target to throw to. He leads this class in yards and TD by quite a margin and has been a 2019 and 2020 Pro Bowler and 2020 All-Pro selection. Biggest Bust: It's close between Harrington and Kleinsasser. Both of them put up 3 seasons of productive for their respective teams, though that's primarily due the nature of NFLHC depth up to this point, before receiving minimal playing time in their fourth seasons and moving to a new team in their fifth season and getting buried on the depth chart. I'd give it to Kleinsasser as his production was a bit worse and the fact that he's actually declined in overall since being a rookie. Best Value: 4th round pick Aaron Pagliei actually had a 1,000 yard season for Detroit in 2019, but has mostly been minimally used since in both Detroit and in his new home in Chicago. Although 3rd round pick Hines Mertens has just 94 yards this year, he put up 1,000 yards and 8 TD as a rookie before putting up close to that in the next 3 seasons. 2nd rounder Cotton Lewis caught 10 TD in 2020 before being moved to New Orleans for a 4th round pick and another receiver. But the honor of being the best goes to Miami 3rd rounder, Greg Cobb from Cincinnati. He exploded with 900 yards and 10 TD as a rookie, got buried on the depth chart in his 2nd year, before proceeding to put up 1200 yards and 10 TD in 2020 while already being at 1272 yards and 14 TD to this point in 2021... and the year isn't even finished! Outside of Jenkins and Miller, Cobb has the most career yards in this class, though some of that can be attributed to playing with Brian Brown. Tight Ends Conventional Wisdom: This was a relatively weak tight end class. Following the failure of Danny Patrick from the prior class, people were a bit scared to pick tight ends, and with just 3 getting combine invites the strength of the class just wasn't there. Only three went in the first four rounds. Georgia's Tony Huff was typically considered the best in the class due to his blocking ability and superior combine to the other two, although he had pedestrian college production. Auburn's Kelly Littleton had some teams interested in him for raw athletic potential, but he had just 180 yards as a senior. USC's Jerry Cipa was the only other TE who went to the combine, and while his 500 yards and 5 TD as a senior outperformed the other two combined, he had injury risk and a weak combine. The depth of the class was considered weak but passable. Miami's Rick Philcox and TCU's Paul Carter-Williams were next highly ranked while some people favored later projected prospects from the ACC - Georgia Tech's Kendall Brandon and Clemson's Quentin McCullough. Highest Pick: Huff, 49th overall to the Seahawks. Best Player: We're going away from the top player in the class for once. Cipa has just one season below 500 receiving yards so far in his career, and made his first Pro Bowl in 2020 after putting up a incredible 78 reception, 1058 yard, 9 TD season. While he's now having probably his worst season, that Pro Bowl nod (compared to Huff's nod for a more pedestrian season) gets him the pick. Biggest Bust: Kelly Littleton was just pedestrian in Jacksonville, putting up some decent seasons but ultimately falling off and eventually getting traded to the Panthers. He backed up Curtis Henry during his incredible rookie season and then got traded to Houston once again, where he ended up out for the season. He's still on a roster but since he's not starting - he's behind the depth chart to a guy picked later than him - and has the worst stats of the guys drafted in the first four rounds he gets the nod. Best Value: Kendall Brandon was widely considered the best backup TE in the league in 2019 and 2020 as though he didn't put up much production, he played well as a blocker and was getting some good progressions. After refusing to re-sign in Miami he landed in Houston, pairing up with Alex Leshoure to put up 44 receptions for 684 yards and 8 TD thus far. Not bad for a guy picked 180th overall. Offensive Linemen Conventional Wisdom: This was an incredible offensive tackle class. 15 went in the first 60 picks. There was some debate as to whether Florida State's Grey Brown, Oklahoma State's Ryan Robinson, or Michigan State's Robert Haynes were the best in the class, and some really liked Wisconsin's Gary Tomlinson as a former walk-on farmhand country boy. The guard class was much weaker as Clemson's John Tripucka was the only one who even received a combine invite. Center had three solid prospects - Arizona State's TJ Brumm was nimble though injury prone, Washington's Don Teteak was the biggest and strongest, and Utah's Lloyd Nieves had playcalling experience. The offensive tackles were clearly the best feature, however. Highest Pick: Brown, 7th overall to the Lions. Best Player: Going strictly by overall, the answer is clearly Grey Brown as he has now hit a 96 overall and was a 2018 and 2019 Pro Bowler. An argument could be made for Ryan Robinson as he was a 2019 All-Pro along with a 2018 and 2019 Pro Bowler. Gary Tomlinson was a 2019 and 2020 Pro Bowler as well, though he's likely third best overall. Biggest Bust: There are a surprisingly large amount of busts in the first round. G John Tripucka (17th overall to Seattle) is an 87; OT Glenn Boyd (20th overall to Jacksonville) is an 85; OT Wesley Dawkins (21st overall to New Orleans) is an 86; and C TJ Brumm (24th to NYJ, now on Arizona) is an 85. Since Tripucka was a pick largely functioning from need, I'd give the overall nod to Glenn Boyd. Best Value: Forgive me if I missed someone, this is pretty tough to do when functioning from just overall. I'd give it to Ravens OT Carlos Gothard from Clemson, the 16th OT off the board in the 3rd round and now an 85 overall and starter in Baltimore. Chiefs' 4th round OG Boyd Buckley is also a starter, though he's just an 82 overall. Defensive Linemen Conventional Wisdom: Oklahoma State's Anthony Ortiz was super, super good. He even got some future Heisman hype but ended up declaring early. The rest of the defensive ends were just okay, although some liked Navy's Demarius Strong or Auburn's Brett Bailey. The defensive tackles didn't have a star player, but had a lot of good ones. Texas' Marlin Eason was coming off of a 9 sack season, Nebraska's Carnell Meadows was a strong run stopper who showed up the combine, and USC's Mike Wohlabaugh had the highest overall. Jones County Junior College entrant Kenneth Clarke was an intriguing prospect and Boise State's Nathan Knowlton had a strong combine despite a complete lack of pass rushing ability. Highest Pick: Ortiz, 3rd overall to the Bills. Best Player: Yeah, it's Ortiz. Wohlabaugh and Eason are good players, Meadows has had strong production at times, and Bailey has the NFLHC record for most sacks in a game, but Ortiz is clearly the best overall player. He's made the last two Pro Bowls, now has three consecutive seasons with at least 10 sacks, and has 46.5 through his five-year career thus far. Enough said. Biggest Bust: Man, those junior college players were intriguing... if only any that weren't linebackers turned out well. Kenneth Clarke was the 37th overall pick. He's now a 75 overall, has only made a statsheet one time in his career, and has no recorded career stats. Yeesh. Best Value: Big 6 foot 8 nose tackle Reggie Hedberg went to the expansion Eagles in the 4th round and so had the immediate opportunity to start. He didn't manage a sack as a rookie but played the run well, and still functions mainly as a run stopper, but he does have 12 career sacks to his name at this point. Fellow 4th rounder Joseph Owen has started a few games in New England and has 4.5 sacks with 2 FF and 2 FR this season. Linebackers Conventional Wisdom: Top two inside linebackers, Alabama's Tunch Richardson and Houston's Phillip Moore, dominated in college and were expected to be high draft picks. Preference came down to those who preferred athleticism and big game experience (Tunch) or intelligence and leadership (Moore). Texas A&M's Alex Martin wasn't considered a first round prospect though he eventually went there, but 76 tackles as a senior did help his case. Only Oklahoma State's Dewey Tomlinson and USC's Jimmy Workman got combine invites at ILB, but neither were regarded highly. Some thought fondly of Illinois' Zion Adakwa who produced well on a bad Illini team. At outside linebacker, Kansas State's David Doherty received incredible acclaim and was thought to the best OLB prospect since Tyrone Jones by some, although his production as a senior (55 tackles and a sack) was just alright. There were some decent second round prospects as well, like Arizona State's Thomas Barry and Minnesota's Leigh Davey. Highest Pick: Doherty, 12th overall. Best Player: Surprisingly, Alex Martin is the highest rated not just linebacker but defensive player from this class but I think the overall nod goes to Doherty. Despite a down 2021, he was a 2020 All-Pro at a stacked edge position and is the only player in this class to have made the Pro Bowl in all four possible seasons in which he could have made it. Doherty was starting to stack up the resume of a future Hall of Famer, although this down year doesn't help; but with the Titans having clinched their first division title and playoff appearance, some playoff accolades could help him out anyway. Biggest Bust: Up until his solid 2020, you could easily have argued for Moore; now, I'd go with 2nd round pick Tom Johnson who just hasn't progressed or produced much in his career. Boring pick, but there aren't many other choices here. Best Value: Adakwa is my (homer) pick here. Having progressed to an 89 overall already, his departure to Seattle for a fully guaranteed 4 year $46 million deal has hurt the Jets defensive significantly and despite never producing gaudy stats his impact as a defensive leader has always been felt. Honorable mention to now-49ers OLB Chris Reed, who went just two picks after Adakwa, having gone +5 this prior offseason and generally becoming a consistent producer in San Fran. Defensive Backs Conventional Wisdom: Alabama's Mike Gradishar was generally looked at as the top DB in the class. Some liked intriguing 4.5/4.5 early entry Laurent Christensen from Army, while Oregon product Corey Quinn destroyed the combine after a 4 interception senior year. Florida State's Michael Barber was a sneaky first round pick after a solid combine. Michigan State's Brandon Sauter was considered by far the best safety prospect in the class as someone who could both ballhawk and hit hard and his combine only confirmed that. Iowa State's Adam Newman topped Sauter's combine, who up to that point would have had the best strong safety combine in any class. And a lot of scouts loved Fresno State's Romulus Jackson after he nabbed 7 interceptions as a senior. There was a giant need for free safety throughout NFLHC... and yet zero were invited to the combine. A bunch of them were overdrafted and unsurprisingly none turned out very well. Highest Pick: Gradishar, 6th overall to Oakland. Best Player: By overall, it's Sauter. Corner is a more valuable position, and I'd be inclined to give it to Quinn, who's pretty close to Sauter but is struggling significantly in his transition to #1 corner this season; Gradishar has had a solid overall career as well. But Sauter has been the most consistent of all of them and his 7-interception 2018 is tied for the highest in a season with any of the corners in this season, so with his impact as an enforcer I'd give it to him overall. Biggest Bust: He's had a decent career to this point, but overall it's Michael Barber who went 32nd to Washington. Still a starter, he's a risk-taking ballhawk who doesn't get enough interceptions to justify his lapses in coverage. He's generally good for 2-4 interceptions a year but with Washington not that strong in coverage he's generally a weakness more than he's a strength, and at just 84 overall he probably won't be a starter for too much longer. Best Value: 5th round SS Norris Nolan has started in New England since his rookie year and he's always been solid - I'd actually describe him similarly to Barber in terms of interceptions and risk except he's higher overall and only cost a 5th round pick instead of a 1st. 5th round FS LaMichael Jones was one of the best taken despite being the 7th free safety taken. 4th round corner Lynn Perry has been a solid mainstay in the nickel for Baltimore and is good for an interception or two yearly. Indy's SS Chris Brown, taken at the 2nd to last pick of the 2nd, as though his stats aren't flashy he's a solid run stopper, fast enough to play proper coverage, and still able to nab a couple interceptions a season. His overall has also pretty consistently progressed him to the caliber of the first round guys of this same class. Special Teams Conventional Wisdom: Jason Sochia, Notre Dame's wiz-kid punter/kicker kicked a solid 75% on field goals while leading the nation in punting average. The kickers were highly regarded, with Texas' Gino Chiaverini, the nation's most accurate kicker, UCLA's Chris Hoag, the nation's strongest-legged kicker, and Florida State's Dennis Scott, a combination of the previously two mentioned attributes, were generally considered the best 3. Some liked Pitt's Stanley Brewster, although I'm not sure why. Highest Pick: Hoag, 104th overall to the Jets. Best Player: Hoag is actually having one of the best kicking seasons in NFLHC in 2021, but was relatively inconsistent up to this point. Chiaverini was probably the best kicker to this point, having been as advertised accuracy-wise. However, I'd give the overall nod to Sochia, the highest overall player to come out of the class and currently the NFLHC leader in punting average. Unlike Hoag, who's only been this good in 2021, he's been one of the top 5 punters in NFLHC essentially since he entered the league. Biggest Bust: Brewster was the 5th kicker off the board, 169th overall to the Giants. An 82 overall accuracy kicker who had a solid combine, he seemed destined to at least be a decent NFLHC kicker. It wasn't meant to be, as after missing just one kick per season in his first two years he kicked just 78% on field goal tries in his next two years and began missing extra points once they were moved back. After being let go by new GM deandean1998 he hasn't been able to find another NFLHC job. Best Value: Northwest Mississippi Community College Leon Woodruff was the 9th and final kicker off the board, but he's put in 5 solid seasons of work in Tennessee and has been an accurate 85% career kicker. Not too bad considering a few busts and worse kickers went ahead of him. Best and Worst Performing Teams The 2017 class was so rough in the late rounds that I have to award the best class to a team that only got production from their two first round picks. The Raiders got Mike Gradishar, a quality #1 CB, and Alex Martin, the highest rated defensive player and solid ILB, with their two first round picks. With no second round pick there isn't much to penalize there, and though 3rd round RB Chester Dorenbos was a bust there was no team that managed to avoid drafting busts. The value of those two first round picks on Vegas' solid defense is too much to pass up. The Texans, meanwhile, had a rough draft class. Despite 2 2nd round picks and 7 picks in the first four rounds total, not a single player still starts in NFLHC, let alone for the Texans. None of the players they drafted remain on the roster just 4 seasons later. The best pick was probably WR Gordon Kleinsasser, a guy who has declined from his rookie overall, or DT Nathan Knolwton who can't even nab a starting job on the Chargers.
  18. 25 points
    Franz Kafka

    [2021] NFLHC Franzies

    Welcome to the 2021 edition of the Franzies! Full season awards given out to the best, brightest, and those who we may want to forget. Most Important Player Brian Brown, QB Best Coach inspiral Best Overall Team Butterfinger Ball Carrier Award (Most fumbles) Terrence Rodgers, RB - 6 fumbles, 5 lost Stonehands Award (Most drops) Tommy Pottios, WR - 10 drops Stickum Award (Most catches without a drop) Richard Wilson, WR - 78 catches Loss is More Award (Most tackles for loss) Ryan Frey, DE - 12 TFL Inch by Inch Award (Lowest yards per catch, minimum 50 catches) Tyron Chambers, WR 11.48 ypc, 60 catches Dangerzoneh 'Fullbacks Are People, Too' Award (Best offensive season by a FB) Alex Engram, FB - 9 carries, 23 yards, 3 TD Securing the Rock Award (Most carries without a fumble) Major Morris, RB - 229 carries Everyone is Fumbling Award (Team with the most lost fumbles) - 11 I Drop, You Drop, We All Drop the Passes (Team with the most drops) - 24 - 24 Quit While You're Ahead Award (Player with the highest QBR, regardless of attempts) Rob Corp, QB - 139.76 Dink and Dunk Award (lowest yards per pass attempt, regardless of attempts) Cody Albright, QB - 32 attempts, 4.13 ypa Tough Sledding Award (Lowest ypc, min. 100 carries) Daniel Hutchins, RB - 3.26 ypc on 115 carries Swiss Cheese Award (Lowest team OL rating) - 7.61 Go Deep Award (Highest yards per catch, minimum 50 catches) Brian Gary, TE 16.9 ypc, 52 catches Just Punt on Third Down Award (Lowest 3rd down %) - 23.53% Can't Get Off the Field Award (Highest opponents' 3rd down %) - 45.3% Sackmaster Award (Most sacks) Ron Rice, DE 16.5 Living in the Backfield Award (Most combined sacks and TFL) Ryan Frey, DE 26 (14.0 - 12) Useless Statline Award (Players who made a statsheet - barely) Offense: Will Fuller, RB - 2 carries, 0 yards Defense: Jared Clay, ILB - 3 tackles Special Teams: Tyler Oliva, K - 1/5 FG Who is This Guy Award (lowest rated player to score a touchdown) Mamadou Wynn, RB - 132 total yards, TD - 67 rating Mama, There Goes That Man Award (highest yards per carry, regardless of attempts) Marvin Washington, RB - 39 carries, 7.23 ypc Secret Service Award (Team who allowed the fewest sacks) 8 sacks allowed Thanos 'Perfectly Balanced' Award (team closest to 0 in point differential) +1 All Night Long Award (Back with the most carries Terrence Rodgers, RB 337 Out of the Backfield Award (Back with the most receiving yards) Mike Latta, RB 260 receiving yards Head in the Clouds Award (Tallest player to catch a pass) Kevin Knight, TE 6'8" - 31 catches, 439 yards, TD I Will Break You Award (Most forced fumbles) Barron Anthony, DE - 3 One Hit Wonder Award (Best stats in their only appearance) OFF: Rob Corp, QB 17/23, 260 yards, 2 TD DEF: Nathaniel Woodworth, CB 3 tackles, 2 INT, PD 70s are people, too (Best seasons from sub-80 rated players) OFF: Cody Hunter, WR 79 rating - 977 yards, 11 TD DEF: Kenji Sagatomo, OLB 79 rating - 44 tackles, 2.5 sacks, 5 TFL, 2 FF, PD This is Mine Award (Most interceptions) Cameron Newhouse, CB 9 INT -- Congratulations to all the winners!
  19. 25 points
    Time

    Roast Me (CFBHC Edition)

    At least he hasn't slowly quickly dismantled the best program in CFBHC history into a team that's 1 gave over .500
  20. 25 points
    Oklahoma State Fans Seek Stability In Coaching Warning: Tweets below contain adult language. For fans of Oklahoma State Cowboys, the 2021 season has been nothing short of a roller-coaster ride that everyone is ready to get off of. Before the season started, hype had reached heights that fans had not had in some time. Several mediocre seasons had built up to what looked to be a big leap forward for the program. Early previews already had them pegged as the one Big XII squad to really threaten the clear conference favorite, TCU. However, the season started off rocky. Following the departure of long-time coach panther553212 very early into the season, the university found themselves at a loss. Do they ride out the season with an interim and hope for the best? In this day and age, an interim coach can be a death-sentence for a program that seemed to have all the potential in the world. But what coach would take a job just after the season had begun? The school decided to start the coaching search in earnest. Well the prayers from Stillwater were quickly answered. Legendary coach and two-time national champion randye4 jumped at the opportunity to once again be in the national spotlight. The FAU coach seemed to be the perfect man for the job, but led the team to a 30-33 OT loss against a tough Virginia Tech team. However, the veteran coach got the team firing on all cylinders and stomped all competition in their way. Fan hype was again at an all time high. With a high powered team and a legendary coach at the helm, what could derail a season where fate seemed to be back on their side? Nobody coaches forever. Coaches have an ideal time where they see themselves riding off into the sunset of retirement, but life frequently has other plans. Coach randye4 stepped down following a big win over USC due to life events, leaving fans confused and wondering about the future of their team. The school once again found themselves scrambling to find another coach for the second time in a matter of weeks. It was clear they wouldn't be able to find another Hall of Famer like randye4, and the middle of the season is an even tougher time to get a new coach to come to campus. The school finally wound up picking ZackTyzwyz, the young coach from Utah State, as their third coach for the 2021 season. Largely unproven on the national scene, coach ZackTyzwyz had pulled the Aggies out of the pits of the Mountain West and gotten them to historic season capped off with a first-ever bowl appearance and victory. But the Cowboys were a different beast entirely, and needed a coach that knows how to lead a high-caliber team. Nevertheless, fan's hopes were cautiously optimistic. The administration seemed confident in their new choice, and the new coach inherited a healthy 5-1 team with a winnable game at home against the Kansas Jayhawks to ease into the new job. But the game ended up being a rout, with Kansas blowing out the Cowboys in front of a hopeful home crowd. Things once again seem desperate in Stillwater, and with a tough game at Texas looming overhead on Saturday night, it seems like this roller-coaster ride of a season isn't over yet. See fan reactions captured on social media below (some are explicit):
  21. 25 points
    I am honored to be the next commissioner of the C-USA. I would like to thank all the C-USA coaches that voted and a special thanks to Rocketcan (FIU). I am replacing Isaac829 who was the conference commissioner since the beginning of the C-USA in 2018. I would like to take the foundation he built and maximize our potential as a conference. With coaching stability, we will continue to grow as a conference. I will do my best to produce media (starting with reviving the weekly roundup), ensure that every team has an active coach, and help with the site in any way I can.
  22. 24 points
    You're welcome to change the fonts to the below layout but please keep the names of units the exact same as listed here. Simply list your players below each heading, please leave a space after the last listed player per block, prior to the next heading. Minimum required sections: Offense Quarterback Running Back Fullback Wide Receivers Tight Ends Left Tackle Left Guard Center Right Guard Right Tackle Defense Left Defensive End Defensive Tackles Right Defensive End Left Outside Linebacker Inside Linebackers Right Outside Linebacker Cornerbacks Free Safety Strong Safety Special Teams Kicker Punter Longsnapper Kick Returner Punt Returner Holder Kickoff Team Hands Team Punt Return Team Inactive Redshirts Transfer Ineligible Alternative labels can be found below. These are entirely optional but would be read correctly. Each should be after it's main designation above. For example 3rd Down Running Back should be listed after Running Back
  23. 24 points
    The following ranking was generated based on how close coaches are to executing the perfect gameplan for their lineup, efficiency with the gameplan versus opposition, depth chart management, and recruiting. There have been roughly 450 coaches that I could accurately parse data for so this represent slightly less than the top 5% all time users. If you are on this list you should feel very proud - but that isn't to discourage other users. I chose not to reveal the full list for obvious reasons but I may figure out a way (maybe asking in this thread?) to give you a rating for yourself if you aren't on this list so you can maybe compare. Not sure yet. Bold coaches are still active.
  24. 23 points
    So at the beginning of the 2020 CFBHC season @TuscanSota had the brilliant idea that the losing coach of the "Country Roads Clash" has to record themselves singing John Denver's brilliant song "Country Roads". At the time I was thinking "Sure, why not I mean I have Mohammed Foster and J.C. Weldon and they are only Juniors, I'm not losing to him anytime soon." Yeah, well that didn't work out so well. Anyway - here it is in all its glory. A few things to note: 1. I didn't play an instrument, because I have 0 musical talent. 2. I definitely multi-tasked while recording this video, because who wants to watch me stare at the screen for 4 minutes? 3. The multi-tasking caused me to mess up in the beginning.. Oh well.. 4. It's truly 4 minutes of me singing, you're not missing anything if you don't watch..
  25. 22 points
    Matty Swift looks downfield versus the Chiefs in an AFC West showdown This week saw a winnowing to one undefeated team, and a host of others in the middle start to either make a move, or see that their star has fallen--maybe for good. Much to discuss about the ranking this week: who's too high? Who's too low? What the hell was Bingo thinking about THAT team? Keep up the discussion, but remember: if you don't like where you are in these rankings...play better! Current Favorites 1. Miami Dolphins 2. Green Bay Packers 3. Los Angeles Rams The Dolphins are 9-0, and despite an ugly roster of injuries, Miami just keeps winning. And winning in style. Blanking the Cardinals the Sunday after the “Broken Hand That Wasn’t” was a bit like the Warriors steamrolling through the Spurs without two of their best players—Eff You-Good. The Pack, who mysteriously played a collection of 2nd-teamers in the loss to the rival Vikings on Sunday, have otherwise been stellar. Jason Johnson is throwing to arguably the best set of wideouts in the game, and the defense is shut-down solid (well, let’s say bend-but-not-break solid). The Rams, last season’s regular season juggernaut, just got a lot better with a deal for Chad Dess. He’ll bring a bit more balance to the offense, which was needed to take the heat off Murhpy. The D is playing well too, and it helps that L.A. plays in the weakest division in football—yep, I said it. If They Get Hot…Look Out! 4. New York Jets 5. Philadelphia Eagles 6. Carolina Panthers 7. Las Vegas Raiders 8. Tennessee Titans Interestingly, two of these teams lost this past weekend and one was on a bye. So why did I leave them up here? Well, because they have shown that they can consistently ‘turn it on’ when needed. All have some issues: the Jets need a running game and better pass defense, the Eagles and Raiders are really dealing with injuries, the Panth-stars are one injury away from finishing last in their manically-difficult division, and the Titans don’t match up well with a power football team. But all are also capable of going on a tear in the second half of the season and even in the playoffs. I wouldn’t be surprised if a team from this list were to play in, and win, the Super Bowl. Seeds #4-6, It’ll Come Out in the Wash 9. Kansas City Chiefs 10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11. Dallas Cowboys 12. Denver Broncos 13. New Orleans Saints 14. Pittsburgh Steelers While the tier above is filled with talented, interesting teams, I feel that THIS group is going to cause the most chaos over the next 7 weeks of the season. Kansas City continues to be a pleasant surprise, but they are beginning to cut it a bit close with some of their eek-out wins. Dallas and New Orleans have fantastic pieces, but results haven’t always played out in the their favor. I expect the return of Graham Barnett to help propel Dallas forward—this team is beloved by all the advanced-stat-heads. The Bucs have been very good so far, and if they played in the NFC West instead of South, they might look as good as the Rams or Eagles. Says here the Bucs grab the #5 and give someone a run for their money. The Steelers have settled into place with RJ Stanford. Yes, it helps that they are beating up on the Browns, Ravens, and Bengals, but the Steelers will separate in the North and be a very solid #4 seed. And…don’t look now, but the Broncos are on a nice 4-game win streak, and have beat teams ranked #4 and #5 in these rankings two of the last three weeks. The bulk of the schedule is coming, but the new offensive game plan has worked wonders and the offensive line is rounding into dominant form. Will the Broncos sneak into the Playoffs? Who knows, but fan bases in Kansas City and Las Vegas are starting to look over their shoulder a bit. Good Teams with Obvious Flaws/Holes 15. Atlanta Falcons 16. Houston Texans 17. Jacksonville Jaguars These teams are going to finish with winning records (most likely) and will just miss the playoffs (most likely) because of one or two specific issues. The Jags just lost the best RB in the game, who was the focal point of their offense. You don’t recover from that type of injury over the rest of the season. If anyone can pull it off, however, it’s Soluna. The Texans, the Butchers from Houston, were the hatchet men on the Sowell hit—really, I’m just creating #narrative…I don’t think cmcgill or Rome meant to cause harm. Houston themselves don’t quite have the pass defense to make a meaningful run at the playoffs in a very difficult division. And the Falcons can’t seem to score enough points against the better teams in the League: an efficient AJJ versus the Lions is completely different ask than to be that efficient against, say, the Bucs or Panthers. Playing for Something More than the Playoffs 18. New England Patriots 19. Washington Football Club 20. Baltimore Ravens 21. Minnesota Vikings 22. Chicago Bears What has happened, Chicago? Oof. The fall has been swift and the thud of hitting the ground has been loud. A 2-game losing streak doesn’t bode well in a screwy division like the NFC Norris, where the Pack is way out front and the suddenly-adept Vikings are creeping up on the Monster of the Midway. The Patriots are perfectly as good as they are bad—5-5 almost seems too perfect for the Pats, for some reason. Talent is KINDA there, KINDA not, and the division certainly doesn’t help. The Ravens feel like exactly like the Patriots: a mediocre team that doesn’t really have an identity. At least they are trying out some new parts, and put me in the Brett Fisher is Potential Pro Bowler camp…if he gets help. The Washington Footballing Team is very intriguing—they have wins over the Raiders (last week!) and the Broncos from the West, but also rather devastating losses thrown in. Here’s guessing an upgrade from NephewJack to Brightfalls on the sidelines will show that there is some real mettle in this team. All of these clubs are playing for the future NOW—only question is: will that future direction go Up, or not so much? Jockeying for Position in the 1st Round of the Draft 23. Arizona Cardinals 24. Buffalo Bills 25. Indianapolis Colts 26. Detroit Lions 27. San Francisco 49ers In baseball, it’s about this point in the regular season when teams decide to be sellers or buyers. Well, the Bills declared already, trading away their best player to the Rams. So, the Bills move up the peg board of the 1st Round. Who will be next to declare? I’m guessing it will be the Cardinals or 49ers. Both are actually fighting the Seahawks for bottom-rung positioning WITHIN their own division, and I think we see San Fran and Arizona go for some draft capital soon. The Lions would be smart to do so as well, but it remains to be seen exactly what they have to offer. E-Jax? Keyshawn to a contender with a CB injury? Who knows, but they ought to start soon. And…I just have no words for the Colts. What the hell? That’s a Top 5 team on paper, one would assume. Yes, the WR injuries have been awful, but look no further than the Saints for an example of how to overcome that problem. So…not sure what to say about Indy. Here’s to next year…? Next Year? How About Let’s Strategize for the Next THREE Years? 28. Cleveland Browns 29. Cincinnati Bengals 30. Seattle Seahawks 31. New York Giants 32. Los Angeles Chargers I will say I’ve been impressed, a bit, with the recent play of the Giants and Chargers. Both teams made better opponents sweat in the last couple weeks as their young talent is beginning, however slowly, to develop. But they’ve still got miles to go. The Seahawks are another type of ugly: sitting here without looking it up, I can’t tell you who coaches, GMs, or owns the Seahawks. Almost as though they are not a real franchise…which is too bad for Malcolm Douglas-Scott and Kenji Sagatomo—those guys are real good. The Ohio Deuces, both at 2-7, are showing signs that ownership and consistent coaching are keeping them from any real success in the League, let alone some top end talent. I would say that there is some available talent for poaching, but I’m not even sure who to call to initiate that conversation. "Paging Tai Miller….Paging Tai Miller…Please Come to the White Courtesy Phone, the Eagles are calling!!"
This leaderboard is set to New York/GMT-05:00
×