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    As the month of July begins here on CFBHC it's time we took a look back on the month and a look forward to what July has in store. There are plenty of stories to be told between the players and their coaches, it's helpful to have someone on the inside to give you a look. I hope you enjoy the first of a continuous series, as I introduce CFBHC Insider Monthly. It's content may be short in the first issue, but the writers and I are certain as we continue this series will only become better and better as the months go by. We hope you enjoy. For optimal viewing please follow the link below. Afterwards view in full screen. *It is mobile friendly.* http://www.flipsnack.com/1aVida/cfbhc-insider-july-issue.html
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    You guys may have noticed that some stuff has changed. We'll be under construction for a little while but hopefully overall it will be a better and more manageable experience. Among the things you can expect: A selection of backgrounds and themes based on conferences/champions. The text editor has been improved. Better and more functional shoutbox. Better and easier moderation options. Far far far more customizable on my end letting me improve your experience much easier. Three years is a long time for an online community to last. I hope you guys enjoy it. Soluna
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    SMALL WONDER: The Story of CFBHC's First Great Upset 1. 2014, the second season in the life of CFBHC, did not start pleasantly for Head Coach DangerZoneh and the TCU Horned Frogs. A 35-7 blowout loss at Ole Miss to open the season, followed by a 42-14 drubbing at the hands of the 20th ranked Tennessee Volunteers left Coach Danger scrambling for answers. A week 3 Thursday night win over the Duke Blue Devils did little to remove the specter of the 2-11 opening season record of the Frogs, but did give the faithful a small dose of hope as fullback Alex Engram rumbled for 111 yards and 3 touchdowns in Durham. That tiny ray of sunshine was quickly blotted out, as TCU lost its next five games. Missouri won 31-14 in Waco behind three touchdowns from quarterback Gerald Bright, while TCU managed just 205 yards of offense. Nebraksa blitzed the Horned Frogs 31-21 on a neutral field in Kansas City, with TCU quarterback Johnny Green providing the lone Horned Frog highlight with a dazzling 34 yard TD run. Green and Engram did their best, but couldn’t compete with Christopher Brooks and All-Big-12 running back James Otero, who led Kansas to a week 6 shootout win over the Frogs, 35-31. In Stillwater, OK, TCU walked into a defensive buzzsaw in the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The Horned Frogs turned the ball over twice and could get no offense rolling as the Cowboys slammed the door 24-0. The week 8 loss to the mighty Oklahoma Sooners had an outcome that diminished even the 42-21 final score. Defensive captain Ray Lee Coia was lost for the season after taking a blind hit on an interception return by Sooner Tai Miller. Both players suffered broken arms, and TCU was suddenly staring at a 1-7 record, and entering a contest with the #4 team in the land, the defending Big-12 champion, the hated Texas Longhorns, WITHOUT their best player and inspirational team leader Coia. 100 miles to the southwest, the flagship program in the state of Texas was flexing muscles first stretched in a dominant 2013 campaign that saw the might Texas Longhorns win the Big 12 with an 8-0 record en route to a 11-3 Cotton Bowl winning-season. 2014 was to be the year Texas would challenge for the national title, beginning the season ranked #2 and opening with 7 straight wins before a mid-season bye in week 8. Wins over Arkansas, Pittsburgh, and Navy, all in Austin, showed that the Longhorns could handle three very different types of offenses with their thoroughly stout defense. Travelling to West Point turned into a walk over Army. The visiting Minnesota Golden Gophers, with All-American OJ Carano, gave Texas a scare in Darrell Royal Memorial Stadium in a narrow 21-17 win for the Longhorns. Iowa State provided little resistance in Ames, rolling over for 28-3. With the bye week looming, Texas snuck past a game Kansas State squad with kicker Gino Chiaverini providing the bulk of the scoring in a 16-14 win in Austin. The Longhorns, and Coach DollaBill, were certainly looking forward to the Red River Rivalry game with Oklahoma following the bye and an easy date with the 1-7 TCU Horned Frogs. The clouds were beginning to part for the Longhorns, the path to the Playoff clear and present. 2. When CFBHC began in 2013, most teams were at the mercy of their sim-generated rosters, which were, to some extent, based on the school’s all-time “prestige.” Usual college bluebloods like Alabama, USC, Michigan, and Texas were generated with rosters that helped their coaches overwhelm teams with less traditionally-powerful rosters. In the case of the Longhorns, and first coach DollaBill, that initial roster led to an 8-0 Big-12 campaign, finishing 11-3 in 2013. TCU found themselves severely short on generated talent, and that was compounded by rotating through three coaches in 2013—Coach HookEm, clearly a puppet coach installed by a bitter booster from Austin, departed following a 1-4 start. Coach Pepper was hired, only to lose two games before receiving his pink slip. Stability finally arrived in the form of Head Coach DangerZoneh. The Horned Frogs finished a devastating opening slate at 2-11, with Coach Danger managing a closing 1-5 record playing in a modified Big 12 Conference with Houston, Rice, UCF, and Boise State. Just how deficient was the TCU initial roster? Saying that TCU was severely overmatched talent-wise in this game would be a major understatement. The TCU team only had 4 players total that had a potential rating of 4 and only one of those players had a potential rating of 4.5. From a skill perspective only one of those players had reached 4.0 and that was fullback turned running back Alex Engram. To put in perspective how vastly different the talent level between the two teams was TCU’s average skill-level on offense was a measly 2.36 and an even lower 2.09 on defense. That brought TCU’s average starting player to a skill level of 2.22 which is comparable to a C-USA team. Texas on the other hand was chock full of talent. If you examined the depth-chart for the 2014 Longhorns you would find that they only had one starter below a 3.0 skill rating and that was a redshirt freshman right-guard who had a potential rating of 4.5. The only TCU player who would have a chance to start on this Texas team was fullback Alex Engram and that would have been a toss-up since he shared the same rating as his Texas Counterpart. The Longhorns had twice as many (8) 5.0 Potential players as the TCU team had 4.0 and 4.5 potential players. Texas oozed talent at every position and realistically TCU was outmatched at every position. They play the games for a reason, however; and what those ratings don’t measure is the amount of heart and pride that TCU had during that game. 3. It was a picture-perfect day for football in Fort Worth, Texas on that November Saturday evening. The attitudes on the field couldn’t be more different as the Texas Longhorns were calm, cool, and confident heading into their matchup with the 1-7 TCU Horned Frogs. Texas saw this game as a formality on their way to Dallas for famed Red River Rivalry with Oklahoma. The Longhorns had been brilliant all season and their confidence was apparent as the teams took the field. Sterling Brown, Running Back: “We had it rolling, man. We had a little scare against Kansas State and Minnesota, but this year was our destiny. We had the defense, we had the offense, we had the kicker. They were a speed bump to roll over on our way to Dallas for the Oklahoma game.” John Jones, Quarterback: “Our offense had been clicking pretty well against some really good defenses. I could hand the ball off and watch Sterling do his thing. Our offensive line was opening up holes all over the place. Yeah, we gonna kill TCU...they were so small! And when they lost Coia, he was the only one that could have provided a challenge.” Boomer Roberts, Defensive End: “They had this great big back, Engram, who was a fullback playing running back. Dude couldn’t run, it was that simple. Shut down the running game, from him and the quarterback, and TCU is done. Our D-line was ready and out-weighed their O-line by something like 100 lbs. That’s four guys versus five.” Gordon Moreland, Cornerback: “I don’t think we really considered their passing game much of a threat at all. They had maybe broken 200 yards once in the previous 8 games, so we were mostly concerned with coming up to help stop Engram the giant.” TCU on the other hand entered the game without their defensive captain Ray Lee Coia and his loss weighed heavily on the team during warmups. From the pressbox it almost seemed like the Longhorns were about to take on a high-school team, but a sense of looseness started to come over the team. This was a school that was given no chance by anyone, the media predicted a blowout, the Longhorns didn’t respect TCU, and it started to sink in that they literally had nothing to lose. Vagas Strong, Inside Linebacker: “We were down. Most of us weren’t even sure it was worth practicing that hard. I mean, we were on our third coach in less than 20 games, we had barely won anything. I came to TCU to get a science degree, but since I had played a little football in high school, Coach said to try out for the team and here I am starting...against Texas...as a senior walk-on. You get a bit star-struck.” Johnny Green, Quarterback: “We just didn’t have anything to lose, that was our mindset. But at the same time, we didn’t have any expectation about winning, not against those guys. I know I can play a little, but we were overmatched. Watching film just put that in our minds.” Andre Gaffney, Defensive End: “When Ray Lee broke his arm, we were hopeful he could play a little with the arm in a cast. Looked like he was gonna play even on Wednesday, but then the docs and coaches said he was out. So that meant Kory Sapp had to step into his place. So we got a freshman stepping into the shoes of a senior, our leader. Yeah, that’s not gonna be good.” Head Coach DangerZoneh, TCU: "I'm not sure there was a feeling of doom going into the game, honestly. We were 1-7 but had actually played a lot of teams close. We felt that the we had faced the best defense we were going to see all year in Ole Miss and the best offenses with Kansas and OU. Our boys believed we could win, That being said, I'd be lying to you if I said I thought we'd win - or even really be that close." The Longhorns elected to receive the opening kickoff and sophomore WR Jacky Walters would take the kick out to the 25. John Jones would lead the Texas offense out on the field, but they wouldn’t stay very long when 2 short Sterling Brown runs and an incomplete pass on 3rd down would lead to a Ken Phillips punt. Johnny Green would lead the Frogs out on the field, and like the Longhorn offense, they would have little success leading to another 3 and out. Lightning would strike as Sterling Brown would take the ball right off the left tackle Brandon Reamon for a 43 yard scamper and Texas score giving them a 7-0 lead. The TCU offense would come back on the field and after 3 more plays they would give the ball back to Jones and company. The field position game would work out well for the Longhorns as Jones would complete passes to Walters and Billy Williams to get into field goal range where Gino Chiaverini would knock in a 40 yarder to make the lead 10-0. Another TCU drive ended poorly as QB Johnny Green would stare down his receiver and give Texas CB Gordon Moreland the perfect chance to pick it off. John Jones would get the opportunity to lead another Texas drive that ended with a Jacky Walters TD on a short 11 yard crossing route to extend the lead to 17 as the 1st quarter ended. John Jones, Texas QB: “We got on the field and things just felt...slow. Like we couldn’t get going. Punt for a series, get the ball back, and then Sterling rips off this awesome run around right end for the opening score. We’re thinking: “Ok, now we’re moving, no worries.” Brandon Reamon, Texas Left Tackle: “Two good early drives, 10 points. Gordon gets the pick to put us at their 30 with 1:00 to go in the quarter. After Jones hits Jacky on that crossing pattern, it’s 17-0 at the end of the first and we’re already thinking about what kind of post-game dinner we’re gonna have.” Johnny Green, TCU QB: “Well that was a stupid throw, the interception. I totally rushed the out route and threw it before the receiver was really even ready. That guy made a nice jump on the ball and grabbed it. Wouldn’t have been a problem if it were on the other end of the field, but giving it back to them on our side hurt.” Feeling the game starting to slip away from them the Frogs would receive the ball to start the 2nd quarter and reach deep into their bag of tricks. , Johnny Green would lead a methodical drive that included a healthy dose of Alex Engram, along the way Green would complete passes to tight end Tony DeMarco and WR Patrick Womack and suddenly the anemic Frog offense was driving down the field. Once the Horned Frogs reached the red zone that’s when coach DangerZoneh decided to pull a little trickeration. Here’s what it sounded like on the Frogs Radio Network “Johnny Green steps under center for 1st and 10 on the Texas 18 yard line. The ball is snapped, Johnson is coming around behind the quarterback it looks to be a wide receiver sweep, wait… he’s dropping back to throw.. DeMarco’s open in the end-zone and it’s caught!!! Touchdown Frogs!!!!!!” The play would bring excitement to the crowd and get cut the Texas lead to 17-7. Butch Johnson, TCU WR: “When Coach called the double-pass, it was the 2nd time that season that it had been called, but the first for me at the X. I was pumped. Tony got a little separation from their linebacker and I hit him with a perfect spiral. I didn’t have a big day catching the ball, so I was just excited to help out in some way.” Dan Bruce, TCU DE: “That got the whole sideline fired up. We were down, but that was a great drive and a great play. We got a little pep in our step.” Texas would not be fazed initially as they were set to receive the kick. Coach DollaBill wanted to get back to his bread and butter and pound the undersized TCU defense. However, the stadium would fall silent, as on a routine sweep, Sterling Brown would be taken down by redshirt Freshman Kory Sapp and he would stay down. The team doctor would diagnose him with a knee injury and he would be forced to miss the remainder of the game. Texas would balance the attack out and grab two more field goals before the half to take a 23-7 lead into the locker room. Gino Chiaverini, Texas K: “The long one was tricky because the wind picked up right as I kicked it, I didn’t think it was gonna go. Hitting at the end of the half was easier...the offense did good just getting me in the middle of the field, and 40 yards is pretty simple with no wind. Sucks to lose Sterling, though.” John Jones: “We knew we had to answer that trick play, and we did, pretty quickly. Just stalled out on 3rd down. We wanted to go in with 30 at half...that would have put it away. But when Sterling went down, we lost a juice in our run game, kind of made it easier for them to load up on the pass.” Brent Ring, TCU ILB: “We were able to hold them to Field goals, which helped. The trick play gave us a bit of momentum and our D played pretty well toward the end of the half. I didn’t really see what happened with We were going in without the lead, but we felt like maybe, if we executed a little better, we could get back into the game.” Halftime...where coaches make their money as motivators and master strategists... Alex Engram, TCU RB: “Coach kept telling the Defense that they were in control. He just kept repeating that: you’re in control...you own this game...you’re in control. Those of us on the offensive side, well we started to get that mindset where we jumped on the defense’s momentum.” Andre Gaffney: “We had a little success at the end of the half, and Coach made a fantastic decision to move us to a 3-5 front to better help with the short passing game. He said we were gonna put 11 guys in coverage at one time...we were like: “Coach, don’t do that!” He really meant just changing up coverages giving the QB as many looks as we could.” Coach DangerZoneh: ““I gathered them in and looked at them and said ‘Are they special? Are they better than anyone we’ve played so far? We’ve faced better teams than this. We can beat these guys. Trust me. Play our game and we’ll win.’ And that’s all I said. After that I stopped game planning. They didn’t need me to yell at them, they knew what they needed to do. Ray, on the other hand, got emotional. He got in the defense's face and was the leader he had been all season, even in a sling. Afterwards, I could see the fire in their eyes. I knew something special would happen." Jacky Walters, TEX WR: “We knew we were gonna throw the ball a little more with Sterling out. I was hoping for a big day. Their DBs were shaky in the first quarter, but you could tell, they just meant to hurt you after the second quarter. They were trying to kill us.” Willard Arnold, TEX ILB: “Having a little cushion of 23-7 felt great. We’d given up maybe 100 yards is all in the first half, some on penalties, and then the big trick play. We definitely thought we still had the physical advantage, so we were confident at halftime. Coach didn’t really give us any new looks or anything…” As the teams came out of the locker room for the second half, there was a noticeable difference in the swagger of the TCU Horned Frogs. The team was amped up, they were confident, and they believed they could pull the upset. The Frogs would return the kick to the 27 yard line and Johnny Green would go to work in the spread offense, which coach adjusted to during the half. Green ran the read-option to perfection, switching between hand-offs to Engram, QB keepers, and quick passes to Johnson and DeMarco. Green would lead the Horned Frogs all the way to the Texas 38 yard line, where they would call a Power-O off the RT for Alex Engram. “Engram takes the hand-off from Green and navigates behind the RT, he breaks through the line and is into the second-layer of the defense. Arnold gets around his block.. Engram bowled him over! There goes Alex Engram.. He could take it all the way home Touchdown!!!!! What a run folks by Alex Engram, he absolutely runs through Willard Arnold.. The extra point is good bringing us closer and a 23-14 game. Willard Arnold: “I’ve never been hit like that on a run EVER. Engram straight ran over me. I was backpedaling a little after getting around the block, but that guy trucked me good.” Boomer Roberts: “I’ve never seen Willard get hit like that. The part that was unfair was that Engram turned on the jets after running over our leading tackler. He was a fullback playing running back...what?” Butch Johnson: “I didn’t think Engram could run that fast, especially after knocking that dude flat on his ass. He took off!” Texas would take the kick looking to styme the Horned Frogs sudden momentum. Jones and the Longhorns would start the drive at the 26 yard line, but there was noticeable difference in the way they were playing. Jones would complete a nice pass over the middle to Walters to grab a first down, and Billy Williams would catch another pass to give the Longhorns a second first down, but the TCU defense dug in and forced a punt which landed at the TCU 8 yard-line. Johnny Green would pair with Alex Engram to lead another methodical TCU drive getting first down after first down with smart reads on their read-option plays and smart passes thrown in when the Longhorns would stack the box. The Frogs, who had taken up nearly 7 minutes of game clock, would drive all the way to the Texas 19 yard line. “The Frogs are in the redzone, 1st and 10 from the Texas 19. Green is under center, DeMarco comes in motion, the ball is hiked and it’s a handoff the Engr.., no wait it's a QB keeper! Green goes off right tackle slips through the arms of Arnold, and there he goes folks!!! Touchdown Frogs!!” The extra point was good bringing TCU within 2 23-21. John Jones: “We wanted to answer their touchdown run with a sustained drive, if not a score. We made two first downs, but then had to punt. Our O-line just didn’t have a lot of fire at this point, with a 9 point lead.” Johnny Green: “They pinned us at the 8 yard line, so we had 92 yards to go to this thing to a field goal. The big guys up front just started going to work, and Coach was calling some nice variations on our standard option set. Alex and I were finding some holes with a stretched out front 7.” Butch Johnson: “Johnny had some clutch throws on that drive, but he really did it with his legs. That drive ate up, what, like 7 minutes of game time?! Keep their offense on the side, let our boys go to work. That TD run from Johnny was a thing of beauty.” Gordon Moreland: “I spent that whole drive on a island, so I just got a front row seat for the butt-whipping our D-Line was getting...from these scrubs! We’d seen their QB do some nice things on film, but that run was slick.” Willard Arnold: “I should have had him wrapped up for a 2 yard gain, but he slipped out. I got freaking beat for two scores in the 3rd quarter. Not a good one for me. Our defense walked off the field sweating and hands-on-hips breathing hard.” Texas would get the ball back and go to work. Jones would lead a methodical drive down the field, and in a rush to get one more play off before the quarter ended they would call a Draw with backup running back Hugh Ledbetter. Ledbetter would get smashed however and the ball would pop loose allowing Vagas Strong to recover for the Horned Frogs. Vagas Strong: “After Johnny’s touchdown, we were fired up. Brent hit their backup tailback and popped the ball loose, right at the end of the quarter. I looked up, and saw the ball, and jumped on it!” TCU would not capitalize on the turnover, however; and would be forced to punt after a quick 3 and out. The Longhorns would come back on the field in good position, and drive down the field to set up another 40 yard field goal. The field goal attempt would go right through the uprights giving Texas a 26-21 lead. Coach DollaBill sensing it was time to put the game away went into his bag of tricks and pulled out the onside kick. TCU wasn't ready for the call and the Longhorns were able to recover the kick, giving them a chance to extend the lead and put the game out of reach. Vagas Strong: “They hit a field goal, no problem. We hadn’t given them anything since the first quarter. We called that a win. Then they try this bullshit onside-kick…” Andre Gaffney: “I’m on kick return team, and we were not ready for that. Nice for them to have a little momentum to pick that up, but we’re all like “why did they do that?” Good if it works, and it did...but it didn’t matter.” Texas had great field position and a chance to put the game away. The drive started with a short Ledbetter run, but on 2nd down Jones would take his chance. “Jones takes the snap and rolls out to the right, he sees the tight end crossing the other way and fires, but there's Kory Sapp!! Sapp picks the ball off! Sapp picks the ball off! The freshman replacing senior leader Ray Lee Coia has made the biggest play of the game!” Kory Sapp, TCU OLB: “Jones was rolling out and he looked back across the field to the tight end. I was coming across the middle from behind the play, so I saw everything. Must have just missed me in his view. Easiest INT I’ve ever had.” Johnny Green would lead the TCU offense out on the field with a chance at taking the lead. The drive didn't start as planned when he was sacked on first down. Second down Green was able to find a crossing Butch Johnson to get the ball deep into Texas territory. The pass was followed by a quick Alex Engram run to get the ball to the Texas nine yard line. “Green under center, two receivers split out wide, he takes the snap and rolls out right. Womack breaks down the middle, he's got a step, Green fires the pass. Touchdown!!! Lord, he caught the ball Touchdown Horned Frogs!!!! The extra point is good, folks we have the lead, the Horned Frogs are beating the number four team in the nation 28-26. Andre Gaffney: “We told the offense to go down and get the lead...we’d done our job.” Alex Engram: “The D played out of their minds all game...we had to do our part. We thought that Coach’s adjustments--making the game about tough vs. tired--really opened things up for us in the 2nd half. We just mimicked the 3rd quarter drives...they were done.” Boomer Roberts: “I thought the sack was going to end their drive, but that QB made some plays with his feet and kept their drive going. And the receiver made a hell of catch on the touchdown.” Gordon Moreland: “Heck of a catch...that’s not my guy, but I got caught in a motion-switch and he just beat me to the spot. Nice catch.” Vagas Strong: “Holy shit, we were leading Texas! The crowd was crazy, some lady ripped her shirt off right behind our bench. We were all fired up!” Texas would take the kickoff and promptly go three and out and punt the ball to TCU. The Frogs would gain 9 yards, but were unable to convert forcing a punt which Walters returned to the Texas 28. John Jones would be sacked on first down making it 2nd and 18. The Longhorns suddenly playing very tightly would gain 3 yards on a busted Walters screen making it 3rd and 15. Promptly the Longhorns would be called for holding making it 3rd and 25 from their own 3 yard line. “It's 3rd and 25 from the 3 for Texas and Jones takes the snap, he hands the ball off the Ledbetter, Andre Gaffney breaks through and tackles him behind the line, folks did he get him in the end zone?! They're calling it a safety!!! Gaffney with the safety and TCU takes a 30-26 lead, the crowd is going crazy!!!” Kory Sapp: “The play before, their Left Tackle got up a little slow. I thought for sure they’d pass the ball on 3rd and 25 from their own 3. Nope, handoff to the backup. Andre was right there.” Brandon Reamon: “I twisted my ankle after getting rolled up the play before. I just didn’t have good footing for a run, and he made a great play. I’m sorry it wrecked our season, but it was about the only time he got me all game.” TCU took the safety and promptly went three and out, the killer being a Butch Johnson drop on what would have been a first down. Johnny Green: “We were too hyped for the next possession...we dropped an easy pass, their D-line got some penetration. Had to kick, put it back on the D, baby.” Texas would go to work and John Jones was locked in finding Walters on a crossing route, and Williams on a deep fade that would put the Longhorns in the redzone. “Jones is under center, he motions Walters out wide, and takes the snap. Walters breaks wide out towards the back off the end-zone, Jones lofts it up there, bit there's Curtis Howard!!! That's the ballgame folks, Curtis Howard intercepts the ball and the TCU Horned Frogs have just upset the number four team in the nation!!!!!!!” John Jones: “Getting the ball back was probably a bit luckier than we deserved. But we made the most. Hit a couple of crossing routes and one deep out. Put us in good position, just inside the red zone. I made the wrong read, that’s all. Should have checked down.” Andre Gaffney: “Curtis locked that guy up good. A true freshman making that play, easily the biggest in his life. Awesome!” Curtis Howard, TCU CB: “I didn’t really get my head turned, but since we were in the endzone, I figured it had to be a fade, and it just came down so slow. It was just sitting there.” After the game, players and coaches from both sides found themselves at a loss for words to describe the scene. Johnny Green: “Just couldn’t believe it. We held our own and knocked off the #4 team in the country. We hadn’t had much to smile about, but this was a day we’ll never forget.” Alex Engram: “Man. That was a great game. We just stuck to our gameplan and played with more intensity than I could have imagined. Execution, especially in the 2nd half, was amazing. The O-line played great for us, and our Defense was awesome.” Andre Gaffney: “Something I’ll always remember, and tell my kids about.” Coach DangerZoneh: “Could not be prouder. So many players made big plays in big situations. Alex, Johnny, Curtis, Kory - all of them. I can't say enough." Brandon Reamon: “We didn’t think we’d go into that cow-town and lose to a bunch of 2-star and no-star recruits. No Sterling really hurt the offense, and Jones didn’t have one of his best games.” Gordon Moreland: “Kind of couldn’t believe it! Clock hit all zeroes, and we just stood there like zombies.” John Jones: “You come in so confident and so ready to play well. When you hit a snag like that, it takes you completely by surprise.” 4. Buoyed by the homestanding win over Texas, TCU won their next two games, over Baylor (17-14) and Iowa State (10-3), before a season-finishing loss to the Red Raiders of Texas Tech (34-7). But finishing the season at 4-8 hardly dampened the spirits of Coach Danger and his crew. The coaching staff got right to work identifying the kinds of players they would need to pull off a similar upset in the future. TCU grabbed a couple of studs in the 2014 JuCo recruiting sweepstakes in RB Bradley Cooley, TE Paul Carter-Williams, OT Charles Mahan, and a pair of Free Safeties Andrew Wright and Quinn Cooper. The overall 2014 recruiting class was ranked in the Top 10 by numerous services and featured eventual All-American wide receiver Jamel Beckham. 2015 began with much promise, still riding the high of knocking off mighty Texas. However, the youth movement needed one more season to develop, and the Horned Frogs lost their first six contests before finishing 3-9. The Horned Frogs were unable to repeat their success versus Texas in Austin in 2015, as the Longhorns enacted a measure of revenge with a 51-7 victory over a young TCU squad. Another stellar recruiting off-season saw TCU again surge in the national eye, and 2016 saw the Frogs sneaking into the Top 25 for parts of the campaign. A season-opening loss to the Georgia Bulldogs was the only blemish through much of the season--TCU went on to win 8 straight before finally dropping consecutive games to Oklahoma and, yes, Texas. The Frogs did finish the regular season with a win over Baylor, leading to a win in the school’s first bowl game, the Bourbon Bowl over Ohio State. Flipping their record from the previous season completely around, TCU finished 2016 10-3. It led to even bigger things, and bigger wins, in 2017 (13-2, a Pinstripe Bowl win over Air Force and Top 5 national ranking, but with a loss at Texas in week 12) and 2018 (won first 11 games, lost final three including Conference Championship Game to Kansas and Alamo Bowl to USC). In the 2018 season, TCU was finally able to recreate their famous victory over Texas, bringing their all-time record versus the Longhorns to 2-4. 2019 began with the same promise, and a Top 10 national preseason ranking, but the talent losses from the Horned Frog heyday led to a dismal 1-8 opening to this current season, of course including a 31-27 loss to Texas. But the mark was clear: the 2014 TCU Horned Frogs found the right mix of emotion and execution to pull off the most remarkable upset in site history. Several players from the game went on to be drafted in the NFLHC draft. Jacky Walters, Alphonso Greisen, and Alex Engram can reminisce about the game together as they now share the same uniform suiting up for the Miami Dolphins. Willard Arnold plays a big role for the New England Patriots starting at inside linebacker for them. Offensive Tackle Brandon Reamon, a freshman during the game, was drafted in the 2018 draft by the Tennessee Titans and currently is their starting left tackle. Harry Whiteside, a freshman slot receiver for the Longhorns, currently is a starter for the Kansas City Chiefs. Willie Wood is manning the safety position in New Orleans and finally Gino Chiaverini is still kicking field goals with the Atlanta Falcons. Texas, for its part, did not exactly let the defeat to TCU in 2014 derail their future success. But it certainly dampened the spirits of the 2014 campaign. The next week, Texas went to Dallas for the Red River Rivalry game against #15 Oklahoma. They came out flat and uninspired in a 24-14 loss. With the dream of a national title season evaporating, Texas dropped a third straight game to Oklahoma State (10-7) before re-grouping and closing out the regular season with two wins, over Texas Tech (35-7) and Baylor (35-7). The solace of a Meineke Car Care Bowl proved just beyond inspiration as the Longhorns closed out a disappointing 2014 season with a loss to Pittsburgh, 35-21. Coach DollaBill, midway through a potentially promising 2015 season which finished 7-6, was dismissed for IPGate violations. Replaced by former Arizona State head man AzulCaballero, the Texas faithful felt they had finally found their man. 2016 was a turnaround for the Burnt Orange, as the Longhorns responded to Azul’s coaching with a 12-2 season, Big-12 championship, and close loss to Notre Dame in the Peach Bowl, to finish ranked #5 in the country. But it was all a prelude to the magical 2017 season. Texas, despite a 2OT loss to the West Virginia Mountaineers in week 8, ran the table all the way to a National Title, defeating Nebraska in the title game. 2018 and thus far in 2019, the dice haven’t fallen as grandly for the Longhorns, but a National Title is worth its weight in gold in the land of CFBHC, and much is forgiven after. Texas came back from their disastrous night in Fort Worth in 2014 stronger than ever.
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    With August here and a brief break in the simulations, we are back with the second issue of CFBHC Insider to get you through the next two weeks. With content put out by some of the best writers on the site, I invite you to kick back and enjoy this month's issue of CFBHC Insider. We have a lot of games to come in August, and we can look forward to more college football upsets! Be sure to catch next month's issue in the beginning week of every month. Thank you SageBow, Imposter, Bingo, npklemm, and all the other members that offered their help with this. I hope that you enjoy. For optimal viewing please follow the link below. Afterwards view in full screen.*It is mobile friendly.* August Issue of CFBHC Insider Need more? Check out the.. July Issue
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    NO ONE MAY SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Sammy Grey, recently selected by the Bills with the 179th pick of the 2020 NFL Draft, has had an extremely successful pre-season. Grey has really shone throughout training camp and has impressed local reporters, pundits, and most importantly, the fans. "I think we found a diamond in the rough," says James, 23, of Buffalo. Grey recently started a charity benefiting children with Multiple Sclerosis. "My younger brother Zeke has MS and I know how tough it can be on a family. I hope that this charity grows with my career in the NFL and we can improve the lives of at least a couple of family's in Western New York." The Bills have been extremely impressed with all the work Grey has put in this offseason both on the field and off the field and expect him to become a long-term starter in the NFL. Grey gains +5% starting fitness, the Bills gain +2% media standing, and Grey improves his overall by 1. His new player line is: FS Sammy Grey 5-10 214 R Washington State [Man Coverage] 78
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    WR DeSean Jenkins 6-4 195 2 Wake Forest [Speed] 64
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    CFBHC v1.3 February 14th, 2017 Pre-Release v1.3.84 GENERAL The two week inactivity period will be replaced with a court composed of three elected judges that may decide at their discretion or at the request of a user that a member is not participating in the site at the level which they should be. *Do this however you want and I will run elections. If you want to have people run under the promise of a stricter policy versus a looser policy feel free to form parties! Members have a term limit of 4 terms and elections will be at the beginning of every season (including before 2020) or if a spot on the court is needed to be filled. Gameplay Changes *Increased fumbling by a 15% for RBs, 15% for QBs, 35% for WRs. *Rescaled tackling ability as a function of overall rating for SSs. *Decreased catching ability as a function of overall rating for WRs and TEs. *Decreased the impact of kicking power for accuracy kickers. *Decreased the impact of kicking accuracy for power kickers. *Added Jr. and III to the name generation. Bug Fixes *Fixed a calculation bug for the fitness of OGs. *Fixed an issue where kickers were not accurately using their attributes for extra points. NFLHC Coordinators and Coaching Clinics – Offensive and Defensive Coordinators can be hired and will provide player, team, or progression bonuses. *Coordinators may be hired as a head coach. They have preprogrammed selection of game plan options that they will adapt to the opponent each week while mitigating the scheme change penalty. *Coaching clinics will add permanent traits to users on the site. Clinics will be scheduled during the offseason onto a calendar similar to the rookie minicamps (see below). Player Character – Player’s now have a built-in character that can be good (charity events) or bad (player discipline). Events – Randomized events that can affect player characteristics, add flavor to injury, personal discipline, coaching, etc. *Events include but are not limited to: player discipline, news, interviews, PFF rankings, coaching tiers, fan opinions, etc. Referees – Referees impart their flavor on a game and may lead to more or less penalized games. Ejections have been added and will be noted in the game report. Position change requests – Each offseason a thread will allow teams to request a positional change for one or more of their players (the limit being each player may only transition once per year). *Once a player has switched position they will progress according to their new position. Rookie Minicamps – Beginning with 2021 NFLHC season there will be an offseason calendar that each team must fill out. Each team will receive a limited number of work out days and a schedule of positional minicamps to choose from (some overlapping!). Players participating in these mini camps will received published information about performance. Depth Chart changes – New features and requirements. *Inactive – Add at the tail end of your NFLHC depth chart (where redshirts are in CFBHC). These are players that will be completely held out of a game (will not travel) and may be used for character issues, injuries, or “dog house” situations. *Players placed on the inactive list will respond accordingly. Injured players will use the time to recover, character issue players may respond positively or negatively through events, and “dog house” situations may encourage the player to play harder (or less if he dislikes the coach!). Improved Stats – Added several more detailed statistics to game reports including drops, missed field goal information, and labeling players who have blocked kicks. *Drops (DRP) – receptions that were dropped by receiver miscues. *Missed FG Information – wide left, wide right, hit the upright, etc. *Blocked kicks – Consistent information as to who blocked it. *Sack totals – Removed sack yardage lost from the running box for QBs and added a new section that shows sacks given up by each team. *Reworked game report to be more inline with NFL.com format and added “long” categories for rushing and receiving. Example below, // would be replaced with an actual table cell border: K. Davis // 15/27 // 270 // 3 // 1 // 36 A. Sowell // 16 // 107 // 1 // 1/0 // 18 R. Robinson // 6(1) // 88 // 1 // 0/0 // 26 Categories as follows: QB Name // COMP/ATT // YDS // TD // INT // LG RB Name // ATT // YDS // TD // FUM/LOST // LG WR Name // REC(DRPS) // YDS // TD // FUM/LOST // LG CFBHC Bowl Selection Chairmen – Each conference will elect a Bowl Selection Chairman (BSC) that may be different from their conference commissioner. Every BSC must be available after the final week of CFBHC games to meet with Soluna and the other BSCs in a conference call to select bowl participants according to their conference’s rules. *Further information about BSC elections will be posted in the near future. Other *Added UMass Minutemen.
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    THE SEAHAWKS HEAD COACH MAY SUBMIT A RESPONSE UNTIL 11:30 PM ET 2/7/2017 Post-draft images have emerged of Marcus Williams celebrating in a room with friends. It is very clear Marijuana was smoked at the party based on materials seen in a variety of images posted to facebook, twitter, and instagram. The league may look into the situation but it is unclear if Williams participated in any drug abuse. The Seahawks have been asked to reach a decision on this rumor: A ) Suspend Marcus Williams for 1 pre-season game (team decision). B ) Suspend Marcus Williams for 1 regular season game (team decision). C ) No punishment (team decision). D) Let the commissioner handle the punishment (whether their should even be one).
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    "In Flanders fields the poppies blow Between the crosses, row on row, That mark our place; and in the sky The larks, still bravely singing, fly Scarce heard amid the guns below. We are the Dead. Short days ago We lived, felt dawn, saw sunset glow, Loved and were loved, and now we lie, In Flanders fields. Take up our quarrel with the foe: To you from failing hands we throw The torch; be yours to hold it high. If ye break faith with us who die We shall not sleep, though poppies grow In Flanders fields." While Armistice Day is mostly celebrated intermingled with Veterans Day on November 11th I just wanted to thank you guys again for the, in general, peaceful nature of this site. We hate each other often over trivial things but no one really carries any grudges forward (or so I hope!). November 11th is a day that for European and British Commonwealth Nations signifies the end of WW1 ("at the eleventh hour of the eleventh day in the eleventh month in the year of our Lord 1918 the guns fell silent") and large-scale memorials were held today in locations that would otherwise be trivial. Ypres, Belgium. Verdun, France. Gallipoli, Turkey. Why does the Poppy symbolize Armistice Day? It was the only thing that would grow in the fields littered by artillery shells and human remains and the only life that returned to No Man's Land for quite some time after the battles ended. Whether you celebrate Armistice Day, Veteran's Day, or just think of your nations Tomb of the Unknown Soldier, take some time today to think about Peace. Do something good, help someone. 20,000,000 people died in World War I (military and civilian). My family lost 9 men in the span of 2.5 years. Germany lost 5% of its total population, France 4%, Serbia 26%. As is tradition, once a year I've been making a donation in the name of a site to a cause or event that I think we can all agree on - so this year I will create a sponsorship at the Douaumont Ossuary in Verdun, France for us. The Ossuary serves as the final resting place for 15,000 soldiers and the remains of upwards of 100,000 more that could never be identified. Visiting the site is a life changing experience that I encourage you all to undertake at some point in your life. A graveyard was created for as many soldiers as they could fit on the mountainside. All unidentified remains were placed into the base of a memorial ossuary. Most soldiers you are looking at in the pictures below we're between 16 and 25. This is our age group. French. British. German. All gone. Why did this happen? Pride, nationalism, and ignorance. We are better than this. "They went with songs to the battle, they were young, Straight of limb, true of eye, steady and aglow. They were staunch to the end against odds uncounted, They fell with their faces to the foe. They shall grow not old, as we that are left grow old: Age shall not weary them, nor the years condemn. At the going down of the sun and in the morning We will remember them." A short ways away from Douaumont are the remains of a small village, Fleury-devant-Douaumont, where you can see what these sites look like even a hundred years later. The artillery shell holes are still evident. Life has still only barely returned.
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    1. Please list your email address and/or your reddit username at which you can be contacted. franzkafkacfbhc@gmail.com 2. Before continuing, please thoroughly read the coaching course and feel free to ask questions. Confirm that you have read the coaching course by writing "Confirmed" below. Confirmed 3. What team do you want to coach? Colorado Buffaloes 4. Please select two backup teams (in descending order of preference) in case your first choice is unavailable. Texas Christian defensive coordinator 5. In three or more sentences, tell us a little about yourself. How old are you, what do you do, where are you from, why would you be a good fit here, etc. I'm a 27 year old lawyer living in Atlanta, GA. I was a coach here from 2013-2017 and think I'd be a good fit. 6. This site can be as time consuming as you want it to be. Weekly duties can be completed in 30 minutes or less, however interacting with your fellow players throughout the week makes it more enjoyable for most people. Approximately, how much free time do you have during a typical week? Now that life has settled down for me (married 6 months ago, moved into new house, etc) I'll have a good amount of time to post. 7. Losing games is an inevitable reality on this site, especially when accepting newer teams. Do you believe you can handle losing? Disappointment is expected, however we have had issues with people freaking out, and even leaving the site because of losing. As long as the Kafkacurse doesn't return, I'm good. 8. How did you find out about this site? If recommended by a friend, please post his/her username. I found this site a few years ago on Reddit. After applying for a position, that conference's commissioner will send you one or two easy questions to verify that you have read the coaching course and possess a basic knowledge to how the game works. Once you've completed all these steps, you will be approved to join CFBHC!
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    I expect that you've worn my patience thin. I gave you three chances, somehow each progressive attempt showed you giving less of a fuck. I'm tired of your trolling or supreme idiocy, whatever you call your existence. At least 5 members have spent a combined 20+ hours helping you do something that should take 5-10 minutes to complete. You're either unwilling to learn the rules, unwilling to figure stuff out unless it's handed directly to you on a platter, or have the thought capacity of a camel. You are free to reapply after you take a reading comprehension class. Banned.
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    "What's the difference between route tree and group assigned (on the NFLHC gameplan)? - SageBow Route Tree relies on high skill receivers and allows audibles to be called on the fly. Receivers are expected to know their role in any play and the potential changes that could be made to that role by the quarterback. Route tree assigned receivers are a much bigger threat to zone coverage. Group assigned reflects that gameplans are not defined by the players but are instead defined by the roles. For instance, third receivers are more geared into slot type routes in the pass heavy offenses regardless of the physical attributes of the receiver themselves. In short, unless you want to experiement and with my limited understanding, use route tree with strong receivers and weak quarterbacks, use group assigned with strong quarterbacks and weak receivers, experiment if you're strong at both, and quit if you're weak at both. In summary, route tree relies on the gameplan being created around the receiver, group assigned around their role independent of the receiver. "What are your thoughts on the NFC South?" - Quasar I don't pay that much attention to the NFC but I can give you a quick summary for each team and what I think: Atlanta: Great but aging defense that needs some revitalization soon. Offense is kind of a cluster with a mediocre QB, a running back that's being run out of gas faster than he should, and a fairly average receiving corps. The next two drafts are key to ensure this team doesn't fall off. Tampa Bay: No identity, no chemistry, no real goal it seems. I think the team at this point should just be rebuilt around two stars (Heiden and the best player on defense, likely Williams). New Orleans: Extremely poor drafting the last two years has led to a pretty major downfall. I think coaching isn't great but is at least acceptable. Devereaux is probably underrated but this defense needs to be entirely re-done. Stiles might be okay to keep as a third corner. Carolina: They'll finish 15-1 and then lose in the divisional round. Seriously though they are probably a top 2 team right now and anything less than 13-3 is disappointing. "Do you like the general trend of CFBHC coaches changing jobs around if they feel like they are done, or would you rather people stay in one place forever? - smokingcricket I hate the totally arbitrary changing of coaches that we have even though I'm partially guilty of it as well. I really want a system that includes pre-season goals, firing, and contracts but I know there would be far too much push-back on here to even try that. It just makes no sense to me how people are allowed to move around. I figured conference commissioners would help but 80% of them have been useless in enforcing anything. Shout out to the SEC for having a backbone the last few years with their commissioners. "What is your favorite German beer?" - smokingcricket Man it really depends on situation and whether it needs to be classy or not haha. Where I'm from (a town of like 200) all the guys between 16-50 would gather every Sunday at 10 AM to play a town-wide game of Soccer. A crate of cheap beer would be supplied for the post-game festitivites and that will always remain one of my favorite memories so I have a soft spot for that beer, Warsteiner. It's kind of cheap (for German beer) but is just perfectly crisp for drinking just after running around for two hours. I like most of the old beers that are based out of monasteries (almost entirely wheat beers). German purity law has kept some pretty sweet 500 year old recipes intact. "What methods would you use to build a smaller school up to a contender?" - Monda I feel like this is pretty obvious but it starts with recruiting. The first year or two are extremely critical and I think you shoot for building a baseline of 3.5-4.0 star players while maybe going for only one 5.0 each year, ensuring that you get them. Getting 5.0s consistently is something for a time when you have bowl game recruiting points, not 0-12 points. I've never understood the crap teams that keep trying to shoot for 5.0s to turn the program around. Just build a solid but average team of 3.5 or 4.0s, then go for the much more easily accessible 5.0s when you have 6 points more per week. I hope you guys enjoyed the first Q&A Friday, please feel free to discuss these answers in here. I'll answer 5 questions each friday from the list that is located here, you are welcome to add any whenever you like! https://discord.gg/3GBn3Hp
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    Version: 2.0.0 Recruiting reworked entirely. Instead of bidding in rounds recruiting will now become a weekly event that can secure you players at any time. Each team will have a weekly allotment of points they can choose to spend on recruits however they want. A certain number of schools leading the bidding will be visible at any time. Players will commit when a certain threshold/ lead is built by any team. Schedule Bids are weekly and blind. (Monday - Saturday). Live public bids are updated. (Sunday) Declarations are processed. (Sunday) Changes Recruiting begins with Week #2 and continues every week there is a game (if games are on hold for whatever reason, there will be no recruiting) until Week #16 for a total of 15 weeks of recruiting. **New Ability** Offer Scholarship - Each school gets 21 scholarships that can be extended to players. You may only use 1 per player for an immediate boost of 20 points on that player. If a player who you've previously extended a scholarship offer too declares for another team you get that offer back, but any previously used scholarship offers will only be worth 10 points. **New Ability** Schedule a School Visit - Each school gets 10 school visits that can be extended to players. You may only 1 per player for an immediate boost that is randomly given between two sets of points based on your previous season results, see spoiler #2 below (to simulate how much a player may care about the visit). School visits can only be scheduled after Week #5. **New Ability** Schedule a Coaching Visit - Each school gets 5 coaches visits that can be extended to players. You may only use 1 per player for an immediate boost that is randomly given between two sets of points based on your previous season results, see spoiler #2 below. Coaching visits can only be scheduled after Week #5. **New Ability** Pipeline State - Each school can declare one pipeline state where they receive a 10% bonus on points spent. (For example if Penn State selected California and spent 10 points in Week #1 on a talented QB there, 12 points are added to the player). The Pipeline state must be set prior to recruiting starting and can be changed during the offseason. If the home state is selected as the Pipeline state the bonus is 20% instead. Pipeline states will be public, to be displayed on your interface team profile. Regions and subregions removed. Recruits now automatically start with 25 points for all in-state schools. Recruits now automatically start with 12 points for all in certain bordering states (not all) as detailed below, to represent the likelihood of players preferring to remain in their "region" (replaces hard regions). Players will commit at any if they either: (1) Cannot be caught in points by anyone behind with the number of weeks left or (2) have at least a 50 point lead at any time during recruiting. Weekly points will be given out as follows, highest result counts if multiple apply: Each week the three leading schools will be displayed next to the player. If multiple are tied for any point value, the school displayed will be alphabetical. Any additional schools that have put points on the player will be shown at Inspiral's discretion (I would prefer a +X, where X is the number of schools). Schools that are more than 30 behind the leading school will not be displayed. Client Side:
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    I would like to start off by congratulating Emperor and the Clemson Tigers on a great win last night. It was a very disappointing loss for our squad, but a deserving victory for Emperor’s team. Congratulations! I would also like to congratulate our 2019 Senior class at Alabama for an outstanding career that included 44 wins, 2 SEC championships, 3 final fours, and 1 National Championship. After taking time to reflect, it is now time to look forward to the future and what that means for all of us. For me, it means that it is time to step down as the Head Coach of Alabama. I knew this day would come and I have struggled with whether now is the right time for this move or not. After some deep thought, I believe it is in the best interest of the program to remove myself and give someone else an opportunity with this team. Hopefully, someone who can dedicate the amount of time that this program deserves moving forward. While I have enough time to do the minimum work moving forward, there have been some changes in my real life work (all good) that will prevent me from putting in the maximum time/effort, most times. I am very proud of what I have built here at Alabama and do not want my lack of focus to be a reason for decline. Before moving on, I do want to reflect for a moment on what has been accomplished in my time here at Alabama. 6 Seasons at Alabama: Record 66-19 SEC Record 35-10 Playoff Record 7-2 National Championships – 2 SEC Championships – 3 Final Four Appearances – 4 Playoff Appearances – 4 National and SEC Awards (players) – 7 All American Selections – 8 All-SEC First Team Selections - 28 2016 SEC Coach of the Year I have reached out to SageBow about the future coach at Alabama. While the final decision lies with him, I have requested some input to my successor. I hope to see someone takeover that has a passion for Alabama football and plenty of time to dedicate to continuing our tradition of success Nationally and in the SEC. For me, I do not know what the future holds in CFBHC. For now, I will take some time to reflect on what I have accomplished here at Alabama and maybe look to the future sometime down the road. (This does not change anything in NFLHC for me or the Arizona Cardinals.) I am happy to stick around and answer any questions at this time.
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    "Who is the best QB in sim history, and why did you answer something other than Bill Garcia?" - smokingcricket Disregarding the bizarre 2013 season and instead thinking about the career trajectories of certain players as a hole I think the best quarterback is clearly Christian Skaggs (FSU/Carolina Panthers). There's a case for Brian Brown but he's been a bit on the down low with a below average team the past 20-25 games. I honeslty think Allan Taylor may be up there just because of his skillset in college. He's by far the most consistent Scrambling QB we've had and I think that earns some respect from me. Darrell Murphy is really underhyped for how good he is. He feels kind of like Drew Brees to me where he's clearly a top 3 QB but he's just kind of forgotten in the discussion. Bill Garcia last words to be were rumored to be "ban me you fucking twat," or something along those lines. "Is there a clutch stat in the sim?" - taffyowner Is there a clutch stat? No. Is there a clutch attribute? Yes. I have to define the difference between those two here because people obviously don't know entirely and probably should be educated. Think of Madden. Acceleration is a stat from 0-99 and, at least the old Madden (no idea how it is now), attributes are conditions triggered by a player depending on a game situation and value in certain stats. For example a player may have a leadership of 95 and, in combination with the coaching attribute, that could make the leadership stat take effect at the end of the game to reduce penalties in switching between schemes. This is essentially how the whole system is set up. If a player doesn't have either the threshold of a stat or the capability to trigger the attribute the effect won't go off. There are however minor attributes that are unlisted to everyone that can be triggered by players - a lot of you have started to figure out ones that exist without definite confirmation (for example certain QBs love to throw to TEs in certain situations). I think part of the fun is letting your players personalities be built by these stat/attribute combinations and that was always my philosophy designing the sim for the site. "Is UBL still in Orlando? If not who do you go to Orlando City SC games with now?" - taffyowner UBL is indeed still in Orlando! I won't give away anything more than that because I value his privacy. I take him along to OCSC games most of the time and am not entirely sure how I'll handle that if he leaves the area. I enjoy talking to him about the site and what he thinks of everything and it's great to meet someone through a common interest that I enabled. UBL is stand up guy and much less prone to emotional responses from this site compared to me. "What is your greatest complaint about the site community?" - smokingcricket Most of the times that you guys think I rage in the shoutbox are probably exaggerations from the way text makes a personality come across. I'm never really that angry, it's just how I deal with things in the short term (ask alien, I say some pretty vile or stupid things when playing DotA but it goes away after the game is over). The one thing that causing continual trouble to me on this site is the minor sense of entitlement some people seem to have (and it frequently happens entirely out of the blue!). I'm just one guy who works 40 hours a week and enjoys sports. I'm not great at coding, just okay. I'm not great at community management, just okay. I'm not even that good of an admin, I just want to run this community and not have to think about work or life or whatever. This project is me in its entirety. Seeing someone demand I progress a team or get upset that I haven't completed something is pretty shit to be honest. It makes me feel like garbage. This is my project and not my job. Please remember that when you come visit this site. "What's the strangest play/incident/whatever that didn't show up on a game report?" - sleuthofbears I don't really read everything because there's so much shit to parse and go through. When there were only like 40-50 teams on the site I tended to read nearly everything but like I said that's kind of thinned of. Regardless, I've seen some weird plays over the seasons and some crazy coincidences that are just silly to think about. In NFLHC last year, I want to say the Falcons (?) or Panthers (?) had a series of plays where they had 3 unsportsmanlike penalties in a row on consecutive plays. The Utes had a jet sweep go for -19 or -20 a few years ago - no idea what the hell happened. There was a college coach in 2014 (I think it was a Texas-based NFLHC team that went like 0 for 13 on challenges). There's been a 98 pass that didn't go for a touchdown that confused the shit out of me because the tackle was made by a relatively slow player (like an outside linebacker)??? I see quirks from the engine all the time and I'll try to remember more when I can. I hope you guys enjoyed the first Q&A Friday, please feel free to discuss these answers in here. I'll answer 5 questions each friday from the list that is located here, you are welcome to add any whenever you like! https://discord.gg/3GBn3Hp
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    If you use the navmenu you can navigate to the Donation page. Browse > Donations I will have donation goals listed here that I would like to meet for a variety of things that will be explained in those goals. Any donation of at least $7.50 will get you 30 days of the "donator" member group which allows you to have infinite PM space, infinite likes per day, infinite image uploads, and allows access to non-default themes. (At the moment there is only an under-construction white theme - but expect there to be conference and team related teams as I make them). Once I get everything fully working I will add 2017 Stretch Goals of stuff to be added once those donations are hit. Bowl Sponsorships will become a thing again but will be a certain amount per year in addition to other things. You WILL NOT receive any further sim-related info for donating. The sim will always remain free. Soluna Exact Donation Breakdown 7.50-14.99 = 30 Days 15.00-22.49 = 60 Days 22.50-29.99 = 90 Days 30.00+ = 120 Days
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    Season records that have already been broken: Season records that may be broken this week:
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    2019 CFBHC National Championship Game National Championship Game (Miami Gardens, FL/+7/+6) Semifinals (Location, Loser's Recruiting Points) Game #1 - Peach Bowl (Atlanta, GA/+5) Game #2 - Fiesta Bowl (Glendale, AZ/+5) Quarterfinals (Location, Loser's Recruiting Points) #1 vs #8 (Glendale, AZ/+4) #2 vs #7 (Arlington, TX/+4) #3 vs #6 (New Orleans, LA/+4) #4 vs #5 (Miami Gardens, FL/+4) Alamo Bowl (San Antonio, TX/+3/+2) vs Armed Forces Bowl (Fort Worth, TX/+2/+1) vs Bahamas Bowl (Nassau, BH/+2/+1) vs Bay Area Bowl (Santa Clara, CA/+2/+1) vs Birmingham Bowl (Birmingham, AL/+2/+1) vs Boca Raton Bowl (Boca Raton, FL/+3/+2) vs Cactus Bowl (Phoenix, AZ/+2/+1) vs Charlotte Bowl (Charlotte, NC/+3/+2) vs Citrus Bowl (Orlando, FL/+3/+2) vs Detroit Bowl (Detroit, MI/+2/+1) vs Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Boise, ID/+3/+2) vs Gator Bowl (Jacksonville, FL/+2/+1) vs Hawai'i Bowl (Honolulu, HI/+2/+1) vs Heart of Dallas Bowl (Dallas, TX/+3/+2) vs Holiday Bowl (San Diego, CA/+3/+2) vs Independence Bowl (Shreveport, LA/+2/+1) vs Las Vegas Bowl (Las Vegas, NV/+3/+2) vs Liberty Bowl (Memphis, TN/+2/+1) vs Miami Beach Bowl (Miami, FL/+3/+2) vs Military Bowl (Annapolis, MD/+2/+1) vs Music City Bowl (Nashville, TN/+3/+2) vs New Mexico Bowl (Albuquerque, NM/+2/+1) vs Orange Bowl (Miami Gardens, FL/+4/+3) vs Orlando Bowl (Orlando, FL/+3/+2) vs Pinstripe Bowl (Bronx, NY/+3/+2) vs Rose Bowl (Pasadena, CA/+4/+3) vs St. Petersburg Bowl (St. Petersburg, FL/+2/+1) vs Sugar Bowl (New Orleans, LA/+4/+3) vs Sun Bowl (El Paso, TX/+3/+2) vs Tampa Bowl (Tampa, FL/+3/+2) vs Texas Bowl (Houston, TX/+2/+1) vs
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    The 2020 season is almost upon us, and you don't want to wait for the evidence to roll in before you start up your hot takes--but at the same time, you want to be able to say "I told you so" once the season ends. Over the past few weeks, the Chicago Tribune statistical team has been designing a model to rank every team in the country this season (except UMass). Based loosely on SBNation's S&P formula, the Tribune formula takes into account every program's performance last season (as measured by adjusted margin of victory), their past four years of recruiting, and the amount of production returned from last year, all based on what has shown correlation with past end-of-year Adjusted Margin of Victory rankings. Thanks to caesari and bmlig95 for helping get the necessary statistics together. Without further ado, here is the full list of all 118 FBS teams that are named things other than UMass (since there is no past data for the Minutemen). Who is too high? Who is too low? You decide. 118. Middle Tennessee (C-USA) 117. Florida International (C-USA) 116. Florida Atlantic (C-USA) 115. UAB (C-USA) 114. Charlotte (C-USA) 113. UTEP (C-USA) 112. Tulsa (AAC) 111. San Jose State (MWC) 110. Oregon State (Pac-12) 109. Wyoming (MWC) 108. UNLV (MWC) 107. Old Dominion (C-USA) 106. Louisiana Tech (C-USA) 105. Kent State (MAC) 104. Miami (FL) (ACC) 103. Wake Forest (ACC) 102. UTSA (C-USA) 101. Cincinnati (AAC) 100. Utah State (MWC) 99. Miami (OH) (MAC) 98. New Mexico (MWC) 97. Western Kentucky (C-USA) 96. Memphis (AAC) 95. Colorado State (MWC) 94. Central Michigan (MAC) 93. Southern Miss (C-USA) 92. Kentucky (SEC) 91. Georgia State (Independent) 90. BYU (Independent) 89. Marshall (C-USA) 88. Eastern Michigan (MAC) 87. Navy (AAC) 86. Akron (MAC) 85. Kansas State (Big XII) 84. Tulane (AAC) 83. Houston (AAC) 82. NC State (ACC) 81. Army (Independent) 80. Ball State (MAC) 79. Ole Miss (SEC) 78. Washington (Pac-12) 77. Buffalo (MAC) 76. North Texas (C-USA) 75. Rutgers (Big Ten) 74. Northern Illinois (MAC) 73. Florida (SEC) 72. Stanford (Pac-12) 71. Ohio (MAC) 70. Bowling Green (MAC) 69. Boise State (MWC) 68. North Carolina (ACC) 67. Fresno State (MWC) 66. Notre Dame (Independent) 65. Northwestern (Big Ten) 64. Syracuse (ACC) 63. Indiana (Big Ten) 62. Arkansas (SEC) 61. UCLA (Pac-12) 60. Georgia Tech (ACC) 59. Texas Tech (Big XII) 58. Louisville (ACC) 57. Utah (Pac-12) 56. Arizona State (Pac-12) 55. East Carolina (AAC) 54. Boston College (ACC) 53. Duke (ACC) 52. Texas A&M (SEC) 51. Nebraska (Big Ten) 50. Rice (C-USA) 49. Ohio State (Big Ten) 48. Iowa (Big Ten) 47. Colorado (Pac-12) 46. Hawaii (MWC) 45. Connecticut (AAC) 44. San Diego State (MWC) 43. South Carolina (SEC) 42. California (Pac-12) 41. Missouri (SEC) 40. Georgia (SEC) 39. Tennessee (SEC) 38. UCF (AAC) 37. Michigan State (Big Ten) 36. Temple (AAC) 35. Iowa State (Big XII) 34. Western Michigan (MAC) 33. Virginia (ACC) 32. Oklahoma (Big XII) 31. Kansas (Big XII) 30. West Virginia (Big XII) 29. TCU (Big XII) 28. Oregon (Pac-12) 27. Texas (Big XII) 26. Vanderbilt (SEC) 25. Oklahoma State (Big XII) 24. Alabama (SEC) 23. Pittsburgh (ACC) 22. Wisconsin (Big Ten) 21. USF (AAC) 20. Air Force (MWC) 19. Virginia Tech (ACC) 18. Florida State (ACC) 17. Minnesota (Big Ten) 16. Maryland (Big Ten) 15. Nevada (MWC) 14. Baylor (Big XII) 13. Arizona (Pac-12) 12. Mississippi State (SEC) 11. Illinois (Big Ten) 10. Washington State (Pac-12) 9. USC (Pac-12) 8. LSU (SEC) 7. Auburn (SEC) 6. Purdue (Big Ten) 5. Toledo (MAC) 4. Michigan (Big Ten) 3. SMU (AAC) 2. Clemson (ACC) 1. Penn State (Big Ten) A few notes: Once again, the Big Ten projects to be the strongest conference in the country. Defending champion Penn State tops the preseason rankings, returning an extremely high percentage of an undefeated title team--including quarterback Tanner Bowman, wideout Morgan "General" Patton, wrecking ball Shamar Ware, and all-around destroyer Shane Easley. But they'll face stiff competition within their own division from #4 Michigan, as well as the threat of two top-11 teams in the West (Purdue, Illinois). On average, the Big Ten West is the 2nd-strongest division in the country--behind only the Big Ten East. Is this the year of the G5? The likes of UCF, Air Force, SMU, Temple, Toledo, and Nevada have constantly vied for the title of G5 superpower, but none have managed to break the green ceiling. No G5 team has ever defeated a P5 team in a playoff game, and only 2014 Boise State (against FSU) and 2016 Air Force (against Wisconsin) were able to keep it within one possession. Toledo and SMU both look to be the cream of the crop. They've maintained top-10 recruiting classes over the last four years, and that's meant that their young guys are seeing a lot of playing time--which in turn means that they don't lose a lot of production year-over-year yet. Both finished just outside of last year's AMoV top 25, but both could be poised for flying leaps into the top 10 this year. The Big XII is a difficult conference to project this year, and perhaps this lends some insight as to why: seven of its ten teams are located in the 25-35 range. #85 Kansas State and #59 Texas Tech lag behind while #14 Baylor lands ahead of the pack. The fundamental problem is that the teams that have hit the recruiting trail hard are losing a lot of production, whereas the teams that are returning most of their production have had some lean recruiting years. The ten teams projected to make the most improvement over last season's finish (from 10 to 1) are: Georgia Tech, UCLA, San Diego State, USF, Michigan, Nevada, North Texas, SMU, Arizona, and Duke. No pressure. The ten teams projected to regress the most from last season's finish (again from 10 to 1) are: Arizona State, Oklahoma, Boston College, Arkansas, Miami (FL), Nebraska, Tennessee, Ohio State, Syracuse, and Rutgers.
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    *Increased fumbling by a 15% for RBs, 15% for QBs, 35% for WRs.
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    After a brief moment, the head coach walks up to the podium. The press conference was notably larger than the last time he addressed his audience, but this did not deter him. After taking a few sips from a bottle of water, he looked ahead and gave a deep breath. I hope everyone's doing well today, thank you for showing up. As I stated before, I needed to take a few days off to think over some things. And so I am here, to state a few things - mostly the serious ones first. During the last few days, I’ve cut myself off from all unnecessary media, and used only what I deemed necessary. I thought about my habits, and how they affect not only my behavior but also those around me. To help you recognize the spot I’m in, I’m no longer in college. While 20 something’s still go out every so often, we’re in a different stage where we aren’t necessarily partying in a college environment. The main focus goes from studying, (for some, also work), partying, and socializing, and to one more generally focused on careers and responsibilities. So, I'm going to be straight forward on what happened. On Tuesday, I ended up driving home after a happy hour. I was not in the right mindset. Even if it was five to ten minutes away from where I lived, I not only put myself in danger, but the lives of others as well. Upon realizing this later that evening, along with the help of a few others, I decided this wasn't where I wanted my life to be heading. On two different broadcasts on CFBHC College Gameday, I’ve celebrated in honor of my team winning or Houston Coogs winning. While I’m not going anywhere via transportation, it doesn’t help to put footage of one’s self drinking on YouTube, where it remains there until the internet dies, and it doesn’t feel the same when physically drinking by yourself in your own home. I’ve also had on my mind on the situation involving Baylor. For those who don't know - the first real football game I’ve witnessed was Baylor v TCU in 2011. First game of the season, pretty much the first game of what I would call the Baylor Renaissance. With the recent events going on at Baylor, and yes, I’m talking about the scandals, it seems like the last four years have been a lot more sinister. Baylor football wasn’t the definition of my four years at Baylor, but you can understand that it was a great part of the student body during that time. When I now talk to friends that have either graduated or still attend the school, it seems like they are all distancing themselves away from the program and the university. With the scandal in mind, and with the two statements above it, I realized that I could cast a bad image on both the school and myself here on CFBHC and real life, if I continue along my current path. The situation with the real Baylor football program will continue to be investigated, but I want to hopefully be a better representative and show people that there’s good folk here at Baylor, and that we do care both for the students, alumni, and those who know us as being associated with Baylor University. So, I want to thank those who stuck by and reached out to me, I really appreciate that. I will do my best to stay responsible both as a head coach, and as a fellow human being. To start, I will commit by doing the following: Not drink alone. Only drink in the company of others, if they will also be drinking. Promote safe drinking and responsibility, if choosing to drink. Call an uber or walk, if I’m ever going out. By doing these things, I hope to be a better individual who coaches at the school he attended and loves. I would also like to address the following on my commitment here to the site: I will remain the head coach at Baylor University until further notice. (Those open jobs in Washington State looked REALLY promising though) I will remain the owner of the Seattle Seahawks. Pokemon Y BaP will resume once the release date for Pokemon Sun & Moon draws closer. I promise. I have a few things prepared for the Baylor offseason, as well as beyond, that could be entertaining. If you have knowledge on running an rpg or strategy game here on the site, PM me. I might need your help. Thank you for your time. Now if you will excuse me, I have a bowl game to prepare for. -TuscanSota
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    NO ONE CAN SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Aaron Devereaux, starting quarterback of the New Orleans Saints, recently used some of his off-season time to go out and buy himself a new car. "I've been driving the same Corolla I've had since Freshman year of college. I just never thought it was worth upgrading. I'm not a big car guy." Always fearful of car salesmen, Aaron took his friend Mike Thomas, backup quarterback on the Saints car shopping. "Aaron's got this thing man, it doesn't make no sense. He thinks car salesman are scary like snakes or some shit." Mike convinced Aaron to buy a brand new Aston Martin. "Your starting quarterback can't be driving a Corolla. What is that," Thomas said laughing. The two guys enjoyed their day. Good on you Aaron. Aaron Devereaux and Mike Thomas gain +6% chemistry.
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    NO ONE MAY SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Rob LeCount (Detroit Lions), Thomas Wheeler (Kansas City Chiefs), Aaron Shea (Indianapolis Colts), and Brian Vardell (Minnesota Vikings) hosted their annual Golf Tournament to benefit children suffering from Multiple Sclerosis at Pebble Beach Golf Links this past weekend. The group managed to raise over $200,000 for the cause. In attendance were the following players in addition to the hosts: Rodney Montgomery (Cincinnati Bengals), Jeremy Miller (New Orleans Saints), Brian Glenn (Seattle Seahawks), Chris Hoag (New York Jets), Michael Barber (Washington Redskins), Randall Jones (Oakland Raiders), Larry Reeves (Jacksonville Jaguars), Gary Faneca (Seattle Seahawks), and Todd Lester (San Francisco 49ers). Brian Glenn won the tournament shooting a 74 (+2). All host players receive +11% fitness to start the season. Attending non-hosts receive +7% fitness to begin the season.
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    Best Overall Draft: Green Bay Packers I think this is a pretty general consensus. Inspiral had two incredible players fall in his lap early, snatched them up, and had Soluna declare it to be possibly the best 1st round ever. It's hard to ruin that. So while their following picks weren't incredible, they certainly didn't hurt the Pack. Lucas Hopkins has some major flags, but if he gets over his demons, he turns into a very good value for Green Bay. Justin McCain, a 3rd rounder with high potential, highlights their midround selections. Also Considered: Arizona Cardinals, Denver Broncos, Cleveland Browns Worst Overall Draft: Minnesota Vikings Minnesota took projects in the middle rounds after not really addressing a crucial need in the 1st. While Donald Reed is certainly a good prospect, the Vikes had too many other needs to grade that pick too highly. They took some projects in the midrounds who won't be immediate contributors, such as Jacory Kessler and Cody Albright. Not having a 2nd round pick hurt, too. With division rivals all having markedly good drafts, Minnesota falls further behind in the race for the NFC North. Also considered: Houston Texans, Pittsburgh Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers Best Prospect Name: Richard "Dick" Pitts Funny as hell. Especially after 5+ hours staring at a computer drafting. Also Considered: Dwayne Carter, Kenji Sagatomo, Ousmane Green Best Value Pick: Zion Hopkins, 77 OVR, LA Chargers I'm slightly biased because Zion was pretty much my favorite prospect in this class and we tried to move mountains to get him. It didn't work out for us, but it certainly worked out for the Chargers, who were able to grab the high upside DT in the early 3rd round. He'll slot in nicely and could conceivably make an impact from the start of this season. I'm really excited to see how quickly he grows into the NFL game. Also considered: Russell Benson-Gifford (DEN), JB Blacknall (DEN), Dylan Hastings (SF) Highest Bust Potential: Jared Self, LAR Self has had a lot of critics, and it was probably a reach to take him at 21. While it could pan out, there is high risk associated with him. Self was a major underperformer on the same college line that my best value pick was featured on, and his failure to show up in certain games has been hashed through many times. Ultimately, he lends himself to extreme skepticism, even if the pick wasn't one of the worst in the 1st round from a needs standpoint. Also Considered: Isaiah Hall (KC), Curtis Henry (CAR) Biggest Riser: Graham Burnett, 7th overall Burnett was obviously the best QB on the board this draft. However, several mocks featured him picked in the late 20s or falling out of the 1st round altogether. Of course, with QB being the premium position it is, we never saw such a fall materialize. Instead, the Cowboys swooped in and took him in the top 10, ahead of college standouts such as Akeel Morris, Marquise Reed, and Christian Okonkwo. Also Considered: CJ Thomas (5th Overall), Shah Vereen (14th Overall) Biggest Faller: RB JB Blacknall, 52nd Overall This spot very easily could have gone to Akeel, who some mocks had going in the top 5 only to see him fall all the way to the Bears at 13. Franklin went from mocking in the mid first to falling all the way to 39th, behind the likes of Eli Austin and Tom Oldham. But Blacknall entered the draft tied for the highest overall rating of any RB and early mocks pegging him as an mid-to-late first rounder. Instead, Blacknall tumbled, and was the 6th RB off the board in the back half of the second round. Also Considered: Akeel Morris (13th Overall), Michael McBride (32nd Overall), WR Benjamin Franklin (39th Overall) Worst Pick: Aaron Blakely, TB, 4th Overall This one doesn't need explaining, as it's been bashed enough. Also considered: None. Most Sinister/Evil Genius Pick: Sean Hamilton to the Carolina Panthers If there was one QB that all other QBs would develop well behind, it would be Brian Brown. If there were two, they would be Brian Brown and Christian Skaggs. And while Hamilton may never see postseason success during his stretch in Carolina, he'll certainly learn how to be a very good quarterback, and in a few years, he'll be quite the commodity. Also Considered: Russell Benson-Gifford (DEN), Aden Hastings (NYJ) Best Meme of the Draft: TRADES ARENT WORKING IN THE INTERFACE Also considered: Nevadajack, The Cow, Corey In The House
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    Previous Posts: Class of 2014 Class of 2015 Everyone says you can't truly grade a draft correctly until three years into the future. Lets take a look back and see how the players from the first round of the 2016 draft turned out! These ratings go from 1-10, with 1 being a total bust and 10 being a total stud. Note that ratings may not be consistent with previous articles. For this article, all the statistics are from 2016 to 2018. 1. QB Erik Wegert 2. WR Mosi Bartos 3. DE Curtis Lewis 4. DE Dennis Niland 5. RB Akili Wallace 6. OT Blake Pile 7. OLB Kenyatta Henderson 8. QB Todd Lester 9. QB Aaron Devereaux 10. OG Jace Brown 11. DE Ron Rice 12. DT Jeremy Miller 13. DE Kendrick Droughns 14. CB DeAndre Hawkins 15. DE Ulysses Smith 16. CB Matt Cowan 17. TE Danny Patrick 18. OG LaMont Sheriff 19. CB Antonio Burch 20. OT Matt Bogle 21. OG Jimmie Shelton 22. RB Marcus Barry 23. DE Bill Young 24. CB Justin Davis
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    Using the depth charts on the forums and the draft records from the wiki, I found the average round/pick each position's starters were drafted. If a player was undrafted, I put in that they were pick #250. I tried to remove players that were only starting because of injuries and use the original starter instead. The 1sts column show how many players were 1st round picks (in the first 32 picks of the draft). So even if they were the 2nd round, 18th overall pick in the 2014 draft, they were counted as a 1st round pick. Offense Defense Special Teams Ranked List (Pick) CB #1 (41) LT (44) QB (44) MLB (58) LG (58) WR (59) LE (63) SS (64) CB #2 (64) DT (64) RT (73) LOLB (74) RG (75) RB (75) FS (76) RE (80) C (84) ROLB (86) TE (100) K (173) FB (186) P (188) Notes Left side of offensive lines are drafted higher (not surprising). However, left defensive ends and left outside linebackers are drafted higher than right side of defense. This may be because some teams have strong-side and weak-side DE's/OLB's in their depth chart instead of right and left DE's/OLBs. I put strong-side as left and weak-side as right. There are no former UDFA's that currently start on OL. The one former 1st round pick that is used as a holder is Blake Shell. Not including special teams and FBs, the average NFLHC starter in any position was the 67th overall pick in the 3rd round.
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    Sad Michael Carroll after loss to Chiefs Trying something a little different this week: instead of number rankings, I'm placing teams in Playoff-centered Tiers. Generally, the higher up within the tier, the more "powerful" the team. Oh, and I've written every team a little haiku for your HumpDay enjoyment. Cheers! Remember, if you don't like these rankings...play better! Aiming for a #1 Seed Oakland Raiders World-Beaters So Far But One Question Remains: Who’s gonna beat them? New York Giants Carano plus Defense-- That is the magic formula. Not sure it’s enough Philadelphia Eagles Win ugly, win big Win shootouts and in the muck What’s left? Finish, AT. Getting Tuned Up for the Playoffs Baltimore Ravens Easiest schedule In the easiest division. Playoff tough? We’ll see… Indianapolis Colts Defense isn’t good Enough to dominate games. All on Shea’s right arm. San Francisco 49ers Playoff lock at 7-4? Yep. Team Lester zooms past Rams-- Since they’re healthier. Carolina Panthers Skaggs getting tired, Airing it out. Get him some Help. Skaggs. Skaggs. Skaggs. Skaggs. Probably Going to the Playoffs, Work Left to Do… Los Angeles Rams Even at 8-3 Losing Murphy hurts a ton. Don’t think they hold on… Kansas City Chiefs WheelerBall is rad! So is freaking Ben Offerdahl. Dammit. Dammit, Chiefs. Denver Broncos Hand-wringing Broncos, Tough ass schedule down the pipe— Anyone got a running back? 50/50—Anyone Have a Coin? Miami Dolphins I said it last week: Fins are back! Made me look smart. Bet they’ll take the East. Minnesota Vikings Vikings stay healthy They might win the North. Who knows? Henson/balance key. Detroit Lions Nice to see Lions Play well again. Beat solid Seattle. Now, must keep it up. Atlanta Falcons Jefferson returns This week, most likely. Will it be Enough for Playoffs? New York Jets Maybe the best team In the East? I don’t think so. D is good. Fields? No. New England Patriots How about those Pats!?! In the playoff talk, a first. (Only cause East stinks…) Buffalo Bills They have the upper Hand in this Eastern battle. Sez here: odd team out. Likely Have to Win Out for Postseason Seattle Seahawks Rough start means scary Finishing schedule for Hawks. Talent? Yes. Mindset? Nope. Chicago Bears Team Yo-Yo is Up! Beating Vikings would go far…but Some tough games remain. Houston Texans Couple games behind Chiefs and Broncs. Does Shell have verve To win out? Not sure… Exciting Football Teams That Will Miss the Playoffs Washington Redskins With off-season woes They’ve actually over-performed. Too bad, Fields is bae. New Orleans Saints They’re out. So they shoud Throw it 70 times a game. (Luck will turn next year.) Pittsburgh Steelers Essentially out, but… Don’t look now! Davenport rules! (Please suck this weekend) Playoffs Weren’t Even The Goal…This Year Jacksonville Jaguars Four and seven ain’t Terrible. Really. So many Young guys. Need savvy. Arizona Cardinals Even with bare-bones Roster, I expected more From Cards. Still…Garner! We Are Better Than Our Record, I Swear! Green Bay Packers JJ to Nom sucks. Blow it up, start over, rebuild. What about Dacder? Cleveland Browns Browns should pay money For Steelers secrets. Honestly. Clark could be Paul D. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Not sure where to start. Heiden? Step back. Defense? No salt. Contracts gonna hurt. Dallas Cowboys Signs of life in Dallas. Coaching change needed? Sorry. Evan, I think so. Cincinnati Bengals Preaching patience to All the Bengals faithful peeps. King’s alright…later. It Would Be Nice to Have 53 Healthy Players Just Once San Diego In loss to Ravens Started two guys no one knew. Need docs on payroll. Tennessee Titans Injuries suck. So does A disturbing lack of talent. ‘20—a whole new world!
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    2017 NFLHC Draft: A reflection of one of the craziest draft days in site history. Draft days are always one of the most cherished and memorable events on the site. The drama and excitement are second to none when it comes to the future of every organization. Plans that many on the site have tried to hide from each other for the past few months finally come to fruition over the span of 3 days. The 2017 Draft was one of the most interesting of any of our drafts with a lot of storylines whirling around the league. To fully appreciate the events that took place over those days, we need to look back at some trades, games and announcements that truly made that draft into the crazy spectacle it was. The Trades The biggest piece of the puzzle we have to discuss is the expansion of the league. The 2017 season had 8 new franchises enter the league putting the league total to real life numbers at 32 teams. This was the biggest and last expansion to date with a huge Expansion Draft taking place to help these teams become competitive. The divisions were set up to be the same as the real life NFL divisions. This also impacted the Draft itself with these 8 teams getting the top 8 picks. These “lottery” picks were incredibly valuable as some of these teams would be inclined to trade these away to acquire more talent instead of opting for that one star talent guy. Of these 8 picks, 5 of them were traded away. We’re going to go through each one of these trades from the bottom up to see what all was traded and what each team received. They are as follows: 8th: Tennessee Titans: 1st (8th), 3rd(72nd) [Robert Haynes], [Chris Reed] for San Fransisco 49ers: 1st (12th) , 2nd(44th) [David Doherty], [Willard Love] 7th: Pittsburgh Steelers: 1st (7th), 7th (249th) [Grey Brown], [Robert Crews] for Detroit Lions: 1st (25th) , 5th , Quinn Bouman, Art Mills [Carnell Meadows], [Nick Grant], Quinn Bouman, Art Mills 6th: Philadelphia Eagles: 1st (6th) [Mike Gradishar] for Oakland Raiders: Rodrick Milligan, Jim Milloy, 6th (225th) , 7th (257th) Rodrick Milligan, Jim Milloy, [Ken Eller], [Marcus Carver] 4th: Kansas City Chiefs: 1st (4th) [sean Jenkins] for New Orleans Saints: 2nd (33)*, 2nd (61) , 3rd (93)** , Terry Patton [brett Bailey]*, [Dewey Tomlinson], [James Redd]**, Terry Patton *Ended up as Cincinnati’s pick through trade ** Ended up as NYG’s pick through trade 2nd: Washington Redskins: 1st (2nd), 2nd (39th) [AJ Jefferson], [Kelly Meier] for Atlanta Falcons: 1st (32nd), 3rd (96)***, Javier Fields, Fred Preston, Tom Scott, Mike Bledsoe, Zach Fiore [Michael Barber], [Logan Hunter]***, Javier Fields, Fred Preston, Tom Scott, Mike Bledsoe, Zach Fiore ***Ended up as Denver’s pick through trade This is a huge amount of trades for the first few picks in the draft, but not all of it ends there. 18 of the original 32 1st round picks were affected by trades in some form or fashion. This number hasn’t been seen and hadn’t come close until the 2019 draft where the total was off by 1 trade. It truly was an absolutely crazy few weeks of people getting trades together and having the addition of the new expansion teams. The Picks The mindset of all of the front offices of the teams in that 8 pick span and what was going through their mind during each of these picks. I have asked for interviews from someone in the front office of all of these top 8 picks. 1st: Chicago Bears: Norris Brooksheer, QB Oklahoma Here we have the face of the Big 12 and Bears organizations Stormstopper: Stormstopper: “We were never particularly close to trading the #1 pick. We had a few talks, but they didn't progress anywhere and we never officially put it on the trade block. We decided that we were guaranteed a chance to draft the franchise quarterback and we might as well take it--that, and we never got the home run offer it would've taken to get it. We waited until after the combine to make our decision, but we decided that either Norris Brooksheer or Jarius Jones could be our guy and we weren't going to trade the pick. Heading into the offseason, I was a Brooksheer fan and Darman was a Jefferson fan. Maybe it was because those were the guys we were most familiar with given that I was in the Big 12 North with Brooksheer and Darman was in the ACC Coastal with Jefferson. Maybe it was because Jarius Jones was under the radar relative to a Heisman winner and the most hyped player ever. When we started looking at them more closely, Jefferson kind of faded. His combine basically sealed the deal--we figured he'd be high-maintenance and we weren't going to be able to put what we'd need around him. The combine's also what pushed Brooksheer into the lead--his private workouts and his college stats painted a pretty clear picture of what he was and what we thought he could be, and we thought he had a higher ceiling than Jarius Jones. The rest of the draft was about putting pieces around Brooksheer and a bit of filling out our team. Our #1 priority after the #1 pick was getting an offensive linemen. We ended up getting his teammate, Bob McMahon--which was disappointing due to the wealth of tackles in that class but inevitable once we traded so far down in the 2nd round. We also got Peter Foster, who'd put up so few stats at Baylor because he was the #2 receiver in a run-heavy offense. Those guys didn't progress particularly well, but they also played outside their ideal roles--we hope to move McMahon to right tackle and Foster to the slot and that'll hopefully give them a spark. Our best value picks were probably Matthew Brewer from Texas (OG, 4th round) and Trevor Reed from Alabama (OLB, 6th round)--they didn't put up stats, but they progressed well in year 1 and we had a process to go find them. We also got Butch McCullough in the 5th, threw him into the fire at CB1, and it was a disaster. Gary Faneca destroyed him in game 1, and I honestly think we broke him. He's slid pretty much all the way down the depth chart and might never play again. Poor Butch. But that CB situation helped us get the #1 pick the next year, and that got us Ivory Hull and Fred Huber, so there's some silver lining.” 2nd: Atlanta Falcons: AJ Jefferson, QB North Carolina I am representing the Falcons for this pick and the trade beforehand. Ace: “Oh boy. This is always a doozy to go through. I guess I’ll start with the trade. We had just come off of a Super Bowl win. Things were great! We knew that Randy was leaving for Carolina, but we were pretty sure that we could land a decent replacement and all would be good. We wished him well on his journey and knew he would be a stud no matter where he went. It hurt to see him go, but he is easily one of the best football minds on the site and wanted to have a bit more challenge than just coach our team. So we move forward with offseason stuff. We start talking about the draft and what kind of ideas we had. We threw out the idea of trading up to a top 5 pick. We had conversations at the time about where we wanted the offense to go and how the team was built and we were in agreement that we wanted to have a balanced offense. At the time, we had not done much experimentation with Javier and he pretty much was asked to just not lose games. We never had really gameplanned to have him really try and run a pass oriented or even a basic balanced offense. He was asked to do his thing 15-20 times a game and to hand off the ball to Akili/any running back we had. We ran the philosophy of defense first, and run out the clock with the run game to close, low scoring games. What we were afraid of was that people knew this plan and to try and keep people on their toes we’d have a system where we could go any direction we wanted on the offense spectrum. Javier had a game or 2 that year where it seemed that he wouldn’t be a good fit for the plan we had in motion and would not be able to handle a higher burden in the offense. So we had in our mind that Javier was destined to be this game managing QB. The thing we saw was 3 shiny brand new QBs that looked like the real deal. Brooksheer just came off the Heisman, Jarius looked fantastic almost going to the National Championship and AJJ was this hyped up kid who was racking up huge offensive numbers. We decided to pull the trigger and go through with a trade. Negotiations stalled with a few teams, but the Redskins were pretty cool about it and were willing to take a bunch of players instead of asking for picks. We decided we’d unload Javier, one of the older RBs on the roster, an OT that we could replace in the draft, an ILB, and a lower rated WR on the depth chart. In our minds, we gave up some depth guys or people that we could replace fairly decently. RB was taken care of with Akili, QB was taken care of with the 1st round pick, ILB still had some talent, OT was the reason why we swapped 2nds and pick Meier and the WR wasn’t doing much in the first place. So now onto the selection process in who we selected. We were interested in the top 3 QBs at the time and around the time that we had the idea to trade up was when Iowa played Penn State in the Conference Championship/Playoffs and got punched in the mouth. I don’t remember the score exactly, but it was a fairly bad game overall for Iowa and Jarius came out with something like 2 INTs. That was the last performance we had for Jarius and that left a bit of a sour note in my mind for him going into the scouting process. The top 3 that year were eerily similar in terms of the workout. They each had a strength, but were fairly balanced overall. Brooksheer was accurate, AJJ had the arm and Jarius was had the mental game down. Now we had the mindset of wanting a change. We still had that last game against Penn State in our minds and decided to lean more toward Brooksheer and AJJ. We went through and broke down game by game how each QB and compared this to the strength of defense and team that they played. We were blown away when we saw that AJJ was fairly consistently putting up 300+ yards virtually every game. Brooksheer had the accuracy, but when it came down to pure philosophy we were leaning toward AJJ. His arm checked out as stellar and he had the stats to back it up. He seemed to make good decisions with that Junior year of just 2 INTs and seemed to have everything we wanted in a QB. We were of the mindset that he would have this cannon of an arm to bolster our passing game with the looming threat of Akili on the horizon. We had it in our mind that Brooksheer was the accurate QB that could do it all, AJJ was a project but had the highest ceiling with the potential to really use that arm to make us a more rounded offense and Jarius was the safe, high floor guy that we felt was very similar to Javier. We wanted to move in a different direction than what we had so we chose AJJ.” Since this trade was so controversial, I decided to add in brightfalls on the other side of the discussion on this pick. brightfalls: “If a deal wasn't put in place, we certainly would've targeted one of the top three quarterbacks, with a strong bias towards Jarius Jones. I liked the idea of Grey Brown or Tunch Richardson as well, but since we were essentially beginning a franchise I knew a quarterback would probably be the best idea to build a team around. I thought AJJ was too much of a gunslinger in college for my liking, and really liked Jarius' and Norris' leadership and pro-style capabilities which I knew I wanted out of a quarterback. My reasoning behind a desire to trade the pick was that I wanted to create a solid base, and get the most value out of a singular pick. So, I was entertaining lots of trade ideas. Our two choices came down to a trade with Houston for Harold Simmons and some spare parts, and obviously the trade with the Falcons for Javier Fields and some spare parts. I'm pretty happy with how that situation turned out. We also had an offer from Detroit that included OT Andrew O'Neill, but obviously I was more inclined to go with a deal that included a starting QB. Javier's performance with the Falcons in 2016 was very solid, and I was thrilled to get him and the Falcons 1st for our 1st and 2nd picks. Once I knew I would have #32, I looked at where we were at post-expansion draft and knew I wanted to target a CB since I felt it was an extremely important position to have a solid starter at, and my favorites that I knew would be around were Laurent Christensen and Michael Barber. The Dolphins made that decision pretty easy for me in the pick prior to mine, and I've been very happy with Barber leading our secondary. If I hadn't selected him, I think this team would be scrambling for defensive help a lot more than we already are. I've been very happy with our choice and satisfied with Javier's progress and the development of our picks from 2017, especially considering the difficulties that some other expansion teams from 2017 have had in the quarterback department. However, it will certainly be interesting to keep an eye on the continued development of the top 3 QBs from the draft as they progress into excellent franchise QBs and leading faces of the NFL.” 3rd: Buffalo Bills: Anthony Ortiz, DE Oklahoma State Ndunkelbarger69 will be representing the Bills for the discussion on the Ortiz pick. Who were you originally targeting with your pick? Dinkleburg: “I was always targeting Ortiz for as long as I can remember. There was a brief moment (maybe like a day) where I considered Jarius Jones but after Ortiz's combine he was my number one guy.” What players were on your short list for that pick? D: “My shortlist at the time included, (Ortiz, Jarius Jones, Brooksheer, AJ Jefferson and Sean Jenkins) pretty much your typical shortlist for a top 5 pick at that time.” Did any picks above you impact your pick? D: “Nope Ortiz was my guy so I was very happy to see him still there.” Did you consider any other trades to either trade up or down in the draft? D: ”I really loved my top two guys in Ortiz and Jarius Jones so I considered a trade but I was asking for way too much and stayed put.” How did that pick influence the rest of your draft? D: “I realized i didn't want Robert Aikman to be my starting QB so I made sure to go get Erasmus in the 2nd.” Are you happy with the pick you made? D: “I am very happy with the pick and wouldn't change the pick if I could go back in time.” Do you think you made the right choice? D: “I do think I made the right choice just because it can be difficult to find that franchise Elite Dlineman. Although the same could be said for QB but I don't regret my decision whatsoever.” Any other things you’d like to add in regard to the 2017 draft? Reactions of who other people picked? D: “My initial reaction was that the 2017 draft as a whole was amazingly fun and really got me hooked on this site. Initially I was pretty surprised when my top two guys ( Ortiz and Jones) fell when you guys picked AJ but by no means was I as surprised as the rest of the site. I thought it was a good pick and just hasn't worked out in your favor yet.“ 4th: New Orleans Saints: Sean Jenkins, WR North Texas neovenator250 was gracious enough to sit down with me and discuss his selection of Sean Jenkins. Who were you originally targeting with your pick? Neo: “Well, when we traded up, we had one guy on our mind and that was DE Anthony Ortiz out of Oklahoma State. Pass rush was something we wanted to address and make a priority and Ortiz was easily the best prospect for that.” What players were on your short list for that pick? Neo: “Outside of Ortiz, who was our #1 target by far, the #2 guy on our board for most of the offseason was OT Grey Brown. Milling around after that on the board were WRs Sean Jenkins and Tai Miller, CB Mike Gradishar, and OT Robert Haynes. At first, I actually preferred Tai Miller to Jenkins. Coach Bingo was a big proponent of Gradishar for a while. After going through the evaluation process, though, we all came to a consensus with Sean Jenkins as the guy we wanted after Ortiz.” Did any picks above you impact your pick? Neo: “We knew going in that Chicago and Atlanta were going to take quarterbacks. The one thing we were waiting on was Buffalo's decision. If they took Ortiz, we would take Jenkins. If they went in another direction, Ortiz was still our guy.” Did you consider any other trades to either trade up or down in the draft? Neo: “Since that offseason would have the last of the expansion drafts, GM Franz Kafka and I decided to use the players we couldn't protect from selection to maneuver in the real draft and pick up extra selections. We did this to great effect and ended up with multiple first and second round selections.” How did that pick influence the rest of your draft? Neo: “Well, once we'd taken Jenkins, that meant we needed to look elsewhere for DE help. With our second 1st rounder, we took OT Wesley Dawkins as BPA and in Round 2, we double-dipped at DE. Had we gotten Ortiz at #4, we likely would have targeted Miami WR Sonny Beckett at #21 and then looked for O-Line help in Round 2.” Are you happy with the pick you made? Neo: “I'm still a little salty about Ortiz, but I couldn't be more pleased with Sean Jenkins. He's been as advertised as a receiver and is one of the best return men in the NFL. Guy is absurdly dynamic.” Do you think you made the right choice? Neo: “Without question.” Any other things you’d like to add in regard to the 2017 draft? Reactions of who other people picked? Neo: “I'm still salty about the Chiefs grabbing FS Rob Hamilton in Round 3. I tried to trade for him immediately after Day 2 of the draft concluded. then I tried again after the season. Then when we had some preliminary talks this offseason, I took a half-hearted shot at it.” 5th: Arizona Cardinals: Jarius Jones, QB Iowa I was able to sit down with former Cardinals Owner LDYo for an interview about the selection of Jarius Jones. Who were you originally targeting with your pick? LDYo: “I believe our big board was as follows for our #5 pick 1) Sean Jenkins 2) Anthony Ortiz 3) Mike Gradishar All 3 were top prospects at their position and we knew they'd give us a fantastic piece for the big puzzle going forward. Me Crimson and Tammath all had the same philosophy of being sensible in our drafts. We didn't expect immediate success and were planning on building for the long term. That meant acquiring the best talent we could on a BPA basis where possible.” What players were on your short list for that pick? LDYo: “As above, we knew one of the players would be available because we were certain the top two QB's (in our opinion) would be gone by our pick (Jarius and Norris). Before Jarius fell to us it was going to be whoever was left out of the above 3 players. Did any picks above you impact your pick? LDYo: "Of course, it flipped everything upside down. We went into the first round completely confident in our strategy and just letting the chips fall. When it came to our Pick and Jarius was sitting there we suddenly had some thinking to do, it caused a brief period of chaos but we settled down pretty quickly. Initially we considered still rolling with Mike Gradishar, we REALLY liked him as a player but ultimately Jarius was too good to turn down. It was the sensible decision and picking up our franchise QB in our first draft really set us up going forward. Jarius would have been #1 on our board if we thought we stood any chance of getting him, we didn't though, and then all of a sudden he was there at pick 5.” Did you consider any other trades to either trade up or down in the draft? LDYo: “We put out the feelers for trading down when Jarius fell to us just because he was highly thought of and him falling to #5 was kinda unprecedented. We decided within the first minute of our pick we'd take him if no one decided to bite on a ridiculous trade offer but put the feelers out there anyway. It was worth using the allotted time we had to see if we could force any hands or have people jump on the opportunity but we weren't actively shopping the pick. We just waited out the time and happily picked Jarius when the clock ran down.” How did that pick influence the rest of your draft? LDYo: “It didn't really influence the rest of our draft that much to be honest. We fully intended to roll with Sam Armour for our first year who we picked up in the expansion draft, we didn't expect immediate success and so we weren't gonna throw the boat out to make a competitive team straight away. We knew it would take time and we were prepared to go a couple of seasons building through the draft and with smart FA signings before starting to look at adventurous trade opportunities.” Are you happy with the pick you made? LDYo: “We were extremely happy with the pick we made. We never expected a franchise QB to fall into our lap and were certain Norris and Jarius would be gone. We weren't interested in taking the "risk" on A.J Jefferson. We were over the moon and happy to have been proven wrong in our assumptions!” Do you think you made the right choice? LDYo: “I'm certain it was the right choice. We still considered Gradishar but the impact Jarius would have for our team was too much to pass up. To acquire such an essential piece in our first year with our first pick took a weight off our shoulders. We've no doubt we made the right choice.” Any other things you’d like to add in regard to the 2017 draft? Reactions of who other people picked? LDYo: ”Probably to no ones surprise our strongest reactions of the draft were to the 4 picks before us, when the Falcons selected A.J with the 2nd pick our war room went mental. We were waiting out the following 2 picks hoping neither team would pick Jarius or trade the pick to someone who did. Needless to say there was quite a bit of cursing and nervous chatter and then an eruption when he made it to our pick. Day 1 of the 2017 draft was a memorable one for the Cardinals to say the least.” 6th: Oakland Raiders: Mike Gradishar, CB Alabama For the Raiders, I met up with the NFL commissioner and Head everything for the Raiders alienufo. Who were you originally targeting with your pick? Alien: “Mike Gradishar” What players were on your short list for that pick? A: “Tunch Richardson” Did any picks above you impact your pick? A: ”No” Did you consider any other trades to either trade up or down in the draft? A: ”No” How did that pick influence the rest of your draft? A: “Allowed me to fill my ILB hole with my other 1st rounder, Alex Martin.” Are you happy with the pick you made? A: ”Yes” Do you think you made the right choice? A: ”Yes” Any other things you’d like to add in regard to the 2017 draft? Reactions of who other people picked? A: “The Cardinals had the spot above me, and were 100% going to take Gradishar which would have ruined my plans, but since the Falcons took AJJ instead of Jarius Jones at #2, they decided they couldn't pass up on Jones.So that worked in my favor.” 7th: Detroit Lions: Grey Brown, OT Florida State SlinkyJr was kind enough to meet up with me for the discussion on the Lions pick. Slinky: “When we traded up originally we were targeting Mike Gradishar. We believed he would be a top 5 CB and wanted to pair him up with Keyshawn Thompson. It had been a wet dream of mine for awhile. By draft time our Shortlist consisted of Anthony Ortiz (we held out some hope he might slip to us), Mike Gradishar, Grey Brown, Brandon Sauter, Ryan Robinson, and Robert Haynes in that order. Once again alienufo took our man like he had done every year prior. We were so close to having the best secondary in the league by far :-( but when it was all said and done we got to choose between Grey Brown and Brandon Sauter. At that point Robinson and Haynes had fallen off our shortlist. We did not consider any other trades in that round, Pittsburgh offered us a very favorable deal so we took it. I'm not sure picking Grey Brown changed much of our draft. We had a plan of positions we needed: OT, CB, WR, ILB, TE, and DE so really it just changed the order in which we did it. I'm extremely happy with our pick and I know jmjacobs is too. Grey Brown is a stud muffin. I mean any of the 3, Gradishar, Brown or Sauter whom we were targeting would have been awesome but we're very happy we went Brown over Robinson and Haynes. I also think we made the right choice of Brown over Sauter. I love Sauter to death and he's amazing but our secondary is awesome without him and having Brown allowed us to move O'Neil and not lose much. In regards to the whole QB situation, Sophos, jmjacobs and I all had differing opinions on who the top QB was, we were actually scouting all of them because that was the year we ended up making the LeCount trade. I would've taken AJ first, jmjacobs liked Jarius Jones and I believe Sophos wanted Brookshear. definitely the most interesting QB situation we've had in a draft class” 8th: San Francisco 49ers: Robert Haynes, OT Michigan State I was able to sit down with Jumanji and Duncan345 of the San Francisco Front Office for thoughts on the 49ers pick. Who were you originally targeting with your pick? Jumanji: “Robert Haynes” What players were on your short list for that pick? J: “Haynes, Grey Brown, Ryan Robinson” Did any picks above you impact your pick? J: “Our top two were Haynes and Brown. When Brown went, it was an easy choice.” Did you consider any other trades to either trade up or down in the draft? J: “I don't remember the specifics of other deals, but we were actively trying to trade into the top 10 to get a tackle.” How did that pick influence the rest of your draft? J: “Our OT need was gone after the pick.” Are you happy with the pick you made? J: “Yes. After the Combine, Haynes was at the top of our board” Do you think you made the right choice? J: “Yes” Any other things you’d like to add in regard to the 2017 draft? Reactions of who other people picked? J: “I secretly wanted Gradishar. We were never going to take him unless he was there when the big 3 OTs were gone. Oakland took him before that and got themselves a great player.” What If? One of the biggest questions that gets asked with moves and trades like this are the what ifs. Imagine the way the league would be if some of these moves haven’t happened. What happens if Chicago takes Jarius over Brooksheer? What happens if Atlanta takes Jarius over AJJ? What happens if Atlanta doesn’t trade for the #2 pick and sticks with Javier? Would Buffalo still be looking for a QB if they take Brooksheer ot AJJ at #3? What happens with the Saints if they get Ortiz like they had hoped? Who do the Cardinals take at #5? Who does Oakland take at #6? What happens if the Oakland-Philadelphia trade doesn’t happen? What happens if someone like Tunch Richardson or David Doherty goes in the top 8 picks instead of falling all the way to the teens? What happens if Offensive Rookie of the Year Mike Latta went in the 1st round and who would have taken him? The league starts to have its own Butterfly Effect in regards to moves and selections people made in this draft. It happens every draft, but with the amount of teams entering the league and moves made at the top of the draft order it is hard not to think about the different scenarios that might have occured. AJJ as a Bear. Jarius as a Falcon. Gardishar as a Cardinal. Ortiz as a Saint. There are countless different ways we could cut these hypotheticals. There is no telling how the 2017 season and 2018 draft would have panned out if some of these moves hadn’t happened. The draft is a very trying and exciting event for a everyone on the site. It gets your adrenaline pumping as you wait to see who falls to you and where a player lands in the order of the picks. People get heartbroken as a player they were hoping to land goes 1 pick in front of you and you have to scramble to try and find a replacement for the guy you had your heart set on. The drama is like no other event that we hold. The sheer amount of surprise when someone makes an unexpected move is some of the reasons why this site is so addicting. The time and effort we all put in for the love of the site is why we are so invested in the results of the draft and why it can turn into a bloodbath sometimes. So here’s to many more of the hysteria filled 3 day clusterfucks known as the NFLHC draft. As I end this article, I have included the relevant career stats of the top 8 picks from the 2017 draft as they can be quantified on the stats wiki page. Career Stats 2017-2018 1. Norris Brooksheer: 32 Games: 605 of 1022 for 7529 yards, 45 TDs: 24 INTs, 59.19% completion percentage 2. AJ Jefferson: 30 Games: 480 of 785 for 6667 yards, 37 TDs: 27 INTs, 61.14% completion percentage 3. Anthony Ortiz: 16 Games: 53 tackles, 15.5 sacks, 2 FF, 3 FR, 1 TD 4. Sean Jenkins: 28 Games: 102 catches for 2174 yards and 21 TDs 5. Jarius Jones: 32 Games: 635 of 1051 for 8109 yards, 55 TDs: 23 INTs, 60.42% completion percentage 6. Mike Gradishar: 16 Games: 70 tackles, 1 FR, 11 INTs, 3 TDs 7. Grey Brown: Still starting at Left Tackle, Currently a 91 overall 8. Robert Haynes: Still starting at Left Tackle, Currently a 88 overall Thank You! I would like to take the time to thank all of the people that helped out with this article including the Front Offices of the picks that I focused on that were gracious enough to help out with the interviews and Sage for helping proof this article before it went out to the public. This is an article that is very close and dear to me as this was the draft that fully cemented my involvement on the site and truly gave me the passion for draft time. I hope to at some point do this for other drafts, but as I’m sure you can figure I have a deep connection to this draft in particular. Thank you for reading. I will be back later in the week to do a bit of cleanup if I need to on formatting and other cosmetic things (namely getting a goddamn image to lead off the fucking article.) Feel free to ask questions as you see fit!
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    As the conference championship games approach four teams are left fighting for the Lombardi Trophy. However, for the other 28 teams in the league, preparations for the 2019 season have already begun, and for many of those teams that involves moving up or down in the draft to address the needs of their team appropriately. One of the most common tools for evaluating the value of a draft pick is the use of a draft pick value chart. There is the traditional draft pick value charts that has been around for years, but the traditional chart has come under fire in recent years for not being empirical or based on any mathematical valuation. To address these concerns some have taken data on the average performance of a player picked at every position, and calculated new draft pick value charts which may be better measures of a pick's worth. Unfortunately, both the traditional and adjusted draft pick value charts apply assumptions about the distribution of talent that might not apply to NFLHC. So, we set out to determine if these pick value charts would accurately describe the talent distribution in the NFLHC, and if they did not create a new chart based on data from the sim. In order to understand the problems with the current charts we must first understand the sampling assumptions of traditional charts. So, lets say that there is a normal distribution of football talent of individuals in the USA. That distribution of talent would look something like this... Now, let's assume that the individuals who tend to play HS football are also the individuals with more skill. The distribution of high school football players would be the shaded red area of the distribution below... Let's again assume that only the best players in high school get offered the chance to play college football at an FBS level. The individuals playing college football are shaded in blue below... And lastly, let us make the final assumption that only the top college football players ever get a chance to be drafted into the NFL. Below the players selected in the draft would be represented by the shaded black region... So the best players are the ones that are being drafted. However, more importantly is the distribution of the skill of these players. The most valuable players are in the far right of the distribution, but also as we move to the left the number of players of similar skill become greater. These assumptions are represented in the values assigned to draft picks in the current draft pick value charts. First let's look at the traditional chart. While a traditional chart isn't based on any actual collected data, the assumptions of the chart hold true. The value of early picks is very high, while the value drops off rapidly at first and tapers off. If we look at a histogram of the values assigned to each pick we can see that it mirrors the look of the black region of the distribution above. While the drop off is rapid, the trend is still there. More valuable picks are further to the right because the players stand out more from the others in the draft. As the picks get later and later their value rapidly decreases at first but by the later rounds the last ~150 picks are all in the same green bar of the distribution above. Now as was mentioned earlier, despite the traditional chart attempting to replicate the distribution of talent, it was just an approximation based on no real data. Two newer draft pick charts attempted to use the actual utility of a player picked at that position to value every pick. The first, done by the Harvard sports analysis collective (https://harvardsportsanalysis.wordpress.com/2011/11/30/how-to-value-nfl-draft-picks/) used an approximation of the value of a career of players picked at every position. Below you can again see that the distribution of talent in the Harvard draft value chart matches the black part of the distribution above, this time with a much less drastic falloff from the top of the draft into later rounds, but a steady decrease just the same. A slightly more recent approach to the value of a draft pick has yielded a similar if not cleaner distribution of value. The Football Prospective draft value chart ( attempts to estimate the value of a pick by the likelihood of the pick being a contributor to the team. Below you will see a final distribution that matches the black region of the distribution above, and looks to be the cleanest distribution of pick value. So, why does all this matter in regard to NFLHC pick value? Well if the distribution of talent in the NFLHC draft matches the shape of these distributions then they might accurately reflect the value of each pick. However, if the distribution of talent in NFLHC doesn't match the distributions above we may have a problem. In order to assess this issue we gathered information from the skill of every college player entering the draft from 2015 to 2019. We eliminated fullbacks, kickers, and punters, because while they may be drafted they are generally drafted much later than their skill position would indicate. We then sorted the skills in order from largest to smallest with no regard for position. While some positions may be rated more important than others, overall the remaining positions are considered similar in importance. We then found the average skill rating for picks 1 to 224 if all picks were made by skill rating only. The one assumption made by the present analysis is that while skill rating does not guarantee success, the higher the skill rating the more likely the player is to succeed. Below is the histogram of the average skill selected for 224 picks in the last 5 drafts... Does that look like the graphs above? So if the graphs don't match what does it mean? Well while current draft charts assume we are looking at the tail end of a distribution, the skill of players selected in the NFLHC draft doesn't reflect that. Instead the skill distribution in the NFLHC draft more closely resembles a full normal distribution than the tail end of one. Some key things that can be taken away from this is that in the NFLHC draft the difference between and early first and a late first might not be as large as previously believed. It appears as though, while the talent level does drop off from early picks to later ones the drop off in the NFLHC isn't as drastic as previously assumed. Furthermore, the later round picks in the NFLHC draft should be worth even less than currently valued. Traditionally the career difference between a fourth round pick and a seventh round pick is not very large, but that may not be the case. A fourth round pick is much more skilled than a seventh round pick based on this metric. So can we create a new version of the draft pick value chart? We can try. First every pick's average skill was converted into a z-score, then we added 1.8 so that the lowest z-score would be above 0. Then we multiplied the z-score by 500 and added some additional point to earlier picks in order to account for having a choice of multiple players at the same average skill as later picks. Below is the new NFLHC draft value chart... Is it perfect? Absolutely not. Is it better than the old draft value charts? Maybe, there are a number of issues this new draft value chart might have. Noticeably the lack of variation at the top seems to indicate that the early picks aren't worth much more than each other, and 7th round picks could make up this difference. This is likely due to the weird normal like distribution of the skill of players. So I wouldn't recommend using it to value either early or late picks, but for mid round picks it can do a pretty good job of telling you that a pick is worth relative to other mid round picks. So while there are some clear flaws with this valuation there are also clear flaws with the current valuations as well. We would love to hear your ideas and opinions on how to make a draft value chart that can fix the flaws of the current charts and the proposed chart, so that we can create a useful chart in the future. EDIT - removed the ends of the pick value chart, because the fact that it wasn't a good metric either wasn't the point of the article.
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    NO ONE MAY SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Baltimore Ravens quarterback Reggie Watkins recently held a quarterback camp for NCAA-hopeful high school seniors in Columbia, MD. "I wanted to give them a chance to show themselves on a national stage. Many of these guys have never had more than 50 spectators come to a game and they need to know how to handle themselves. I talked to Jack Ramey, from Pocono something School earlier, he's very bright, he told me his favorite quarterback is Ryan Clark. I told him 'get the hell out' [chuckles]". The following players from the general Baltimore area were looked at my NCAA scouts at Watkins' camp. Jack Ramey, #23 QB: Readiness: 6 Game Tape: 8 Scouting: 7 Mike Lucas, #11 QB: Readiness: 5 Game Tape: 9 Scouting: 5 Eli Siegel, #14 QB: Readiness: 7 Game Tape: 5 Scouting: 5 QB Reggie Watkins has gained +4% starting fitness and +15% coaching ability.
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    (shamelessly stolen from Bill Barnwell) "To try to estimate each team's (totally arbitrary) strength I chose their three most useful and important skill position players for 2016. One quarterback was mandatory, but the other two spots were up for grabs. I factored in injuries and suspensions for players who already have those on their record; for everyone else, I considered what their typical season might be like in terms of injuries, based on their historical record. A quarterback like Christian Skaggs, who has never missed a start, had very little risk of injury. Brian Brown, meanwhile, is far more likely to miss a couple of games in a typical season thanks to injuries." Overalls included as they are important (though not fully important). Please remember that this is a projection and that just because a team scored a lot or few points last year doesn't mean they won't improve this year. Alright, now that I've stated that and I know that half the people reading this article won't even read this sentence, I'm ready for my salt. 32. Pittsburgh Steelers QB Paul Davenport (81), RB Nick Engelberger (76), WR Austin Medina (86) Sorry, Stillers fans. Davenport I'm presuming will start, but whether it's him or the Corporation the Steelers have a very unproven commodity at QB. While Engelberger was solid (but not great) last year, he was very hit or miss overall and does not seem to be reliable game-to-game. It might end up being Don Williams at RB but I think the brass likes Engelberger. Medina, a former pick of mine, had an OK season with Corp at QB last year, but does not seem to be a game-changer at this point in his career. He's OK but might end up being overtaken by Samuel Jolley in a year or two. Overall, the Steelers are the team in NFLHC that could definitely use an influx of talent at one of the skill positions - though with a weak upcoming class and the Steelers having traded their first rounder in the 2020 draft, it might have to be put off until 2021. 31. Houston Texans QB Blake Shell (88), RB Rickie Baird (81), WR Gordon Kleinsasser (84) It was actually a bit of a tough choice between Houston and Pittsburgh. Shell is on the decline at this point in his career, having struggled even passing 15-20 times a game last year and having been traded twice this offseason. With 1st rounder Alex Leshoure in the wings, he's just a 1-year stopgap anyway. Baird is pretty bad, and he's pretty much a 32nd best starter in the league at his position type of player at this point. He'll probably be replaced within a year or two as well. Former 1st round Kleinsasser hasn't been great for a first rounder, but he had a solid progression after a solid year posting 63/761/8. I don't think he's a WR1 type of player but he should be a solid player for Leshoure in the future. Overall, 2/3 players here probably won't be starters within a season and the third is just OK. Could be better is an understatement. 30. New England Patriots QB Lawyer Johnson (84), WR Jamel Beckham (81), TE Gary Jones (89) The Pats are in an interesting position. Lawyer, now going into his third year, is going to start having some pressure on his shoulders. His completion percentage and propensity for throwing interceptions are a bit worrying but he did progress from his rookie year. With Beckham now in the fold, the pressure should continue to uptick as expectations for the Pats continue to grow. I wouldn't expect a huge season from Jamel this year, but he should be someone who can grow with Lawyer into the future. Jones is a solid player, but Lawyer does not seem to like throwing to his tight end all that much. In 2015, Jones was a huge impact player, but he's not along those lines anymore. He's at least a reliable target, if nothing special. New England took a nice step with the pick of Beckham in building up their offensive skill positions - it all rests on the development of the quarterback at this point. 29. Buffalo Bills QB Joaquin Younger (81), RB Chad Dess (90), WR Ryan Mitchell (89) Even though this is the fourth highest place, this still feels weirdly high placed for Buffalo. Drafting Mike Woods was a great move but that's unfortunately not a factor in this article. The Bills will roll with 2018 UDFA Younger as their starting QB this year, and while he did show some potential last year it's important to remember that he posted 10 TD / 8 INT last year. He improved but it's hard to see him carrying this Buffalo offense too much. Dess had a quietly OK season last year, though he did play pretty well. At the very least he should be able to contribute game-by-game running the ball even if he doesn't explode - see 12 100-yard games last year. Mitchell nearly put up 1,000 yards despite the shitshow called the Bills QB position last year, and even though he's just a low-tier WR1 he's a decent option for Younger. Overall both these triplets and the Bills offense this season will likely need some improvement. Hell, their WR2 is Isaiah Cronin. This team will win games on the back of their defense almost certainly. 28. Cincinnati Bengals QB Joel King (82), RB Ron Thomas (86), WR Greg Newman (88) The Bengals are an an interesting position. Ron Thomas has been a bit criticized for some struggles in his rookie year - most notably with fumbles - but he's definitely the best offensive piece this team has. I'm not sure he's the type of player who can carry a team despite lack of contribution from the QB position (see: last year), so brand new shiny rookie Joel King will have to make some contributions. Soluna has said that he doesn't think King is ready, but he'll have to step in as after trading Blake Shell there's no one left on this roster that's starting caliber. I think he should do alright with the receiving corps of Newman along with Jamal Brunell and 2nd rounder Marcus Ratterman. Ratterman is one of Sage's "unicorns" and currently slated at WR2 but I don't think he's ready for that kind of pressure quite yet. Newman is a solid piece but I think he'll struggle a bit more without that Sean Jenkins type of receiver next to him. That said, there's a lot of developmental potential here. A lot depends on King but the Bengals could be moving higher in the coming years, even if just Thomas continues to develop. 27. Chicago Bears QB Norris Brooksheer (87), RB Quincy Turner (83), WR David Gaines (91) The first NFC team on our list is a team that won the NFC North last season. Go figure. Brooksheer, 2017's #1 overall pick, has been just OK in his first couple of years, though that can hardly be blamed on him. He did progress well from year 1 to year 2 but his stats were quietly similar to oft-criticized #2 pick Falcons QB A.J. Jefferson. The Q-Train won comeback player of the year and actually had a solid overall season but it definitely seems as though he's hit his peak. With defenses getting better he will likely be replaced within a season or two as his effectiveness will start to decline. Gaines has developed into one of the league's better receivers since starting out as a 67 (oops) and he posted 1,235 yards last year. He looks to be a great piece for the Bears heading into the future, though without a long-term contract that status is questionable. It's strange to see the NFCN champions so low on this list but I would contend that they overachieved relative to talent in 2018. 26. Tennessee Titans QB Kareem Taylor (89), WR Tommy Furrey (87), WR Cap Christian (84) Kareem "The Dream" is definitely the best QB to appear on the list thus far, but the Titans' problem is the general lack of talent around him. They did end up making the playoffs last year, but it was due to the AFC being the much weaker conference. They sneaked in at 9-7 and still have a lot of question marks. New RB Chris Bell should be a good player and an improvement over John Harris, but he's still a question mark until proven otherwise. Furrey and Christian are an OK, league-average duo (though Furrey was a 2017 Pro Bowler and Christian had a resurgence after being traded to Tennessee mid-season) but since that's all the Titans really have going for them it's tough to justify going any higher than this. 25. New York Giants QB R.J. Stanford (82), RB O.J. Carano (94), WR Cotton Lewis (85) This Giants ranking is potentially very volatile. Stanford was pretty solid for a rookie being entrusted to throw the ball a ton of times, but going into his second year the changing structure of the offense and his new designation as a hybrid could change some things. Carano, having just arrived from the other New York team, is a bit of a question mark. He was not particularly good - despite the overall - for the Jets in the regular season last year and missed over half of the team's games. That said, he did put up 2 100-yard games in the playoffs before being held to just 45 yards in the Super Bowl. He could play better in a more shotgun-based offense in other New York but it remains to be seen. Lewis nearly put up 1,000 yards last year relatively quietly, and I think he'll play as the team's #1 over Mark Harrington (who, similarly to Gordon Kleinsasser, is starting to improve despite getting the bust label in his first year). The Giants could potentially jump into the top half of teams next year pending Stanford and Carano's play and health, but there's too many question marks there to move them up any higher. 24. Cleveland Browns QB Ryan Clark (87), WR Tai Miller (87), WR Ray Lee Marconi (82) The NFL's worst team in 2018, the top two of these triplets actually made the Pro Bowl despite that (very rare to see from a 2-14 team). It partially goes to show how awful the rest of the team is - consider that the third player is an 82 overall 5th year player. That said, Clark is consistently underrated despite the awful team around him. He put up a 106 QBR this year, throwing 23 TD to 8 INT and adding 4 touchdowns on the ground. Miller blossomed in his second year, catching 10 TD and posting 1,200 yards. Marconi sucks and is the reason the Browns are this low. The only other real talented players on the Browns offense are the C and RT, which is not a recipe for success as we've seen. Although part of that can be blamed on the defense as well. Cleveland has some hope here with both Clark and Miller as options but they have to get some other players around them in order to start being a factor. With potentially two top-10 picks this year and some decent talent coming in, the Browns might be able to do just that going into 2020. 23. Washington Redskins QB Javier Fields (87), RB Ricardo Reed (81), WR Steve Warner (88) This Skins offense is mostly just mediocre, and it shows. Former Super Bowl winning quarterback Javier Fields played pretty well in 2018, though with a +0 progression I fear that his play may start declining in 2019. That said, a decline could still be sustainble as an offense if Ricardo Reed provides more of a presence as a runner. The rookie played well in college but his bizarre combine and pro day leaves some question marks as to how he'll play in his rookie year. Warner is nothing more than a WR2 masquerading as a WR1 and after the Skins traded Adrian Allen there's not much depth at the position for Washington. Had they kept Gary Faneca, the projection for this offense would likely be much higher. Though the offense remains relatively consistent, I'm expecting a slight decline from the league average they were last year due to the moving parts of Allen for Burke and Reed having to adjust to the NFL. 22. Denver Broncos QB Darren Werner (87), RB Jerry Rambo (87), WR Darrell Mack (85) The AFC Championship participants hit in the bottom-11 of offenses. Though I'm perhaps underrating them a bit, I just don't see too much cause for optimism here. We're starting to hit the point on this list where you need at least one superstar or "great" player to be ranked and I just don't see it with this Denver offense. Werner is a pretty great QB but will likely only be the starter for another year, as I've seen multiple comments from the Broncos FO that backup Todd Jennings is the planned 2020 starter. I could definitely see a potential decline in his play this year, but he could also sustain what he's done as well. Former ROTY Rambo really struggled this past year, albeit on somewhat limited carries, but also despite the fact that he was not the focus of opposing defenses. I don't think the Broncos have immediate plans to replace him but it could happen sooner than later. Mack has been a surprisingly nice piece for Denver as a deep threat and is a borderline bottom WR1/top WR2 at this point. TE Donnie Allen was also in contention but I didn't think he showed enough to put himself in importance over Rambo. This Broncos offense outplays its overall talent but especially with plans to move on from Werner and the same skill position personnel it's hard to see them improving too much from 2018 where they were bottom 10 in yards (though in the top half in PPG). 21. Kansas City Chiefs QB Thomas Wheeler (91), RB Justin Buchanan (82), WR Hines Mertens (84) I'm pretty sure I'm going to get some hate for this one. Wheeler is NFLHC's overrated/underrated enigma, where he's either incredibly overrated or underrated at any given time. I think he's a solid QB who, because of his hot/cold nature could help rise the team up or kill them in any given game. Buchanan was a Pro Bowler last year, and though he did slow down towards the end of the season his progression reads as though he should be able to continue to be solidly average - I don't think he's anything more than that, but his consistency goes well with Wheeler. Mertens has quietly had 2 very good seasons for the Chiefs, and though he's more of a WR2 the depth in the Chiefs WR corps should help take some of the heat off of him. While ultimately the Chiefs don't have that one superstar quality player, all three players are solid and mesh well together. I'm sure I'll get heat for this one but I think their chemistry (which is kind of hilarious considering this is the Chiefs we're talking about) puts them a bit higher than they should be. 20. Atlanta Falcons QB A.J. Jefferson (86), RB Akili Wallace (93), WR Riddick Smith (89) I'm definitely going to get a lot of hate for this one. The Falcons offense was pretty much the worst in the league last year and they didn't actually do anything at all to improve it in the draft. This ranking banks on Jefferson throwing more TDs next year, mostly, but I still think Jefferson is a talented player. Akili, the 2017 All-Pro RB, played pretty well despite posting just 9 TDs in 2018 as he put up a 4.87 YPC. As Jefferson struggled, though, Akili struggled to carry the offense a bit. I think he'll return to 2017 form this season, however. Former Super Bowl MVP Smith still put up nearly 1,200 yards last year and though he's more of a borderline WR1/WR2 he is a solid piece. Most of the rest of the offense outside of maybe Bo Woodall does leave something to be desired, so these Falcons stars will have to play well to justify being ranked outside the 20s, but I think Akili alone playing amazingly (despite Jefferson's struggles) justifies #20. 19. Philadelphia Eagles QB Allan Taylor (96), RB Troy White (81), WR Michael Hawkins (85) The Allan Taylor moved this team's ranking up about ~10 spots. Although I do have to be honest and say I don't like that the Eagles front office has attempted to trade for vets instead of building through the draft with their first rounder in two of their first three years, I can't hold that against them for this article. Taylor had a "down year" last year where he posted a 64% completion percentage, an 8.7 YPA, and a 99 QBR along with 500 yards and 5 TD on the ground. Considering the state of the Jaguars team last year, that's still pretty damn good. With a dedicated coach in DStack I think we'll see him back to form. The Eagles FO had some high hopes for White but he struggled in 2018, with 10 TD and 2 fumbles on 4.17 YPC. I think he'll improve with the presence of an actual QB and he'll perhaps be able to flash some of the receiving ability he showed in college, but as it stands he's probably the weakest aspect of this trio. Hawkins put up 1,133 yards and 7 TD with Ken Eller throwing to him, so now that a real QB is in Philly we should continue to see him blossom. He's a very similar player to Denver's Darrell Mack, I think. The improvement from Eller to Taylor could see the Eagles in the playoffs considering that they went 7-9 last year. 18. Arizona Cardinals QB Jarius Jones (89), WR Marcus Banks (90), WR Mark Walker (81) This section is around where it should start getting most contentious. Jones has played extremely well despite the rest of the Cardinals being awful - though some of that could be attributed to garbage time. He played relatively well in 2018, though that 58% completion percentage needs to be worked on a bit. Banks led NFLHC in receiving in 2018 and I see no reason for him to slow down the receiving as Arizona will likely be a heavy passing team yet again in 2019. With randye and Ted at the helm, I expect a turnaround in a year or two, but it'll probably still take about that long as it's harder to quickly turn around a team at this juncture. This is partially seen by the fact that Mark Walker is the 3rd best player on offense - I would have gone with one of the RBs but that position is a huge mess and I don't see a clear starter at this point. I expect it to be either Joseph Bowen or Marshawn Matthison but neither of those options are particularly imposing. The Cardinals offense will live and die by the Jones/Banks combo, but I see no reason for them to slow down any time soon. 17. Baltimore Ravens QB Reggie Watkins (88), RB Booker T. Washington (86), WR David Wells (89) This might be a little high considering Baltimore's offensive performance in 2018, but I choose to attribute that to a lack of coaching continuity along with a lack of other impact players (apologies to Danny Patrick). Watkins continues to be one of the league's most underrated QBs. Despite being told to replace him all offseason, it wouldn't have made sense for Baltimore to do so as he is perhaps a top 5 game manager in NFLHC today. Booker T. definitely had some struggles last year (see: 6 TDs on 331 carries) but I think that was due to a lack of scheme fit rather than Booker T.'s lack of impact. However, if he continues to decline, this ranking will probably look foolish. A lot actually depends on David Wells, a Pro Bowler at returner two years in a row but also a Pro Bowler at receiver last year. Following the Paul Howell trade Wells really came into his own and flourished with Watkins, and the Ravens drafted A.J. Byrne as a hopeful future complement to him - I don't really see it myself. This Ravens offense overall isn't that great but their top three players are all guys I'm fans of. 16. Jacksonville Jaguars QB Kamau Davis (89), RB Asante Sowell (83), TE Derek Harrison (93) I don't think I could have ever seen myself ranking the Jags in the top half of offensive anything entering the 2019 offseason, especially if you told me they'd trade Allan Taylor, but here we are. Kamau is potentially a product of the Cowboys offensive line and Vaughan Abraham, but that 20 TD / 5 INT ratio shows that at the very least he's a solid contributor. The drafting of Sowell surprised some, including me, but he should be a major impact player from the getgo and though I'm tentative about every other rookie RB, there's almost no doubt in my mind that Sowell should be an elite RB for years to come, so I'm ranking him as such. Curtis Settles is just an OK player, but (technical) 2018 first rounder Derek Harrison re-unites with former coach Soluna. Soluna should have a decent idea of how to use Harrison and so at the very least Harrison should continue to be a top-3 TE. These are the only real 3 talented guys on the Jags offense, but it's definitely a start. 15. Dallas Cowboys QB Taylor Rodriguez (83), RB Vaughan Abraham (99), WR Kurt Hill (87) This is about the highest I can feel comfortable ranking a team with a question mark at QB. T-Rod had a very nice progression with his year on the bench, but until he gets any sort of playing time it'll be tough to tell how good the move was. Abraham is the league's best-rated RB following Henson's injury (more on that later) and therefore could be the league's best RB at this point. Hill will probably be thought of as the Cowboys' 2nd best receiver last year following M.L. Kreiwaldt's playoff performances, but he was better as an actual receiver. The skill positions are definitely a bit questionable for Dallas, but with at the very least a top-2 RB and that o-line, that may not matter too much. Last year's Super Bowl Champions only finished 10-6 in the regular season, so with an improved division and T-Rod being an unknown at QB, they could potentially miss the playoffs if he doesn't pan out. Though, with that o-line and Abraham it's hard to see them being awful. 14. Detroit Lions QB Rob LeCount (88), RB Elvis Williams (88), TE Anthony Fasani (87) Kind of weird to see a trio with the highest overall 88 being this high up, but all of these players are pretty talented. LeCount put up an absurd 20 TD to 3 INT ratio in 2018 (though he did miss some time), but as mentioned before, his continued risk of injury makes him a bit of a question mark. Williams had a great 2018, posting 13 TD and a 4.75 YPC. He did have 2 FUM (HAHAHAHAHA) but overall continued to play very well. His -1 progression is a bit worrying, though, and he does have some nagging injury problems. Fasani, a breakout player in 2017, didn't get too much love from RLC in 2018 but following the trade of Gary Faneca I expect him to make an impact once again. The Lions #1 receiver is now Adrian Allen so LeCount will rely on Fasani more than ever. I think this is a pretty talented trio, but the low overalls, questionable progressions, and injury problems leave them a bit of an overall question mark despite the production and talent. 13. New York Jets QB Erik Wegert (91), WR Paul Howell (92), WR Charlie Paul (87) HOOOOOMER. Well, maybe, but luckily I don't have to pick a RB for this article. Wegert went 13-1 in games he started for the Jets last year (including the playoffs) and was the plank that kept the offense going even when Carano had off games. 24 TD / 9 INT in 11 starts is pretty good if you ask me. Howell's arrival in New York came with open arms last year and he helped justify the price of his trade by making the Pro Bowl in his first season in New York, just the second Jets receiver ever to do so. Paul, one of 3 Charlies on the team (4 overall) played pretty comparably as a WR2 to some WR1s I've listed thus far in this article, putting up 57/539/5 on just 11 statsheets. Howell and Paul are definitely one of the league's best receiving duos at this point. This might be a bit questionable due to Wegert's occasionable flare-ups of injury, but the talent of the two receivers along with Wegert's continued development should be a positive thing for this Jets' offense with a huge question mark at RB - though first round TE Matt Stone should definitely help alleviate some concerns. 12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Taylor Heiden (89), RB James Otero (91), WR Richard Wilson (86) Though the Bucs offense is not the star of the show (similarly to the Jets) there is definitely some talent there. Heiden the hybrid has excelled ever since he was a 5th round pick, taking over the Bucs' starting job immediately and not looking back. When healthy last year - he missed 6 games - Otero was one of the league's best, posting a 5.17 YPC and 10 TD. The Barry-for-Otero trade looks better and better for the Bucs, at least scheme-fit wise, every day. For now, Richard Wilson is the WR1. He isn't particularly good but he caught a lot of yards last year at least, but 93 catches for just 3 TD is pretty damn ugly. The Bucs front office will hope that first round pick Adrian Jankowski alleviates some of those redzone problems and takes over the WR1 spot eventually, as is expected for the former 2x Biletnikoff Award winner. 11. San Francisco 49ers QB Todd Lester (90), RB Troy McCray (82), WR Kevin Branch (88) The overalls aren't inspiring, but this 49ers offense was extremely talented last year, proving that all you need to do is draft players with a fast 40 time. Lester had by far the best season of his career, posting a ridiculous 25 TD / 4 INT as a PASSER, not to mention his 9 TD on the ground. McCray was one of the league's best runningbacks as a rookie as he really clicked with Lester, posting 15 TD and 1,672 yards on 4.87 YPC. Following the pick of Jarius Shaw-Dodd to compliment him, Branch really came into his own as a receiver, posting 89/1,298/11 in his third NFL season. San Francisco should get even better as this offense gets a second year to click together, and assuming McCray progresses they will almost certainly be a top 10 team in this regard next year, especially as JSD comes along. 10. Indianapolis Colts QB Aaron Shea (86), RB Tony Peaks (88), WR Mosi Bartos (89), WR Rashad Simon (88) The Colts might have gone even higher had Peaks (RIP), an All-Pro last year, been healthy for the regular season. That said, just having Shea and Bartos alone is an insane combo. Shea established himself as a top-10 QB just as a rookie and should only continue to grow. 2017 #2 overall pick was nearly on pace for 1,600 receiving yards before his season was cut short with an injury - now that he's back healthy with an improved Shea he might get even better, though a -1 progression and a potential loss of speed due to injury and aging might hinder that a bit. Simon was alright last year for a WR2 - though I'd say he's a relatively above average one - and another year of chemistry with Shea with the potential that he will be relied on even more means that he might be more of a factor at WR, especially with the Colts now forced to start Mamadou Heard at RB. 9. Seattle Seahawks QB Alexander Williams (92), RB Fred Tindale (87), WR Gary Faneca (95) The Seahawks offense has been pretty good in the last couple of years - even though they had to start Michael Duckworth for a decent chunk of the year they still finished top 10 in YPG and PPG. Xander Williams played very well at QB once again, posting 27 TD / 7 INT, though he had just a 95 QBR, which at those stats is not great. However, he should be very pleased with the Seahawks' trade for Gary Faneca, which gives him a legitimate #1 target for the first time in his career. Faneca's quote-unquote off-year had him post 90/1,263/5. He should be able to eat up chunks of yards and allow Tommy Pottios to build on a rookie year in which he put up comparable numbers to Faneca. The Seahawks RB position is a bit of a question mark with Tindale going -2 this offseason and heavily struggling when starting last year. They might end up trying Duckworth or Rasheed Kent should he continue to struggle. Williams to Faneca alone justifies a top 10 ranking, though, and this passing offense might be even better in 2019. 8. San Diego Chargers QB Will Thompson (86), RB Shawn Cole (90), TE Scott Howard (93) Perhaps the most uncoventional offense to qualify for the top 10, the Chargers do it through Will Thompson's game management ability along with Shawn Cole's general consistency. Thompson, whose future is probably up in the air after San Diego drafted Matty Swift, should probably not have his status up in the air considering his 108 QBR in 11 starts in 2018. Cole, meanwhile, struggled a bit, but Thompson's hopeful continued health should lead him to more consistency and more comparable performances to his earlier years in 2019 - he did progress +1, which is a good sign amidst his 2018 struggles. This can probably partially be attributed to a lack of coaching consistency as well. The real star here is the league's best TE, Baltimore's Scott Howard. Howard has been the league's best TE for three straight seasons, posting 53/767/11 despite Thompson's injury last year, and he shows no signs of slowing down any time soon. The good thing about the structure of this trio and the Chargers' offense in general is the consistency it leads to, and is why the Chargers will likely contend for a playoff spot once again. 7. Green Bay Packers QB Jason Johnson (93), WR Dan Nomellini (95), TE Bernard Taylor (91) The Packers are a bit of a strange team to rank. JJo may be rated as a 93, but he doesn't seem to play like it particularly often. Despite having two of the league's best at their positions in Dan Nomellini and Bernard Taylor, Johnson has continued to have the up-and-downs his entire career. Now going into his sixth season, the second ever NFLHC draft pick will need to start showing some consistency or the Green Bay fans will start calling for him to be replaced sooner than later. Nomellini may be the league's second or third best receiver, though his -1 progression means that he's probably hit around his ceiling. That said, a ceiling of 122/1,422/11 isn't exactly hurting the team. Taylor has struggled as Johnson has struggled, but when Johnson is on Taylor can put up some monster stats. He's likely starting to hit his ceiling as well, though, meaning that the Packers probably won't be going any higher than this any time soon. 6. Minnesota Vikings QB Brian Vardell (96), RB Chester Henson (96), WR Sonny Beckett (83) Prior to this year, I may have ranked this exact duo higher, but Vardell showed that he just isn't as good without Henson in the backfield in 2018. Following Henson's ACL injury, Vardell played perhaps the worst season of his career. Worst meaning a sub 100-QBR and 25 TD to 6 INT - but this is NFLHC after all, meaning that he's no longer elite obviously. I still maintain that Henson is the league's best RB but going -3 following an ACL tear means that he's now a question mark to return to his old form. He still might be very good but it's possible that he's no longer the league's best RB. Obviously that didn't stop the Giants this offseason but having Vardell on the team as well means that at the very least teams can't solely focus on Henson. If Beckett was any better the Vikings would almost certainly be higher, but the first round pick has been mostly average for an NFLHC WR1 in his career. It's possible that he breaks out but it's hard to see him emerging into the top-15 WR the Vikings were hoping for when they took him in the first two seasons ago. 5. New Orleans Saints QB Aaron Devereaux (91), RB Sterling Brown (89), WR Sean Jenkins (88) No disrespect (OK, a bit considering what I'm about to say) but Aaron Devereaux is by far the worst QB remaining to rank. It's really the talent of the other to players. Devereaux's rating wasn't very high and he struggled until the very end of 2018 where he exploded despite the injury to the now-retired Kevin Richards. Now that Greg Newman has left it will likely be tougher for Devy with no more solid WR2, though Spec Davidson should help soften the blow a bit. Despite losing Richards, the Saints somehow upgraded at RB following the Sterling Brown trade. Sterling is definitely worrying due to his injury proneness but when he's healthy he's one of the league's best. Jenkins, the former #4 overall pick, just continues to get better and might post even better stats this year following the Newman trade. He might have to, rather. This top 5 ranking is a bit questionable but I think all 3 listed players are pretty talented and this Saints offense, when healthy, could be a top 5 one in the league. 4. Miami Dolphins QB Brian Brown (97), RB Marcus Barry (91), WR Rodney Montgomery (92) Now that the offense of the league's 4 best RBs are left, this is where it gets very subjective. I've got the Dolphins trio at the worst of the four, though I'm sure there will be a ton of disagreement on this one. Part of it is due to the injury proneness of Brown - now that Bob Ballard injured him and he went -2, he should still be very, very, good, but the fact that he might miss games every year definitely hurts his stock. And as much as Barry tried, he couldn't fully carry the offense when BB was injured. He finished the year with great stats, but those mostly came when BB was healthy. Montgomery, at this point in his career, seems to be a WR2 - as absurd as it sounds. He just doesn't catch enough touchdowns (3 on 72 receptions in 2018) to be classified as a bona fide WR1. 3. Carolina Panthers QB Christian Skaggs (98), RB Mike Latta (87), WR Monte Jackson (80) I think that Latta/Jackson overall is worse than Barry/Montgomery, but Skaggs' consistency and health puts the Panthers just over Miami. Skaggs, now having won OPOY an absurd 3/5 possible times and MVP 2/5 times, is a better (at least) regular season QB than any of the others on this list - we'll just ignore the playoffs for convenience sake. Since being drafted 2 years ago, Latta has proven tough to deal with both on the ground and through the air for opposing defenses. Part of that is almost certainly due to the fact that you can't really play the run against the Panthers unless you want to be torched, but former RBs in his position failed to put up anything close to his marks. Shiny new first rounder Jackson should be an impact player from the start, and it's easy to see him being the OROY this year if Skaggs stays healthy, which seems like a probability at this point. 2. Los Angeles Rams QB Darrell Murphy (97), WR Walt Peck (96), WR Derrick Schwartz (80) The fact that the Murphy-Peck duo even exists is a thing of absurdity. Murph won his first MVP in 2018 even though the Rams didn't win the division, but it's easy to see why when you look at how he spreads the ball around. Murph doesn't get criticized for his playoff performances as much as Skaggs does, but that's perhaps because he's won a playoff game before. Peck has been the league's premier receiver for years, and though he didn't even lead his team in receiving yards this year, he still led all receivers in touchdowns at 14. Despite a -1 progression there's no real sign of him slowing down, just of Murphy spreading the ball around more. Part of that was that Schwartz put up 1,127 yards as a 4th round rookie, which is pretty absurd if you ask me. He went +4 and he seems to be one of the league's best WR2s, unless his rookie year was just a fluke. There's not much else going on this Rams offense at the skill positions, so the Rams FO will have to hope it's not a fluke. Even if it's not, Murphy and Peck are a ridiculous combination. 1. Oakland Raiders QB Nick Hall (95), WR Mike Tripplett (94), TE Brian Gary (93) The Raiders are the only team in the league that can boast such a ridiculous combination of players. Hall didn't have injury problems before he got Brumm'd this year, and though it's a bit riskier now I don't see him as a QB that has healthy problems. He still has his odd fumbling problems but of the 4 top QBs in the league, Hall is the one that consistently puts up great stats without people noticing. Part of that is definitely the great ensemble at the skill positions that alienufo has assembled. Tripplett is a top 5 receiver in the league, and he was the league's best in 2017. He wasn't as great in 2018, but part of that was Hall's injury and part was just all the other great players around him - newly drafted RB Emmett Spears had an immediate impact and WR Marvin White consistently played well next to Tripplett, and he almost had to due to Gary's injury early in the year. That said, despite tearing his ACL almost immediately into the year, Gary only went -1 and there's no reason to see him not returning close to his previous form in 2018. The fact that Hall has 2 top-tier weapons puts Oakland at the top of this list for me.
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    CHICAG_ The 'O' conspicuously missing once again as Bears fall to Falcons Norris Brooksheer and the offense have mustered just 3 total points through two games this season
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    NO ONE CAN SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Tai Miller's wife, Shawna, recently gave birth to a son, Tai Jr. Tai has been overjoyed by this recent addition to his family and has worked hard in pre-season workouts with his new-found energy. Tai Miller gains +13% fitness and +3% chemistry.
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    Leshoure may not be brand new, but he's the new starting QB alongside a number of new players. story by Aaron Wilson, Houston Chronicle While the parking lot blisters feet under the summer sun, the hottest thing at the Houston Texans Methodist Training Camp is definitely the Head Coach's temper. " Hit the hole like you fucking mean it!" Not the calmest personality in practice, Coach Rome seems to have turned it up this year with the new rookies. " This isn't the Big 12 anymore! Your ass is going to be grass if you keep running like that in the NFL!" Arturo Pacheco, the Texans first round pick, is one of the coach's favorite targets. With media and fan pummeling for the first round selection, there's a lot of pressure both on Arturo and the front office for this to work out. " There's a lot of expectations on me right now." Arturo confessed to the media. " There's a bad history with Texans running backs and the pressure is high for me to finally break the curse." While this particular day was open only to the media, fans haven't been shy when they have been let in. " They definitely don't let me off easy," Arturo laughed. The fans aren't the only ones that have been negative towards the selection. Analysts both during the draft and after have pummeled the pick ruthlessly. " A lot of people don't think I deserved to go so high. I'm here to prove them all wrong." " There's a lot to like about Pacheco." Coach Rome watched on as Pacheco and former conference foe and fellow rookie Ahmed Johnson collided on the play. " He's already rung a few bells against linebacker blitzes. But if I wanted a pass blocker, I would've drafted a tight end or tackle." Arturo joins a running back group with very little success under their belt. Last year's draft pick, Sean Egloff, carried the Texans load to little success. And the least said about Rickie Baird and Buzz Etcheverry, the better--if they even make the regular season roster. " They're invaluable to me." Arturo said of his fellow backs. " They may not have had success like the fans and coaches' wanted, but their experience and knowledge is very important to me." Hopefully he's a quick study from these admittedly mediocre backs as Arturo projects to be the opening day starter. Arturo Pacheco with his first of many carries his Rookie season. While Arturo gets more than his fair share of chewing out, no player is more watched, yelled at, and coached by Coach Rome than 2nd round pick Tom Wyman. The coaches clearly aren't making it easy for the rookie as he goes up against veteran Marvin White in practice, forcing him to deal with a 6 inch difference in height and a world's difference in experience at the highest level. A stop and go route forces Wyman to bite and Coach Rome is on him before White even catches the ball. " If you're going to play like that, go back to Fort Worth! Where were your eyes?" While Coach Rome only has an inch on Wyman--and Wyman is wearing pads and a helmet--he gets in the cornerback's face when he yells at him. " Keep your goddamn eyes on your goddamn man, you got that?! If you sit there and watch the quarterback, White's going to make you his bitch all summer!" Due to his days playing corner and safety in college, Coach Rome has always been very hands on with his secondaries. While Manning and Harris, the strong and free safeties respectively, definitely do not get off from the head coach's wrath, he spends more time with his corners than anyone else. " It's frustrating to see a kid with all the knowledge to coach his position making a mental mistake." Coach Rome is always way more positive and encouraging after practice is over. " It's one thing to get beaten physically. Wyman cannot change his height and while he should be hitting the weight room as much as he possibly can, there's a limit to what he can achieve physically. That's where his mental prowess will allow him to truly shine. Marvin White is the best athlete on this roster right now and can physically dominate Tom. That's why I make sure Wyman covers him every snap of practice." " It's frustrating, obviously. Every single snap is frustrating." Wyman told me after practice. " There's a learning curve every level you go up in football, but this is twice or three times as hard as making the jump from high school to college." The early declaration balked at his senior year at TCU to play in the NFL. " Going out there drill after drill, snap after snap, getting jumped over and pushed aside at the line of scrimmage really shows me how much I need to improve to be anything but a bust." Coach Rome seemed to share the same feelings as the rookie. " You don't sharpen a blade with a dull rock. Wyman's getting sharpened with a diamond in practice. It's up to him whether he becomes razor sharp or if he cracks." Coach Rome has high hopes for the "smartest kid [he's] ever coached." The rookie players aren't the only new faces on the block. There's new name tags on some of the coaches as well. With new offensive coordinator Adam Gase and defensive coordinator Dennis Allen, it's clear the front office wanted to bring in the staff to help mold their first round picks in 2018, too. " I was surprised they didn't room us together during camp." Sophomore and newly named starter Alex Leshoure said about his new offensive coordinator. " I don't think we've gone more than 10 minutes apart during practices." OC Adam Gase has long been respected for his talents coaching the most important position in American sports, so it's no surprise that working with Leshoure was a major factor in his hiring. Having worked with some of the best quarterbacks to play the game in his past stops, there's high hopes for what he can do in Houston. Having coached under John Fox, Gase falls under the Bill Walsh tree of coaching, something which Coach Rome always enjoys talking about. Adam Gase isn't the only connection to the legendary coach, however, as new defensive coordinator Dennis Allen has the same connection through John Fox. " Gase actually played a role in the hiring of Allen as they had worked together before," Coach Rome admitted about the hiring. " I really liked his past work and thought he would be a wonderful compliment to the current staff to really bring this defense together." Although he works with the entire defense and really strives to create a cohesive unit, it is his work with the defensive line where he truly shines. " He really gets after us to beat the blocker and make plays," 2018 first round selection Robert Fulton said of Allen. " We've got a pretty talented line here in Houston, which makes practices pretty challenging, but he expects us to win every snap." The defensive end had a wonderful rookie campaign and the hopes are high for him to far surpass it his second go-round. " It feels like he expects us to do everything at the same time on every play," the defensive end laughed. " 'Get your hands up! Push him into the quarterback's lap! Don't let that back get the edge!' But he really keeps us on our toes and tries to make us complete players. I really respect that." Coach Rome after a long day of yelling at rookies. " This is a young team. And a young team needs veterans to show it the way. And we got that." The Texans would make two big moves in the offseason to bring on veteran talent. The first would be the talented, albeit injury-prone, receiver from Oakland in Marvin White. " Our WR corps was a joke last season," Coach Rome admitted. " We did well with what he had, but we needed a true #1 guy to evolve. Leshoure needed a true #1 guy. I'm not going to let him go out there and try to throw to a bunch of practice squad rejects." " On one hand it does suck. I went from a perennial Super Bowl favorite to a team that couldn't even beat San Diego last year." White was quick to criticize his new team, but seemed ready to be the catalyst for change. " But now I'm not 'a guy', I'm 'the guy'. If I don't produce, if I don't beat my defender, this offense will go nowhere. It's on me to be the mentor to these young kids like Jeremy [Scarborough]. I've got to be the one to bail Alex out and make the plays we need." The other wily veteran seemed to eager to join the team from the outset. " I'm pretty good friends with [Baltimore Ravens Strong Safety] Adam Newman, who was coached by Coach Rome, so I heard plenty to get me exciting." Darren Manning was traded from the Minnesota Vikings to the Texans in the off season as well. " I remember playing with Harris during the lead up to getting drafted, so I'm really excited to play with him again, too." The Houston Texans pass defense was one of, if not the, worst in the entire league last year. But that hasn't deterred Manning in the slightest. " It's a tall hill to climb, but I'm going to drag these youngsters up with me. There's some talented kids in his secondary and they just need someone to learn from. They're basically my little brothers now. And anyone who picks on my little brothers is going to get hammered." White shows the "kids" how it is done by the real pros.
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    "IT'S OVER" By Rob LeCount The draft is an emotional time for me every year. I imagine it's the same for every other player in the NFL too. We all know what it took for these guys to get to this point. Every "volunteer" 4:00am workout, every extra rep, every passed up burger, every bruise, every drop of blood and sweat. It's all worth it when you hear your name called during draft night. For some it's a forgone conclusion, and for others it's the biggest sigh of relief you've ever had. That's why I love the draft, because it reminds me what I have already accomplished just by being here. April 4th, 2014. It started like any other gameday. 2nd week of the season, UCF was coming up from way down south and I was feeling ready. And I mean really ready. This was our year after all, we all felt it, Coach Sophos had us believing and I felt like it was my job to bring us there. In fact, I had come back to play my Senior year despite everyone telling me to go pro because I believed that we were going to win it all this time. I didn't want to end with a 22-7 loss to LSU in the National Championship. I wanted that trophy. It was supposed to just be a tune up game, get in, win, get out, move on to the next one. And that's what it was...sorta. We came out on fire, just like we were supposed to. I hit 11 straight passes, 3 touchdowns, everyone was open, everything was great. But that day is something I will never forget, for the wrongest of reasons. As halftime was approaching I took another snap, it was supposed to be an easy slip screen to Reggie Chapman but he got caught up at the line. I knew I didn't have time to hold it so I flipped it to his feet but I wasn't quick enough. Otis Stackhouse, all 6'6" 264 of him, came crashing down on me as I had stepped up to throw. If you've ever heard a femur break, you know what I'm talking about, but it was the sickest sound I've ever heard. It hurt...a lot, and I knew this wasn't something minor, I knew I was done. I don't remember much of what happened right after, I think I was in shock, I know the trainers were out there and I remember these words. I don't know who said them, but I remember hearing them as I laid there. "It's over." It wouldn't be the last time I heard those words, but it was definitely the one that I will remember for the rest of my life. I woke up in the hospital much later, the surgery was over, and that's the first thing I thought about. "It's over." Everything I had done, every second of work I had put in...didn't matter. "It's over." My dream of playing for a National Championship, my dream of being drafted, my dream of playing on Sundays, the Super Bowl. "It's over." I sat there in the hospital not really listening to what the doctor's were saying to me, my mom was crying, my dad was just lookin at me with that face, you know what I'm talking about. Every person in that room gave me the same feeling. "It's over." So I cried. Yeah, I'm not afraid to admit it. I cried a lot. What was I gonna do now? Football is my life. Sure, I could maybe get into coaching, but that wasn't my dream yet. I wanted to play. I still had so much to give. But a broken femur? No one is going to give me a chance with a broken femur. I definitely wasn't going to see the field again this season. I wouldn't be able to workout again for months. Basically? "It's over." 5 days later I got the most important call of my life. "Hey Rob I notice you haven't been at the facility this week what's up?" It was Kevin Tolbert, our strength and conditioning coach at Michigan. I laughed because I thought he was obviously joking. It's over I told him, As it turns out, he was not joking. For the next, oh I don't know, 30 minutes? Maybe not that long but that's what it felt like. Kevin let me have it. He said everything I needed to hear. Now was not the time to feel sorry for myself. It's over is a mindset, it's over if I let it be over, it's over unless I decide it's not. Before that call I had given up, and it was in fact, over. But after that, I knew that I was wrong. I could, and would come back from this. I could, and would get drafted, and I could and would play in the NFL. The next day I was in the facility again. On crutches, but I was there. Watching practice, listening to coaches, watching film. I watched so much film I could have predicted every play any B1G defense was about to call at any time on the field. And I started rehabbing. Slowly, but I started. 12 months is what doctor's initially told me. That was the expected recovery time. Well, I didn't have 12 months, I had about 7 before the draft. And I probably needed to be out there a month before doing workouts if I wanted to get drafted. So I wrote 6 months on my whiteboard...and then I wrote underneath it. "It's over" Do you hate those words yet? Because that's what I'm trying to get from you. Because I hate those words. Every time I see them it reminds me of the lowest point in my life. Those words can drive me to do anything now. With Kevin's help, I put in the work. Every single day, I was doing something that would push me back to being ready. There were days I was ready to quit. Where it just seemed like it wasn't worth it. The pain was unbearable there were days I could not walk. But I just kept looking at that whiteboard. "It's over." Screw you whiteboard, no it's not. Back to work. Every. Damn. Day. I would not fail, this is not the end of my story. So I worked, for 6 months. It started with walking, eventually it became jogging, soon I was running. Then I was doing some light lifting, every once in awhile it just would feel like I wasn't making any more progress. But I would remember those words. So back to work I'd go. Soon I was running some drills, I couldn't do much, but it felt good to be back on the field. It gave me the spark I needed to keep pushing. And then, 6 months. And I was ready. I was finally running drills at full speed, lifting close to what I could pre-injury. Doctor's told me a year and I was back to near 100% in 6 months because I refused to let those words define me. I couldn't do it without the support of those around me, or that call from Kevin. It was time to start working out for NFL teams. I ran the drills, I ran them well, I felt great doing them. But I overheard somethings. "I don't know, he looks good, but is he worth the risk?" "Don't forget, broken femur, you don't just come back from that." "Drills are fine, but the NFL? I just think IT'S OVER" No way, not again, not after all of the work I put in again, you can't do this to me twice. In all honesty, I should thank those guys for saying those things loud enough for me to hear. Because I found that extra level because of them. I went back to work. The combine came around, I performed about as well as I could, the interviews were all the same. They asked how I felt, I said I was good. They asked about my femur. I said it was good. But I could see it on their faces, they didn't believe it. I was back in that hospital room, looking around getting the same exact vibe. "It's over." There was nothing else I could do. I had put in the work, the draft was upon us, I hadn't really felt good about any of the interviews and I didn't know what was in store. I decided that if I wasn't picked before the 4th round ended, I would be hitting UDFA and at that point it wouldn't be looking good. I sat at home with my family and friends, dreading every second. I didn't want to watch this whole thing disappointing after every pick. The 1st round came and went, 4 QBs were picked. Thomas Wheeler Blake Shell Brian Brown Nick Hall The 2nd round came and went, 1 QB was picked Alex Bridgewater The 3rd round came and went, 2 QBs were picked Aaron Kotar Kamau Davis The 4th round came and went, 2 QBs were picked Joshua Andrews Javier Fields I lost hope, that was it, I wasn't getting drafted, why would I? "It's over." The 5th round came and went, 2 QBs were picked Sam Armour Keith Simon "It's over." The 6th round. Gone, into the comp picks. Pick 157, Gerald Bright... Pick 160, Forfeited... Pick 167, Rob LeCount.... What? WHAT? I was in shock, but this time it was good, I sat there on the couch, mouth wide open as everyone around me celebrated. The phone rang, I had to be nudged because I was still just staring at the screen. I answered. "Rob? It's Coach Kah of the New England Patriots, we're excited to have you aboard, I have big plans for you. We're just getting started." "We're just getting started." Yeah, I like that phrase just a little bit more.
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    So, heres what is going to happen. All free agency bids will be wiped for every team. Free Agency will be restarted as soon as I can fix the threads. For their massive accounting errors, the Redskins will lose their 2019 1st round pick, their 2020 2nd round pick, and face a 7.5 million cap penalty in 2019 and 2020. Let me explain why I am doing this as opposed to the other option, which was to let the bids go through, and force the Redskins to cut / trade away players to get under the cap. That would basically be a death sentence for the Redskins franchise for the foreseeable future. I don't want to saddle a team with that much of a burden, especially since if that happened, theres a high likelyhood that someone else would be running the team soon. The Redskins would be forced to make terribly lopsided trades because everyone knowns they were being bent over the barrel. I've already received PMs from people proposing such ridiculous trades. This would ruin competitive balance. Its one thing for a GM to make stupid trades, its another for them to be FORCED to make terrible trades because they made a mistake. This solution would still carry a penalty of draft picks at the very least, so it would make the situation even worse for the team. The bids the Redskins made affected too many other teams. Teams that were competing on players they were going to win and be forced to cut had already moved money elsewhere, which screws up their plans. My goal is to punish the Redskins, not the rest of the league, which is why I feel free agency needed to be reset. So thats why I came to this punishment. This is a hefty punishment, but I think it is fair, in that it appropriately punishes the Redskins and not other teams.
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    Welcome, to the first edition of Human vs. CPU! I recently did an implementation of fivethirtyeight's Elo algorithm for gridiron football against NFLHC. Then I asked Bingo to chime in on my rankings and Week 5 spreads against his power rankings, as well as matchup thoughts. Here are the results. More to come if it's something you guys enjoy. Starting with Week 6 I will also release a period ranking of all teams by Elo, likely along with Bingo's Power Rankings if this well-received. It would be great if someone was interested in keeping score, between Bingo and the Elo implementation (in terms of pure wins and point prediction vs. actual for the Elo-based spread), so let me know if you want to contribute. For background, I distributed the teams normally on an Elo curve from 1300 to 1700 from last season (so Cleveland had ~1300 and Dallas had ~1700), then I moved each team 2/3rds closer to 1500 assuming more instead of less league-wide parity after the offseason. Then, I calculated Elo gain/loss for the first four weeks of the season. Finally, I started calculating point spreads for active weeks taking into account homefield advantage (which also impacts the point differential that feeds into the Elo recalculation for each team after each game). So without further adieu, let's jump into it. Kansas City [1535] at Denver [1570] Human Says: #8 vs. #13. Computer sees this as #7 vs. #11, slight bumps to each team. Impressed with the Chiefs' Elo rating. CPU Says: Denver by 4. Miami [1489] at New England [1461] Human Says: A true toss up, and on the heels of a narrow Miami win in the opener, Computer and Human agree here: #21 vs. #22. Despite the lower Elo, Miami gets the home field advantage. CPU Says: New England by 1. Houston [1439] at New York Jets [1502] Human Says: A pair of 1-3 teams see a decently big spread for the # 28 Jets over the #23 Texans. Human and Computer are on different sides of the coin: Elo says J-E-T-S are #17 and Texans are #28. CPU Says: NYJ by 5. Dallas [1495] at Philadelphia [1511] Human Says: Elo has these teams MUCH closer than I do: Eagles check in at #14 while the 1-3 Cowboys are at #26. The Computer thinks the Eagles only get home field advantage: #14 vs. #19. CPU Says: Philadelphia by 3. Pittsburgh [1380] at Cleveland [1371] Human Says: Bottom-feeders (#30 and #31) are very close in the Computer's eyes, too. CPU Says: Cleveland by 2. Chicago [1485] at New York Giants [1552] Human Says: Fascinating matchup here, Computer says the Giants are a bit better than Chicago. Human take? NYG is #7, while CHI is #20. Human doesn't think it will close. CPU Says: NYG by 5. Green Bay [1419] at Washington [1500] Human Says: Human sees this is a close win for the Skins, but Computer sees this as a big divide. Human says #19 over #29 by a field goal; Computer says #18 vs. #30 by a touchdown. CPU Says: Washington by 6. Tampa Bay [1574] at New Orleans [1453] Human Says: A gigantic mismatch, according to Elo, with the visitor getting the nod. Human says this may be closer than Computer thinks it will, and in fact I'll take the home-standing Saints in a mild upset. CPU Says: Tampa Bay by 2. Cincinnati [1506] at San Diego [1426] Human Says: Human: #17 vs. #32. Computer: #16 vs. #29. Elo is a bit more forgiving to San Diego than I am. We both agree, however, that the Bengals ought to win this one. CPU Says: Cincinnati by 1. Indianapolis [1609] at Jacksonville [1459] Human Says: Human is much more lenient on the Jags than the Computer. I've got them at #12, the Computer sees them at #25. Colts are heroes to both rankers. CPU Says: Indianapolis by 3. Minnesota [1494] at Detroit [1610] Human Says: Elo's #1 team (DET) ranks as #4 for the Human. They are favored significantly here by Elo, but I think the Vikings (#15 for me, #20 for Elo) could surprise. CPU Says: Detroit by 7. Seattle [1512] at Los Angeles [1562] Human Says: Computer sees this as #8 vs. #13. I'm less bullish on the 1-3 Seahawks--Human has them at #18. LA's pass attack vs. Seattle's Secondary. CPU Says: Los Angeles by 5. Atlanta [1543] at Arizona [1418] Human Says: Biggest argument here: Human has the Falcons at #2, but Elo sees them at #10. Either way, they'll out-strip the Cardinals, near the bottom for both rankers. CPU Says: Atlanta by 2. Carolina [1573] at San Francisco [1518] Human Says: A dead heat for Elo: Computer sees #6 vs. #12 + home field advantage. Human sees it about the same: #5 vs. #9. CPU Says: Push. Baltimore [1507] at Oakland [1606] Human Says: Human's #1 team (Elo's #3) are favorites against #11 (Elo's #15), but matches the biggest spread due to home field and Oakland dominance. CPU Says: Oakland by 7.
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    Welcome to the first week of Heisman. Each week I will be presenting two finalists eligible for the 2019 Heisman Memorial Trophy voting, their stats up to that point, a small write-up, and the trending direction for players featured on the show in previous weeks. Without much ado let's get to our first player - the captain and leader of the current #1 team in the nation. --- Benjamin Schuler Jr. // QB // #1 Florida State (5-0) Week 7 vs Louisville // 23-40 (57.5%) for 350 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT (142.5 Passer Rating) Week 6 vs BYE Week 5 vs Duke // 20-25 (80.0%) for 340 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT (247.0 Passer Rating) Week 4 vs BYE Week 3 vs NC State // 18-25 (72.0%) for 243 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT (180.0 Passer Rating) Week 2 vs Army // 17-23 (73.9%) for 290 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT (237.2 Passer Rating) Week 1 vs #20 Mississippi State // 17-27 (62.9%) for 210 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT (140.5 Passer Rating) --- 2019 Season // 95-140 (67.9%) for 1433 yards, 13 TD, 1 INT (183.1 Passer Rating) The Walnut Grove, Alabama, product is the unquestioned captain of the Seminoles. The redshirt junior is currently in his third year starting for Florida State and has shown a steady trend upward in both leadership qualities and exceptional quarterback play. A scan of Schuler's state line against Louisville doesn't look all that impressive but when you account that both of his touchdowns came at key points near the end of the game his clutch factor elevates his rating. Schuler has been consistently good and that may be the key to winning him the trophy. He excels at the right moment and has an extremely high floor that doesn't frequently sink below his opposition's ceiling. If Florida State keeps a strong push for the national title on their resume then Schuler should be in the conversation for the Heisman and any shared duties with fellow Heisman hopefuly Elijah Harden should not discourage this discussion. The biggest knock on Schuler may be his opposition, only Mississippi State can really be considered a valid opponent and he didn't perform his best against their stout defense. --- Trevon Yeldon Fr. // RB // #5 Oregon (6-0) Week 7 vs Washington // 24 for 141 yards, 2 TD Week 6 vs BYE Week 5 vs North Carolina // 26 for 148 yards, 2 TD Week 4 vs Temple // 20 for 99 yards, 1 TD Week 3 vs Iowa State // 16 for 69 yards, 1 TD Week 2 vs Texas // 17 for 89 yards, 1 TD Week 1 vs Vanderbilt // 20 for 148 yards, 4 TD --- 2019 Season // 123 for 625 yards, 11 TD What a year so far for Trevon Yeldon. The Ducks redshirt freshman has appeared out of absolutely nowhere in his first year starting with very little hype to lead the Ducks to a secured bowl berth after only 7 weeks. At first glance Oregon's offense doesn't seem to have a ton of talent relative to their defense but the Ducks' offense is still scoring somewhere around 30 points per game - Yeldon is a big part of this. Yeldon's strength is definitely his versatility in both the run game and the passing offense as a blocker. If he develops the ability to become a receiving threat then this Heisman trophy would be without question his. So why is he here? He's a redshirt fresman. A freshman that put up 4 touchdowns on SEC East leading 4-1 Vanderbilt, a freshman that up great than 140 yards 3 times in the first 6 games. Yeldon, with a steady increase in usage, is on pace for upwards of 1300 rushing yards and 22 touchdowns on only about 250 carries. One in every ten carries results in a touchdown. Run him 25 times a game and you're guarenteed at least two scores... how is this even possible coming from a freshman that's supported by a slightly above average quarterback and mediocre O-Line. His room for development is astronomical and we may have a future NFL all-star on our hands here. --- Current odds by computer projection based on players featured in this show: Player Position School Percentage Odds Benjamin Schuler QB FSU 38% Trevon Yeldon RB ORE 29% Other -- --- 33% --- Trending Normally this section would be reserved for evaluation of previously analyzed talent but that will not begin until next time so, for now, see you next Tuesday at 5 PM ET! Every player mentioned on a previous episode of Heisman will have their weekly stat lines kept up here so people can easily reference them for Heisman opinions, media, and voting.
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    ===General=== =====FCS===== *Added FCS with 40 teams in 8 conferences (5 per conference). *FCS play will begin this season, 2019. *FCS teams are AI controlled and cannot be taken over by coaches at this time. *FCS teams play a schedule of 4 conference games + 8 randomly assigned OOC games. FCS games will occur on either Friday or Saturday as announced in advance. *FCS scores will be reported only as the final with one highlighted stat player per team. *FCS players will contribute to the NFLHC draft. *FCS will have a 16-team bracket tournament to determine the FCS champion. FCS champions will reveal their full roster and will be allowed to schedule up to 3 FBS games in each future season. *FCS scheduling request threads will be posted and the FCS team will schedule the team with the highest record from the previous year that wants to play them. If an 11-1 FBS team wants to play the FCS champion then they have first dibs UNLESS a 12-0 team wants to play them. *FCS will be represented by a forum in the CFBHC section. Whether people want to add an FCS Coaches Poll or want to consider FCS schools in the regular Coaches Poll is up to you guys. I won't be providing any more info than scores/records/key players at this time but hopefully there will at least be some discussion. *Example game report: =====Other===== *Added a new post-season event - trait acquirement. *Players that reach a certain threshold of veteran experience in combination with good stats in the respective category over a long time will be assigned a trait. (The only purpose of this trait is to help people identify what elite star players are good at - it should be considered an amazing achievement to get a player to receive a trait) Initial stats added: *Clutch: high likelihood of comming up with big plays at the end of a tight game *Coach: master tactician that has the qualities for a career outside of playing. *Matchup Nightmare: tough-to-impossible to cover 1-1 (applies to offense and defense) *Tough: has the ability to rebound from injury and can play through minor injuries without problem *Showtime: frequently makes extremely low-percent catches and converts under pressure --Several players have already qualified for these, the update will occur after the Super Bowl each season: ===Balance=== *Reduced overall skill of long snappers by 10% across the board. *Rebalanced punting average spread to allow for more games of higher/lower average punting games outside of 1-sigma. *Hidden requirement to increase veteran experience lowered slightly so veteran players gain more experience. *Reduced impact of second team players targetting only other second team players. (2nd/3rd QBs were targetting 4th/5th string receivers too often because of some lingering code I left from something I tried a while ago). *Revealed player needs on re-signing (already seen).
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    "What two people on the site have the best rivalry?" - smokingcricket This one's tough because I'm not always privvy to your guys shit-talking to each other. I have a pretty solid rivalry with Jumbo (Jets-Dolphins, Penn State-Pitt, uh political and historical...differences) that's always good for some laughs. Kafka has a great rivalry with the site - you younger members should ask him about the Kafkacurse. Obviously I have a decent rivalry with alien because I talk to him daily. Rome has a rivalry with himself about whether or not he should blow me in the shoutbox or pile on rabid after I do. Honestly we could likely have a top 100 rivalries on this site and it would be the most interesting thing I've ever read. "Who are the most underrated coaches on the site?" - Monda I purposefully left out the overrated part of the question because that is not my statement to make. I prefer the hypothetical shit-talking to actual fact-based piling on people. I actually think one of the THE most underrated coaches, especially for CFBHC, is taffyowner. He's had like 1 year with less than 9-10 wins and I think that was his first (? correct me if I'm wrong) yet he has almost no hype. Of course his team started with amazing quarterbacks but he's been consistently good for so long and no one ever mentions him. Bingo I also find weirdly underrated - we all know he's a good coach and that he does great things with his teams but I rarely see people praising what he's done with Minnesota - MINNESOTA - and turned them into a perennial 9-3 or 10-2 team. "Did you look at any of the suggestions I made NFLHC-wise in the private question forum?" - Jumbo No. ...yes. Can people please use this forum more. "How much of an effect does changing an option in your gameplan really have - like if I change my safeties from man to split coverage or change my receivers from route tree to group assigned, does it make any kind of significant impact?" - Jumbo Of course it does! I think the biggest misunderstanding here is that the sliders themselves may not change things much but the way the calculations in the sim work (from what I understand) is that everything is magnified times the skill and attribute of the player. So if you have two man coverage safeties and you switch the slider from man to zone you will be forcing them to play out of their role by two slider positions effectively changing their skill by a square value. Some players are proficient at both attributes even though they're only listed at one and I think it's every coaches' responsibility to figure out good all-rounders themselves because these are the players who will become legends. Secondarily, even though each slider may only have a small impact changing several of them quickly compounds the changes, increases the time it takes for the negative impact to return to zero, but can also catch opposing teams by surprise. I will eventually add a practice component to NFLHC if I have time that lets this be visualized for each team's coaching staff. "What do you see as the biggest difference between a good coach/general manager/franchise and an elite one?" - SageBow I think the biggest reason certain people/franchises can't take that next step is simply a failure to adapt. People force their plans onto a franchise and retain certain expectations and then never stray from this plan. Your picks don't always work out, your gameplans aren't always perfect, there is nothing you can do to mitigate all the luck/chance - the biggest thing you should be doing is minimizing the impact of the luck/chance. Additionally, and I think this is somewhat restricted by time commitment to the site, planning really does play a major part in success. People who prepare for the draft for 3 weeks tend to do better than those who wing it on the day of. Have a Plan B, a Plan C, never be surprised by anything. If your player sucks for a week, a month, a year stop giving up on them. You're the coach (or the GM), improve their career - you are literally the only thing in the game that can turn a shit player into a good one by sheer force. Even the worse players can have a role, you just have to balance it with your budget (in the NFL, in college you don't even have to worry about that!) Stop overreacting to slight swings in luck and always continue planning - challenge yourself. In the end I think the site is a bit biased towards those with more time on their hands but I think that'll always be the case and I don't really have a problem with it. Generally when I criticize an organization it is because they've broken something I've listed above: knee-jerk draft picks, winging-it trades, impatience, or inability to adapt. "Impatience and not knowing when to fire someone are kind of at odds with each other though," you might say. Yes sometimes you need to let go of your coach or your quarterback but give them their due before you cut loose. I know that a lot of you are on a team with your friends so you obviously will not fire them, just don't expect that to go well - you might need to realize together what the problem is and address is thus. I hope you guys enjoyed Q&A Friday, please feel free to discuss these answers in here. I'll answer 5 questions each friday from the list that is located here, you are welcome to add any whenever you like! https://discord.gg/3GBn3Hp
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    Who were this week's studs and duds? STUDS Jason Johnson, QB 20 of 29 for 289 yards, 3 TD - 135.5 rating Johnson carved up the Colts in convincing fasion. Joaquin Younger, QB 16 of 20 for 270 yards, TD, INT 7 carries for 84 yards, TD Joaquin came up bigly for the Bills against Brumm & Co. Carolina's defensive line 5.5 sacks, 12 tackles, 2 FF, 2 FR Allan Taylor will be having night terrors about the Panther DL for quite a while. Jarius Jones, QB 17 of 21 for 296 yards, 3 TD - 158.3 rating Perfection. Sonny Beckett, WR 11 catches for 118 yards, 2 TD Beckett led the passing attack early and often for the Vikes over the Bucs. Anthony Ortiz, DE 2.5 sacks, 5 tackles Ortiz was a major key in the win over the high-flying Jets Artemio Ramirez, PR Two punt return TDs (48, 81) Ramirez almost single-handedly won the game for the Broncos Vaughn Abraham, RB 22 carries for 119 yards, 2 TD Vaughn was oaughn against Washington. DUDS Lawyer Johnson, QB 15 of 29 for 148 yards, TD, 2 INT - 49.2 rating Patriots fans will be filing an appeal for ineffective assistance of quarterback. Will Thompson, QB 24 of 40 for 222 yards, TD, 2 INT - 62.7 rating Thompson mustered a sub 65 rating and the offense was only 1-14 on third down. Chicago's offense 0 offensive TD, 0 points in the second half Yikes. San Francisco's punt coverage The Broncos ripped off two punt return TDs and dominated special teams field position. Toby Madden, LT Allan Taylor was sacked three times, lost two fumbles, and failed to get the offense going. Madden was a revolving door at left tackle. New Orleans' defense After getting out to a 10-0 lead, the Browns went on a 23-10 run, aided by a total lack of impact plays by the Saints' defense. No interceptions, sacks, or fumbles.
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    Cowboys vence a los Gigantes para abrir la temporada de la NFLHC T-Rod sólido. Abraham, defensa dominante como vaqueros explosión gigantes desgraciados 28-6.
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    DID YOU KNOW.... 2020 was the first draft where a QB wasn't selected in the top four Graham Burnett (8) An SEC player has been selected first overall in three straight drafts DE Tyler Jones (2020) DE Early Davis (2019) QB Aaron Shea (2018) 2020 was only the second time where two defensive ends were drafted in the top ten 2020: Tyler Jones (1) - Anthony Miller (3) 2016: Curtis Lewis (3) - Dennis Niland (4) 2020 was the first time since 2017 where a wide receiver was drafted in the top nine Raheem Robinson (2) 2020 featured the second most wide receivers taken in the first round in NFLHC history (4) 2020: Raheem Robinson (2) - Sam Hiller-Weeden (16) - Jeremy Cook (26) - Eli Austin (30) 2017: Sean Jenkins (4) - Tai Miller (9) - Mark Harrington (18) - Sonny Beckett (22) - Gordon Kleinsasser (26) The SEC had the most first round selections of any conference (8) Tyler Jones - Anthony Miller - C.J. Thomas - Terrence Rodgers Lucas Hurd - Shah Vereen - Russell Benson-Gifford Eli Austin 2020 marked the seventh time a conference had at least eight first round selections 2020 - 8 2020 was tied for the fewest first round OL taken since 2015 2020 - 5 2015 - 5 2016 - 5 2019 - 6 2016 - 8 2018 - 9 Alabama led all colleges in total picks (10) Lucas Hurd - William Anderson - Michael Hernandez - James White - Rory Weston Dillon Grant - Ethan Crockett - Eric Holder - Will Doughty - Charles O'Keefe The Big Ten led all conferences in total picks 43 Four teams had double-digit selections: 12 10 10 10 Only one team had fewer than four selections: 3 Players from the same college were only selected in consecutive picks on two occasions Nick Ramos #47 Rafael O'Donnell #48 Alex Stanford #121 Elijah Moffett #122 A record 24 players declared early for the draft, two went undrafted Leo Fleming - Nicholas Quick Of the 24 early declarations, seven went in the first round Cameron Marshall - Graham Burnett - Marquise Reed - Christian Okonkwo Akeel Morris - Martin Whiting - Eli Austin Three positions had 20+ selections this year WR - 29 CB - 23 DE - 20 2020 was the latest the first kicker was drafted in NFLHC history 2020 - #123 2018 - #108 2017 - #104 2016 - #73 2015 - #70 2019 - #67 2020 marked the fourth time in NFLHC history that the last name of the first overall selection had four or five characters 2020 - Tyler Jones 2019 - Early Davis 2018 - Aaron Shea 2015 - Tyrone Jones 2020 was the fourth time in NFLHC history that a center was selected between the ninth and twelfth pick 2019 - John Hadley #9 2020 - Lucas Hurd #10 2018 - Matt Cole #11 2015 - Enoch Dickinson #12 2020 was just the second time since 2015 with multiple first round running backs 2020 - Terrence Rodgers - Arturo Pacheco 2016 - Akili Wallace - Marcus Barry 2020 featured the second shortest first overall selection in NFLHC history 2015 - Tyrone Jones 5'11" 2020 - Tyler Jones 6'1"
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    Don't be too salty, you have 6 more rounds to fix shit. Tennessee Titans - Tyler Jones, DE A - Solid pick, nothing really to doubt here. I think Jones is the real deal. Jacksonville Jaguars - Raheem Robinson, WR I refuse to grade myself. Los Angeles Chargers - Anthony Miller, DE C+ - I don't hate it as much as I initially did but it's still a bit weird. Of all the gaps I had listed for the Chargers DE was not a priority. You just took Chung and you had the choice from Marquise Reed, Cameron Marshall, etc. I think upgrading the secondary was the correct priority but this could still end up playing out nicely. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Aaron Blakely, FS F - I have no idea honestly. Way overdrafted, doesn't fit the team, and not a need. Cleveland Browns - C.J. Thomas, ILB AND Cameron Marshall, CB B+ - Extremely solid. I would have taken Marquise Reed over Marshall but I can't fault them for their picks. C.J. Thomas was my favorite non "generational" player. Dallas Cowboys - Graham Burnett, QB B - I don't LOVE it but I do think it's a fairly solid pick. I felt like I was the only one high on Graham Burnett all month and I think he'll be a good fit in Dallas. I thought receiver was a bigger need but I wouldn't have taken one here either. Green Bay Packers - Marquise Reed, CB/WR AND Lucas Hurd, C A+ - Two of the 4 great prospects in this draft. I don't like generating hype but I think this is the best first round ever. Kansas City Chiefs - Terrence Rodgers, RB and Isaiah Hall, DE (from KC) C+ - Thought the RB was a bit of a reach especially when you still have Buchanan. KC has a fairly mediocre WR group and they traded away their best corner. D-Line sucks shit and was addressed with Hall but he's a 3-4 contain DE that won't be contributing much pass rush. Seattle Seahawks - Christian Okonkwo, DT B- - Really don't like the player but it makes sense for the team. We'll see on this one. New England Patriots - Taylor Randolph, OT B- - Randolph looks like a great prospect at first glance (and I really kind of wanted him for a long time) but he had some troubling issues and gave up a ton of sacks in college. I think he's a developmental prospect at RT but could be a LT eventually. Chicago Bears - Akeel Morris, ILB A - Great value for the pick. I think Chicago needed other things more but definitely can't fault them for this. Oakland Raiders - Shah Vereen, DE A- - A bit unproven but I was one of his biggest pre-draft proponents. He dominated teams on an otherwise shitty South Carolina team. Should slot in nicely for alien. Atlanta Falcons - Eric Jennings, DE B- - Not a fan of the player but the Falcons really need some sort of pass rush, I would have liked to see Sam Hiller-Weeden here. Washington Redskins - Sam Hiller-Weeden, WR B - Good deal for Javier Fields but I'm not sure if his faults at QB can be patched with another receiver. Time will tell but I think Fields is a bit overrated at this point. Hiller-Weeden is good. Carolina Panthers - Curtis Henry, TE C - My grade here varies a bit from my opinion. I think taking a TE here is terrible but I do think that he might do enough for the Panthers to be a real game changed mostly because of his combination with OC Chudzinski. If this works out it'll be genious for Cade, if it doesn't then he looks like a complete idiot for taking a stat-less hyped TE. Cincinnati Bengals - Blake Turner, CB B - Seaverns 2.0 without the experience. Turner will take 1-2 years to get going and be a similar player. Miami Dolphins - Dexter Flowers, DE B+ - I don't mind the risk and I think this is the first good pick since I left the team. We'll see what smckenz builds but I think WR was a much bigger need. Denver Broncos - Russell Benson-Gifford, OG A - I had him pegged in the top ten so this pick was a bit surprising. Future pro bowler. Los Angeles Rams - Jared Self, DE D - I'm on the "he sucks" team. Completely underperformed at Michigan to the point where I had forgotten about him. Don't see much potential here but hopefully he can learn. Houston Texans - Arturo Pacheco, RB D - Massive reach after some consideration and wasn't the best available at the position. We'll see how this goes - the biggest problem to me is that Leshoure's ideal scheme conflicts with Pacheco's from past experience. Philadelphia Eagles - Martin Whiting, OLB B+ - Boring but solid pick, what can you do when you start out at #29. Would have liked to see more protection for AT but this works. Minnesota Vikings - Donald Reed, OT B- - Not really a fan of this pick. Great value for sure but this team is going to be so awful next year that this seems like a setup for 3-4 years from now. No skill players and Vardell isn't getting younger. I wouldn't be surprised if he gets pushed into retirement in the near future. New Orleans Saints - Corey Davis, SS B - Very meh, Good insurance for Stiles but I think it's a bit of a reach. Detroit Lions - Jeremy Cook, WR C+ - Feels very similar to Adrian Allen. I wasn't a fan of Jeremy Cook at all during this draft and had him pegged 30-40. LeCount always plays his receivers up one level so we'll see. Indianapolis Colts - Ian Hendrickson, OG B+ - Protection for the scariest young QB. Good move. Baltimore Ravens - Brett Fisher, QB B+ - I don't hate it. I don't love it. I don't know how I feel. Ravens are going to be very shit next year but I guess it makes sense to commit to the future. Rebuild around Fisher and Jones. If they had kept Booker T this would have been perfect as I think he's the ideal complementary back for Fisher. Arizona Cardinals - Eli Austin, WR A- - Only reason this isn't an A is because the Cardinals already have decent receivers. Love Austin, great job! New York Jets - Daquan Darcey, OLB B+ - It took 7 years but the Jets finally got a top(ish) OLB. Haven't digested this pick yet but it seems great. San Francisco 49ers - Michael McBride, DT D - I already expressed my opinion on McBride on the cast. I think this guy has a 90% chance to bust. Poor pick.
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    Congratulations to everyone for completing the 2019 season, our 7th as a site. Congratulations especially to the following organization for becoming our new reigning CFBHC and NFLHC Champions 2019 CFBHC National Champion - Penn State Nittany Lions 1st Title Coached by grv413 2019 NFLHC Super Bowl Winner - San Francisco 49ers 1st Title Organization: Jumanji, LaserCats, Duncan345
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    We have a few months to analyze, to dissect, debate, to potentially disagree, there might be disagreements here… welcome to Los Angeles, it is a new day, it is a new season, from SageBow, Pumph, and myself, paperllamasunited, welcome to Path to the Draft. Today we’re going to be talking about the offensive tackles of this 2020 class. When you talk about Offensive Tackle in this draft, you have to start with Taylor Randolph, the 6’4” 278-pounder out of Iowa. He’s a blue-collar, hardworking country boy, and gets great push in the run game. Sure he doesn't have the prototypical size you look for in a left tackle, but he has shown his skill against elite-level competition for years. There is no doubt in my mind that this kid can hold his own against the Brumms in the league and could develop into a cornerstone type of talent. With games against teams like Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin, and Nebraska in the weeks to come, know that NFL teams will have their scouts at those games. If he can show just how dominant he is as a left tackle, we could be looking at a Top 5 pick in next spring’s draft. If you like your Offensive Tackles a bit more nimble, perhaps for a zone blocking scheme, the duo of Virginia Tech’s Donald Reed (6’5”, 293lbs) and Arizona State’s Arthur Taylor (6’8”, 280lbs) are both highly-touted prospects and have shown good pass blocking ability. If a raw, physical freak is more your type, look no further than Dylan Hastings (6'5", 323 lbs) out of Boston College. Hiding in the relative obscurity of Fort Collins, Colorado, Rafael O’Donnell of Colorado State is another skilled tackle worth keeping your eye on.While not playing against the same level of competition as the others, the 6’5”, 310-pound O’Donnell has been charged with protecting the blind side of prized quarterback prospect, Devin Conroy.You wonder how playing a lightly-regarded schedule on a mediocre team could affect his draft stock, but if he can help keep Conroy’s uniform clean, the Rams should find themselves in a bowl game. Ben Goode of Kansas is a potential Top-10 pick should he choose to declare after his junior season. At 6’6”, 312 pounds, Goode appears to be the cream of the crop among underclassmen and while the Jayhawks hope to keep him, the lure of the pros may prove too much. Panel Picks OT Ben Goode 6-6 312 Jr Bettendorf (Bettendorf, IA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Pass Blocking] - Kansas Selector: Sage Sage: Ben Goode is my favorite offensive tackle in the nation right now, and even though he’s a junior, I firmly believe he’s the best offensive tackle prospect since Texas’s Brandon Reamon. At 6-6, 312 lbs, Goode passes the eye test of being an elite offensive tackle. Then you watch what he does on the field. Through week 6 Kansas QB Eric Jennings has been sacked 3 times, but all of those sacks have come from interior defensive linemen. Goode just bodies out opposing defensive ends and shuts them out completely every game. He’s matched up against Miles Slater (3.5/5), Messiah Bernard (3/3), Jalen Pittman (3/4), and Christopher Stewart (3/3) as Kansas runs out to a 7.65 offensive line rating. Goode is going to have a tough decision at the end of the year to stay in Kansas or be a top 5 pick. Llamas: Goode might just be the best offensive line prospect we’ve seen in a draft. At his size, he could be a stud right tackle for years to come, but he’s proven his capabilities at left tackle, where he could protect the blind side of franchise QBs. Kansas allowed 9.5 credited sacks last season in 14 games. The only sacks allowed to a right end were 1.5 to Texas Tech’s Michael Bruce in Week 8, and Bruce has proven himself to be no flash in the pan by producing at the pro level. That means it’s been nearly a full calendar year since Goode allowed a sack strictly by his own doing. (ROLB’s Nicholas Moss and Jabari Fletcher, of West Virginia and Texas and in Weeks 2 and 10, respectively, recorded 1 and 2 sacks.) Last year we saw Mike Woods go 5th overall to the Buffalo Bills, and Woods has been pretty great thus far; I think Goode is better. Any team picking inside the top 5 (especially San Diego, Dallas, or Cincinnati) that needs help on one or both sides should strongly consider him. OT Damian Mason 6-3 296 (Jr) Riverdale (Murfreesboro TN) 5.0 of 5.0 [Pass Blocking] - Tennessee Selector: Llamas Llamas: Mason cracked the full-time lineup in 2018, having big shoes to fill after the departure of Fred Huber to the draft. He didn’t do all that well as a redshirt Sophomore. As a team, Tennessee allowed 11.5 credited sacks through 14 games. Through the first half of the season, Mason looked phenomenal, with no sacks that could be in any way attributed to him. The latter half of the year wasn’t as forgiving, as the SEC showed who was boss. After allowing two sacks to right ends (one of them a true freshman who Mason has nearly 60lbs on) in games against Florida and South Carolina, he closed out the conference portion of the season with ROLBs Shawn Richardson and Sergio Miller each grabbing a sack of their own. And in the bowl game against Minnesota, Mason was eaten alive, allowing two sacks to George Calvert. This year Tennessee has allowed 3.0 credited sacks, and Mason is the guilty party of one of them. Georgia’s David Crawford, a 6’5”, 317 natural nose tackle playing out of position at end, got the better of him. Though not yet officially timed, Crawford can’t be fast at all at that size, meaning he out-muscled Mason. As the season goes on, Damian Mason might be able to elevate his play, but given his current track record, he probably wouldn’t go higher than the late 3rd round, and even then would be a reach. Another year in school to refine himself wouldn’t hurt. Sage: At one point, I had Damian Mason rated as the #2 Left Tackle prospect in the nation, behind the previously talked about Ben Goode. Mason has an excellent build, and combined with his great footwork he’s got some of the best leverage out of any tackle I’ve ever seen. I don’t think he’s a top tackle right now, as in this upcoming class guys like Goode, Iowa’s Taylor Randolph, and Virginia Tech’s Donald Reed are battling to be called the top offensive lineman and Mason’s left in the shuffle. One thing about him is a lack of film. Sure he’s been starting since his sophomore year, but the Vols offense doesn’t allow him to get a lot of solid pass blocking reps, and when he did last year he was out muscled by opposing defensive ends. It’ll be important to see how he does the rest of the season before anything can be said about his likelihood of being a successful tackle at the next level, but for now I expect him to continue honing his craft and to stay in Knoxville for his senior year. OT Dylan Hastings 6-5 323 Sr Massasoit Community College (Brockton, MA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Run Blocking] - Boston College Selector: Pumph My pick, and mostly because I don't want to commit underclassmen to the list, is Hastings.While he's more of a traditional run-blocking tackle, he has the size and tools necessary to protect the blind side.Being labelled as a "run blocker" doesn't mean that he can't also excel in pass protection.It may hurt his draft stock a little, but if Boston College remains near the top of the polls and makes it to the College Football Playoff, scouts will know that Hastings played a big role in the team's success.He did give up one sack in his Week 2 encounter with Iowa's George Smith, but Smith is a pro prospect, and Hastings otherwise dominated that matchup. Sage: This is Hastings’s first year in Boston after leaving nearby Massasoit Community College, and let me just say this: Hastings is a workaholic. He grew up in the rural Northeast and really embodies the hardworking spirit of New Englanders. He’s by far the biggest stud offensive tackle in this class, and that size will help him as he makes the transition to the next level. However, his weaknesses are clear. Even being the highly touted recruit he was out of JUCO, he’s yet to face off against elite opposition. This week’s showing against a monster South Carolina Gamecock Line and DE Shah Vereen (5/5) helps, but we just need more film on this kid. Boston College’s ACC schedule is tough though, and with big games against Florida State and Clemson soon to come we’ll get to see what Hastings is made out of. OT Taylor Randolph 6-4 278 (Sr) Bettendorf (Bettendorf, IA) 5.0 of 5.0 [Pass Blocking] - Iowa Selector: Sage Technique-wise, Taylor Randolph is the best in this class. Great balance, incredible hand skills, and just overall Randolph is a formidible force as a left tackle. Heading into the NFL, Randolph is the top left tackle prospect and a Day 1 starter at almost half the teams in the league. I can't talk enough about what he brings to the table. Excellent pass protection, solid in run blocking, and a vocal leader on the offensive line. He's one of the can't miss prospects at the offensive line position, along with C Lucas Hurd out of Alabama, and I fully expect Randolph to go in the top 5 picks of this upcoming draft, as stacked as it is. Llamas: He doesn't have the size that these other tackles we've talked about do, but as a redshirt senior, he's one of the older players in the class, and there's no doubt he's one of the leaders at Iowa. It's not a great OL class, especially if Goode stays another year, and Randolph has the Big Ten pedigree backing up his play. I think ideally, he could start out as a right tackle early, and move over to the left side as he develops, but he also seems to be the type of player who could plug in immediately at left tackle at the pro level. If Goode declares, I think Randolph still ends up Top 10 (maybe even before Goode), but if Goode doesn't, Randolph is a Top 5 talent who can bookend the line for years. The Class (Draft-eligible Seniors in 2019) OT Taylor Randolph 6-4 278 R Iowa [Pass Blocking] 83 OT Donald Reed 6-5 293 R Virginia Tech [Pass Blocking] 82 OT Dylan Hastings 6-5 323 R Boston College [Run Blocking] 81 OT Rafael O'Donnell 6-5 310 R Colorado State [Run Blocking] 80 OT Arthur Taylor 6-8 280 R Arizona State [Run Blocking] 80 OT Leonard Shockley 6-1 314 R Eastern Michigan [Run Blocking] 76 OT Toma Pinati 6-1 313 R Buffalo [Run Blocking] 76 OT Charles O’Keefe 6-3 257 R Alabama [Pass Blocking] 76 OT Conor Crane 6-6 303 R Mississippi State [Pass Blocking] 76 OT Connor Kraus 6-1 312 R Northwestern [Pass Blocking] 75 OT Harry Mock 6-4 334 R Iowa State [Run Blocking] 74 OT Maxwell Carmichael 6-7 264 R Clemson [Run Blocking] 73 OT Johnathan Wagner 6-3 285 R Illinois State [Pass Blocking] 70 OT Owen Stover 6-3 273 R West Virginia [Pass Blocking] 70 OT Sam Williams 6-3 278 R Missouri [Run Blocking] 69 OT George Thompson 6-6 269 R Miami [Run Blocking] 69 OT Nathaniel Chatman 6-2 269 R ECU [Run Blocking] 69 OT Jessie Kendrick 6-8 322 R Clemson [Run Blocking] 69 OT Elijah Dillard 6-6 305 R Washington State [Run Blocking] 69 OT Walter Murphy 6-6 257 R Texas Tech [Pass Blocking] 69 OT Miguel Campbell 6-7 304 R Vanderbilt [Run Blocking] 68 OT James Jones 6-3 272 R Washington State [Pass Blocking] 68 OT Clint Smith 6-3 284 R Arizona [Run Blocking] 68 OT Donald Nichols 6-3 320 R Virginia [Run Blocking] 67 OT Ronnie Haley 6-4 289 R Connecticut [Run Blocking] 67 OT William Rose 6-7 311 R Georgia [Run Blocking] 67 OT Victor Rivera 6-2 283 R Arizona [Run Blocking] 66 OT James Jones 6-3 272 R Colorado State [Pass Blocking] 66 OT Giuseppe Hein 6-1 322 R ECU [Run Blocking] 66 OT Frank Walters 6-2 274 R Marist [Run Blocking] 66 OT Ernest Duff 6-4 283 R Texas [Pass Blocking] 66 OT Jeremiah Caldwell 6-6 329 R Georgia State [Pass Blocking] 65
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