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Penn State goes back to back and defends their National Championship in an explosive 44-23 match up against UCF


As the college season comes to a close, NFLHC front offices prepare themselves for the draft. Who's going to make their mark?


Where it stops? No one knows. CFBHC offseason can only mean one thing. It's time for the coaching carousel! Will inspiral stay at Purdue? Who will take USC? Which coach will leave, then come back to a different team, but then switch back to their original team? It could be you!


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  1. 45 points

    Happy Birthday CFBHC!

    You guys may have noticed that some stuff has changed. We'll be under construction for a little while but hopefully overall it will be a better and more manageable experience. Among the things you can expect: A selection of backgrounds and themes based on conferences/champions. The text editor has been improved. Better and more functional shoutbox. Better and easier moderation options. Far far far more customizable on my end letting me improve your experience much easier. Three years is a long time for an online community to last. I hope you guys enjoy it. Soluna
  2. 44 points

    Recruiting v2.1

    Recruiting v2.1 --------------------------------------------------- General Changes *Commitment threshold will reduce from 50 by 5 a week after Week 4 down to a minimum of 20. *Players who have only 1 school listed within 30 points for 3 consecutive weeks will commit to that school. *The school(s) with the most drafted players will receive +2 weekly recruiting points. If tied each tied school receives the bonus. (This year: Alabama Crimson Tide and Nebraska Cornhuskers) *The school(s) with the most drafted players from each conference (excluding any schools from the previous award, i.e. Alabama, Nebraska) will receive +1 weekly recruiting points. If more than three teams are tied, the conference is excluded from receiving this bonus. (This year: UGA/Miss State(SEC), Michigan (Big 10), TCU/Iowa State (Big 12), Southern Miss (CUSA), Arizona State (Pac 12), Air Force/Colorado State/Boise State (MWC), ND (Indy), Akron/Buffalo/EMU (MAC), No AAC Team (AAC)) <--- Someone check these they were done by a tired llamas and Darman. In-State/Bordering State Changes *In-state (and bordering state) bonuses do not occur until at least 5 points have been committed from an in-state school. At this point the player will receive the value that was given freely in the previous recruiting version. *Initial points committed to an in-state recruit are doubled for free up to 20 points. (i.e. You put 20 points on someone from your state that you had not previously put points on it will count as 40. You put 50 points on someone from your state that you had not previously put points on it will count as 70 (50+20 cap).) If these are the initial points then he will still receive the in-state bonus points. Expanded/Changed Options *Added "Star Recruit" - select one player who will receive an automatic amount of points per week based on the information below. Must be used in the first week and is independent of state location restrictions. National Champion and Runner-Up (15 points per week), 12-0 and Playoff Teams (13), Bowl Winners (12), Bowl Losers (11), Remaining Teams (9), 0-12 (7) *Added "Team Needs" designation - select two positions on your team page, any points spent on players of this position gain an additional 10% for free. (You label OG and ILB as team needs and you spend 10 points on an ILB, the player will in fact receive 11 points) *Pipeline States will now receive a 20% bonus on a foreign state and a 25% bonus if it is the home state. Pipeline states must now BORDER the state of their school or be their home state. Pipeline states remain public and must be declared before Week 1. *Added "Host Camps" - Each school can declare one state where they receive a 15% bonus on points spent. THIS STATE MUST BE A STATE WHERE A TEAM FROM THEIR CONFERENCE IS FROM AND IT CANNOT BE THEIR HOME STATE. Host Camp state must be set prior to recruiting start and can be changed during the offseason. Hosted camps will be public, to be displayed on your interface team profile. Interface/Visibility Changes *School Visits, Coach Visits, Star Recruits, and Host Camp by schools are now visible for everyone. *If a recruit has less than or equal to five points between the leader and any other schools the recruit will be marked as "Toss Up" (Note to Inspiral: Single out Toss-Up recruits to be easily visible on their own page and likely marked read or be larger or something similar)(everyone: suggest better name). *Schools within five points are displayed as toss-up (see above). Schools between 5-30 points behind are shown with their normal logo. Schools that have put any points on a player but are not listed in the previous information will be listed by hovering over the + dropdown that existed before (or some other way inspiral figures out to make it visible). NOTE: All changes are dependent on whether inspiral is able to add these.
  3. 43 points
    Head Coach Trey Chaffin steps to the microphone: "It pains me greatly to say this, but after a great run at Georgia Tech, I will be stepping down as head coach. I know it isn't an ideal time, but it is time for me. I am open to any questions." Stepping out of character, I want to say a few things. I know a lot of y'all probably thought I was already gone or whatever. I never thought this day would come. Never. This site meant so much to me for so long. Some days it felt like I was online all 24 hours. Anytime I was at home I was on, as soon as I got on the bus to go across campus I'd be on on my phone, I'd be on in class, it just meant everything to me. Soluna, I know I could rub you the wrong way, and I know I truly pissed you off sometimes, but I want to thank you. This site is incredible. It really is. To everyone I've gotten to know over the years here, whether we got along or not, I am thankful for all of you. The hours spent in the shoutbox no matter the topic no matter how vicious the arguments were always fun. I am ready to step down immediately if that is what is best and there is a coach in the waiting, but I am also willing to continue as long as y'all need me too. As soon as I write this post I'm gonna go do recruiting for the upcoming week. Also, I will not be stepping down from my role within the Bengals organization. I am far more active there than I am in cfbhc. I am truly sorry for how inactive I have been for quite a while, I know it hurts the sim as a whole and especially my team and my conference. I want everyone to know I tried, I really did. I fully expected to be back up to my past activity levels in 2017, but a lot has happened in my personal life and things that I used to enjoy just don't hold my attention anymore. After graduating in december I expected to be more active, however a lot has happened since then. I won't go into any excuses, but this year, especially since March, has been really tough. Sorry this post is kinda rambly, it's late and I do feel bad about this. In hindsight I should have done this a long time ago, but every time I thought about doing it, I would convince myself I could become more active. And I would try, I really did, I would log on a few days in a row check stuff out make my gameplan, and then it would slip again. I know there is someone out there that can take care of my beloved team and players better than me. Its been fun guys, I won't just disappear, I'll still have the Bengals to be disappointed by, uh I mean to be excited about.
  4. 40 points
    SMALL WONDER: The Story of CFBHC's First Great Upset 1. 2014, the second season in the life of CFBHC, did not start pleasantly for Head Coach DangerZoneh and the TCU Horned Frogs. A 35-7 blowout loss at Ole Miss to open the season, followed by a 42-14 drubbing at the hands of the 20th ranked Tennessee Volunteers left Coach Danger scrambling for answers. A week 3 Thursday night win over the Duke Blue Devils did little to remove the specter of the 2-11 opening season record of the Frogs, but did give the faithful a small dose of hope as fullback Alex Engram rumbled for 111 yards and 3 touchdowns in Durham. That tiny ray of sunshine was quickly blotted out, as TCU lost its next five games. Missouri won 31-14 in Waco behind three touchdowns from quarterback Gerald Bright, while TCU managed just 205 yards of offense. Nebraksa blitzed the Horned Frogs 31-21 on a neutral field in Kansas City, with TCU quarterback Johnny Green providing the lone Horned Frog highlight with a dazzling 34 yard TD run. Green and Engram did their best, but couldn’t compete with Christopher Brooks and All-Big-12 running back James Otero, who led Kansas to a week 6 shootout win over the Frogs, 35-31. In Stillwater, OK, TCU walked into a defensive buzzsaw in the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The Horned Frogs turned the ball over twice and could get no offense rolling as the Cowboys slammed the door 24-0. The week 8 loss to the mighty Oklahoma Sooners had an outcome that diminished even the 42-21 final score. Defensive captain Ray Lee Coia was lost for the season after taking a blind hit on an interception return by Sooner Tai Miller. Both players suffered broken arms, and TCU was suddenly staring at a 1-7 record, and entering a contest with the #4 team in the land, the defending Big-12 champion, the hated Texas Longhorns, WITHOUT their best player and inspirational team leader Coia. 100 miles to the southwest, the flagship program in the state of Texas was flexing muscles first stretched in a dominant 2013 campaign that saw the might Texas Longhorns win the Big 12 with an 8-0 record en route to a 11-3 Cotton Bowl winning-season. 2014 was to be the year Texas would challenge for the national title, beginning the season ranked #2 and opening with 7 straight wins before a mid-season bye in week 8. Wins over Arkansas, Pittsburgh, and Navy, all in Austin, showed that the Longhorns could handle three very different types of offenses with their thoroughly stout defense. Travelling to West Point turned into a walk over Army. The visiting Minnesota Golden Gophers, with All-American OJ Carano, gave Texas a scare in Darrell Royal Memorial Stadium in a narrow 21-17 win for the Longhorns. Iowa State provided little resistance in Ames, rolling over for 28-3. With the bye week looming, Texas snuck past a game Kansas State squad with kicker Gino Chiaverini providing the bulk of the scoring in a 16-14 win in Austin. The Longhorns, and Coach DollaBill, were certainly looking forward to the Red River Rivalry game with Oklahoma following the bye and an easy date with the 1-7 TCU Horned Frogs. The clouds were beginning to part for the Longhorns, the path to the Playoff clear and present. 2. When CFBHC began in 2013, most teams were at the mercy of their sim-generated rosters, which were, to some extent, based on the school’s all-time “prestige.” Usual college bluebloods like Alabama, USC, Michigan, and Texas were generated with rosters that helped their coaches overwhelm teams with less traditionally-powerful rosters. In the case of the Longhorns, and first coach DollaBill, that initial roster led to an 8-0 Big-12 campaign, finishing 11-3 in 2013. TCU found themselves severely short on generated talent, and that was compounded by rotating through three coaches in 2013—Coach HookEm, clearly a puppet coach installed by a bitter booster from Austin, departed following a 1-4 start. Coach Pepper was hired, only to lose two games before receiving his pink slip. Stability finally arrived in the form of Head Coach DangerZoneh. The Horned Frogs finished a devastating opening slate at 2-11, with Coach Danger managing a closing 1-5 record playing in a modified Big 12 Conference with Houston, Rice, UCF, and Boise State. Just how deficient was the TCU initial roster? Saying that TCU was severely overmatched talent-wise in this game would be a major understatement. The TCU team only had 4 players total that had a potential rating of 4 and only one of those players had a potential rating of 4.5. From a skill perspective only one of those players had reached 4.0 and that was fullback turned running back Alex Engram. To put in perspective how vastly different the talent level between the two teams was TCU’s average skill-level on offense was a measly 2.36 and an even lower 2.09 on defense. That brought TCU’s average starting player to a skill level of 2.22 which is comparable to a C-USA team. Texas on the other hand was chock full of talent. If you examined the depth-chart for the 2014 Longhorns you would find that they only had one starter below a 3.0 skill rating and that was a redshirt freshman right-guard who had a potential rating of 4.5. The only TCU player who would have a chance to start on this Texas team was fullback Alex Engram and that would have been a toss-up since he shared the same rating as his Texas Counterpart. The Longhorns had twice as many (8) 5.0 Potential players as the TCU team had 4.0 and 4.5 potential players. Texas oozed talent at every position and realistically TCU was outmatched at every position. They play the games for a reason, however; and what those ratings don’t measure is the amount of heart and pride that TCU had during that game. 3. It was a picture-perfect day for football in Fort Worth, Texas on that November Saturday evening. The attitudes on the field couldn’t be more different as the Texas Longhorns were calm, cool, and confident heading into their matchup with the 1-7 TCU Horned Frogs. Texas saw this game as a formality on their way to Dallas for famed Red River Rivalry with Oklahoma. The Longhorns had been brilliant all season and their confidence was apparent as the teams took the field. Sterling Brown, Running Back: “We had it rolling, man. We had a little scare against Kansas State and Minnesota, but this year was our destiny. We had the defense, we had the offense, we had the kicker. They were a speed bump to roll over on our way to Dallas for the Oklahoma game.” John Jones, Quarterback: “Our offense had been clicking pretty well against some really good defenses. I could hand the ball off and watch Sterling do his thing. Our offensive line was opening up holes all over the place. Yeah, we gonna kill TCU...they were so small! And when they lost Coia, he was the only one that could have provided a challenge.” Boomer Roberts, Defensive End: “They had this great big back, Engram, who was a fullback playing running back. Dude couldn’t run, it was that simple. Shut down the running game, from him and the quarterback, and TCU is done. Our D-line was ready and out-weighed their O-line by something like 100 lbs. That’s four guys versus five.” Gordon Moreland, Cornerback: “I don’t think we really considered their passing game much of a threat at all. They had maybe broken 200 yards once in the previous 8 games, so we were mostly concerned with coming up to help stop Engram the giant.” TCU on the other hand entered the game without their defensive captain Ray Lee Coia and his loss weighed heavily on the team during warmups. From the pressbox it almost seemed like the Longhorns were about to take on a high-school team, but a sense of looseness started to come over the team. This was a school that was given no chance by anyone, the media predicted a blowout, the Longhorns didn’t respect TCU, and it started to sink in that they literally had nothing to lose. Vagas Strong, Inside Linebacker: “We were down. Most of us weren’t even sure it was worth practicing that hard. I mean, we were on our third coach in less than 20 games, we had barely won anything. I came to TCU to get a science degree, but since I had played a little football in high school, Coach said to try out for the team and here I am starting...against Texas...as a senior walk-on. You get a bit star-struck.” Johnny Green, Quarterback: “We just didn’t have anything to lose, that was our mindset. But at the same time, we didn’t have any expectation about winning, not against those guys. I know I can play a little, but we were overmatched. Watching film just put that in our minds.” Andre Gaffney, Defensive End: “When Ray Lee broke his arm, we were hopeful he could play a little with the arm in a cast. Looked like he was gonna play even on Wednesday, but then the docs and coaches said he was out. So that meant Kory Sapp had to step into his place. So we got a freshman stepping into the shoes of a senior, our leader. Yeah, that’s not gonna be good.” Head Coach DangerZoneh, TCU: "I'm not sure there was a feeling of doom going into the game, honestly. We were 1-7 but had actually played a lot of teams close. We felt that the we had faced the best defense we were going to see all year in Ole Miss and the best offenses with Kansas and OU. Our boys believed we could win, That being said, I'd be lying to you if I said I thought we'd win - or even really be that close." The Longhorns elected to receive the opening kickoff and sophomore WR Jacky Walters would take the kick out to the 25. John Jones would lead the Texas offense out on the field, but they wouldn’t stay very long when 2 short Sterling Brown runs and an incomplete pass on 3rd down would lead to a Ken Phillips punt. Johnny Green would lead the Frogs out on the field, and like the Longhorn offense, they would have little success leading to another 3 and out. Lightning would strike as Sterling Brown would take the ball right off the left tackle Brandon Reamon for a 43 yard scamper and Texas score giving them a 7-0 lead. The TCU offense would come back on the field and after 3 more plays they would give the ball back to Jones and company. The field position game would work out well for the Longhorns as Jones would complete passes to Walters and Billy Williams to get into field goal range where Gino Chiaverini would knock in a 40 yarder to make the lead 10-0. Another TCU drive ended poorly as QB Johnny Green would stare down his receiver and give Texas CB Gordon Moreland the perfect chance to pick it off. John Jones would get the opportunity to lead another Texas drive that ended with a Jacky Walters TD on a short 11 yard crossing route to extend the lead to 17 as the 1st quarter ended. John Jones, Texas QB: “We got on the field and things just felt...slow. Like we couldn’t get going. Punt for a series, get the ball back, and then Sterling rips off this awesome run around right end for the opening score. We’re thinking: “Ok, now we’re moving, no worries.” Brandon Reamon, Texas Left Tackle: “Two good early drives, 10 points. Gordon gets the pick to put us at their 30 with 1:00 to go in the quarter. After Jones hits Jacky on that crossing pattern, it’s 17-0 at the end of the first and we’re already thinking about what kind of post-game dinner we’re gonna have.” Johnny Green, TCU QB: “Well that was a stupid throw, the interception. I totally rushed the out route and threw it before the receiver was really even ready. That guy made a nice jump on the ball and grabbed it. Wouldn’t have been a problem if it were on the other end of the field, but giving it back to them on our side hurt.” Feeling the game starting to slip away from them the Frogs would receive the ball to start the 2nd quarter and reach deep into their bag of tricks. , Johnny Green would lead a methodical drive that included a healthy dose of Alex Engram, along the way Green would complete passes to tight end Tony DeMarco and WR Patrick Womack and suddenly the anemic Frog offense was driving down the field. Once the Horned Frogs reached the red zone that’s when coach DangerZoneh decided to pull a little trickeration. Here’s what it sounded like on the Frogs Radio Network “Johnny Green steps under center for 1st and 10 on the Texas 18 yard line. The ball is snapped, Johnson is coming around behind the quarterback it looks to be a wide receiver sweep, wait… he’s dropping back to throw.. DeMarco’s open in the end-zone and it’s caught!!! Touchdown Frogs!!!!!!” The play would bring excitement to the crowd and get cut the Texas lead to 17-7. Butch Johnson, TCU WR: “When Coach called the double-pass, it was the 2nd time that season that it had been called, but the first for me at the X. I was pumped. Tony got a little separation from their linebacker and I hit him with a perfect spiral. I didn’t have a big day catching the ball, so I was just excited to help out in some way.” Dan Bruce, TCU DE: “That got the whole sideline fired up. We were down, but that was a great drive and a great play. We got a little pep in our step.” Texas would not be fazed initially as they were set to receive the kick. Coach DollaBill wanted to get back to his bread and butter and pound the undersized TCU defense. However, the stadium would fall silent, as on a routine sweep, Sterling Brown would be taken down by redshirt Freshman Kory Sapp and he would stay down. The team doctor would diagnose him with a knee injury and he would be forced to miss the remainder of the game. Texas would balance the attack out and grab two more field goals before the half to take a 23-7 lead into the locker room. Gino Chiaverini, Texas K: “The long one was tricky because the wind picked up right as I kicked it, I didn’t think it was gonna go. Hitting at the end of the half was easier...the offense did good just getting me in the middle of the field, and 40 yards is pretty simple with no wind. Sucks to lose Sterling, though.” John Jones: “We knew we had to answer that trick play, and we did, pretty quickly. Just stalled out on 3rd down. We wanted to go in with 30 at half...that would have put it away. But when Sterling went down, we lost a juice in our run game, kind of made it easier for them to load up on the pass.” Brent Ring, TCU ILB: “We were able to hold them to Field goals, which helped. The trick play gave us a bit of momentum and our D played pretty well toward the end of the half. I didn’t really see what happened with We were going in without the lead, but we felt like maybe, if we executed a little better, we could get back into the game.” Halftime...where coaches make their money as motivators and master strategists... Alex Engram, TCU RB: “Coach kept telling the Defense that they were in control. He just kept repeating that: you’re in control...you own this game...you’re in control. Those of us on the offensive side, well we started to get that mindset where we jumped on the defense’s momentum.” Andre Gaffney: “We had a little success at the end of the half, and Coach made a fantastic decision to move us to a 3-5 front to better help with the short passing game. He said we were gonna put 11 guys in coverage at one time...we were like: “Coach, don’t do that!” He really meant just changing up coverages giving the QB as many looks as we could.” Coach DangerZoneh: ““I gathered them in and looked at them and said ‘Are they special? Are they better than anyone we’ve played so far? We’ve faced better teams than this. We can beat these guys. Trust me. Play our game and we’ll win.’ And that’s all I said. After that I stopped game planning. They didn’t need me to yell at them, they knew what they needed to do. Ray, on the other hand, got emotional. He got in the defense's face and was the leader he had been all season, even in a sling. Afterwards, I could see the fire in their eyes. I knew something special would happen." Jacky Walters, TEX WR: “We knew we were gonna throw the ball a little more with Sterling out. I was hoping for a big day. Their DBs were shaky in the first quarter, but you could tell, they just meant to hurt you after the second quarter. They were trying to kill us.” Willard Arnold, TEX ILB: “Having a little cushion of 23-7 felt great. We’d given up maybe 100 yards is all in the first half, some on penalties, and then the big trick play. We definitely thought we still had the physical advantage, so we were confident at halftime. Coach didn’t really give us any new looks or anything…” As the teams came out of the locker room for the second half, there was a noticeable difference in the swagger of the TCU Horned Frogs. The team was amped up, they were confident, and they believed they could pull the upset. The Frogs would return the kick to the 27 yard line and Johnny Green would go to work in the spread offense, which coach adjusted to during the half. Green ran the read-option to perfection, switching between hand-offs to Engram, QB keepers, and quick passes to Johnson and DeMarco. Green would lead the Horned Frogs all the way to the Texas 38 yard line, where they would call a Power-O off the RT for Alex Engram. “Engram takes the hand-off from Green and navigates behind the RT, he breaks through the line and is into the second-layer of the defense. Arnold gets around his block.. Engram bowled him over! There goes Alex Engram.. He could take it all the way home Touchdown!!!!! What a run folks by Alex Engram, he absolutely runs through Willard Arnold.. The extra point is good bringing us closer and a 23-14 game. Willard Arnold: “I’ve never been hit like that on a run EVER. Engram straight ran over me. I was backpedaling a little after getting around the block, but that guy trucked me good.” Boomer Roberts: “I’ve never seen Willard get hit like that. The part that was unfair was that Engram turned on the jets after running over our leading tackler. He was a fullback playing running back...what?” Butch Johnson: “I didn’t think Engram could run that fast, especially after knocking that dude flat on his ass. He took off!” Texas would take the kick looking to styme the Horned Frogs sudden momentum. Jones and the Longhorns would start the drive at the 26 yard line, but there was noticeable difference in the way they were playing. Jones would complete a nice pass over the middle to Walters to grab a first down, and Billy Williams would catch another pass to give the Longhorns a second first down, but the TCU defense dug in and forced a punt which landed at the TCU 8 yard-line. Johnny Green would pair with Alex Engram to lead another methodical TCU drive getting first down after first down with smart reads on their read-option plays and smart passes thrown in when the Longhorns would stack the box. The Frogs, who had taken up nearly 7 minutes of game clock, would drive all the way to the Texas 19 yard line. “The Frogs are in the redzone, 1st and 10 from the Texas 19. Green is under center, DeMarco comes in motion, the ball is hiked and it’s a handoff the Engr.., no wait it's a QB keeper! Green goes off right tackle slips through the arms of Arnold, and there he goes folks!!! Touchdown Frogs!!” The extra point was good bringing TCU within 2 23-21. John Jones: “We wanted to answer their touchdown run with a sustained drive, if not a score. We made two first downs, but then had to punt. Our O-line just didn’t have a lot of fire at this point, with a 9 point lead.” Johnny Green: “They pinned us at the 8 yard line, so we had 92 yards to go to this thing to a field goal. The big guys up front just started going to work, and Coach was calling some nice variations on our standard option set. Alex and I were finding some holes with a stretched out front 7.” Butch Johnson: “Johnny had some clutch throws on that drive, but he really did it with his legs. That drive ate up, what, like 7 minutes of game time?! Keep their offense on the side, let our boys go to work. That TD run from Johnny was a thing of beauty.” Gordon Moreland: “I spent that whole drive on a island, so I just got a front row seat for the butt-whipping our D-Line was getting...from these scrubs! We’d seen their QB do some nice things on film, but that run was slick.” Willard Arnold: “I should have had him wrapped up for a 2 yard gain, but he slipped out. I got freaking beat for two scores in the 3rd quarter. Not a good one for me. Our defense walked off the field sweating and hands-on-hips breathing hard.” Texas would get the ball back and go to work. Jones would lead a methodical drive down the field, and in a rush to get one more play off before the quarter ended they would call a Draw with backup running back Hugh Ledbetter. Ledbetter would get smashed however and the ball would pop loose allowing Vagas Strong to recover for the Horned Frogs. Vagas Strong: “After Johnny’s touchdown, we were fired up. Brent hit their backup tailback and popped the ball loose, right at the end of the quarter. I looked up, and saw the ball, and jumped on it!” TCU would not capitalize on the turnover, however; and would be forced to punt after a quick 3 and out. The Longhorns would come back on the field in good position, and drive down the field to set up another 40 yard field goal. The field goal attempt would go right through the uprights giving Texas a 26-21 lead. Coach DollaBill sensing it was time to put the game away went into his bag of tricks and pulled out the onside kick. TCU wasn't ready for the call and the Longhorns were able to recover the kick, giving them a chance to extend the lead and put the game out of reach. Vagas Strong: “They hit a field goal, no problem. We hadn’t given them anything since the first quarter. We called that a win. Then they try this bullshit onside-kick…” Andre Gaffney: “I’m on kick return team, and we were not ready for that. Nice for them to have a little momentum to pick that up, but we’re all like “why did they do that?” Good if it works, and it did...but it didn’t matter.” Texas had great field position and a chance to put the game away. The drive started with a short Ledbetter run, but on 2nd down Jones would take his chance. “Jones takes the snap and rolls out to the right, he sees the tight end crossing the other way and fires, but there's Kory Sapp!! Sapp picks the ball off! Sapp picks the ball off! The freshman replacing senior leader Ray Lee Coia has made the biggest play of the game!” Kory Sapp, TCU OLB: “Jones was rolling out and he looked back across the field to the tight end. I was coming across the middle from behind the play, so I saw everything. Must have just missed me in his view. Easiest INT I’ve ever had.” Johnny Green would lead the TCU offense out on the field with a chance at taking the lead. The drive didn't start as planned when he was sacked on first down. Second down Green was able to find a crossing Butch Johnson to get the ball deep into Texas territory. The pass was followed by a quick Alex Engram run to get the ball to the Texas nine yard line. “Green under center, two receivers split out wide, he takes the snap and rolls out right. Womack breaks down the middle, he's got a step, Green fires the pass. Touchdown!!! Lord, he caught the ball Touchdown Horned Frogs!!!! The extra point is good, folks we have the lead, the Horned Frogs are beating the number four team in the nation 28-26. Andre Gaffney: “We told the offense to go down and get the lead...we’d done our job.” Alex Engram: “The D played out of their minds all game...we had to do our part. We thought that Coach’s adjustments--making the game about tough vs. tired--really opened things up for us in the 2nd half. We just mimicked the 3rd quarter drives...they were done.” Boomer Roberts: “I thought the sack was going to end their drive, but that QB made some plays with his feet and kept their drive going. And the receiver made a hell of catch on the touchdown.” Gordon Moreland: “Heck of a catch...that’s not my guy, but I got caught in a motion-switch and he just beat me to the spot. Nice catch.” Vagas Strong: “Holy shit, we were leading Texas! The crowd was crazy, some lady ripped her shirt off right behind our bench. We were all fired up!” Texas would take the kickoff and promptly go three and out and punt the ball to TCU. The Frogs would gain 9 yards, but were unable to convert forcing a punt which Walters returned to the Texas 28. John Jones would be sacked on first down making it 2nd and 18. The Longhorns suddenly playing very tightly would gain 3 yards on a busted Walters screen making it 3rd and 15. Promptly the Longhorns would be called for holding making it 3rd and 25 from their own 3 yard line. “It's 3rd and 25 from the 3 for Texas and Jones takes the snap, he hands the ball off the Ledbetter, Andre Gaffney breaks through and tackles him behind the line, folks did he get him in the end zone?! They're calling it a safety!!! Gaffney with the safety and TCU takes a 30-26 lead, the crowd is going crazy!!!” Kory Sapp: “The play before, their Left Tackle got up a little slow. I thought for sure they’d pass the ball on 3rd and 25 from their own 3. Nope, handoff to the backup. Andre was right there.” Brandon Reamon: “I twisted my ankle after getting rolled up the play before. I just didn’t have good footing for a run, and he made a great play. I’m sorry it wrecked our season, but it was about the only time he got me all game.” TCU took the safety and promptly went three and out, the killer being a Butch Johnson drop on what would have been a first down. Johnny Green: “We were too hyped for the next possession...we dropped an easy pass, their D-line got some penetration. Had to kick, put it back on the D, baby.” Texas would go to work and John Jones was locked in finding Walters on a crossing route, and Williams on a deep fade that would put the Longhorns in the redzone. “Jones is under center, he motions Walters out wide, and takes the snap. Walters breaks wide out towards the back off the end-zone, Jones lofts it up there, bit there's Curtis Howard!!! That's the ballgame folks, Curtis Howard intercepts the ball and the TCU Horned Frogs have just upset the number four team in the nation!!!!!!!” John Jones: “Getting the ball back was probably a bit luckier than we deserved. But we made the most. Hit a couple of crossing routes and one deep out. Put us in good position, just inside the red zone. I made the wrong read, that’s all. Should have checked down.” Andre Gaffney: “Curtis locked that guy up good. A true freshman making that play, easily the biggest in his life. Awesome!” Curtis Howard, TCU CB: “I didn’t really get my head turned, but since we were in the endzone, I figured it had to be a fade, and it just came down so slow. It was just sitting there.” After the game, players and coaches from both sides found themselves at a loss for words to describe the scene. Johnny Green: “Just couldn’t believe it. We held our own and knocked off the #4 team in the country. We hadn’t had much to smile about, but this was a day we’ll never forget.” Alex Engram: “Man. That was a great game. We just stuck to our gameplan and played with more intensity than I could have imagined. Execution, especially in the 2nd half, was amazing. The O-line played great for us, and our Defense was awesome.” Andre Gaffney: “Something I’ll always remember, and tell my kids about.” Coach DangerZoneh: “Could not be prouder. So many players made big plays in big situations. Alex, Johnny, Curtis, Kory - all of them. I can't say enough." Brandon Reamon: “We didn’t think we’d go into that cow-town and lose to a bunch of 2-star and no-star recruits. No Sterling really hurt the offense, and Jones didn’t have one of his best games.” Gordon Moreland: “Kind of couldn’t believe it! Clock hit all zeroes, and we just stood there like zombies.” John Jones: “You come in so confident and so ready to play well. When you hit a snag like that, it takes you completely by surprise.” 4. Buoyed by the homestanding win over Texas, TCU won their next two games, over Baylor (17-14) and Iowa State (10-3), before a season-finishing loss to the Red Raiders of Texas Tech (34-7). But finishing the season at 4-8 hardly dampened the spirits of Coach Danger and his crew. The coaching staff got right to work identifying the kinds of players they would need to pull off a similar upset in the future. TCU grabbed a couple of studs in the 2014 JuCo recruiting sweepstakes in RB Bradley Cooley, TE Paul Carter-Williams, OT Charles Mahan, and a pair of Free Safeties Andrew Wright and Quinn Cooper. The overall 2014 recruiting class was ranked in the Top 10 by numerous services and featured eventual All-American wide receiver Jamel Beckham. 2015 began with much promise, still riding the high of knocking off mighty Texas. However, the youth movement needed one more season to develop, and the Horned Frogs lost their first six contests before finishing 3-9. The Horned Frogs were unable to repeat their success versus Texas in Austin in 2015, as the Longhorns enacted a measure of revenge with a 51-7 victory over a young TCU squad. Another stellar recruiting off-season saw TCU again surge in the national eye, and 2016 saw the Frogs sneaking into the Top 25 for parts of the campaign. A season-opening loss to the Georgia Bulldogs was the only blemish through much of the season--TCU went on to win 8 straight before finally dropping consecutive games to Oklahoma and, yes, Texas. The Frogs did finish the regular season with a win over Baylor, leading to a win in the school’s first bowl game, the Bourbon Bowl over Ohio State. Flipping their record from the previous season completely around, TCU finished 2016 10-3. It led to even bigger things, and bigger wins, in 2017 (13-2, a Pinstripe Bowl win over Air Force and Top 5 national ranking, but with a loss at Texas in week 12) and 2018 (won first 11 games, lost final three including Conference Championship Game to Kansas and Alamo Bowl to USC). In the 2018 season, TCU was finally able to recreate their famous victory over Texas, bringing their all-time record versus the Longhorns to 2-4. 2019 began with the same promise, and a Top 10 national preseason ranking, but the talent losses from the Horned Frog heyday led to a dismal 1-8 opening to this current season, of course including a 31-27 loss to Texas. But the mark was clear: the 2014 TCU Horned Frogs found the right mix of emotion and execution to pull off the most remarkable upset in site history. Several players from the game went on to be drafted in the NFLHC draft. Jacky Walters, Alphonso Greisen, and Alex Engram can reminisce about the game together as they now share the same uniform suiting up for the Miami Dolphins. Willard Arnold plays a big role for the New England Patriots starting at inside linebacker for them. Offensive Tackle Brandon Reamon, a freshman during the game, was drafted in the 2018 draft by the Tennessee Titans and currently is their starting left tackle. Harry Whiteside, a freshman slot receiver for the Longhorns, currently is a starter for the Kansas City Chiefs. Willie Wood is manning the safety position in New Orleans and finally Gino Chiaverini is still kicking field goals with the Atlanta Falcons. Texas, for its part, did not exactly let the defeat to TCU in 2014 derail their future success. But it certainly dampened the spirits of the 2014 campaign. The next week, Texas went to Dallas for the Red River Rivalry game against #15 Oklahoma. They came out flat and uninspired in a 24-14 loss. With the dream of a national title season evaporating, Texas dropped a third straight game to Oklahoma State (10-7) before re-grouping and closing out the regular season with two wins, over Texas Tech (35-7) and Baylor (35-7). The solace of a Meineke Car Care Bowl proved just beyond inspiration as the Longhorns closed out a disappointing 2014 season with a loss to Pittsburgh, 35-21. Coach DollaBill, midway through a potentially promising 2015 season which finished 7-6, was dismissed for IPGate violations. Replaced by former Arizona State head man AzulCaballero, the Texas faithful felt they had finally found their man. 2016 was a turnaround for the Burnt Orange, as the Longhorns responded to Azul’s coaching with a 12-2 season, Big-12 championship, and close loss to Notre Dame in the Peach Bowl, to finish ranked #5 in the country. But it was all a prelude to the magical 2017 season. Texas, despite a 2OT loss to the West Virginia Mountaineers in week 8, ran the table all the way to a National Title, defeating Nebraska in the title game. 2018 and thus far in 2019, the dice haven’t fallen as grandly for the Longhorns, but a National Title is worth its weight in gold in the land of CFBHC, and much is forgiven after. Texas came back from their disastrous night in Fort Worth in 2014 stronger than ever.
  5. 38 points
    With the college football season more than halfway over, it's never too early to start thinking about, dreaming about, or planning for the postseason. So with that in mind, the Chicago Tribune data labs have been hard at work developing a projection model for the remainder of the season. It's based heavily on the Adjusted Margin of Victory model, and it essentially translates the point spread into a win probability using historical data. Those win probabilities are added to each team's current win-loss record for the full schedule for the remainder of the season to project each team's end-of-season total. The win probability for every game and resulting projected standings can be found here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uKLNz0JnOeQmyFaxqLpWtidXTx1VbvleVH0x9nmPldQ/edit?usp=sharing And with that, we'll go into a deep dive into the projected picture for every division. We'll look at the numbers and the schedules, using them to paint as complete a picture as possible of each division's championship race as well as break down which teams are in the bowl hunt. We'll highlight some teams that aren't obvious, take a look at the work teams need to do, point out areas where the numbers don't tell the whole story--and point out areas where the numbers might tell a different story than the eye test. And, of course, we'll make our best guesses for who will be the nine conference champions this season. AAC East 1. UCF (11.04-0.97, 7.07-0.93 AAC) 2. USF (10.74-1.26, 6.74-1.26 AAC) 3. Temple (8.2-3.81, 6.2-1.81 AAC) 4. East Carolina (7.31-4.69, 4.31-3.69 AAC) 5. Connecticut (4.65-7.35, 2.85-5.15 AAC) 6. Cincinnati (2.81-9.19, 1.21-6.8 AAC) The AAC East is top-heavy, but its top layer manages to make up half the division. UCF and USF are both undefeated and stand nonzero chances of remaining undefeated through the end of the season--though we expect Temple to interrupt at least one of them and challenge for the East crown. In fact, we give the Owls a 40.6% shot to knock off the Bulls and even a 32.3% chance to defeat the Knights. Either would be a minor upset, but there's a reason Temple's projected to win 6.2 conference games. East Carolina is probably not going to win the division because it'll likely take a 7-1 record (or 6-2 with a tiebreaker) and ECU's already dropped two games--but they could play spoiler against UCF (19.4%) or Temple (35.9%). Both UCF and USF have clinched bowl appearances, Temple's on the cusp at 5-2 with Cincinnati and Navy still on the schedule, and East Carolina's in strong position at 4-3 with Tulane, UMass, and Memphis all left. UConn's probably out of the bowl hunt due to facing SMU, UCF, and USF in the back half and already sitting at 2-4; Cincinnati's 1-6 but could still snag another win or two before season's end even if they won't be headed to a bowl game. AAC West 1. SMU (10.1-1.9, 6.1-1.9 AAC) 2. Houston (6.82-5.18, 3.82-4.18 AAC) 3. Tulsa (3.56-8.44, 2.9-5.1 AAC) 4. Navy (2.74-9.26, 2.37-5.63 AAC) 5. Memphis (4.33-7.67, 2.33-5.67 AAC) 6. Tulane (2.36-9.65, 2.11-5.89 AAC) SMU is probably going to win the AAC West, and not just because they're the best team in the division. They've been one of the biggest misses in the preseason projections, floating around the mid-50s after their loss to UCF instead of the upper echelon as projected. But the rest of the division's been awful, with Houston (4-3) being the only other team with a winning record. And consequently, SMU's remaining schedule is a cakewalk: the Mustangs' next 4 opponents have 7 combined wins (Memphis has 3 of them). They could sweep those and clinch the division before playing Houston in the only division game in which they might break a sweat--and even then, we give them a 74.6% chance of winning. The only way SMU could lose the division is if Houston runs the table, and the Cougars still have a road date at USF (11.4% for Houston). SMU has already clinched a bowl bid. Houston can clinch with a win over UMass (virtually assured) plus a win over either Memphis or Tulsa (favored in both). Don't rule out a Memphis bowl just yet: they're only 3-4, but if they knock out Navy and UConn in their next two games as slight underdogs then they'll just be one upset away. Our pick: UCF (87.1%) over SMU ACC Atlantic 1. Clemson (8.98-3.02, 6.25-1.75 ACC) 2. Louisville (7.82-4.19, 4.82-3.19 ACC) 3. Syracuse (5.95-6.05, 4.65-3.35 ACC) 4. Florida State (6.39-5.61, 3.92-4.08 ACC) 5. Boston College (3.73-8.28, 3.73-4.28 ACC) 6. Wake Forest (3.14-8.86, 2.14-5.86 ACC) 7. NC State (2.09-9.91, 1.09-6.91 ACC) The biggest story in ACC territory has been the rise of the Coastal and the fall of the Atlantic. With Clemson taking a stumble, Florida State and Syracuse falling off a ledge, and Boston College falling off a cliff entirely, that's left nobody to be a standard-bearer and it's left a wide-open division. Louisville got hot with a 5-game winning streak that included wins over BC and Clemson, only for FSU to get their first ACC win against the Cardinals. The Tribune numbers still like Clemson despite the Louisville loss for a couple reasons: it's arguable whether or not they're the best team in the Atlantic, but they're easily the most likely to get to a 6-2 conference record. They've got 3 in the books, they haven't played Wake Forest, NC State, or Boston College, and they've already won their cross-division games. Florida State is their most challenging game left by far (63.1% for Clemson), whereas Louisville has Virginia (10.9% for Louisville) and Syracuse has Pittsburgh (6.3% for Syracuse). Keep in mind, though, that Louisville and Syracuse play each other in a coin-flip game--one of them will be knocked out in week 12 while the other will have a shot at the division crown if they run the table (or if Clemson stumbles). As an aside, Florida State is probably out of the race already with a 1-3 conference record, though they'd be competitive in a four-way 5-3 logjam with Louisville, Clemson, and Syracuse as long as Louisville beats Syracuse. Florida State (3-4) is one of three teams in the country that is under .500 but is projected to make a bowl game--having NC State, Wake Forest, and Miami on their schedule certainly helps out with that and I'd be surprised if they didn't make it. Clemson and Louisville are near-locks to go bowling at 5-2. Syracuse (3-3) needs to win one of their next two games (moderate underdogs against Notre Dame, slight favorites against Boston College) to have a good shot; win both and they'll be a near-lock. Boston College is in too deep a hole to climb out of, and neither of the Tobacco Road schools are in the conversation. ACC Coastal 1. Virginia (11.73-0.27, 7.73-0.27 ACC) 2. Pittsburgh (10.73-1.27, 6.73-1.27 ACC) 3. Duke (9.43-2.57, 5.43-2.57 ACC) 4. Virginia Tech (5.58-6.42, 3.58-4.42 ACC) 5. North Carolina (5.15-6.85, 3.1-4.9 ACC) 6. Miami (FL) (1.71-10.29, 1.45-6.55 ACC) 7. Georgia Tech (2.39-9.61, 1.38-6.62 ACC) One of the surprises when reviewing these numbers was Virginia's projected win total nearly matching Air Force's. But at 7-0 with their best opponents already in the dust, it would be a true upset if Virginia were to lose any of the remaining games on their schedule. Their road date with Louisville is their best chance to lose (and again, only a 10.9% chance of losing), but the Cavs are a real-deal team with a tiebreaker over Pittsburgh and Duke. They don't actually need to win that game to win the division. Meanwhile, Pitt actually ranks #1 in the ACC in Adjusted Margin of Victory, so they're by definition expected to win the remainder of their games as well. They're 79.9% favorites at Duke, they're on pace to be near-locks to win at Syracuse, and the remaining three teams they play--Miami, Georgia Tech, NC State--don't have a pulse. Duke should be able to finish 3rd even if they don't beat Pitt--their last four opponents are Wake Forest, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, and North Carolina. They could see an upset in that stretch and still finish 9-3 (5-3), and that would still be an historic season for the program. Virginia, Pitt, and Duke have all clinched bowl bids. Miami and Georgia Tech will almost certainly be staying home, but Virginia Tech and North Carolina are still in limbo. The Hokies have a path to it: beat Georgia Tech, Miami, and either Duke or Boston College. But that's easier said than done considering that the BC game is a toss-up and they'd be 34.9% underdogs against the Blue Devils. North Carolina only needs two wins, but they also are about to hit the meat of their schedule: Virginia, Louisville, Vanderbilt, and Duke before they close against NC State. I'm not sure which of the two has the harder path. Our pick: Virginia (74.6%) over Clemson Big Ten East 1. Penn State (10.57-1.43, 8.57-0.43 Big Ten) 2. Michigan State (9.51-2.49, 6.51-2.49 Big Ten) 3. Michigan (9.21-2.79, 6.21-2.79 Big Ten) 4. Maryland (8.00-4.00, 5.00-4.00 Big Ten) 5. Ohio State (2.67-9.33, 2.67-6.33 Big Ten) 6. Indiana (3.29-8.71, 1.29-7.71 Big Ten) 7. Rutgers (1.75-10.25, 0.75-8.25 Big Ten) Penn State already has a leg up on the rest of the division with an unblemished 4-0 conference record. But Michigan, Michigan State, and Maryland aren't far behind right now (all 3-1) and have a legitimate shot at the division. Maryland's expected to fall behind as the season goes on, but this division is likely to come down to head-to-head and cross-division play. Michigan scored the first blow in the former, knocking Michigan State from the ranks of the undefeated. But the Wolverines' next four games are not enviable: at Maryland, Minnesota, at Penn State, at Wisconsin. Michigan State's two toughest games remaining are Maryland and Penn State at home. Penn State's already won two cross-division games and shouldn't have a problem with Nebraska, but they also don't face any of their division challengers until after week 12--and then they face all three in a row to close the season. If Michigan stumbles in their next four games (particularly against Penn State), then we could have a showdown for the division between Penn State and Michigan State in East Lansing during week 16--and Penn State is projected to be heavily favored at 89.3%. The bowl picture is simple: the top four teams have all clinched bowl spots, and the bottom three will not make it. Ohio State is on pace for their worst season ever, by far. They're 1-5 right now without having played Illinois, Michigan State, or Michigan. This will likely be their first-ever season in which they've been ineligible entirely for a bowl. Big Ten West 1. Purdue (10.92-1.08, 7.92-1.08 Big Ten) 2. Illinois (10.12-1.88, 7.12-1.88 Big Ten) 3. Iowa (7.26-4.74, 5.26-3.74 Big Ten) 4. Wisconsin (6.68-5.32, 4.68-4.32 Big Ten) 5. Minnesota (7.27-4.73, 4.27-4.73 Big Ten) 6. Nebraska (3.97-8.03, 2.23-6.77 Big Ten) 7. Northwestern (0.64-11.36, 0.53-8.48 Big Ten) The West is the deeper division in the Big Ten, with five teams over .500 and two projected 10-win teams. Purdue has been scoring like there's no tomorrow and Illinois's been defending like crazy--and their loss to Iowa looks less weird given how close Iowa played Penn State. The Illini are the only team currently within a game of the Boilermakers, and it's likely that the division will be decided between the two in West Lafayette in week 11. If Purdue wins that one (they have a 60.6% chance to do so), they would be two games up on the whole division with three games to play--and one of those is against Indiana. They would have to lose to both Minnesota and Iowa, and then lose the tiebreaker. If Illinois wins it, then they close with Ohio State, Indiana, Rutgers, and Northwestern--4 teams that have combined for 4 wins--and they could easily finish 8-1 with the tiebreaker over Purdue. Iowa or Minnesota would need to run the table and get lucky to even have a shot. Purdue and Illinois have clinched bowl bids. Minnesota is on the cusp at 5-2 and should be able to close it out against Northwestern--which is fortunate, because their final four games (Michigan, Purdue, Iowa, Wisconsin) are no gimmes. Iowa and Wisconsin are each sitting at 4-3. Both should reach a fifth win in week 10 (Iowa at Nebraska, Wisconsin at Indiana), and Iowa ought to be able to secure it in week 11 against Ohio State. They also play each other in week 13, so one of them will almost assuredly be in the postseason. Wisconsin also has Maryland week 11, Michigan week 15, and Minnesota week 16--none of which are gimmes, but none of which are unwinnable. Lastly, don't rule out 2-5 Nebraska! They have a huge uphill battle. They have to beat either Iowa or Penn State--if they lose both, they're mathematically eliminated. But after that, Ohio State, Miami, and Northwestern lurk. All of those are winnable. Don't bet on it without getting some nice odds, but don't rule it out either. Our pick: Penn State (75.1%) over Purdue Big XII Conference 1. West Virginia (8.81-3.19, 7.81-1.19 Big XII) 2. Kansas (7.18-4.82, 6.18-2.82 Big XII) 3. Oklahoma State (9.15-2.85, 6.15-2.85 Big XII) 4. TCU (6.65-5.35, 5.65-3.35 Big XII) 5. Baylor (6.07-5.93, 5.07-3.93 Big XII) 6. Texas Tech (7.12-4.88, 4.12-4.88 Big XII) 7. Texas (6.23-5.77, 3.23-5.77 Big XII) 8. Oklahoma (3.22-8.78, 3.22-5.78 Big XII) 9. Kansas State (5.61-6.39, 2.61-6.39 Big XII) 10. Iowa State (1.95-10.05, 0.95-8.05 Big XII) The Big XII is a logjam right now, and it's projected to remain a logjam by season's end: four teams are projected to win between 5.0 and 6.2 games in conference play to earn the right to play West Virginia in the conference title game. The Mountaineers are runaway conference favorites but not invulnerable ones--they're favored in every remaining individual game, but they're not favored to win all of them as a whole. That's okay, though: they'd have to hit a serious slump to do worse than the 7-2 record that would probably be good enough to get into the Big XII Championship Game. Whether any of the next four can hit 7-2 is the big question--otherwise, it'll likely come down to a tiebreaker at 6-3. The second highest-rated team by AMoV is already virtually eliminated from title contention--#29 Texas Tech is 1-3 and still hasn't played TCU or West Virginia. #33 Oklahoma State is next but loses the tiebreaker to #34 Kansas, who loses the tiebreaker to #43 TCU. And #46 Baylor is in the mix in theory, but their loss to Kansas State could keep them a game back and a game out. Meanwhile, the Big XII could get as many as 8 teams into bowl games--but 6 of them have a margin of error of 1.2 games or fewer. Oklahoma State's clinched a bowl bid at 6-1. West Virginia's 4-2 but should be able to make it without a problem. Kansas, Texas, and Texas Tech are all 4-3 and have a good shot--Texas's lower projection is because they only have one of the Kansas State-Iowa State-Oklahoma trio remaining whereas the other two have two apiece. Baylor's 3-3 and on a razor's edge at this point. They don't have an easy path to 6 wins, but they don't have an impossible one either. (If they don't beat Oklahoma on Thursday, it does become impossible.) TCU is also 3-3, but they should be able to sweep Iowa State and Oklahoma and find one more win somewhere. Kansas State is the weird one on this list: they're not projected for a bowl game despite already being 5-2. They just haven't been able to move the Adjusted Margin of Victory needle at all, mainly because they've beaten bad teams close (which the stat is literally designed to punish). When they beat Baylor, they were 20-point underdogs. As of now, they're 32.3% underdogs against Oklahoma and 6%-12% underdogs in each game on the rest of their schedule. But being at 5.6 projected wins means that it's still reasonable to expect the Wildcats will pull one more upset this season--and one is all they need. Our pick: West Virginia (67.7%) over Kansas C-USA East 1. Western Kentucky (7.09-4.91, 7.09-0.91 C-USA) 2. Florida Atlantic (5.59-6.41, 5.59-2.41 C-USA) 3. Old Dominion (4.65-7.35, 4.65-3.35 C-USA) 4. Charlotte (3.19-8.81, 3.19-4.81 C-USA) 5. Marshall (3.14-8.86, 3.14-4.86 C-USA) 6. Middle Tennessee (3.08-8.92, 3.08-4.92 C-USA) 7. Florida International (1.47-10.53, 1.47-6.53 C-USA) With Marshall in freefall, the East was set to become a free-for-all. So far, Western Kentucky and Florida Atlantic have risen out of the chaos, racing off to twin 3-0 starts in conference play. The numbers tend to favor Western Kentucky, who played Oklahoma State and East Carolina close and collected their three wins by an average of 12.3 points per win--though it doesn't have a way to account for FAU seeming to get hot over these last few weeks. They don't play each other until week 15 in Bowling Green, where the Hilltoppers are a 77.4% favorite. The division has a wide middle class, though, which means that either team (or both teams) could easily be tripped up once or twice before that game comes to pass. The Hilltoppers already have a win over Old Dominion, who is now Florida Atlantic's next-biggest remaining stumbling block in week 14. If the WKU-FAU game were played today, I'd take the Hilltoppers. But if we hit week 15 and that game's still a showdown for the division, it'll mean that the gap probably narrowed and Florida Atlantic would have a real shot at the crown. As for the bowl picture, the division winner will probably be a bowl team. Whoever finishes second might or might not join them--though I'd bet yes for now. Outside of that, the rest of the division will probably be staying home. C-USA West 1. Rice (7.53-4.47, 6.03-1.97 C-USA) 2. Southern Miss (6.68-5.32, 5.68-2.32 C-USA) 3. North Texas (6.28-5.72, 5.03-2.97 C-USA) 4. UTSA (5.77-6.23, 4.77-3.23 C-USA) 5. UTEP (3.59-8.41, 3.59-4.41 C-USA) 6. Louisiana Tech (1.76-10.24, 1.76-6.24 C-USA) 7. UAB (0.93-11.07, 0.93-7.08 C-USA) Rice's loss to Florida Atlantic, their first-ever C-USA loss, opened up the division. The Owls of Houston are no longer invulnerable, and they're not even technically in first place right now--that honor belongs to 2-0 UTSA. But UTSA, while not a nonfactor, is probably a longshot unless they knock off Southern Miss this week. The most likely contenders are Rice, Southern Miss, and North Texas. The Mean Green knocked off Southern Miss on the road a few weeks back, and they get Rice at home. However, they also cost themselves a real opportunity to take control of the division with their week 9 loss to FAU. Either way, the division will probably be decided between weeks 13 and 16, and it's going to hinge on Rice's performance. The Owls begin that stretch by hosting Southern Miss (57.4% Rice), follow it up with a road trip to North Texas (75.5% Rice), and close the season hosting UTSA (also 75.5% Rice). Until proven otherwise, this is Rice's division--the gap just isn't as wide as it used to be. The West could have as many as four bowl teams, but nobody's a shoo-in based on their record. Their top four projected teams are all either 4-3 or 3-4 right now, and any number of things could go wrong between now and end-of-season. I'd be surprised if 4-3 Rice and 4-3 North Texas didn't make it to a bowl. Southern Miss should be able to get there even if they lose to UTSA and Rice--but that's their whole margin of error. I think UTSA's a coin flip to get there from 3-3. Nobody else in the division has more than 1 win, so that's it. Our pick: Rice (60.6%) over Western Kentucky MAC East 1. Ohio (7.91-4.09, 6.41-1.59 MAC) 2. Miami (OH) (8.62-3.38, 4.88-3.12 MAC) 3. Buffalo (8.47-3.53, 4.47-3.53 MAC) 4. Akron (7.47-4.53, 4.11-3.89 MAC) 5. Kent State (5.02-6.98, 3.7-4.3 MAC) 6. Bowling Green (3.86-8.14, 1.9-6.1 MAC) With Miami and Akron's respective hot starts and Buffalo's hype drawing attention nationally, it's the Ohio Bobcats that project to win the MAC East after week 9. Why? Because they've been the one to knock off Buffalo (on the road) and Miami (at home), and the rest of the division's beaten up on itself. The Bobcats are 3-0 in conference play, and Akron (6-1, 3-1) is the only other team that hasn't already picked up two conference losses. Don't expect Ohio's undefeated run to last any longer since they play Toledo (22.6% for Ohio), but they'll almost certainly run their conference record to 6-1 against Kent State, Eastern Michigan, and Central Michigan before their season finale against Akron (60.6% for the Bobcats). Meanwhile, Akron still has Buffalo, Western Michigan, and Toledo left--their schedule accounts for their fourth-place projection. Miami can climb back in if they beat Buffalo (50-50) and proceed to run the table; Buffalo can do the same if they beat Miami (still 50-50) and Akron (61.9% for Buffalo). Either of them would have to make up what's effectively a three-loss deficit, though, since Ohio owns head-to-head with both. So it's safe to say that Ohio's in the driver's seat for now. As many as five MAC East teams could make a bowl game. Akron's already clinched one. The Miami-Buffalo winner will clinch one this week, and the loser will probably do so in a few weeks. Ohio will do it against a directional Michigan--unless they do it earlier by knocking off Arizona State (numbers say that's a 50-50 game, so keep an eye on that). Kent State doesn't have an easy path. They need to beat Northern Illinois and Central Michigan for sure. They also need to find a third win against Ohio, Ole Miss, or Miami (OH). Don't rule it out. But don't bet on it. MAC West 1. Western Michigan (10.15-1.85, 7.2-0.8 MAC) 2. Toledo (10.12-1.88, 7.12-0.88 MAC) 3. Ball State (3.04-8.96, 2.69-5.31 MAC) 4. Northern Illinois (3.33-8.67, 2.33-5.67 MAC) 5. Central Michigan (1.79-10.21, 1.79-6.21 MAC) 6. Eastern Michigan (1.67-10.33, 1.4-6.6 MAC) This division is simple: Unless Toledo manages to lose to both Ohio and Akron, then the winner of Western Michigan's week 13 visit to Toledo will be the division winner. These two teams are first and second in the MAC power rankings. They are far and away the best teams in the division. Heck, each team alone has more wins than the bottom four teams in the division combined. Western Michigan is ranked 1st in these projections because they see fewer opportunities for an upset outside of the Toledo game, but we give Toledo a 51.2% chance of winning this game--so we're actually picking the Rockets to win the division. The bowl picture is even simpler than the division picture: Toledo and Western Michigan will go bowling, and everyone else in the division will stay home. Our pick: Toledo (77.4%) over Ohio MWC Mountain 1. Air Force (11.85-0.15, 7.85-0.15 MWC) 2. Boise State (7.81-4.2, 5.81-2.2 MWC) 3. Utah State (5.32-6.68, 4.05-3.95 MWC) 4. Colorado State (7.02-4.98, 3.48-4.52 MWC) 5. New Mexico (4.55-7.45, 2.55-5.45 MWC) 6. Wyoming (0.23-11.77, 0.23-7.77 MWC) The only thing that could stop Air Force from wrapping up the division in the next couple of weeks is the fact that Nevada's their only conference game before week 15. They're 5-0 in conference play, which is as many conference wins as the entire rest of their division combined. Boise State's the only other team with 1 loss or fewer, and that 1 loss was to Air Force. The Falcons are massive favorites in every game but the Nevada game--and against the Wolf Pack, they're mere 14-point favorites, which translates to a 92.4% chance of winning. It would be very surprising if Air Force didn't finish 12-0, and we estimate a better than 92% probability that they run the table. Air Force is also the only team in the Mountain Division to clinch bowl eligibility, but as many as four other teams have a nonzero shot at it. Boise State and Colorado State are both 4-3 and both have Wyoming and Utah State still on the schedule. Boise also draws San Diego State while Colorado State gets New Mexico--these games are not guarantees, but they're an extra should-get opportunity if they get upset. Utah State and New Mexico have uphill battles. The Aggies are 3-4 and still have both San Jose State and Wyoming on the schedule. But even if they get those two wins, finding a 6th would take a big upset--they're much like Kansas State in that regard, but with a narrower path. New Mexico's 2-5 right now, but none of their remaining opponents are unbeatable except maybe Colorado State. Again, worth keeping an eye on but not worth betting on. MWC West 1. Hawaii (10.91-1.09, 7.38-0.62 MWC) 2. Nevada (7.15-4.85, 6.15-1.85 MWC) 3. Fresno State (6.56-5.44, 4.56-3.44 MWC) 4. San Diego State (5.53-6.47, 2.53-5.47 MWC) 5. San Jose State (3.86-8.14, 2.52-5.48 MWC) 6. UNLV (1.89-10.11, 0.89-7.11 MWC) The Rainbow Warriors! Hawaii's been partying like it's early 2015 with their 6-0 start, but the next three weeks will determine whether or not they're able to make it to the finish line whole this time. They shouldn't have a problem with UNLV. But after that, they hit the road to play Nevada, then play host to Fresno State. Hawaii, Nevada, and Fresno are the three remaining West teams undefeated in MWC play, and unsurprisingly they're the three big threats to win the division. This model sees Hawaii-Nevada as a pure toss-up, which is more of a problem for Nevada than for Hawaii. Why? Because Nevada's remaining schedule includes Air Force and road trips to Fresno State and Boise State. Hawaii gets Fresno at home and shouldn't be challenged by Wyoming or San Jose State. If Nevada can beat Hawaii, the Rainbow Warriors can still backdoor their way into the division title. If Hawaii wins, Nevada is probably out. As for Fresno State, an upset over Hawaii would go a long way for them--but as of now, Hawaii checks in as a 98.1% favorite in that game. Hawaii has clinched a bowl game, and Fresno State's low ceiling is mitigated by a high floor. They should be able to beat UNLV and either San Jose State or New Mexico to get to 6 (and frankly, they should get to 7). Nevada could earn a bowl game with a near-guarantee over UNLV and a tougher win over Boise, Fresno, or Hawaii. San Jose State's at 3-4 now, but they would have to win each of their next three games because they're not beating Hawaii or Fresno. San Diego State's on the edge. They can beat San Jose State and UNLV for sure, and they'll need to find a win over Boise State, New Mexico, or Air For--excuse me, over Boise State or New Mexico. Which means we'll know in the next two weeks if San Diego State can make a bowl. Our pick: Air Force (83.5%) over Hawaii Pac-12 North 1. Oregon (7.11-4.89, 7.11-1.89 Pac-12) 2. Stanford (7.81-4.19, 6.81-2.19 Pac-12) 3. Washington State (9.23-2.77, 6.73-2.27 Pac-12) 4. California (6.01-5.99, 3.01-5.99 Pac-12) 5. Washington (2.96-9.04, 2.96-6.04 Pac-12) 6. Oregon State (1.49-10.51, 0.24-8.76 Pac-12) The Pac-12 North race has to rank among the most compelling races of the remainder of the season. Oregon, left for dead after an 0-3 start in non-conference play, has won their last three in a row with an important win over Washington State. Stanford, one of the surprises of the season, is also undefeated in conference play and a 53.4% favorite to beat Oregon in week 10. And Wazzu, defending Pac-12 champion, sits back a game in the loss column with road games at USC (18.4% for Wazzu) and Stanford (60.6%) still on the calendar. The three teams are all projected within 0.4 wins of each other, and all are expected to pick up another loss or two along the way. That means lots of unpredictability! Why is Oregon favored to win the division if they're an underdog against 4-0 Stanford and also rated third in the division by AMoV? Two reasons: first, they're undefeated with a win over Washington State in the bank, whereas Stanford still has to play both contenders and Washington State just plain isn't undefeated. Second, Oregon dodges USC this season whereas Washington State and Stanford play them both on the road. Cross-division fights against UCLA (51.2% for Oregon) and Arizona State (60.6%) are potential tripping points for the Ducks--they're very mild favorites in both games, and could be underdogs on gameday. Stanford and Washington State aren't expected to face much resistance outside of each other and USC. Oregon has the highest ceiling but the lowest floor, and if they navigate this tightrope then the division can be theirs even without a win over Stanford. But if they stumble, then the Washington State-Stanford matchup in week 15 will decide the division--and as of now, that's just a bit better than a coin flip in Wazzu's favor. The bowl picture is essentially the same as the division picture, except with Cal in the mix as well. The Golden Bears need two wins, and Washington and Colorado are their best opportunities. They're favorites in both of those games, but those are not guarantees. We give them about a 75% chance of beating Washington and a 60% chance to beat Colorado--but if they drop one of those games, they still have a better-than-40% shot to beat UCLA and a 20% chance at upsetting Arizona. It's pretty much a coin flip whether they'll get in or not. Washington State has clinched a bowl game, and Stanford should clinch it with a win over one of the two Oregon schools. The Ducks are 3-3, so nothing's assured for them. If they lost to Stanford, UCLA, and Arizona State, they'd be one upset away from ineligibility--and given that they lost to North Carolina, an upset cannot be ruled out. But they could also wrap it up in their next four games with three wins over Stanford, Washington, UCLA, and Utah. Pac-12 South 1. USC (10.46-1.54, 8.46-0.54 Pac-12) 2. Arizona (8.04-3.96, 5.56-3.44 Pac-12) 3. UCLA (5.57-6.43, 4.57-4.43 Pac-12) 4. Arizona State (6.27-5.73, 4.23-4.77 Pac-12) 5. Colorado (6-6.01, 3.53-5.47 Pac-12) 6. Utah (1.09-10.91, 0.79-8.21 Pac-12) USC's quietly been humming along after their stunning loss to Notre Dame, and the result is that they're the projected runaway favorite in the Pac-12 South. Even with Washington State and Stanford still on the calendar, even with Cal on the road, UCLA on the road, and Arizona on the road, USC's projected to take the division by nearly 3 full games. They rank 3rd in the country in Adjusted Margin of Victory: they've had a below-average slate of opponents, but they've also hammered them by an average score of 40.2-14.3 and haven't won a game by fewer than 10 points. This team will be tested in the back half of their schedule, but they also have such a large cushion that they can afford to lose a game, maybe two, possibly three, and still win the division. They're already up two games in the loss column, nobody else in the division is particularly inspiring, and they'd have to have a huge downturn in order for any of that to change. And that would be so unlike USC to have a random midseason slump like that, wouldn't it? The bowl picture is more interesting. Nobody's locked in yet, though poor Utah's guaranteed to stay home. USC and Arizona are surefire at 5-2 with Utah still on the docket. Arizona State's at 4-3 with opportunities against Bowling Green, Colorado, and Ohio on the road--and they're surprisingly small favorites against all three with a 50-57% chance of winning each game. With Oregon and Arizona following after that, they probably need to win two of those three. Colorado's 3-3, and they range from mild favorites to mild underdogs in every single one of their remaining games. They're about a touchdown per game away from going 9-3, and a touchdown per game away from going 3-9. Fittingly, they settle almost exactly in the middle at 5.995-6.005. UCLA's sitting at 3-4, and they should be able to even up their record against Utah in week 11. With Oregon, Colorado, USC, and California coming up, they'll need to win two of those final four. Oregon is a hair under a toss-up at 48.8%, Colorado (65.1%) and California (57.4%) lean mildly for UCLA, and USC (5.0%) is probably a loss. Our pick: USC (91.4%) over Oregon SEC East 1. Vanderbilt (9.66-2.34, 5.84-2.16 SEC) 2. Georgia (9.17-2.83, 5.19-2.81 SEC) 3. Tennessee (8.03-3.97, 5.03-2.97 SEC) 4. Florida (8.21-3.79, 4.67-3.33 SEC) 5. Missouri (5.31-6.69, 3.31-4.69 SEC) 6. South Carolina (5.51-6.49, 2.6-5.4 SEC) 7. Kentucky (1.94-10.06, 0.94-7.06 SEC) One running theme so far is that teams with wins in the bank have a leg up on their competition (for good reason), and that remains true in a deep SEC East. With four teams with 1 loss in conference play, the only 4-1 team is the projected division leader. So far, we've seen very few games by the top four against each other--Georgia beat Vanderbilt who beat Florida, and that's it. Only Florida's had a date with fifth-projected Missouri so far (a Gator win); the Tigers will take on the other three in consecutive games from weeks 12-15. It's way too early to rule Missouri out given that they're only a game back in the loss column. They're going to need to start turning close losses into actual wins sooner rather than later if they want to make a run at the division, but I would bet on them spoiling at least one team's bid considering that they have a 32.3-38.1% chance to win each of those three big games. (South Carolina has a similar projected record to Missouri, but I don't think they have anywhere near the same ceiling.) The cross-division matchups are also going to play a huge role: Florida still has Texas A&M and LSU, Georgia still has Mississippi State, and Vanderbilt still has Alabama; at the same time, Missouri only has Arkansas left and Tennessee has already played both cross-division games. This division's going to play out very slowly, with week 10 being the only remaining week that doesn't feature an important head-to-head or cross-division matchup. Strap on in for the ride. The only real mystery in terms of bowl contention is whether Missouri or South Carolina will make it. Vanderbilt and Florida already have 6 wins, and Tennessee and Georgia have 5 wins plus Kentucky on the schedule. Georgia also has Georgia Tech, so if they go on a skid they still have a backstop; Tennessee doesn't have that luxury if the bottom falls out. But back to the Tigers and Gamecocks. The pair of 3-4 teams square off in week 11, a game in which Missouri is a 61.9% favorite. Missouri has more to lose than South Carolina does, because their remaining schedule's much harder. In fact, even with that win the Tigers would still need to beat Arkansas (65.1% Missouri) and score a mild upset over a top-three projected East team to go bowling. South Carolina will have Arkansas (51.2% SCar), Akron (64.1% SCar), and Kentucky (70.3% SCar) all in a row after the Missouri game, so they could plausibly win up to 7 games before they have to go to Clemson. South Carolina has the higher floor, even if Missouri has the higher ceiling. But it's very plausible that both teams could go bowling. SEC West 1. Auburn (11.01-0.99, 7.01-0.99 SEC) 2. Mississippi State (9.17-2.83, 6.17-1.83 SEC) 3. LSU (9.8-2.2, 5.8-2.2 SEC) 4. Alabama (7.82-4.18, 4.32-3.68 SEC) 5. Ole Miss (5.99-6.01, 2.31-5.69 SEC) 6. Arkansas (4.07-7.93, 2.07-5.93 SEC) 7. Texas A&M (2.65-9.35, 0.75-7.25 SEC) Last but not least, the ultracompetitive SEC West. Like its eastern counterpart, the West is a division that's going to be decided in stages over the final few weeks of the season. Alabama's win over LSU is keeping the Crimson Tide in the division race, though their subsequent losses to Tennessee and Mississippi State put them back two games in the loss column with road games against Vanderbilt (36.9%) and Auburn (17.4%) remaining on the schedule. The numbers just don't like Alabama, which ranks 31st in Adjusted Margin of Victory in a division where the top three teams are all in the top 10. And the numbers do like Auburn, but not so much as to make them more than a modest favorite. The Tigers will be favored to win out, but they're given a 64.1% chance to beat Mississippi State and just a 54.3% chance to knock off LSU. They can probably survive one loss, and they would even prefer for that loss to come to LSU because of the Bayou Bengals' loss to Bama. But if Auburn does stumble, then LSU and Mississippi State's matchup in Starkville in week 15 (54.3% LSU) could be decisive. Auburn has two significant advantages in its pocket: a 4-0 conference record in the bank (Mississippi State is 2-0, LSU is 4-1, Alabama is 3-2), and a cleared-out cross-division schedule. Mississippi State still has to go to Georgia (57.4% MSU), Alabama still has to go to Vanderbilt (63.1% Vanderbilt), and LSU still has to host Florida (79.9% LSU). I would expect Auburn to get out of this division, because they're scary good and still undefeated. But the SEC West has already bucked expectations plenty this year, and it would be even more surprising if the division suddenly stopped doing that. Auburn and LSU are already bowl-eligible, and 5-win Mississippi State and Alabama should both be able to wrap it up in their next game. Arkansas has a nonzero shot at a bowl game, but they're likely to fall to 2-6 after the Mississippi State game and would need to run the table against South Carolina (48.8% chance), Texas A&M (52.5%), Ole Miss (57.4%), and Missouri (34.9%) at that point. Texas A&M will be knocked out this week by Auburn, which leaves Ole Miss as the only remaining bowl drama in the division. The 4-3 Rebels will essentially have three opportunities: at Kentucky (57.4%), at Kent State (67.7%), or Arkansas at home (42.6%). Kentucky's a bellwether game--if they win it, they're probably good enough to beat Kent State. If they lose it, they're probably not good enough to beat Arkansas even if they do beat Kent State. Given that their projection is 5.99-6.01, the numbers think they're a definite maybe. Our pick: Auburn (73.8%) over Vanderbilt CFBHC Independents 1. Army (8.18-3.82) 2. Notre Dame (7.34-4.66) 2. BYU (6.64-5.36) 4. Georgia State (5.11-6.89) 5. UMass (0.01-12) As many as four of the five independent teams have a shot to go bowling. UMass isn't one of them: they range from a 24-point underdog to a 50.5-point underdog in their remaining games, so they're probably not going to win a game at all. Poor UMass. Notre Dame ought to join the ranks of the bowl-eligible, with a 4-3 record and status as favorites against Syracuse, Texas A&M, and Northwestern. Heck, they're even coin-flip bets against Washington State and Alabama. Georgia State is 3-4 and is a heavy favorite against both Eastern Michigan (73.8%) and UMass (>99.9%), but they're also heavy underdogs against Western Michigan (5%) and Auburn (<0.1%). Their bowl hopes rest almost entirely on a 32.3% shot at upsetting BYU in week 11. BYU would love to collect that win, follow it up with two wins over some combination of Utah State (73.0%), Cincinnati (65.1%), Oregon State (75.1%), or regular Utah (70.3%)--games in which they're significant but not overwhelming favorites. And to close out on a positive note, Army has already clinched a bowl bid, the first in program history.
  6. 38 points
    As you see, I'm resigning, The IRL shit that's been going on has been too much too handle and to juggle around. I rather not say what it actually is, I just wanted to let you guys know that thanks for everything, the good and bad memories and the help. You guys are amazing, all of you, thank you for this chance to join the community and be apart of this great place. I don't know when I'll be back, I just know I will, one day, I know this is kinda sappy but again thanks to everyone, keep up everything, Peace y'all.
  7. 35 points
    Have you ever felt like there just wasn't enough hours in the day and so much to do. I sure did. Lets take a quick glance at the hats I've been wearing: Head Football Coach for the Tennessee Volunteers General Manager for the Atlanta Falcons Owner and General Manager for the Nashville Predators Commissioner of the Southeastern Conference Son and Heir to the Bow Family Corporation There really is just too much going on in my life, and back in December, I just had a breakdown. I flew to Malaysia and stayed there for 3 weeks, trying to reorient myself and my life and where I wanted to go and be. I realized that I was just too busy to do any of my jobs correctly, and I had to do something to keep my sanity. After long discussions with the Atlanta Falcon front office and their great owner Acewulf, I now contemplate life after professional football. Yes, I am retiring from NFLHC. It's been an amazing 5 seasons, including a super bowl trip in 2015 with the then St. Louis Rams, the excitement of selecting Shawn Anderson and marketing him as the Ram's savior on offense, trading up to the #1 overall pick to snag Early Davis, and watching the Atlanta Falcons secure their first double digit win total in nearly 4 years today. I can say I've been very proud of what this team has accomplished, and I'm ecstatic at the futures of both the Falcons and the Rams, who I was heavily involved with in 3 prior years. That being said, I feel like I've set a standard for greatness. The Falcons have had two solid drafts, and I'm personally coming off a 2019 Executive of the Year award. As I've become more and more involved in my family's business, I've found myself unable to do the intense scouting and roster planning that I feel sets me apart from the other general managers in the league. Its not fair to this team, the ownership, and especially the fans for there GM to not be giving it his all. Will I return to NFLHC? Frankly the answer is no. I will not be accepting any job offers from any other organizations in the league. This is a permanent retirement from pro football as I try to focus on making the Vols, Preds, and SEC the best they can be. It's been a great ride in the pros, but all good things come to an end. SAGEBOW / CONTRIBUTOR
  8. 35 points
    Welcome back! For those who don't know, this series of articles is a deeper dive into college prospects for the upcoming 2020 NFLHC Draft. I'm going off of eligible players and conferences that have updated their stats. This column will only include those players who have already been rated. Let's get to it. Blow, Man For Bowman Washington Redskins (1-10-1): In their first three seasons of existence, Washington largely was mediocre, going 6-10, 9-7, and 8-8 in those first three seasons respectively. That is relative success for an expansion team and is largely due to the blockbuster Javier Fields trade made prior to the 2017 NFLHC Draft. In the end, I'm not sure either side won the deal as the Falcons used the #2 pick acquired in the trade on AJ Jefferson, who has not lived up to the expectations of that pick. Nonetheless, it allowed Washington to stay competitive enough in their first years of existence. However, a couple of seasons of relatively mediocre drafting - with the exception of C Matt Cole - and the Redskins no longer have the talent to compete with the rest of NFLHC. Combine that with serious regression from Fields: he had 30 TD / 11 INT in 2019 compared to 11 TD / 12 INT thus far in 2020, and Washington's disaster of a season doesn't seem all that surprising. Outside of Tanner Bowman, this does not seem like a particularly enticing QB class right now. With the relative devaluation of QB in the draft compared to their impact on a team the Redskins might not have to use their high first rounder on a QB. In fact, I'd recommend they didn't. This team is bereft of talent and with the dearth of overall talent entering the draft thus far, and they'd be hard pressed not to use it on a high overall early declaration or perhaps North Carolina's DE Josiah Harden. Back to the QB position, Fields' serious regression has to be concerning, and when backup Yancey Musgrave got a chance to start he didn't look particularly good either. Depending on who enters, the Redskins could draft and develop a player. Someone like Nicholas Garland from Stanford or David Oates from Washington State could be intriguing options, or if Washington is inclined to develop a scrambler Pitt's Grant McConnell could also be an option. Fields' contract is expiring and I don't see Washington paying him, so we'll likely see Musgrave, someone brought in in a trade, or a free agent signing starting in the capital next year. Dallas' Taylor Rodriguez could be an intriguing short-term option, but either way, a new solution is needed. The Skins drafted Ricardo Reed in the 2nd round of the 2019 draft. He had a solid rookie year with 4.35 YPC and 8 TD in 16 starts, but has regressed this year with 3.92 YPC, just 4 TD, and 7 fumbles (4 lost) so far. However, this is a terrible RB class and with other pressing needs Washington should probably give Reed at least another year and look in another direction to fill needs. Receivers-wise, Washington's corps was terrible going into the 2020 draft, but Sam Hiller-Weeden was picked in the first round and he's been pretty good for a rookie whose QB is terrible as he's caught nearly half of the TDs Fields has thrown. Outside of that, the Redskins WR corps is a flaming dumpster fire and needs to be upgraded ASAP, as only SHW and the injury-prone Patrick Burke are on roster for 2021. A free agent signing and a draft pick is not out of the question. Someone like Kansas' Malcolm Davis could be an intriguing pick at the top of the 2nd round - with 5 TD already this season he could be a nice redzone complement to Hiller-Weeden's chain-moving abilities. Another depth pick at WR, such as USF's Claudio Howard, could bring a nice speed element out of the slot. Washington also has 2 solid TEs on roster, though only James Ware comes back and he's more of a blocker than a receiver (he has 0 TD this season). There is depth in this TE class so someone could potentially be added. Washington's offensive line is probably the most stable part of the team - unfortunately however they are a bottom 5 line by rating this season, a regression from the average line they were in 2019. As the line has stayed relatively healthy overall, it's clear that upgrades are needed. The interior seems solid with Matt Cole being a Pro Bowl level player, Clayton Williams being an acceptable level starter, and rookie 2nd round pick Nick Ramos filling it out. The blame should likely partially be put on the rookie guard and the older tackles; the tackles should probably be upgraded. OTs are not heavily valued commodities in the draft at this juncture and so Washington may be able to land a solid plug-and-play tackle like Virginia's Shawuan Holsey at the top of the 2nd round. As they obtained a rookie 75 overall tackle in the 7th round of the last draft only one should probably be drafted, and in the 2nd-3rd round if Washington is leaning that way. Oklahoma State's OT/OG Beckett Miller may be in consideration at Washington's high first round pick as well. Defensively, Washington is below average. On the line, Fred Romanowski has a lower sack total this year but he's still an imposing force up the middle; Mike Hill is a solid player who can both rush the passer for 6-7 sacks a year while stopping the run effectively; Kevin Nitschke is just a mediocre DT2; and rookie DE Kenneth Stanford is a JAG who has contributed nothing this year, though he's only recently been filling in for Dennis Abdullah. Washington could consider DE Josiah Harden if they're in position to draft him, but with heavy drop-off after Harden and UNT's Javier Grady with the next highest player being just a 76 overall, that's a move that could play out in Washington's favor. Abdullah is acceptable as a starter but his contract is expiring and a player like Harden is a clear upgrade; but if Harden or Grady are not drafted Washington probably will not draft one except in the late rounds as depth. Nitschke could be upgraded as backup DT but it shouldn't be a huge priority. Washington's linebackers are also extremely mediocre. OLBs Craig Davis and Anthony Brown are both uninspiring players who have done much nothing much this year, and neither are extremely impressive in coverage or against the run to make up for it. Depth at OLB could be possible in the mid-rounds but otherwise I don't see Washington addressing the position for another year or two as both are under contract for another year. Washington is weak at ILB as 2019 7th rounder Nicholas Haskell starts. Washington starts rookie 3rd rounder Raheem Burkett as will ILB. Haskell has been OK but he's been more of a stat accumulator than impact player, while Burkett is yet to appear on the statsheet. ILB is weak in this class (although most positions are weak) but if Washington falls in love with one of the top guys they could be added as all 3 (Illinois' Jamal Harley, Arizona State's Garrett Holiday, and Penn State's Christopher Clayton) have the potential to be available at Washington's 2nd round pick and would be likely upgrades over Haskell. The Redskins secondary is definitely a weak point. CB1 Michael Barber is a solid coverage player but doesn't offer much turnover-wise, but he is a nice piece to have as CB is so valued. CB2 Joe Gammon is an acceptable nickel but probably shouldn't be relied upon as a major starter at this point. He was brought in for a 4th round pick in the 2020 draft and does have another year under contract, so he'll probably start another year, but his coverage isn't great and he doesn't bring much turnover-wise either. The depth is a weak point and Washington should see if they can land a developmental nickel type player, like Temple's Christopher Anthony, in the mid-to-late rounds in 2021. Washington's safeties have combined for 2 INT and 1 FF this year but the team has actually been above average defending the pass and with only a couple of impact safeties appearing in this class the Redskins could potentially draft for depth but nothing more, holding it off until next year unless FS Patrick Parks walks after his contract expiration. Rookie K Thomas McMahan has been OK and only Penn State's AK McGowan would be an upgrade from this draft class, and the Redskins would be better off building depth at offensive and defensive positions with mid and late round picks. P John Collins is good and fully guaranteed for the next 2 years so the team is fine there. The Redskins do need to infuse talent at some key positions like QB, WR, OT, ILB, and CB. It might take a couple of seasons and a solution at QB before this team is back into contention. Also in the hunt: Los Angeles Chargers (1-11) Chicago Bears (2-10) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-10) Buffalo Bills (3-9) New England Patriots (3-9) New York Giants (3-9) Minnesota Vikings (3-9) Let's Play Matchmaker This section will look at some of the top talent in college football and match those prospects up with teams that have a dire need at the position. New England Patriots: DT Hudson Adam, West Virginia The Patriots rush defense has been serious problem this season - they are the worst team in the league by 12 YPG. This is definitely partially due to starting Rich Moore at NT. He is known for being a great pass rusher and terrible run defender, but as he only has 2.5 sacks this year he's not bringing that proper value anymore. Bringing in someone who can actually stop the run at NT could help the defense seriously improve. The team did just sign him to a 3 year, 30 million extension with the first 2 years fully guaranteed (??????) but they could potentially switch to a 4-3 or trade Moore to a 4-3 team with this pick as someone who can stop the run up the middle is sorely needed. Adam (6-0, 310) got some Heisman hype leading up to this season after his 12-sack junior year. He only has 3 sacks thus far in 2020, but that's still pretty solid up the middle. NFLHC isn't typically a huge fan of short DTs but Adam has incredibly burst for a man of his size and will almost certainly be a top 20 pick. He can rush the passer effectively but also holds his own against the run, often breaking through double teams to bring down ball carriers up the middle, almost like a Rich Moore who can actually stop the run. Detroit Lions: CB Robert Bleeker, Arkansas The Lions secondary, since they're being coached by SlinkyJr, is usually expected to be pretty good. Unfortunately, this year the team ranks 24th in pass defense. While part of that is playing in a pass-happy division with Brian Vardell, Norris Brooksheer, and Jason Johnson all passing the ball at an above average rate, the Loins have neglected their secondary needs for a while. Keyshawn Thompson has been having a rough season by his standards but part of that is not having anyone else to help him. While I'm sure SlinkyJr would love to land Michigan State's Kordell McKinnon, that seems unrealistic for where Detroit is likely to finish. Adding Bleeker and even playing him in the slot for a year could be a good option and allow Slinky to develop a high-picked CB for the first time in 6 drafts. Bleeker (5-11, 188) is a JUCO transfer to Arkansas. He had a lot of D1 offers coming out of high school but couldn't qualify academically. He reportedly got his act together his local school Arkansas Baptist College after a couple of years before transferring to Arkansas and winning the CB1 job immediately. Bleeker does have an interception thus far this year, but he'll likely need to show a bit more to solidify himself as a first round pick in the upcoming draft. But with its current weakness he could easily fall to Detroit and slide into a nice situation. Minnesota Vikings: WR Luke Cobb, Florida State The Vikings are not having a good year. After trading face of the franchise Chester Henson, the team's offense has seriously struggled. The team is last in rush yards by almost 100 and Brian Vardell is posting the worst season of his entire career with 16 TD / 8 INT and an 85 passer rating. Part of that is definitely due to a weak receiving corps, with former first round pick Sonny Beckett proving to be more of a complementary piece. Wayne Wegert is terrible, Mohamed Charles is mediocre, and 2020 4th rounder Jacory Kessler is still learning to be a receiver. Instead of waiting on Kessler to develop, Minnesota can just go after Cobb. Cobb (6-5, 198) is one of the most hyped high school recruits we've seen. A so-called "unicorn," Cobb is a tall fast receiver who can beat you down the field, win jump balls in the end zone, and even play as a target move-the-chains player if needed. He's looking like he'll be a top pick in the upcoming draft. In a normal draft he probably wouldn't be the best receiver, but he is having a great year (just look at the UMass game where he put up 280 yards and 4 TD), has a great track record with 1100+ yards and 10+ TDs each of the last two years, and will probably be a good NFL receiver; and at this point Brian Vardell could use that. That should be Minnesota's priority at this point. Dallas Cowboys: SS Cameron Whitney, Connecticut The Cowboys are having a renaissance after a disappointing season last year. The team picked QB Graham Burnett at #7 and will likely start him in 2021. The team is surprisingly vulnerable in some spots; they're starting a 4th year 75 overall SS who has not put up any stats. The team's pass defense has been top 5 this year, but picking a player like Whitney could improve the run defense as well with his ability to play in the box. Whitney (6-2, 183) is a tall, lanky safety who can cover the TE and make plays when needed. He famously had a 3-interception game last season against Louisiana Tech which won him a Player of the Week award. A 2019 JUCO transfer, Whitney is a great coverage safety who can also hit hard though he does need to improve his tackling ability. He has the potential to be chosen above where Dallas picks, as he is a potential game-changer at the position; but if he does fall to them he's a great fit for their needs and defense as a great coverage safety who can play man to compliment rookie FS Emmanuel Slade could play well and make Dallas' defense even better in 2021. Buffalo Bills: TE Jonathan Greer, Virginia The Bills, after blowing a 3-game AFC East lead to finish a last-place 9-7 in 2019, have regressed to 3-9 thus far this year. Their starting QB a month ago is now playing WR2 and a highly paid, highly rated defensive line is only 11th in sacks thus far this year. It's been overall disappointing for Buffalo. While the team does have some minor needs, TE is an important position where the Bills are completely bereft of talent. They can remedy this by taking Greer (6-2, 217), the top rated TE in this class who nevertheless will likely be available in the 2nd round. The 2019 first-team all-ACC TE has been steadily improving as a receiver since he's been on campus, as he came in as a converted high school offensive lineman (coach npklemm thought 217 pounds was too small to play offensive tackle). With 51 catches for 707 yards and 8 TD in 2019 and being on pace to eclipse that in 2020, Greer could offer an upgrade as a blocker at TE while also being a target for whatever the Bills define as a QB. Oakland Raiders: OLB Caleb McNamara, Vanderbilt With QB Nick Hall injured, the Raiders are in danger of missing the playoffs for the second time in three seasons. Of course, the AFC is so terrible that even at 6-6 the Raiders are right in the thick of contention. The Raiders did defeat Miami with Charlie Walter at QB, but a setback against the Ravens this week and Hall's likely absence for at least 2 more games this season makes it an uphill battle for the Raiders especially with so many teams around the same record. Both of the Raiders starting OLBs have been good this year, with Sergio Miller being solid with both sacks and turnovers; nonetheless, a player like McNamara could make the defense even better. McNamara (6-2, 217) is mostly known for his coverage ability, but in that respect he'd be an upgrade over Baumgartner. With 2 sacks this year, he's also shown an improved ability to get after the quarterback thus far. There's also a Vanderbilt connection as McNamara played with former Raiders first round pick David Pennington for 2 seasons. alienufo could look to continue the pipeline and also have some immediate chemistry between the two. Team Draft Report In this section, we take a deeper look at a specific team and where they stand in regards to the 2021 NFLHC Draft. Cincinnati Bengals: I wanted to cover the Bengals for this section as they're in one of the more intriguing positions in NFLHC. The AFC North is garbage, but the teams are all almost equally as bad. Cincy is currently in last at 5-7, but all other teams are 6-6 so the team could still potentially qualify for the playoffs. 6 of the highest 7 paid players on the team are expiring, and with some of them probably not being brought back into 2021 this team is going to see a larger amount of turnover than most of NFLHC usually does. There's probably some cap flexibility to go after free agents as well. With most impact players needing to be re-signed, how the Bengals play their re-signings will also factor into how they play their draft. Joel King, who the Bengals traded a massive amount of picks up to get before almost immediately regretting it and trading down a few spots while still nabbing him, has at the very least made progress this year. He went from 56.6% completion, 13 TD / 14 INT, and a 70.13 rating as a rookie to 62.13% completion, 22 TD / 17 INT, and an 87.55 rating this year. The picks are definitely a serious problem, though, and a likely massive reason for improvement are the respective trades for Rodney Montgomery and Adrian Jankowski which turned the Bengals receiving corps from one of the worst to a top 5 corps. King still does not look comfortable and his mistakes often compound on themselves; when he stays calm and solid in a game it seems to extend until he makes a mistake when it starts piling on. With the Bengals needing to make a decision on his 5th-year option and future as a starter next offseason, I'd assume he needs to at least make progress to the mid-90s in QB rating and cut down on the picks in order to have a certain long-term future in Cincinnati. Both Cincinnati backups are OK but also expiring, so if they can't re-sign either someone may not to be brought in in the draft. Ron Thomas is a really good RB who has stayed healthy and looked good even when Cincy made him handle a significantly larger workload than he should have. Cincy's only current backup is Charles Rocha who should probably be on a practice squad. This draft doesn't have too much at RB but if I was Cincinnati I'd at least be looking for a backup or someone who can handle 3rd down duties. Boston College's Zahir Watts is in a similar mold to Thomas and has been relatively productive; I think he could be a nice fit as a backup to spell a few snaps and come in in case Thomas starts to break down or pick up some injuries. He could potentially play 3rd down back as well if needed. FB Tom Edwards is good and under contract for another two years so the team is fine there. The team's top 3 receivers are really good; Montgomery and Jankowski are a great tandem and Greg Newman is a solid slot receiver. There's no depth however and both Montgomery and Newman see their contracts expire this offseason. Montgomery just rejected an extension offer from the Bengals and was reportedly insulted with how much the team lowballed him; the team likely wants to bring him back but if they can't Newman could see an offer as well. If Montgomery does come back, though, Newman will walk. Brandon Lane is an OK 4th receiver but the team could probably add someone in the mid-rounds as a developmental player. Southern Miss' Randall Johnson is an intriguing option; while he doesn't catch many TD he can pick up yards and move the chains which is what the Bengals would mostly want from a depth receiver. Cincy only rosters one full-time TE, Tony DeMarco, and his contract expires this offseason. He wasn't offered at mid-season, but I could see the team attempting to bring him back. Even if so a TE needs to be brought in during the draft as depth at the very least. Texas' Steven Maloney and Air Force's Cayden Reese are intriguing options as tertiary options for King, as both have shown to be solid receivers when needed. The Bengals' o-line is highly rated but there could be issues if OT Blake Pile walks this offseason. He's playing on the transition tag this year and just rejected an extension saying that he wants more money. Losing a 94 OT would be a serious issue for any team, and I wouldn't want to worsen King's protection right now; I'd back up the truck for him if I was the Bengals. The line is mostly fine outside of that; depth could be used along the line and a new RT will probably be needed in a year or two but it's performing acceptably for the most part. Defensively, Brett Bailey is good (and just signed an extension!), although he did have more sacks in one game last year than he does all of this year combined (4 in one game vs 3.5 this year). EJ McQuarters is an OK DE2. Both will come back next season so unless Cincinnati opts for Josiah Harden or Javier Grady the team is fine at the position, and there's acceptable depth currently. The team is extremely weak at DT and although Bill Kelly is owed 3 million guaranteed next year he's been benched for underperformance. The team does run a 3-4 so someone like Hudson Adam could fit in at nose; Stanford's Emmanuel Serrano or LSU's Cameron Street could probably immediately start for the Bengals and will most likely be available in the 2nd and 3rd round respectively. At linebacker, Nick Upshaw just signed an extension. That said, he's going into his 8th season and will almost certainly start declining in the next season or two. Still, he's still a decent starter (though he has just one statsheet game with 5 tackles this year) and since he signed an extension the Bengals likely aren't looking to replace him. Germaine Dixon has been really good at OLB this year, and is under contract for two more years. Will linebacker Daniel Barnes has played really well as a rookie in 2019 and has been on par with that this year. He went +3 this past offseason as well, and as he's under contract another two years he's locked up a starting spot for a while. Other OLB starter Mike Hulsey is just an OK player. He could easily be replaced if the Bengals like a player in the draft. The team mostly needs depth at mike ILB as Upshaw could start becoming injury prone and Richard Pitts is a questionable backup. The team also has absolutely no quality depth at OLB and so at least one pick should be spent in the mid-rounds on someone who can come in and play backup at bare minimum. You can't be having 66s and 65s as primary backups at this point for the most part. The team's corner situation is intriguing. DJ Reed has not been good as the team has been exposed against any team with a good WR1. He's been one of the league's worst CBs this year though he's not exactly in a fair situation. Blake Turner has been solid in his rookie year as CB2 as he has 2 picks (both returned for TDs) and has been playing admirably in coverage for such a raw corner. The team traded for Aaron Stiles this season in exchange for what boils down to a 3rd round pick. He's playing nickel in Cincinnati now and has been alright; he probably needs another year of development before he's really ready to start. He's still really young, but his development is definitely boom-or-bust. Those 3 are an acceptable trio for now developmentally and with the overvaluation of CBs in the draft I'd ignore the position for now. At FS, Jim Sisemore definitely won't be paid $10 million by Cincinnati again next year. With just 2 picks combined the last 2 years and a declining overall, Sisemore is declining to the point where he won't be starting for much longer. The team drafted Kenneth Schwartz in 2019 and he's developed alright behind the scenes. I expect him to start in 2021. The team might draft a backup, but this draft is weak at FS and so they might be better off just signing a free agent backup FS. 2017 2nd round pick SS Calvin Celestin has pretty much plateaued at 81 overall and with his contract expiring the team will likely let him walk unless he's wiling to come back at a cheap price point. Rookie Jose Leon was drafted to develop a year and potentially start next year; Cincinnati might also be looking at UConn's Cameron Whitney or TTU's Cameron Riley as SS of the future if the value is right. Leon is the most likely 2021 starter, however. K Justin Nielsen, a 5th round pick last year, is >90% on field goals this year and has been solid. Cincinnati's punting, however, is 30th in the league this year and the team should look to move on from current P Tommy Brown. He has $1 million guaranteed next year, but the team saves $1 million by cutting him. Just cutting him and drafting or signing a cheaper P is probably worth it as he has declined in his average ranking amongst punters the last couple of years. Oregon State's Patrick Wolff or USC's Giuseppe Bernstein are both options. The Bengals could re-structure their team in a million different ways. It could look very similar or very different in only 2 seasons, depending on who they want to re-sign and who wants to re-sign with them. With their division an easy one to take over with correct development, the team could be the kings of the AFC North in 2 seasons or a dumpster fire, and I don't see too much in-between.
  9. 35 points

    Event #16: Sammy Grey Shines

    NO ONE MAY SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Sammy Grey, recently selected by the Bills with the 179th pick of the 2020 NFL Draft, has had an extremely successful pre-season. Grey has really shone throughout training camp and has impressed local reporters, pundits, and most importantly, the fans. "I think we found a diamond in the rough," says James, 23, of Buffalo. Grey recently started a charity benefiting children with Multiple Sclerosis. "My younger brother Zeke has MS and I know how tough it can be on a family. I hope that this charity grows with my career in the NFL and we can improve the lives of at least a couple of family's in Western New York." The Bills have been extremely impressed with all the work Grey has put in this offseason both on the field and off the field and expect him to become a long-term starter in the NFL. Grey gains +5% starting fitness, the Bills gain +2% media standing, and Grey improves his overall by 1. His new player line is: FS Sammy Grey 5-10 214 R Washington State [Man Coverage] 78
  10. 35 points

    CFBHC v1.3

    CFBHC v1.3 February 14th, 2017 Pre-Release v1.3.84 GENERAL The two week inactivity period will be replaced with a court composed of three elected judges that may decide at their discretion or at the request of a user that a member is not participating in the site at the level which they should be. *Do this however you want and I will run elections. If you want to have people run under the promise of a stricter policy versus a looser policy feel free to form parties! Members have a term limit of 4 terms and elections will be at the beginning of every season (including before 2020) or if a spot on the court is needed to be filled. Gameplay Changes *Increased fumbling by a 15% for RBs, 15% for QBs, 35% for WRs. *Rescaled tackling ability as a function of overall rating for SSs. *Decreased catching ability as a function of overall rating for WRs and TEs. *Decreased the impact of kicking power for accuracy kickers. *Decreased the impact of kicking accuracy for power kickers. *Added Jr. and III to the name generation. Bug Fixes *Fixed a calculation bug for the fitness of OGs. *Fixed an issue where kickers were not accurately using their attributes for extra points. NFLHC Coordinators and Coaching Clinics – Offensive and Defensive Coordinators can be hired and will provide player, team, or progression bonuses. *Coordinators may be hired as a head coach. They have preprogrammed selection of game plan options that they will adapt to the opponent each week while mitigating the scheme change penalty. *Coaching clinics will add permanent traits to users on the site. Clinics will be scheduled during the offseason onto a calendar similar to the rookie minicamps (see below). Player Character – Player’s now have a built-in character that can be good (charity events) or bad (player discipline). Events – Randomized events that can affect player characteristics, add flavor to injury, personal discipline, coaching, etc. *Events include but are not limited to: player discipline, news, interviews, PFF rankings, coaching tiers, fan opinions, etc. Referees – Referees impart their flavor on a game and may lead to more or less penalized games. Ejections have been added and will be noted in the game report. Position change requests – Each offseason a thread will allow teams to request a positional change for one or more of their players (the limit being each player may only transition once per year). *Once a player has switched position they will progress according to their new position. Rookie Minicamps – Beginning with 2021 NFLHC season there will be an offseason calendar that each team must fill out. Each team will receive a limited number of work out days and a schedule of positional minicamps to choose from (some overlapping!). Players participating in these mini camps will received published information about performance. Depth Chart changes – New features and requirements. *Inactive – Add at the tail end of your NFLHC depth chart (where redshirts are in CFBHC). These are players that will be completely held out of a game (will not travel) and may be used for character issues, injuries, or “dog house” situations. *Players placed on the inactive list will respond accordingly. Injured players will use the time to recover, character issue players may respond positively or negatively through events, and “dog house” situations may encourage the player to play harder (or less if he dislikes the coach!). Improved Stats – Added several more detailed statistics to game reports including drops, missed field goal information, and labeling players who have blocked kicks. *Drops (DRP) – receptions that were dropped by receiver miscues. *Missed FG Information – wide left, wide right, hit the upright, etc. *Blocked kicks – Consistent information as to who blocked it. *Sack totals – Removed sack yardage lost from the running box for QBs and added a new section that shows sacks given up by each team. *Reworked game report to be more inline with NFL.com format and added “long” categories for rushing and receiving. Example below, // would be replaced with an actual table cell border: K. Davis // 15/27 // 270 // 3 // 1 // 36 A. Sowell // 16 // 107 // 1 // 1/0 // 18 R. Robinson // 6(1) // 88 // 1 // 0/0 // 26 Categories as follows: QB Name // COMP/ATT // YDS // TD // INT // LG RB Name // ATT // YDS // TD // FUM/LOST // LG WR Name // REC(DRPS) // YDS // TD // FUM/LOST // LG CFBHC Bowl Selection Chairmen – Each conference will elect a Bowl Selection Chairman (BSC) that may be different from their conference commissioner. Every BSC must be available after the final week of CFBHC games to meet with Soluna and the other BSCs in a conference call to select bowl participants according to their conference’s rules. *Further information about BSC elections will be posted in the near future. Other *Added UMass Minutemen.
  11. 35 points

    [2020] NFLHC Positional Conversions

    WR DeSean Jenkins 6-4 195 2 Wake Forest [Speed] 64
  12. 34 points

    CFBHC v1.3c

    CFBHC v1.3c September 1st, 2017 Pre-Release v1.3.1.34 Notes: As usual thanks to the members who helped test this - there weren't many this time because I got this pumped out quickly with my new additional time. I appreciate the thoughts and input you guys have made in your private feedback forum threads. This patch applied to this week's games. General * Reverted aggressiveness to the previous iteration. Teams in both NFLHC and CFBHC are much more likely to go for 2 if it helps them advance their lead or try to catch up. * Added a new game report via smckenz. * Added TFL, LNG (for RBs), and PD. LNG is available this week, TFL and PD will be available for the 2021 season. NFLHC * Fixed an issue with full back blocking schemes in the pistol formation. * Fixed use percentages of 4th and 5th receivers in pass heavy offenses. * Fixed a minor error with the gameplan parser. * Fixed a rotational player issue with the gameplan system. * Fixed an issue with using non-K/P players at kicking related positions. * Fixed a minor calculation error with total and partial tackles. * Fixed a minor error with automated training plan implementations from previous seasons.
  13. 34 points

    Recruiting v2.1

    These changes are all compromises from the nearly 100 suggestions I received from you guys in three request threads, several private feedback threads, and random polling I did via PM. Please understand that we cannot have 100% realism but I'm trying to balance and instill some sort of regional differentiation to make recruiting different for each school. If you do not agree with my changes that's fine but I cannot please everyone. Thank you to the 10 or so members who helped feedback these changes and please know, I do read your suggestions - everyones, even if you think I hate you.
  14. 33 points

    Event #2: Marcus Williams

    THE SEAHAWKS HEAD COACH MAY SUBMIT A RESPONSE UNTIL 11:30 PM ET 2/7/2017 Post-draft images have emerged of Marcus Williams celebrating in a room with friends. It is very clear Marijuana was smoked at the party based on materials seen in a variety of images posted to facebook, twitter, and instagram. The league may look into the situation but it is unclear if Williams participated in any drug abuse. The Seahawks have been asked to reach a decision on this rumor: A ) Suspend Marcus Williams for 1 pre-season game (team decision). B ) Suspend Marcus Williams for 1 regular season game (team decision). C ) No punishment (team decision). D) Let the commissioner handle the punishment (whether their should even be one).
  15. 33 points

    Armistice Day

    "In Flanders fields the poppies blow Between the crosses, row on row, That mark our place; and in the sky The larks, still bravely singing, fly Scarce heard amid the guns below. We are the Dead. Short days ago We lived, felt dawn, saw sunset glow, Loved and were loved, and now we lie, In Flanders fields. Take up our quarrel with the foe: To you from failing hands we throw The torch; be yours to hold it high. If ye break faith with us who die We shall not sleep, though poppies grow In Flanders fields." While Armistice Day is mostly celebrated intermingled with Veterans Day on November 11th I just wanted to thank you guys again for the, in general, peaceful nature of this site. We hate each other often over trivial things but no one really carries any grudges forward (or so I hope!). November 11th is a day that for European and British Commonwealth Nations signifies the end of WW1 ("at the eleventh hour of the eleventh day in the eleventh month in the year of our Lord 1918 the guns fell silent") and large-scale memorials were held today in locations that would otherwise be trivial. Ypres, Belgium. Verdun, France. Gallipoli, Turkey. Why does the Poppy symbolize Armistice Day? It was the only thing that would grow in the fields littered by artillery shells and human remains and the only life that returned to No Man's Land for quite some time after the battles ended. Whether you celebrate Armistice Day, Veteran's Day, or just think of your nations Tomb of the Unknown Soldier, take some time today to think about Peace. Do something good, help someone. 20,000,000 people died in World War I (military and civilian). My family lost 9 men in the span of 2.5 years. Germany lost 5% of its total population, France 4%, Serbia 26%. As is tradition, once a year I've been making a donation in the name of a site to a cause or event that I think we can all agree on - so this year I will create a sponsorship at the Douaumont Ossuary in Verdun, France for us. The Ossuary serves as the final resting place for 15,000 soldiers and the remains of upwards of 100,000 more that could never be identified. Visiting the site is a life changing experience that I encourage you all to undertake at some point in your life. A graveyard was created for as many soldiers as they could fit on the mountainside. All unidentified remains were placed into the base of a memorial ossuary. Most soldiers you are looking at in the pictures below we're between 16 and 25. This is our age group. French. British. German. All gone. Why did this happen? Pride, nationalism, and ignorance. We are better than this. "They went with songs to the battle, they were young, Straight of limb, true of eye, steady and aglow. They were staunch to the end against odds uncounted, They fell with their faces to the foe. They shall grow not old, as we that are left grow old: Age shall not weary them, nor the years condemn. At the going down of the sun and in the morning We will remember them." A short ways away from Douaumont are the remains of a small village, Fleury-devant-Douaumont, where you can see what these sites look like even a hundred years later. The artillery shell holes are still evident. Life has still only barely returned.
  16. 32 points
    Santa Clara, CA - A controversial ruling that will be talked about all off-season headlined the 2020 MWC Conference Championship Game. "Hard to digest really," coach DescretoBurrito said during the post game press conference. "It's really inexcusable at this level to make these kinds of mistakes. We'll never know whether Lorenzo would have made the field goal but it robbed us man, it may have robbed us." The call came during the final drive of the game. Down by 2, Air Force was driving and had just completed a 15 yard pass to make it to the Nevada 49 with 6 seconds left. Clock stopped - set the stage; here's the call from the game: "Kaufman under center, Valentine in the I, 2 wide right, 1 left. Kaufman with the drop back, looks left, looks right, fires - COMPLETE TO JAMES HALL AT THE NEVADA 33. What a catch. Wait, the referees are waving it off. Looked like a clean catch to me. What's going on?" What could have been the set up for a 50 yard field goal attempt by one of the best kickers in the nation would be negated. The referee, seemingly incorrectly, called the receiver out of bounds during the catch. "Man it was in. I knew it was in. I [expletive] knew it was in," James Hall said as he walked off the field. The call, whether correct or not, will likely rob the Falcons of a chance at the 2020 CFBHC Playoffs. "I don't want to make excuses. It wasn't just that one call that cost us the title but I can't pretend that it didn't play into it," DescretoBurrito said as he walked off. Air Force gains +15% intensity for their bowl game. Intensity is a new characteristic that defines how much teams will invest in risk early in the game. If combined with aggressive play high intensity teams will favor quick play-calling and will play through minor injuries.
  17. 32 points

    Q&A Friday #2

    "What's the difference between route tree and group assigned (on the NFLHC gameplan)? - SageBow Route Tree relies on high skill receivers and allows audibles to be called on the fly. Receivers are expected to know their role in any play and the potential changes that could be made to that role by the quarterback. Route tree assigned receivers are a much bigger threat to zone coverage. Group assigned reflects that gameplans are not defined by the players but are instead defined by the roles. For instance, third receivers are more geared into slot type routes in the pass heavy offenses regardless of the physical attributes of the receiver themselves. In short, unless you want to experiement and with my limited understanding, use route tree with strong receivers and weak quarterbacks, use group assigned with strong quarterbacks and weak receivers, experiment if you're strong at both, and quit if you're weak at both. In summary, route tree relies on the gameplan being created around the receiver, group assigned around their role independent of the receiver. "What are your thoughts on the NFC South?" - Quasar I don't pay that much attention to the NFC but I can give you a quick summary for each team and what I think: Atlanta: Great but aging defense that needs some revitalization soon. Offense is kind of a cluster with a mediocre QB, a running back that's being run out of gas faster than he should, and a fairly average receiving corps. The next two drafts are key to ensure this team doesn't fall off. Tampa Bay: No identity, no chemistry, no real goal it seems. I think the team at this point should just be rebuilt around two stars (Heiden and the best player on defense, likely Williams). New Orleans: Extremely poor drafting the last two years has led to a pretty major downfall. I think coaching isn't great but is at least acceptable. Devereaux is probably underrated but this defense needs to be entirely re-done. Stiles might be okay to keep as a third corner. Carolina: They'll finish 15-1 and then lose in the divisional round. Seriously though they are probably a top 2 team right now and anything less than 13-3 is disappointing. "Do you like the general trend of CFBHC coaches changing jobs around if they feel like they are done, or would you rather people stay in one place forever? - smokingcricket I hate the totally arbitrary changing of coaches that we have even though I'm partially guilty of it as well. I really want a system that includes pre-season goals, firing, and contracts but I know there would be far too much push-back on here to even try that. It just makes no sense to me how people are allowed to move around. I figured conference commissioners would help but 80% of them have been useless in enforcing anything. Shout out to the SEC for having a backbone the last few years with their commissioners. "What is your favorite German beer?" - smokingcricket Man it really depends on situation and whether it needs to be classy or not haha. Where I'm from (a town of like 200) all the guys between 16-50 would gather every Sunday at 10 AM to play a town-wide game of Soccer. A crate of cheap beer would be supplied for the post-game festitivites and that will always remain one of my favorite memories so I have a soft spot for that beer, Warsteiner. It's kind of cheap (for German beer) but is just perfectly crisp for drinking just after running around for two hours. I like most of the old beers that are based out of monasteries (almost entirely wheat beers). German purity law has kept some pretty sweet 500 year old recipes intact. "What methods would you use to build a smaller school up to a contender?" - Monda I feel like this is pretty obvious but it starts with recruiting. The first year or two are extremely critical and I think you shoot for building a baseline of 3.5-4.0 star players while maybe going for only one 5.0 each year, ensuring that you get them. Getting 5.0s consistently is something for a time when you have bowl game recruiting points, not 0-12 points. I've never understood the crap teams that keep trying to shoot for 5.0s to turn the program around. Just build a solid but average team of 3.5 or 4.0s, then go for the much more easily accessible 5.0s when you have 6 points more per week. I hope you guys enjoyed the first Q&A Friday, please feel free to discuss these answers in here. I'll answer 5 questions each friday from the list that is located here, you are welcome to add any whenever you like! https://discord.gg/3GBn3Hp
  18. 31 points

    Spotlight Tuesday #5

    So a little personal but last summer I realized how much I love the site. My mom passed away last summer and I spent a lot of time just lurking on the site as an escape. You guys were pretty much the only people I could have a normal conversation with, and it really helped a lot. The anonymity of the site has lead to some shitty people and situations, but it was what I needed most. So I just want to say thank you to everyone on the site for making some of the worst days of my life a little bit better.
  19. 31 points
    I would like to start off by congratulating Emperor and the Clemson Tigers on a great win last night. It was a very disappointing loss for our squad, but a deserving victory for Emperor’s team. Congratulations! I would also like to congratulate our 2019 Senior class at Alabama for an outstanding career that included 44 wins, 2 SEC championships, 3 final fours, and 1 National Championship. After taking time to reflect, it is now time to look forward to the future and what that means for all of us. For me, it means that it is time to step down as the Head Coach of Alabama. I knew this day would come and I have struggled with whether now is the right time for this move or not. After some deep thought, I believe it is in the best interest of the program to remove myself and give someone else an opportunity with this team. Hopefully, someone who can dedicate the amount of time that this program deserves moving forward. While I have enough time to do the minimum work moving forward, there have been some changes in my real life work (all good) that will prevent me from putting in the maximum time/effort, most times. I am very proud of what I have built here at Alabama and do not want my lack of focus to be a reason for decline. Before moving on, I do want to reflect for a moment on what has been accomplished in my time here at Alabama. 6 Seasons at Alabama: Record 66-19 SEC Record 35-10 Playoff Record 7-2 National Championships – 2 SEC Championships – 3 Final Four Appearances – 4 Playoff Appearances – 4 National and SEC Awards (players) – 7 All American Selections – 8 All-SEC First Team Selections - 28 2016 SEC Coach of the Year I have reached out to SageBow about the future coach at Alabama. While the final decision lies with him, I have requested some input to my successor. I hope to see someone takeover that has a passion for Alabama football and plenty of time to dedicate to continuing our tradition of success Nationally and in the SEC. For me, I do not know what the future holds in CFBHC. For now, I will take some time to reflect on what I have accomplished here at Alabama and maybe look to the future sometime down the road. (This does not change anything in NFLHC for me or the Arizona Cardinals.) I am happy to stick around and answer any questions at this time.
  20. 31 points

    Q&A Friday #1

    "Who is the best QB in sim history, and why did you answer something other than Bill Garcia?" - smokingcricket Disregarding the bizarre 2013 season and instead thinking about the career trajectories of certain players as a hole I think the best quarterback is clearly Christian Skaggs (FSU/Carolina Panthers). There's a case for Brian Brown but he's been a bit on the down low with a below average team the past 20-25 games. I honeslty think Allan Taylor may be up there just because of his skillset in college. He's by far the most consistent Scrambling QB we've had and I think that earns some respect from me. Darrell Murphy is really underhyped for how good he is. He feels kind of like Drew Brees to me where he's clearly a top 3 QB but he's just kind of forgotten in the discussion. Bill Garcia last words to be were rumored to be "ban me you fucking twat," or something along those lines. "Is there a clutch stat in the sim?" - taffyowner Is there a clutch stat? No. Is there a clutch attribute? Yes. I have to define the difference between those two here because people obviously don't know entirely and probably should be educated. Think of Madden. Acceleration is a stat from 0-99 and, at least the old Madden (no idea how it is now), attributes are conditions triggered by a player depending on a game situation and value in certain stats. For example a player may have a leadership of 95 and, in combination with the coaching attribute, that could make the leadership stat take effect at the end of the game to reduce penalties in switching between schemes. This is essentially how the whole system is set up. If a player doesn't have either the threshold of a stat or the capability to trigger the attribute the effect won't go off. There are however minor attributes that are unlisted to everyone that can be triggered by players - a lot of you have started to figure out ones that exist without definite confirmation (for example certain QBs love to throw to TEs in certain situations). I think part of the fun is letting your players personalities be built by these stat/attribute combinations and that was always my philosophy designing the sim for the site. "Is UBL still in Orlando? If not who do you go to Orlando City SC games with now?" - taffyowner UBL is indeed still in Orlando! I won't give away anything more than that because I value his privacy. I take him along to OCSC games most of the time and am not entirely sure how I'll handle that if he leaves the area. I enjoy talking to him about the site and what he thinks of everything and it's great to meet someone through a common interest that I enabled. UBL is stand up guy and much less prone to emotional responses from this site compared to me. "What is your greatest complaint about the site community?" - smokingcricket Most of the times that you guys think I rage in the shoutbox are probably exaggerations from the way text makes a personality come across. I'm never really that angry, it's just how I deal with things in the short term (ask alien, I say some pretty vile or stupid things when playing DotA but it goes away after the game is over). The one thing that causing continual trouble to me on this site is the minor sense of entitlement some people seem to have (and it frequently happens entirely out of the blue!). I'm just one guy who works 40 hours a week and enjoys sports. I'm not great at coding, just okay. I'm not great at community management, just okay. I'm not even that good of an admin, I just want to run this community and not have to think about work or life or whatever. This project is me in its entirety. Seeing someone demand I progress a team or get upset that I haven't completed something is pretty shit to be honest. It makes me feel like garbage. This is my project and not my job. Please remember that when you come visit this site. "What's the strangest play/incident/whatever that didn't show up on a game report?" - sleuthofbears I don't really read everything because there's so much shit to parse and go through. When there were only like 40-50 teams on the site I tended to read nearly everything but like I said that's kind of thinned of. Regardless, I've seen some weird plays over the seasons and some crazy coincidences that are just silly to think about. In NFLHC last year, I want to say the Falcons (?) or Panthers (?) had a series of plays where they had 3 unsportsmanlike penalties in a row on consecutive plays. The Utes had a jet sweep go for -19 or -20 a few years ago - no idea what the hell happened. There was a college coach in 2014 (I think it was a Texas-based NFLHC team that went like 0 for 13 on challenges). There's been a 98 pass that didn't go for a touchdown that confused the shit out of me because the tackle was made by a relatively slow player (like an outside linebacker)??? I see quirks from the engine all the time and I'll try to remember more when I can. I hope you guys enjoyed the first Q&A Friday, please feel free to discuss these answers in here. I'll answer 5 questions each friday from the list that is located here, you are welcome to add any whenever you like! https://discord.gg/3GBn3Hp
  21. 31 points

    Introducing Donors

    If you use the navmenu you can navigate to the Donation page. Browse > Donations I will have donation goals listed here that I would like to meet for a variety of things that will be explained in those goals. Any donation of at least $7.50 will get you 30 days of the "donator" member group which allows you to have infinite PM space, infinite likes per day, infinite image uploads, and allows access to non-default themes. (At the moment there is only an under-construction white theme - but expect there to be conference and team related teams as I make them). Once I get everything fully working I will add 2017 Stretch Goals of stuff to be added once those donations are hit. Bowl Sponsorships will become a thing again but will be a certain amount per year in addition to other things. You WILL NOT receive any further sim-related info for donating. The sim will always remain free. Soluna Exact Donation Breakdown 7.50-14.99 = 30 Days 15.00-22.49 = 60 Days 22.50-29.99 = 90 Days 30.00+ = 120 Days
  22. 31 points

    2019 NFLHC Broken Records Watch

    Season records that have already been broken: Season records that may be broken this week:
  23. 30 points

    My Apology

    So lets start this off by saying this isnt any drama making thread or question if I should stay or go. Im not going anywhere. This is a long overdue thread where I apologize for how I have acted. Firstly of course to Soluna. I have been nothing short of an unenjoyable handful and not a positive contributer to the site, and at worst times a prick. I never want to be the cause you dont enjoy your own work. I truely apologize how how I have acted and reacted and promise to correct myself going forward. To the rest of the site, again I apologize for ever making this site or community something you wouldnt want to e a part of because of how I have handled myself. Going forward I aim to carry myself nore like someone who you wouldnt look at and leave because I showed up. I aim to help in any way I can and contribute to making this a more positive experience for.everybody. If you read this, thank you for your time.
  24. 30 points

    So I made a mobile game

    Hey friends! I launched my first ever mobile game today. It's a backpacking simulation game on the Appalachian Trail. I know the subject matter is all wrong, but since you guys also dig simulations like me, I'm hoping you'll at least find it entertaining! I'd love it if you could give it a shot and leave some positive reviews on the app stores. Google Play iTunes App Store Also, if you're feeling bored, you can give this reddit thread an updoot: https://www.reddit.com/r/CampingandHiking/comments/6biyyv/i_made_a_mobile_backpacking_simulation_game_on/ And yes, this is why my site participation has dropped significantly over the last 6 months or so. Also, I'm getting married in two weeks. Hopefully after that, I can go back to crushing Storm's rock chalking.
  25. 30 points
    The 2020 season is almost upon us, and you don't want to wait for the evidence to roll in before you start up your hot takes--but at the same time, you want to be able to say "I told you so" once the season ends. Over the past few weeks, the Chicago Tribune statistical team has been designing a model to rank every team in the country this season (except UMass). Based loosely on SBNation's S&P formula, the Tribune formula takes into account every program's performance last season (as measured by adjusted margin of victory), their past four years of recruiting, and the amount of production returned from last year, all based on what has shown correlation with past end-of-year Adjusted Margin of Victory rankings. Thanks to caesari and bmlig95 for helping get the necessary statistics together. Without further ado, here is the full list of all 118 FBS teams that are named things other than UMass (since there is no past data for the Minutemen). Who is too high? Who is too low? You decide. 118. Middle Tennessee (C-USA) 117. Florida International (C-USA) 116. Florida Atlantic (C-USA) 115. UAB (C-USA) 114. Charlotte (C-USA) 113. UTEP (C-USA) 112. Tulsa (AAC) 111. San Jose State (MWC) 110. Oregon State (Pac-12) 109. Wyoming (MWC) 108. UNLV (MWC) 107. Old Dominion (C-USA) 106. Louisiana Tech (C-USA) 105. Kent State (MAC) 104. Miami (FL) (ACC) 103. Wake Forest (ACC) 102. UTSA (C-USA) 101. Cincinnati (AAC) 100. Utah State (MWC) 99. Miami (OH) (MAC) 98. New Mexico (MWC) 97. Western Kentucky (C-USA) 96. Memphis (AAC) 95. Colorado State (MWC) 94. Central Michigan (MAC) 93. Southern Miss (C-USA) 92. Kentucky (SEC) 91. Georgia State (Independent) 90. BYU (Independent) 89. Marshall (C-USA) 88. Eastern Michigan (MAC) 87. Navy (AAC) 86. Akron (MAC) 85. Kansas State (Big XII) 84. Tulane (AAC) 83. Houston (AAC) 82. NC State (ACC) 81. Army (Independent) 80. Ball State (MAC) 79. Ole Miss (SEC) 78. Washington (Pac-12) 77. Buffalo (MAC) 76. North Texas (C-USA) 75. Rutgers (Big Ten) 74. Northern Illinois (MAC) 73. Florida (SEC) 72. Stanford (Pac-12) 71. Ohio (MAC) 70. Bowling Green (MAC) 69. Boise State (MWC) 68. North Carolina (ACC) 67. Fresno State (MWC) 66. Notre Dame (Independent) 65. Northwestern (Big Ten) 64. Syracuse (ACC) 63. Indiana (Big Ten) 62. Arkansas (SEC) 61. UCLA (Pac-12) 60. Georgia Tech (ACC) 59. Texas Tech (Big XII) 58. Louisville (ACC) 57. Utah (Pac-12) 56. Arizona State (Pac-12) 55. East Carolina (AAC) 54. Boston College (ACC) 53. Duke (ACC) 52. Texas A&M (SEC) 51. Nebraska (Big Ten) 50. Rice (C-USA) 49. Ohio State (Big Ten) 48. Iowa (Big Ten) 47. Colorado (Pac-12) 46. Hawaii (MWC) 45. Connecticut (AAC) 44. San Diego State (MWC) 43. South Carolina (SEC) 42. California (Pac-12) 41. Missouri (SEC) 40. Georgia (SEC) 39. Tennessee (SEC) 38. UCF (AAC) 37. Michigan State (Big Ten) 36. Temple (AAC) 35. Iowa State (Big XII) 34. Western Michigan (MAC) 33. Virginia (ACC) 32. Oklahoma (Big XII) 31. Kansas (Big XII) 30. West Virginia (Big XII) 29. TCU (Big XII) 28. Oregon (Pac-12) 27. Texas (Big XII) 26. Vanderbilt (SEC) 25. Oklahoma State (Big XII) 24. Alabama (SEC) 23. Pittsburgh (ACC) 22. Wisconsin (Big Ten) 21. USF (AAC) 20. Air Force (MWC) 19. Virginia Tech (ACC) 18. Florida State (ACC) 17. Minnesota (Big Ten) 16. Maryland (Big Ten) 15. Nevada (MWC) 14. Baylor (Big XII) 13. Arizona (Pac-12) 12. Mississippi State (SEC) 11. Illinois (Big Ten) 10. Washington State (Pac-12) 9. USC (Pac-12) 8. LSU (SEC) 7. Auburn (SEC) 6. Purdue (Big Ten) 5. Toledo (MAC) 4. Michigan (Big Ten) 3. SMU (AAC) 2. Clemson (ACC) 1. Penn State (Big Ten) A few notes: Once again, the Big Ten projects to be the strongest conference in the country. Defending champion Penn State tops the preseason rankings, returning an extremely high percentage of an undefeated title team--including quarterback Tanner Bowman, wideout Morgan "General" Patton, wrecking ball Shamar Ware, and all-around destroyer Shane Easley. But they'll face stiff competition within their own division from #4 Michigan, as well as the threat of two top-11 teams in the West (Purdue, Illinois). On average, the Big Ten West is the 2nd-strongest division in the country--behind only the Big Ten East. Is this the year of the G5? The likes of UCF, Air Force, SMU, Temple, Toledo, and Nevada have constantly vied for the title of G5 superpower, but none have managed to break the green ceiling. No G5 team has ever defeated a P5 team in a playoff game, and only 2014 Boise State (against FSU) and 2016 Air Force (against Wisconsin) were able to keep it within one possession. Toledo and SMU both look to be the cream of the crop. They've maintained top-10 recruiting classes over the last four years, and that's meant that their young guys are seeing a lot of playing time--which in turn means that they don't lose a lot of production year-over-year yet. Both finished just outside of last year's AMoV top 25, but both could be poised for flying leaps into the top 10 this year. The Big XII is a difficult conference to project this year, and perhaps this lends some insight as to why: seven of its ten teams are located in the 25-35 range. #85 Kansas State and #59 Texas Tech lag behind while #14 Baylor lands ahead of the pack. The fundamental problem is that the teams that have hit the recruiting trail hard are losing a lot of production, whereas the teams that are returning most of their production have had some lean recruiting years. The ten teams projected to make the most improvement over last season's finish (from 10 to 1) are: Georgia Tech, UCLA, San Diego State, USF, Michigan, Nevada, North Texas, SMU, Arizona, and Duke. No pressure. The ten teams projected to regress the most from last season's finish (again from 10 to 1) are: Arizona State, Oklahoma, Boston College, Arkansas, Miami (FL), Nebraska, Tennessee, Ohio State, Syracuse, and Rutgers.
  26. 30 points

    [2019] Bowl Games

    2019 CFBHC National Championship Game National Championship Game (Miami Gardens, FL/+7/+6) Semifinals (Location, Loser's Recruiting Points) Game #1 - Peach Bowl (Atlanta, GA/+5) Game #2 - Fiesta Bowl (Glendale, AZ/+5) Quarterfinals (Location, Loser's Recruiting Points) #1 vs #8 (Glendale, AZ/+4) #2 vs #7 (Arlington, TX/+4) #3 vs #6 (New Orleans, LA/+4) #4 vs #5 (Miami Gardens, FL/+4) Alamo Bowl (San Antonio, TX/+3/+2) vs Armed Forces Bowl (Fort Worth, TX/+2/+1) vs Bahamas Bowl (Nassau, BH/+2/+1) vs Bay Area Bowl (Santa Clara, CA/+2/+1) vs Birmingham Bowl (Birmingham, AL/+2/+1) vs Boca Raton Bowl (Boca Raton, FL/+3/+2) vs Cactus Bowl (Phoenix, AZ/+2/+1) vs Charlotte Bowl (Charlotte, NC/+3/+2) vs Citrus Bowl (Orlando, FL/+3/+2) vs Detroit Bowl (Detroit, MI/+2/+1) vs Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Boise, ID/+3/+2) vs Gator Bowl (Jacksonville, FL/+2/+1) vs Hawai'i Bowl (Honolulu, HI/+2/+1) vs Heart of Dallas Bowl (Dallas, TX/+3/+2) vs Holiday Bowl (San Diego, CA/+3/+2) vs Independence Bowl (Shreveport, LA/+2/+1) vs Las Vegas Bowl (Las Vegas, NV/+3/+2) vs Liberty Bowl (Memphis, TN/+2/+1) vs Miami Beach Bowl (Miami, FL/+3/+2) vs Military Bowl (Annapolis, MD/+2/+1) vs Music City Bowl (Nashville, TN/+3/+2) vs New Mexico Bowl (Albuquerque, NM/+2/+1) vs Orange Bowl (Miami Gardens, FL/+4/+3) vs Orlando Bowl (Orlando, FL/+3/+2) vs Pinstripe Bowl (Bronx, NY/+3/+2) vs Rose Bowl (Pasadena, CA/+4/+3) vs St. Petersburg Bowl (St. Petersburg, FL/+2/+1) vs Sugar Bowl (New Orleans, LA/+4/+3) vs Sun Bowl (El Paso, TX/+3/+2) vs Tampa Bowl (Tampa, FL/+3/+2) vs Texas Bowl (Houston, TX/+2/+1) vs
  27. 29 points

    William Doherty Fails Drug Test

    We at the Denver Broncos are troubled to find any news story involving members of our organization that detracts from the quality product on the field and the positive impact we have in the Denver community. We are disappointed in William's inability to see how his decisions impact the team and reflect poorly on the organization. As such, William will be held out of the first preseason game--a missed opportunity for him to demonstrate his development in the off-season. We believe in William's potential on the field, and hope that this will remind him that all Broncos are under an obligation to make sure they do nothing to embarrass the team, themselves, or their families. However, without an established NFLHC substance abuse policy, we feel that any punishment meted out by the League would be arbitrary and unnecessary. Further, in 2021, we as an organization believe that it is unnecessary to legislate against legal recreational activities, as marijuana is legal in Colorado. We will invite William to participate in BroncosCare, our program aimed at informing youth about the negative effects of illicit drugs. We believe an internal handling of Wiliam's situation to be sufficient at this point.
  28. 29 points
    Abraham ran for 100 yards on 25 carries in week 10 against Seattle to give him 10,020 career rushing yards. Abraham went through three jerseys during his historic game Monday. But under them all he kept on the same white T-shirt, one with an image of the Dallas Cowboys star logo and the number 10,000. Some said he was too small, some said he was too slow. He dropped to the second round of the 2014 NFLHC draft being taken 19th overall by the Seattle Seahawks right before the team relocated to Dallas. Three running backs were selected before Abraham in the draft. But he has proven all doubters wrong and is the first player to rush for 10,000 yards. Known for his excellent vision, tremendous leg strength and great balance, Abraham has rushed for 100 yards in 64 of 89 career games (24 more 100 yard games than 2nd best). Chester Henson (the first running back drafted in 2014 ahead of Abraham) currently sits second on the career rushing list....but it's a distant second. Through week 10 of the 2020 season, here is how the top 5 all-time rushers stack up. All looking up at Abraham. 1. Vaughan Abraham- DAL – 10,020 2. Chester Henson – PIT – 8,379 3. Chad Dess – BUF – 7,869 4. Booker T. Washington – SEA – 7,420 5. Elvis Williams – NE – 7,366 Abraham is the only running back with a 2,000 yard season leading the league in 2017 with 2,055 yards. He has finished second in the league in rushing three times including 1,834 yards in 2018, the 3rd highest single season total. He won a National Championship at LSU in 2013. He has been named to the All-Pro team in 4 of his 6 seasons. He was the NFLHC MVP in 2016. He won a Super Bowl in Dallas in 2018. Abraham missed 3 games in 2019 and finished with his lowest rushing total since his rookie year leaving people to wonder if the wear and tear was getting to him. Currently 3rd in the league in rushing with 916 yards (16 yards behind the league leader), Abraham looks to have bounced back to his old self. He has 1 more year left on his current deal with the Cowboys and has said he has no plans of slowing down. Cowboy fans hope he sticks around long enough to set the rushing mark so high that it will never be broken. When Vaughan Abraham decides he's run enough, he will end up in the NFLHC Hall of Fame.
  29. 29 points

    CFBHC v1.3

    *Increased fumbling by a 15% for RBs, 15% for QBs, 35% for WRs.
  30. 28 points
    I’d like to thank the Seattle Seahawks fan base for putting their trust in me not only during the past four years as their owner but as their head coach this year as well. Being head coach is an experience is something I think everyone should partake in for NFLHC. It’s a different game itself, and it stands alongside CFBHC as one of the reasons I love this site and community. I look forward to Sundays for gameday, and just seeing how our team competes week in and week out. We’ve had some fantastic games this season, and we’ve had some great downfalls. Having seen the final results, I would like to announce my resignation from the Seahawks as Owner and Head Coach. The reasons behind this resignation are not due to my performance, or anything internal in our organization. I've been thinking long term on what I want to do in my life. In order to advance my career, I'm considering whether I need to attend grad-school or not. And if I do, I would have to set aside time to focus on killing the GMAT and academics. Along with this, I want to become more serious as a writer and be able to share stories with all of you one day. In order to prepare for these endeavors, I believe that stepping away from NFLHC is the right solution. I enjoy working with LamboThrone and collaborating with him to build a team we believe has the capability to make the playoffs in the long term. I would continue my position as Owner and Head Coach, if I wasn’t considering graduate school or my writing. For the rest of the season and offseason, I will be helping LamboThrone with finding my next successor for the Seahawks head coach-- someone I’m hoping who has the same passion and vision we have for the organization. I want to thank the NFLHC community for letting me participate in this function of the site. NFLHC is a lot more than what I expected it to be, and I wish I had the time to coach next season and rebound from our losing streak. ~TuscanSota In regards to CFBHC: I plan to coach for the Baylor Bears through the rest of this season and possibly through 2021. The HC position is not up for grabs, but I will be looking around for a potential successor. Do not expect any media from me except for the eventual series of articles I already have planned.
  31. 28 points

    CFBHC v1.3b

    CFBHC v1.3b June 9th, 2017 Pre-Release v1.3.1.15 Notes: As usual thanks to the members who helped test this - there weren't many this time because I got this pumped out quickly with my new additional time. I appreciate the thoughts and input you guys have made in your private feedback forum threads. Just a heads up - version 1.4 will introduce a practice schedule system that will likely be added for 2021 after commissioners help beta test and may introduce prestige and firing for CFBHC and/or NFLHC depending on beta feedback. NFLHC * Added player happiness. Happiness is a sliding value from 0-100 that represents how content a player is with an organization. Happiness is not necessarily a reflection of only team success. Happiness is a hidden value but will result in a variety of visible events. * Added three new rejection reasons for players to refuse to sign a new or extension contract: Dislike of head coach or coaching style. Looking for contender team. Looking for free agent money. * Tied NFLHC events and happiness into contract situations. Players may express requests to draft certain positions via events, ask for certain offseason signings (including other specific players) or may express dissatisfaction with a head coach or coordinator. * Fixed a bug with progressions. * Fixed a bug with receving stat output. * Fixed a minor bug with stuck gameplan changes if not updated. * Fixed a minor bug with slant passes. CFBHC * Added Conference Media Accounts. Commissioners will receive the access information for an account associated with their conference and may share the account info at their discretion. Similar to the USA Today account this should be used for players of the week, official conference news, etc. and will expand and incorporate future roleplaying aspects in version 1.4. *Added un-positioned players to all future high school recruiting classes. These players will have no position (position listed will be NA) and no attribute (attribute listed will be [None]) and will be more heavily dependent on their size and weight for progression in their first two years. Just before beginning their junior year (either (Jr) or just Jr) they will be given a position and then progress with their normal position from then on. *Added true walk-on recruits. Teams with very low player counts may be restocked with somewhat random amounts of low skill recruits in the offseason that will have a position but no attribute (listed as [None]).
  32. 28 points
    NO ONE CAN SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Aaron Devereaux, starting quarterback of the New Orleans Saints, recently used some of his off-season time to go out and buy himself a new car. "I've been driving the same Corolla I've had since Freshman year of college. I just never thought it was worth upgrading. I'm not a big car guy." Always fearful of car salesmen, Aaron took his friend Mike Thomas, backup quarterback on the Saints car shopping. "Aaron's got this thing man, it doesn't make no sense. He thinks car salesman are scary like snakes or some shit." Mike convinced Aaron to buy a brand new Aston Martin. "Your starting quarterback can't be driving a Corolla. What is that," Thomas said laughing. The two guys enjoyed their day. Good on you Aaron. Aaron Devereaux and Mike Thomas gain +6% chemistry.
  33. 28 points

    Event #3: 2020 Pebble Beach Pro Am

    NO ONE MAY SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Rob LeCount (Detroit Lions), Thomas Wheeler (Kansas City Chiefs), Aaron Shea (Indianapolis Colts), and Brian Vardell (Minnesota Vikings) hosted their annual Golf Tournament to benefit children suffering from Multiple Sclerosis at Pebble Beach Golf Links this past weekend. The group managed to raise over $200,000 for the cause. In attendance were the following players in addition to the hosts: Rodney Montgomery (Cincinnati Bengals), Jeremy Miller (New Orleans Saints), Brian Glenn (Seattle Seahawks), Chris Hoag (New York Jets), Michael Barber (Washington Redskins), Randall Jones (Oakland Raiders), Larry Reeves (Jacksonville Jaguars), Gary Faneca (Seattle Seahawks), and Todd Lester (San Francisco 49ers). Brian Glenn won the tournament shooting a 74 (+2). All host players receive +11% fitness to start the season. Attending non-hosts receive +7% fitness to begin the season.
  34. 28 points

    2020 NFLHC Draft Superlatives

    Best Overall Draft: Green Bay Packers I think this is a pretty general consensus. Inspiral had two incredible players fall in his lap early, snatched them up, and had Soluna declare it to be possibly the best 1st round ever. It's hard to ruin that. So while their following picks weren't incredible, they certainly didn't hurt the Pack. Lucas Hopkins has some major flags, but if he gets over his demons, he turns into a very good value for Green Bay. Justin McCain, a 3rd rounder with high potential, highlights their midround selections. Also Considered: Arizona Cardinals, Denver Broncos, Cleveland Browns Worst Overall Draft: Minnesota Vikings Minnesota took projects in the middle rounds after not really addressing a crucial need in the 1st. While Donald Reed is certainly a good prospect, the Vikes had too many other needs to grade that pick too highly. They took some projects in the midrounds who won't be immediate contributors, such as Jacory Kessler and Cody Albright. Not having a 2nd round pick hurt, too. With division rivals all having markedly good drafts, Minnesota falls further behind in the race for the NFC North. Also considered: Houston Texans, Pittsburgh Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers Best Prospect Name: Richard "Dick" Pitts Funny as hell. Especially after 5+ hours staring at a computer drafting. Also Considered: Dwayne Carter, Kenji Sagatomo, Ousmane Green Best Value Pick: Zion Hopkins, 77 OVR, LA Chargers I'm slightly biased because Zion was pretty much my favorite prospect in this class and we tried to move mountains to get him. It didn't work out for us, but it certainly worked out for the Chargers, who were able to grab the high upside DT in the early 3rd round. He'll slot in nicely and could conceivably make an impact from the start of this season. I'm really excited to see how quickly he grows into the NFL game. Also considered: Russell Benson-Gifford (DEN), JB Blacknall (DEN), Dylan Hastings (SF) Highest Bust Potential: Jared Self, LAR Self has had a lot of critics, and it was probably a reach to take him at 21. While it could pan out, there is high risk associated with him. Self was a major underperformer on the same college line that my best value pick was featured on, and his failure to show up in certain games has been hashed through many times. Ultimately, he lends himself to extreme skepticism, even if the pick wasn't one of the worst in the 1st round from a needs standpoint. Also Considered: Isaiah Hall (KC), Curtis Henry (CAR) Biggest Riser: Graham Burnett, 7th overall Burnett was obviously the best QB on the board this draft. However, several mocks featured him picked in the late 20s or falling out of the 1st round altogether. Of course, with QB being the premium position it is, we never saw such a fall materialize. Instead, the Cowboys swooped in and took him in the top 10, ahead of college standouts such as Akeel Morris, Marquise Reed, and Christian Okonkwo. Also Considered: CJ Thomas (5th Overall), Shah Vereen (14th Overall) Biggest Faller: RB JB Blacknall, 52nd Overall This spot very easily could have gone to Akeel, who some mocks had going in the top 5 only to see him fall all the way to the Bears at 13. Franklin went from mocking in the mid first to falling all the way to 39th, behind the likes of Eli Austin and Tom Oldham. But Blacknall entered the draft tied for the highest overall rating of any RB and early mocks pegging him as an mid-to-late first rounder. Instead, Blacknall tumbled, and was the 6th RB off the board in the back half of the second round. Also Considered: Akeel Morris (13th Overall), Michael McBride (32nd Overall), WR Benjamin Franklin (39th Overall) Worst Pick: Aaron Blakely, TB, 4th Overall This one doesn't need explaining, as it's been bashed enough. Also considered: None. Most Sinister/Evil Genius Pick: Sean Hamilton to the Carolina Panthers If there was one QB that all other QBs would develop well behind, it would be Brian Brown. If there were two, they would be Brian Brown and Christian Skaggs. And while Hamilton may never see postseason success during his stretch in Carolina, he'll certainly learn how to be a very good quarterback, and in a few years, he'll be quite the commodity. Also Considered: Russell Benson-Gifford (DEN), Aden Hastings (NYJ) Best Meme of the Draft: TRADES ARENT WORKING IN THE INTERFACE Also considered: Nevadajack, The Cow, Corey In The House
  35. 27 points

    2020 Champions

    Congratulations to everyone for completing the 2020 season, our 8th as a site. Congratulations especially to the following organizations for their championships. Of special note is that Penn State has successfully become the first team to defend a title on the site. 2020 CFBHC National Champion - Penn State Nittany Lions 2nd Title Coached by grv413 2020 NFLHC Super Bowl Winner - Green Bay Packers 1st Title Organization: inspiral
  36. 27 points

    [2020] JuCo Recruiting Rules

    JuCo recruiting will be a two week process and will begin with Week #13. Regular recruiting scholarships, half scholarships, school and coaches visits will NOT be used. Instead you will be assigned the following based on your calculation described below. The formula only counts regular season games. Conference Base Prestige AAC: 18 ACC: 23 Big 12: 19 B1G: 25 C-USA: 11 Independents: 16 MAC: 17 MWC: 15 PAC-12: 17 SEC: 23 Juco Weekly Points = ((1.5 x (Wins Last Year/12)) x Conference Base Prestige ) + 7 Depending on your weekly points you will receive the below: 7-13: 2 Scholarships, 1 JuCo Visit 14-20: 3 Scholarships, 1 JuCo Visit 21-34: 4 Scholarships, 2 JuCo Visits 35+: 5 Scholarships, 2 JuCo Visits JuCo Scholarships have been reduced to +18 (from +20), JuCo Visits have been increased to +16 (from +15). All players may have a preferred school or family legacy towards a particular school. Preferred schools automatically add 25 toward that school, family legacy adds 45 toward that particular school. Recruits can have both a preferred school and a family legacy school and they don't have to be the same. Commit threshold in week 1 is 10 or more between 1st and 2nd place. After week 2 it's just the highest, I will break the ties with the same weighted system as before. @inspiral the weekly display should be the same as for regular recruiting. Thanks to all the people who helped provide input as usual. Soluna
  37. 27 points
    See I consider myself a pretty good corner. The best actually. Since I was the first corner ever drafted back in 2014, I thought I'd share some insight to the position and the guys I match up against. Here is the official David Wilburn Top 5 Toughest Wide Receivers, in no particular order. These are guys I've gone to war against, and every single one of these guys play at the pinnacle of the wide receiver position. Walt Peck 6-5 203 pounds, with hands made of epoxy and the moves to boot. If God made a wide receiver, he'd make Walt Peck again. He's so big and so fast, but the biggest thing to note is just how good he is at catching anything that goes his way. See here he is against Keyshawn Thompson, one of the top corners in the league. Ball's in the air, but take a look at what Walt does when it hits him. First off, he does this one handed, crazy amounts of concentration to do that when you're going at full speed. With Keyshawn draped all over you, its downright impossible. But he makes the one handed grab. Then look at his hips. He extended out his right foot, the immediately shifted his hips, rebalanced, and fell with the ball cradled between his arms with no chance of escape. That's downright unbelievable. Him and Murph have been doing it for so long, even against the tightest of coverages they can do something like that. Walt is a physical freak, but its his concentration and catching ability that just makes him so fearsome. He'll downright win the mental game against lesser corners too. Guy talks trash like no one else. If chatting was a stat on Madden, Walt would have a 99. The stuff he says about your mother... Sean Jenkins Now comes probably the most physically gifted receiver I've ever gone up against. 6'6" 182, and one key thought. Jenkins doesn't think he's fast. He knows he's fast. There's a huge difference in that. Guys that think they're fast, they never hear the safety coming. They never expect the corner to be right on them. They think they can out run the coverage. Guys that think they're fast don't last long in this league. Guys that know they're fast, like Jenkins, that's a whole nother beast. One wrong step, and as a corner you're flirting with disaster. Don't believe me? Look at what he did to my boy Mike Gradishar down in Oakland. Jenkins doesn't even go in. He does a little hop at the line of scrimmage, then its off to the races, and when he's got a head start, even if its a 10th of a second, its absolutely over. Mike might as well not have even been there, its just pitch and catch between Devy and Jenkins. Jenkins is one of the few guys in this league that knows he's fast, and everyone else knows it too. He got absolute burners on his leg that keeps everyone scared. Dan Nomellini This guy is outrageous. Probably the best receiver in the league right now in my humble opinion. I've got a lot of memories of when he played in Carolina, but watch this crazy route running he does. Look at him chop his feet. That burst of explosion. People don't talk about this much either, but Nom is probably the most sure-handed receiver to ever grace the game. Then you combine his route running ability and his intellect and you've got a dangerous combination at wide receiver. Lots of guys with Nom's measurables don't make it in this league. 6-1, 182, not that fast, none of that crazy catch range. What he's accomplished is on pure effort and hard work. Jenkins and Walt, those are some freak talents. Nom is a guy that's crafted his way into the game by using his god given talent of juking corners out their shoes. Me and him man, those were some battles. Tai Miller When people think physical receiver, they usually go with a tall, jump ball guy. That's not what I think when I think physical. Tai isn't small, but he's not the 6'5", 6'6" basketball players I have to deal with, but he's also not a jump ball specialist. What he's got is some incredible handfighting abilities, and he's probably the best receiver at using his body in this league. Michael Barber is a hell of a cornerback, but you see Tai just uses his physical advantages all the way. Hand fighting throughout the slant, then he tucks in. Ball's actually thrown a bit high, but he adjusts, makes the play, and shields it all with his body. That is some absurd talent for a guy who's really starting to blossom into his own in this league. Rodney Montgomery Now when people think of Rodney, they think he's this shorter, speed guy that makes his living getting big yards. They're wrong. Montgomery may not be the 6'6" freak that Sean Jenkins is, may not have the physicality of Tai Miller, but he's absolutely a weapon in the red zone. Why? He's got the ups and knows how to use body positioning the only way an old vet does, years and years of practice. Here he is one on one against Troy Marshall of the Ravens. Marshall's all over Rodney, doesn't take a step wrong, but Rodney just uses his great vertical leap to jump right over Troy. Then as he's falling, he does the vet move to toe tap and lean out. Toe tap for the TD, leaning away from the defender to complete the catch with as little interference as possible. He makes a killing eating the lunches of DBs that allow him to get the short catches he can turn into YAC, but that all comes from how clean he runs his routes and how he uses his body. There you have it, the toughest receivers to cover in the league. These guys may be the best in the country at what they do, but I'm always down to go another round with them! DAVID WILBURN/CONTRIBUTOR
  38. 27 points
    July 14th, 2020 This off-season featured a coaching carousel that was burning around at mach-5 with new comers and long-tenured coaches jumping ship to new pastures. All in all 38 teams will trot on to the field this 2020 season with a new coach at the helm, and we here at Forbes have done the research to see just how much this schools are paying for them. Most institutions we spoke to had similar criteria for what they were looking for in a coach as well as how much they were able to offer up in ink to them. Essentially it comes down to; Track Record; Experience, Win %, Postseason Success Recruiting; General ability to recruit hot talent based off past data College Prestige; How deep into the pockets the institution can reach to put into the contract Here's this seasons newly written contracts... https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iVgY7lobw70vVz5Xy2d3yHFr3r1qBiCX5vHva35f55c/edit?usp=sharing
  39. 27 points
    Using the depth charts on the forums and the draft records from the wiki, I found the average round/pick each position's starters were drafted. If a player was undrafted, I put in that they were pick #250. I tried to remove players that were only starting because of injuries and use the original starter instead. The 1sts column show how many players were 1st round picks (in the first 32 picks of the draft). So even if they were the 2nd round, 18th overall pick in the 2014 draft, they were counted as a 1st round pick. Offense Defense Special Teams Ranked List (Pick) CB #1 (41) LT (44) QB (44) MLB (58) LG (58) WR (59) LE (63) SS (64) CB #2 (64) DT (64) RT (73) LOLB (74) RG (75) RB (75) FS (76) RE (80) C (84) ROLB (86) TE (100) K (173) FB (186) P (188) Notes Left side of offensive lines are drafted higher (not surprising). However, left defensive ends and left outside linebackers are drafted higher than right side of defense. This may be because some teams have strong-side and weak-side DE's/OLB's in their depth chart instead of right and left DE's/OLBs. I put strong-side as left and weak-side as right. There are no former UDFA's that currently start on OL. The one former 1st round pick that is used as a holder is Blake Shell. Not including special teams and FBs, the average NFLHC starter in any position was the 67th overall pick in the 3rd round.
  40. 26 points

    CFBHC v1.4

    CFBHC v1.4 September 19th, 2017 Pre-Release v1.2.4.23 Notes: Thanks to all those who helped testing and recommended stuff as usual, for this patch in particular: alien, Jumbo, Rome, Danger. Website Changes * Updated CFBHC.com to IPB v4.2.4. * Shifted coaching related NFLHC forums around and created several Administration subforums for re-signings, progressions, etc. * Addition of a stat-correction thread for both NFLHC and CFBHC where requests on correction of stats can be posted. (http://cfbhc.com/index.php?/topic/19306-issue-general-stat-correction-thread/* Added a CFBHC/NFLHC Main Google Sheet to track a variety of new features and helpful pages in an effort to consolidate data on the website: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cpUZsguSG5tpuUNXzCNUY9Js8rhb6w2k7E7TxGfsPlU/edit?usp=sharing * Fixed a cache bug on the forum to speed up thread/post loading. * Fixed a database error with the wiki that was causing constant crashing. * For both NFLHC/CFBHC: reworked that if the LNG value for a RB resulted in a touchdown it now says "T" after the yardage. NFLHC * (NEW) Second Gameplan Option and Design-a-Playbook Beginning with the 2021 season you will have a choice to use the pre-defined gameplans (same as before) or spend coaching salary to attend classes, develop skills, and learn plays that can then be added to your coaching "inventory". Head coaches will be able to build gameplans from their inventory and will simply post passing and running percentages to go with the plays they have chosen. No changes occur for using the old playbook. If you choose the new kind your thread will be replaced by the following: (Name's of plays will come from a library that coaches have to purchase plays from (via classes) and MUST be listed seperated by commas with no spaces (_ instead). * (NEW) Scouts - 4th team role Scouts are the only additional role allowed on an NFLHC organization outside of Owner, GM, and Head Coach. Salary rules follow the guidelines posted by the Commissioner. Scouts are allowed to provide input on the gameplan and depth chart as directed by the Head Coach. Head Coaches/Scouts may update the practice and training camp schedules outlined BELOW. No one else may have input on this directly. Teams are responsible for weekly wiki updates to the following pages (Scouts should do this duty unless an owner/gm/head coach volunteers). If no scout is hired this falls to the GM: (SAMPLE PAGES FOR EACH TYPE WILL BE POSTED BEFORE THE REQUIREMENTS SET IN) 2020 TEAM NAME season - this page includes results, draft choices, free agent signings, etc. Starting QB, RB, WR, and one other player of choice wiki page (only required for the end of the season) List of TEAM NAME starting quarterbacks (only required for the end of the season) Additionally if a drastic change is made to the team (benching of starting QB, firing of a coach or coordinator, etc. then it is required to post a thread announcing this in the NFL News forum in "The Lead") More requirements may be added in the near future. * (NEW) Training Plans Head Coaches/Scouts will be tasked with creating and executing training plans for their teams throughout the year. Each day of the week will be marked for each position group and all future player development will be linked back to their yearly development. Training Camp plans and regular season plans always apply to the week BEFORE the game. (i.e. Week 1 is all days leading up to Week 1). Training Camp applies to the pre-season. Plans are always locked an entered AUTOMATICALLY at 11:59 PM ET on Sundays. (i.e. Week 2 plans lock the night of Week 1 games). Regular season training plans are broken down by two types of your choice for each position but there can also be an overarching team focus (ONLY ONE) that applies to every position group during the week. * (NEW) Rookie Minicamps Rookie Minicamp is a special practice type that HAS to be used during the first week of training camp. If used, AND ONLY IF USED, there will be a thread that teams that have used it can list all their rookies in. The rookies will receive a chemistry benefit and a progress report with issues, things they are doing well, etc. * (NEW) Stats - added tackles for loss (TFL) and passes defensed (PD) Tackles for loss are also counted in regular tackles and represent tackles made behind the line of scrimmage. Passes defensed are recorded when a defensive player prevents a reception by altering the course of the ball. * (REVISED) Injuries - there is now an "injury book" available on the same google sheet as everything else that will allow you to look up an injury classification from the game thread. Moderators are now responsible for updating the injury report every week. Revised all injuries to follow a standardized time frame with slight variation based only on fitness. * Added reactionary events. Decisions made in the front office or on the field can lead to immediate impacts to players, organizations, and their health. * Removed referees. * Improved likelihood of franchise/transition tagged players of holding out during training camp/pre-season/possibly into the regular season. * Added several new rejection reasons for re-signings (waiting to a closer date for extensions, unhappiness). * Coaching clinics can now be found on the same google sheet as the training plans. * Increase injury likelihoods. * Fixed a punt bug that could cause an infinite loop game. * Fixed collision calculations to be in-line with past changes. * Fixed receiver depth chart designations. * Fixed quarterback progression issues. * Fixed a minor typo with game outputs. * Fixed a bug with an infinite loop on fumbles. * Fixed a bug with fumble reporting. * Fixed a bug with stacking linebackers. * Fixed a bug with stacking receivers. * Fixed a bug with the "too many men on the field" penalty. * Fixed a game breaking situation with overtime. * Fixed a game breaking situation stemming from the punt bug. CFBHC * (NEW) Prestige - worked in collaboration with Rome to generate Coaching and School prestige values, found in the same sheet as the practice NFLHC sheets found above. Prestige will currently modify your recruiting points. * (NEW) Sun Belt Conference Appalachian State Mountaineers, Arkansas State Red Wolves, Georgia Southern Eagles, Georgia State Panthers (from Independents), Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, South Alabama Jaguars, Texas State Bobcats, Troy Trojans Added the New Mexico State Aggies and Liberty Flames to the Independents. * Added reactionary events. Decisions made in the front office or on the field can lead to immediate impacts to players, schools, and their health. * Re-worked point per week distribution, school/visit/coaches points to be more dramatic between bad and good teams. * Re-worked star players. The three most recent national champions and high prestige teams (any team with 5.0 school prestige) will receive multiple star player designations with a variety of points (20 weekly points, 18 weekly points, and 12 weekly points). Regular prestige teams (2.0 - 4.5) will receive one star player designation at a decreased value (15 weekly points) that must be used in the home state or bordering state. Low prestige teams (1.0 - 1.5) will receive one star player designation at a severely decreased value (12 weekly points) that must be used in the home state. * (REVISED) Injuries - there is now an "injury book" available on the same google sheet as everything else that will allow you to look up an injury classification from the game thread. Moderators are now responsible for updating the injury report every week. * Implemented the architecture for coaching contracts and buy-outs. Feature has been pushed to 1.5.
  41. 26 points
    Franz Kafka

    [2020] Kafkacast 8.27.2017

    0:00-3:25 - INTRO 3:26-12:35 - CFBHC Week 11 breakdown 12:36-17:40 - CFBHC Week 12 preview 17:41-25:03 - team recruiting 25:04-28:00 - individual recruiting battles 28:01-29:40 - CFBHC award predictions 29:41-33:30 - NFLHC Playoffs 33:31-39:39 - 2021 NFLHC Draft https://soundcloud.com/franz-kafka-38716045/kafkacast-8271027
  42. 26 points

    Event #14: Watkins' QB Camp

    NO ONE MAY SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Baltimore Ravens quarterback Reggie Watkins recently held a quarterback camp for NCAA-hopeful high school seniors in Columbia, MD. "I wanted to give them a chance to show themselves on a national stage. Many of these guys have never had more than 50 spectators come to a game and they need to know how to handle themselves. I talked to Jack Ramey, from Pocono something School earlier, he's very bright, he told me his favorite quarterback is Ryan Clark. I told him 'get the hell out' [chuckles]". The following players from the general Baltimore area were looked at my NCAA scouts at Watkins' camp. Jack Ramey, #23 QB: Readiness: 6 Game Tape: 8 Scouting: 7 Mike Lucas, #11 QB: Readiness: 5 Game Tape: 9 Scouting: 5 Eli Siegel, #14 QB: Readiness: 7 Game Tape: 5 Scouting: 5 QB Reggie Watkins has gained +4% starting fitness and +15% coaching ability.
  43. 25 points

    Effect of OL Rating on NFLHC QBs

    I have been tracking every QBs performance this season alongside how many times they were sacked and their OL rating in that game in this spreadsheet. Using this info, I made a scatter plot for the league to see how QB Rating in a game was affected by OL Rating. I was surprised how much OL Rating had an effect. For every 0.1 increase in OL rating, there is a ~2.5 increase in QB rating. Doesn't sound like much but when you see that Matty Swift had an average OL rating of 7.0 when he started and Taylor Rodriguez had an average OL rating of 8.36, Swift would be expected to have a 36 point increase in QB rating if he had the Cowboys OL. To make this point clearer, here is a chart showing what the expected QB Rating to be in a game with that OL Rating: Next, I looked at individual QBs to see who isn't affected by OL rating and who is most affected by OL rating. Some QBs don't seem to mind the pressure while others QB ratings drop drastically if their OL Rating is in the low 7.0s. Please note that this is a very small sample size for each QB (max of 16) so make your own judgements. Positively Affected by Pressure (>+10% increase in QB Rating when OL rating decreases by 1.0) Thomas Wheeler (KC): +47.0% Matty Swift (LAC): +23.5% Joel King (CIN): +13.0% Brian Brown (MIA): +9.8% Not Affected by Pressure (+10% to -10% increase/decrease in QB Rating when OL rating decreases by 1.0) Joaquin Younger (BUF): +5.1% Norris Brooksheer (CHI): +4.3% Nick Hall (OAK): -0.7% David Kaplan (BUF): -4.5% Reggie Watkins (BAL): -4.8% Brian Vardell (MIN): -5.4% Rory Weston (ARI): -6.3% Mildly Negatively Affected by Pressure (-10% to -25% decrease in QB Rating when OL rating decreases by 1.0) Brad Davis (NE): -10.5% Javier Fields (WAS): -13.8% Alex Leshoure (HOU): -14.0% Allan Taylor (PHI): -17.0% Rob Corp (PIT): -18.4% Jason Johnson (GB): -19.0% Paul Davenport (PIT): -20.7% Todd Jennings (DEN): -23.5% Moderately Negatively Affected by Pressure (-25% to -40% decrease in QB Rating when OL rating decreases by 1.0) Aaron Devereaux (NO): -26.9% Todd Lester (SF): -27.2% Erik Wegert (NYJ): -28.5% Taylor Heiden (TB): -31.2% Rob LeCount (DET): -31.8% Bobby Kolodziej (TEN): -32.1% R.J. Stanford (NYG): -36.3% Christian Barkley (JAX): -37.5% A.J. Jefferson (ATL): -38.1% Very Negatively Affected by Pressure (>-40% decrease in QB Rating when OL rating decreases by 1.0) Darrell Murphy (LAR): -40.6% Alexander Williams (TEN): -42.8% Aaron Shea (IND): -46.0% Taylor Rodriguez (DAL): -48.7% Will Thompson (LAC): -62.3% Kareem Taylor (ARI): -63.8% Jarius Jones (SEA): -65.1% Ryan Clark (CLE): -65.5% Christian Skaggs (CAR): -68.1% Lawyer Johnson (NE): -71.4%
  44. 25 points

    [2020] Week 10 Headlines

    FAKE NEWS! Bengals owner Trey_Chaffin responds to criticism from Dolphins owner smckenz3. Bengals defeated Dolphins 27-24 over the weekend. "What smckenz3 is saying is fake news. Rather than complaining about the field conditions he should work on winning games because the Dolphins just don't win anymore."- Bengals owner Trey_Chaffin
  45. 25 points
    Welcome to the first edition of Five By Five, a new feature where we spotlight five programs around the country. Every week, five randomly selected coaches will have the opportunity to answer five questions about their team and their players. This week, our panel consists of sleuthofbears from Texas A&M, ajyoungmark from Miami, Monda from Marshall, Isaac829 from Charlotte, and taffyowner from Wisconsin. Each coach will begin by answering the same four questions along with a fifth question unique to their program. Q1: How does your team feel about its opening matchup this season? sleuthofbears, Texas A&M: We're confident. Ole Miss is a solid team, but we've been looking at a few matchups that we think we can exploit against them, and I think it'll be enough to get the win on the road in Oxford. ajyoungmark, Miami (FL): We think that Minnesota is going to be a tough test for us, but it is a game where we should be able to compete. It will be a great experience for our young team, and we will be able to grow regardless of the outcome. Monda, Marshall: I feel confident. While I don't know particularly how we will fair, I think we'll put up a fight and keep the game close. Isaac829, Charlotte: With an improved offense and defense, I feel a bit more confident about playing USF again. My team and I definitely could close the gap this season. taffyowner, Wisconsin: The team is feeling ready to play, keeping the line and backfield mostly intact is great for chemistry and the kids are all having fun together, theyre a really loose bunch, lead by Trufant and Jarvis. Q2: Outside of the final scoreline, what's the area of the statsheet your team most needs to dominate to succeed this year? sleuthofbears, Texas A&M: I feel like it's the turnover battle. Nathan is obviously a young quarterback who has a lot to learn, so if he can keep his INTs down I feel like we have a good shot at contending this year. On the other side of the ball, I feel like if we can force the opposing QB to make mistakes, which I feel like we definitely have the ability to do with out D-Line, our offense should be able to capitalize. ajyoungmark, Miami (FL): With the loss of Brett Fisher, our rushing offense will need to take a step up and make up for some of the production lost. We are very confident in Ronnie [Peterson] he had a very successful JUCO career, and he has shown how good of a player he is in camp. But we will be in for a tough year if our run game is not able to carry some of the weight this year. Monda, Marshall: This may be cliche, but turnovers. The defense needs to be as clutch as they were last season and the offense needs to limit their turnovers. Isaac829, Charlotte: Turnover battle. Last season, we had too many turnovers from our offense and not enough turnovers given by the defense. Having Kieron and Chris will improve the difference significantly. taffyowner, Wisconsin: The area we shoud dominate in is the running game, breaking in a whole new WR corps is going to create some growing pains for the unit and we'll need Trufant to carry us early in the season. Q3: What newcomers are you expecting to make an immediate impact on your team? sleuthofbears, Texas A&M: Well obviously Nathan and Jarvis are going to be two of our key pieces on offense this year, and both are going to be making their first starts this week. On the defensive side, DaQuan Robinson and Samuel Cunningham. Both are coming off of redshirts and are going to be key in winning the turnover battle like I mentioned in the previous question. ajyoungmark, Miami (FL): On offense, Albert Palacios will be a key contributor as a Redshirt Freshman this year, particularly in the run game. Throughout camp, Palacios has shown the ability to create running lanes for our running backs. Defensively, Patrick Everett will be a significant contributor this year. Last season Patrick was turning heads on the scout team defense, and we expect that he will be able to translate to live games. Everett will have to be playing at his highest level for our defense to thrive this year. Monda, Marshall: Devon McCoy. He will be leading our thin receiving corps and will have to impact game significantly after the loss of Trung Vu. Brandon Adler will be leading the offense in his Sophomore season and will need McCoy is the leading wideout. Isaac829, Charlotte: Like I said earlier, Kieron Brooks and Chris Billings will have the most impact on both sides of the ball. Both guys are by far the best in their positions. taffyowner, Wisconsin: The big newcomers we need to make an impact are WRs Afasa Vaaelua and Chance Thurman, if they can step up and play to their potential we will have an unstoppable passing attack Q4: What player of yours has been the most successful off the field? sleuthofbears, Texas A&M: I'd really like to give a shoutout to Jarvis here. He was immensely talented coming out of high school, but didn't get any D1 offers because he had a bad drug problem. But he didn't quit. He went to rehab, got himself clean, then tore it up at Baytown and now he's here. Stories like his are ones you don't see enough of in this sport, and I think he deserves credit for turning his life around. ajyoungmark, Miami (FL): Our starting left tackle Walt Moeller has been thriving in the classroom. This past December he graduated with a degree in Chemical Engineering and was a member of Dean's List each term. Because Walt is a 5th-year senior, he started his Masters in Business and Administration this past semester. He finished the spring semester with a 3.8 GPA, and we are incredibly proud of his off the field achievements as a Miami Hurricane. Monda, Marshall: Defintely safety Riley Goldberg. Goldberg is from the West Virginia area and has always given back to his town of War. His academic efforts are no joke either, currently maintaining an A average. Isaac829, Charlotte: Micah Browning is very close to graduating soon, and I'm very proud of him. taffyowner, Wisconsin: The backup Defensive End, Johan Lorenzo, has just been a perfect player off the field, he volunteers in the community, helps out at local camps, and even has time to lead tours throughout the school, we're glad to have him as an embassador for the school. He's always there to welcome our recruits to the facility and tell them how great the program is and that this is the perfect fit for them. Q5 to sleuthofbears: How are Nathan Singletary and Jarvis Ward handling fans' comparisons to Matty Swift and Adrian Jankowski? sleuthofbears, Texas A&M: They know that A&M has a long history of having an elite QB-WR tandem (namely Swift-Jankowski and Williams-Smith), and they push themselves harder everyday in order to live up to those expectations. Q5 to ajyoungmark: How does a storied program like Miami go about replacing such a unique talent like Brett Fisher? ajyoungmark, Miami (FL): It will be very tough to replace such a transcendent talent like Brett Fisher. He was a great leader and was a guy that many underclassmen looked up to. But if we can have a more balanced attack offensively and some of our upperclassmen step up as leaders we will be able to fill the massive hole that Brett left. Q5 to Monda: Marshall has been king of the C-USA East back-to-back years, but has lost to Rice twice in the conference championship game. Do you expect to make it back to the CCG, and do you expect to make it over the Rice hump? Monda, Marshall: I fully expect that we have the ability to make it back to the CCG, but I don't know if we have the talent to beat Rice yet. The Owls are a really good team, and we lost several key players from last season (where we lost 35-0). I guess we will have to see when we get there. Q5 to Isaac829: Charlotte has quietly been building talent over these last couple of seasons. What else do you think the team needs to do to challenge Marshall and Rice and win the C-USA? Isaac829, Charlotte: There never seems to be enough talent to keep up with Rice at least. By the time I finish improving some positions, another one becomes terrible. At the top of my head right now, offensive and defensive lines could be improved. Q5 to taffyowner: Wisconsin has been year-in and year-out without fail one of the most successful programs in the country. What has been the key to maintaining that kind of consistency? taffyowner, Wisconsin: The biggest key to maintaining consistency is knowing what you have and how to get success out of it. You have to be willing to adjust to the players you have coming into the school, and how they fit into the team. You can't fit a square peg into a round hole, you know?
  46. 25 points

    [2020] Week 2 Headlines

    CHICAG_ The 'O' conspicuously missing once again as Bears fall to Falcons Norris Brooksheer and the offense have mustered just 3 total points through two games this season
  47. 25 points

    Event #22: Tai Miller

    NO ONE CAN SUBMIT A RESPONSE. Tai Miller's wife, Shawna, recently gave birth to a son, Tai Jr. Tai has been overjoyed by this recent addition to his family and has worked hard in pre-season workouts with his new-found energy. Tai Miller gains +13% fitness and +3% chemistry.
  48. 25 points
    RB Ricky Lewis 5-11 208 R Temple [Power] 72
  49. 25 points
    Leshoure may not be brand new, but he's the new starting QB alongside a number of new players. story by Aaron Wilson, Houston Chronicle While the parking lot blisters feet under the summer sun, the hottest thing at the Houston Texans Methodist Training Camp is definitely the Head Coach's temper. " Hit the hole like you fucking mean it!" Not the calmest personality in practice, Coach Rome seems to have turned it up this year with the new rookies. " This isn't the Big 12 anymore! Your ass is going to be grass if you keep running like that in the NFL!" Arturo Pacheco, the Texans first round pick, is one of the coach's favorite targets. With media and fan pummeling for the first round selection, there's a lot of pressure both on Arturo and the front office for this to work out. " There's a lot of expectations on me right now." Arturo confessed to the media. " There's a bad history with Texans running backs and the pressure is high for me to finally break the curse." While this particular day was open only to the media, fans haven't been shy when they have been let in. " They definitely don't let me off easy," Arturo laughed. The fans aren't the only ones that have been negative towards the selection. Analysts both during the draft and after have pummeled the pick ruthlessly. " A lot of people don't think I deserved to go so high. I'm here to prove them all wrong." " There's a lot to like about Pacheco." Coach Rome watched on as Pacheco and former conference foe and fellow rookie Ahmed Johnson collided on the play. " He's already rung a few bells against linebacker blitzes. But if I wanted a pass blocker, I would've drafted a tight end or tackle." Arturo joins a running back group with very little success under their belt. Last year's draft pick, Sean Egloff, carried the Texans load to little success. And the least said about Rickie Baird and Buzz Etcheverry, the better--if they even make the regular season roster. " They're invaluable to me." Arturo said of his fellow backs. " They may not have had success like the fans and coaches' wanted, but their experience and knowledge is very important to me." Hopefully he's a quick study from these admittedly mediocre backs as Arturo projects to be the opening day starter. Arturo Pacheco with his first of many carries his Rookie season. While Arturo gets more than his fair share of chewing out, no player is more watched, yelled at, and coached by Coach Rome than 2nd round pick Tom Wyman. The coaches clearly aren't making it easy for the rookie as he goes up against veteran Marvin White in practice, forcing him to deal with a 6 inch difference in height and a world's difference in experience at the highest level. A stop and go route forces Wyman to bite and Coach Rome is on him before White even catches the ball. " If you're going to play like that, go back to Fort Worth! Where were your eyes?" While Coach Rome only has an inch on Wyman--and Wyman is wearing pads and a helmet--he gets in the cornerback's face when he yells at him. " Keep your goddamn eyes on your goddamn man, you got that?! If you sit there and watch the quarterback, White's going to make you his bitch all summer!" Due to his days playing corner and safety in college, Coach Rome has always been very hands on with his secondaries. While Manning and Harris, the strong and free safeties respectively, definitely do not get off from the head coach's wrath, he spends more time with his corners than anyone else. " It's frustrating to see a kid with all the knowledge to coach his position making a mental mistake." Coach Rome is always way more positive and encouraging after practice is over. " It's one thing to get beaten physically. Wyman cannot change his height and while he should be hitting the weight room as much as he possibly can, there's a limit to what he can achieve physically. That's where his mental prowess will allow him to truly shine. Marvin White is the best athlete on this roster right now and can physically dominate Tom. That's why I make sure Wyman covers him every snap of practice." " It's frustrating, obviously. Every single snap is frustrating." Wyman told me after practice. " There's a learning curve every level you go up in football, but this is twice or three times as hard as making the jump from high school to college." The early declaration balked at his senior year at TCU to play in the NFL. " Going out there drill after drill, snap after snap, getting jumped over and pushed aside at the line of scrimmage really shows me how much I need to improve to be anything but a bust." Coach Rome seemed to share the same feelings as the rookie. " You don't sharpen a blade with a dull rock. Wyman's getting sharpened with a diamond in practice. It's up to him whether he becomes razor sharp or if he cracks." Coach Rome has high hopes for the "smartest kid [he's] ever coached." The rookie players aren't the only new faces on the block. There's new name tags on some of the coaches as well. With new offensive coordinator Adam Gase and defensive coordinator Dennis Allen, it's clear the front office wanted to bring in the staff to help mold their first round picks in 2018, too. " I was surprised they didn't room us together during camp." Sophomore and newly named starter Alex Leshoure said about his new offensive coordinator. " I don't think we've gone more than 10 minutes apart during practices." OC Adam Gase has long been respected for his talents coaching the most important position in American sports, so it's no surprise that working with Leshoure was a major factor in his hiring. Having worked with some of the best quarterbacks to play the game in his past stops, there's high hopes for what he can do in Houston. Having coached under John Fox, Gase falls under the Bill Walsh tree of coaching, something which Coach Rome always enjoys talking about. Adam Gase isn't the only connection to the legendary coach, however, as new defensive coordinator Dennis Allen has the same connection through John Fox. " Gase actually played a role in the hiring of Allen as they had worked together before," Coach Rome admitted about the hiring. " I really liked his past work and thought he would be a wonderful compliment to the current staff to really bring this defense together." Although he works with the entire defense and really strives to create a cohesive unit, it is his work with the defensive line where he truly shines. " He really gets after us to beat the blocker and make plays," 2018 first round selection Robert Fulton said of Allen. " We've got a pretty talented line here in Houston, which makes practices pretty challenging, but he expects us to win every snap." The defensive end had a wonderful rookie campaign and the hopes are high for him to far surpass it his second go-round. " It feels like he expects us to do everything at the same time on every play," the defensive end laughed. " 'Get your hands up! Push him into the quarterback's lap! Don't let that back get the edge!' But he really keeps us on our toes and tries to make us complete players. I really respect that." Coach Rome after a long day of yelling at rookies. " This is a young team. And a young team needs veterans to show it the way. And we got that." The Texans would make two big moves in the offseason to bring on veteran talent. The first would be the talented, albeit injury-prone, receiver from Oakland in Marvin White. " Our WR corps was a joke last season," Coach Rome admitted. " We did well with what he had, but we needed a true #1 guy to evolve. Leshoure needed a true #1 guy. I'm not going to let him go out there and try to throw to a bunch of practice squad rejects." " On one hand it does suck. I went from a perennial Super Bowl favorite to a team that couldn't even beat San Diego last year." White was quick to criticize his new team, but seemed ready to be the catalyst for change. " But now I'm not 'a guy', I'm 'the guy'. If I don't produce, if I don't beat my defender, this offense will go nowhere. It's on me to be the mentor to these young kids like Jeremy [Scarborough]. I've got to be the one to bail Alex out and make the plays we need." The other wily veteran seemed to eager to join the team from the outset. " I'm pretty good friends with [Baltimore Ravens Strong Safety] Adam Newman, who was coached by Coach Rome, so I heard plenty to get me exciting." Darren Manning was traded from the Minnesota Vikings to the Texans in the off season as well. " I remember playing with Harris during the lead up to getting drafted, so I'm really excited to play with him again, too." The Houston Texans pass defense was one of, if not the, worst in the entire league last year. But that hasn't deterred Manning in the slightest. " It's a tall hill to climb, but I'm going to drag these youngsters up with me. There's some talented kids in his secondary and they just need someone to learn from. They're basically my little brothers now. And anyone who picks on my little brothers is going to get hammered." White shows the "kids" how it is done by the real pros.
  50. 25 points
    "IT'S OVER" By Rob LeCount The draft is an emotional time for me every year. I imagine it's the same for every other player in the NFL too. We all know what it took for these guys to get to this point. Every "volunteer" 4:00am workout, every extra rep, every passed up burger, every bruise, every drop of blood and sweat. It's all worth it when you hear your name called during draft night. For some it's a forgone conclusion, and for others it's the biggest sigh of relief you've ever had. That's why I love the draft, because it reminds me what I have already accomplished just by being here. April 4th, 2014. It started like any other gameday. 2nd week of the season, UCF was coming up from way down south and I was feeling ready. And I mean really ready. This was our year after all, we all felt it, Coach Sophos had us believing and I felt like it was my job to bring us there. In fact, I had come back to play my Senior year despite everyone telling me to go pro because I believed that we were going to win it all this time. I didn't want to end with a 22-7 loss to LSU in the National Championship. I wanted that trophy. It was supposed to just be a tune up game, get in, win, get out, move on to the next one. And that's what it was...sorta. We came out on fire, just like we were supposed to. I hit 11 straight passes, 3 touchdowns, everyone was open, everything was great. But that day is something I will never forget, for the wrongest of reasons. As halftime was approaching I took another snap, it was supposed to be an easy slip screen to Reggie Chapman but he got caught up at the line. I knew I didn't have time to hold it so I flipped it to his feet but I wasn't quick enough. Otis Stackhouse, all 6'6" 264 of him, came crashing down on me as I had stepped up to throw. If you've ever heard a femur break, you know what I'm talking about, but it was the sickest sound I've ever heard. It hurt...a lot, and I knew this wasn't something minor, I knew I was done. I don't remember much of what happened right after, I think I was in shock, I know the trainers were out there and I remember these words. I don't know who said them, but I remember hearing them as I laid there. "It's over." It wouldn't be the last time I heard those words, but it was definitely the one that I will remember for the rest of my life. I woke up in the hospital much later, the surgery was over, and that's the first thing I thought about. "It's over." Everything I had done, every second of work I had put in...didn't matter. "It's over." My dream of playing for a National Championship, my dream of being drafted, my dream of playing on Sundays, the Super Bowl. "It's over." I sat there in the hospital not really listening to what the doctor's were saying to me, my mom was crying, my dad was just lookin at me with that face, you know what I'm talking about. Every person in that room gave me the same feeling. "It's over." So I cried. Yeah, I'm not afraid to admit it. I cried a lot. What was I gonna do now? Football is my life. Sure, I could maybe get into coaching, but that wasn't my dream yet. I wanted to play. I still had so much to give. But a broken femur? No one is going to give me a chance with a broken femur. I definitely wasn't going to see the field again this season. I wouldn't be able to workout again for months. Basically? "It's over." 5 days later I got the most important call of my life. "Hey Rob I notice you haven't been at the facility this week what's up?" It was Kevin Tolbert, our strength and conditioning coach at Michigan. I laughed because I thought he was obviously joking. It's over I told him, As it turns out, he was not joking. For the next, oh I don't know, 30 minutes? Maybe not that long but that's what it felt like. Kevin let me have it. He said everything I needed to hear. Now was not the time to feel sorry for myself. It's over is a mindset, it's over if I let it be over, it's over unless I decide it's not. Before that call I had given up, and it was in fact, over. But after that, I knew that I was wrong. I could, and would come back from this. I could, and would get drafted, and I could and would play in the NFL. The next day I was in the facility again. On crutches, but I was there. Watching practice, listening to coaches, watching film. I watched so much film I could have predicted every play any B1G defense was about to call at any time on the field. And I started rehabbing. Slowly, but I started. 12 months is what doctor's initially told me. That was the expected recovery time. Well, I didn't have 12 months, I had about 7 before the draft. And I probably needed to be out there a month before doing workouts if I wanted to get drafted. So I wrote 6 months on my whiteboard...and then I wrote underneath it. "It's over" Do you hate those words yet? Because that's what I'm trying to get from you. Because I hate those words. Every time I see them it reminds me of the lowest point in my life. Those words can drive me to do anything now. With Kevin's help, I put in the work. Every single day, I was doing something that would push me back to being ready. There were days I was ready to quit. Where it just seemed like it wasn't worth it. The pain was unbearable there were days I could not walk. But I just kept looking at that whiteboard. "It's over." Screw you whiteboard, no it's not. Back to work. Every. Damn. Day. I would not fail, this is not the end of my story. So I worked, for 6 months. It started with walking, eventually it became jogging, soon I was running. Then I was doing some light lifting, every once in awhile it just would feel like I wasn't making any more progress. But I would remember those words. So back to work I'd go. Soon I was running some drills, I couldn't do much, but it felt good to be back on the field. It gave me the spark I needed to keep pushing. And then, 6 months. And I was ready. I was finally running drills at full speed, lifting close to what I could pre-injury. Doctor's told me a year and I was back to near 100% in 6 months because I refused to let those words define me. I couldn't do it without the support of those around me, or that call from Kevin. It was time to start working out for NFL teams. I ran the drills, I ran them well, I felt great doing them. But I overheard somethings. "I don't know, he looks good, but is he worth the risk?" "Don't forget, broken femur, you don't just come back from that." "Drills are fine, but the NFL? I just think IT'S OVER" No way, not again, not after all of the work I put in again, you can't do this to me twice. In all honesty, I should thank those guys for saying those things loud enough for me to hear. Because I found that extra level because of them. I went back to work. The combine came around, I performed about as well as I could, the interviews were all the same. They asked how I felt, I said I was good. They asked about my femur. I said it was good. But I could see it on their faces, they didn't believe it. I was back in that hospital room, looking around getting the same exact vibe. "It's over." There was nothing else I could do. I had put in the work, the draft was upon us, I hadn't really felt good about any of the interviews and I didn't know what was in store. I decided that if I wasn't picked before the 4th round ended, I would be hitting UDFA and at that point it wouldn't be looking good. I sat at home with my family and friends, dreading every second. I didn't want to watch this whole thing disappointing after every pick. The 1st round came and went, 4 QBs were picked. Thomas Wheeler Blake Shell Brian Brown Nick Hall The 2nd round came and went, 1 QB was picked Alex Bridgewater The 3rd round came and went, 2 QBs were picked Aaron Kotar Kamau Davis The 4th round came and went, 2 QBs were picked Joshua Andrews Javier Fields I lost hope, that was it, I wasn't getting drafted, why would I? "It's over." The 5th round came and went, 2 QBs were picked Sam Armour Keith Simon "It's over." The 6th round. Gone, into the comp picks. Pick 157, Gerald Bright... Pick 160, Forfeited... Pick 167, Rob LeCount.... What? WHAT? I was in shock, but this time it was good, I sat there on the couch, mouth wide open as everyone around me celebrated. The phone rang, I had to be nudged because I was still just staring at the screen. I answered. "Rob? It's Coach Kah of the New England Patriots, we're excited to have you aboard, I have big plans for you. We're just getting started." "We're just getting started." Yeah, I like that phrase just a little bit more.
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