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stormstopper

Conference Commissioner
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Everything posted by stormstopper

  1. This is a teaser for the Chicago Tribune's (mostly) annual preseason ratings. As a reminder, the formula used takes into account past performance, recruiting rankings, and returning production. What you're about to see is where that as-yet-unreleased final rating compares to last year's performance as measured by readjusted margin of victory (which is opponent-adjusted margin of victory, but opponent-adjusted a second time)--not in comparison to their win-loss record. From worst to best, the ratings go: Freefall (regression worse than 2 standard deviations below the mean, 4 teams) Bearish (regression worse than 1 standard deviation below the mean, 16 teams) Mildly Bearish (regression worse than one-third of one standard deviation below the mean, 25 teams) Steady (within one-third of one standard deviation of the mean in either direction, 39 teams) Mildly Bullish (improvement better than one-third of one standard deviation above the mean, 25 teams) Bullish (improvement better than 1 standard deviation above the mean, 17 teams) Skyrocketing (improvement better than 2 standard deviations above the mean, 4 teams) One standard deviation amounts to ~22 spots in the improvement rankings. And keep in mind that this is all relative to last year; a top-level team with a bearish outlook is probably still in a better spot than a low-level team with a bullish outlook. Probably. AAC East Cincinnati: Mildly Bullish Connecticut: Steady East Carolina: Steady USF: Skyrocketing Temple: Mildly Bullish UCF: Bullish AAC West Houston: Steady Memphis: Mildly Bullish Navy: Mildly Bearish Tulsa: Mildly Bullish SMU: Steady Tulane: Mildly Bearish ACC Atlantic Boston College: Mildly Bullish Clemson: Mildly Bullish Florida State: Bullish Louisville: Mildly Bearish NC State: Bullish Syracuse: Steady Wake Forest: Bearish ACC Coastal Duke: Steady Georgia Tech: Mildly Bearish Miami (FL): Mildly Bullish North Carolina: Steady Pittsburgh: Bullish Virginia: Skyrocketing Virginia Tech: Steady Big XII Iowa State: Steady Kansas: Mildly Bullish Kansas State: Mildly Bearish Oklahoma: Skyrocketing West Virginia: Steady Baylor: Mildly Bullish Oklahoma State: Mildly Bullish TCU: Steady Texas: Bullish Texas Tech: Mildly Bearish Big Ten East Indiana: Freefall Maryland: Steady Michigan: Mildly Bearish Michigan State: Freefall Ohio State: Steady Penn State: Bullish Rutgers: Steady Big Ten West Illinois: Bearish Iowa: Mildly Bearish Minnesota: Bullish Nebraska: Mildly Bearish Northwestern: Mildly Bearish Purdue: Steady Wisconsin: Mildly Bearish C-USA East Charlotte: Steady Florida International: Steady Marshall: Mildly Bullish Middle Tennessee: Mildly Bullish Old Dominion: Mildly Bullish Western Kentucky: Mildly Bullish Florida Atlantic: Bullish C-USA West Louisiana Tech: Mildly Bearish Rice: Bullish North Texas: Mildly Bullish Southern Miss: Bullish UTEP: Mildly Bullish UTSA: Mildly Bullish UAB: Mildly Bullish MAC East Akron: Bearish Bowling Green: Bearish Buffalo: Bearish Kent State: Mildly Bearish Miami (OH): Bearish Ohio: Mildly Bearish MAC West Ball State: Bearish Central Michigan: Mildly Bullish Eastern Michigan: Mildly Bearish Northern Illinois: Mildly Bullish Toledo: Mildly Bearish Western Michigan: Steady MWC Mountain Air Force: Bearish Boise State: Bearish Colorado State: Steady New Mexico: Steady Utah State: Mildly Bearish Wyoming: Freefall MWC West Fresno State: Steady Hawaii: Mildly Bearish Nevada: Mildly Bullish San Diego State: Bullish San Jose State: Steady UNLV: Steady Pac-12 North California: Steady Oregon: Steady Oregon State: Bearish Stanford: Mildly Bearish Washington: Steady Washington State: Skyrocketing Pac-12 South Arizona: Bearish Arizona State: Mildly Bearish Colorado: Mildly Bullish UCLA: Bearish USC: Mildly Bearish Utah: Freefall SEC East Florida: Bearish Georgia: Mildly Bullish Kentucky: Mildly Bearish Missouri: Steady South Carolina: Bearish Tennessee: Mildly Bearish Vanderbilt: Bullish SEC West Alabama: Steady Arkansas: Steady Auburn: Steady LSU: Steady Mississippi State: Steady Ole Miss: Steady Texas A&M: Mildly Bullish Sun Belt East Appalachian State: Steady Coastal Carolina: Steady Georgia Southern: Bullish Georgia State: Mildly Bearish Troy: Mildly Bearish Sun Belt West Arkansas State: Steady Louisiana-Lafayette: Bearish Louisiana-Monroe: Steady South Alabama: Bullish Texas State: Bullish FBS Independents Notre Dame: Bearish BYU: Bullish Army: Bearish UMass: Steady Liberty: Steady New Mexico State: Mildly Bullish The numbers behind these ratings will be revealed as the season draws closer.
  2. stormstopper

    [2022] Head Coaching Contracts

    HC Darman 2 years // 5 million total $2.5 million per year
  3. stormstopper

    [2022] Injured Reserve

    Chicago Bears place OG Hunter Herndon 6-1 302 R Air Force [Run Blocking] [0] 67 on injured reserve. He suffered a Severe ACL Rupture in rookie minicamp and is out for the season.
  4. stormstopper

    NFLHC Staff Firings

    Chicago Bears fire Mike Tomlin Contract: 4 years, $4.235 million per year $2.1175 million towards cap in 2022 $2.1175 million towards cap in 2023
  5. stormstopper

    DC Greg Schiano

    DC Greg Schiano 2 years $2,100,000 per year
  6. stormstopper

    Bengals Announce New Head Coach

    A Throne for the King.
  7. stormstopper

    JaeCorr

    Congratulations @JaeCorr, you're approved for the Northern Iowa Panthers! The next steps: Post in this thread and politely request to be assigned to your team. [Note: this step is on hold until FCS teams are added to the interface, but you will need to do it at some point] Make an account on the interface with the same username as you have on here. Go to the blue "Need a team" box (second item from the top) and request your team--make sure you request the CFBHC version, not the CBBHC version. When your team is progressed, your roster will be found here and you will post your depth chart here Let me know if you have any questions!
  8. stormstopper

    Suffocation

    Congratulations @Suffocation (and sorry for the delay), you're approved for the James Madison Dukes! The next steps: Post in this thread and politely request to be assigned to your team. [Note: this step is on hold until FCS teams are added to the interface, but you will need to do it at some point] Make an account on the interface with the same username as you have on here. Go to the blue "Need a team" box (second item from the top) and request your team--make sure you request the CFBHC version, not the CBBHC version. When your team is progressed, your roster will be found here and you will post your depth chart here Let me know if you have any questions!
  9. stormstopper

    SolutionA

    Congratulations @SolutionA, you're approved for the North Dakota State Bison! The next steps: Post in this thread and politely request to be assigned to your team. [Note: this step is on hold until FCS teams are added to the interface, but you will need to do it at some point] Make an account on the interface with the same username as you have on here. Go to the blue "Need a team" box (second item from the top) and request your team--make sure you request the CFBHC version, not the CBBHC version. When your team is progressed, your roster will be found here and you will post your depth chart here Let me know if you have any questions!
  10. stormstopper

    VerifiedThing

    Congratulations @VerifiedThing (and sorry for the delay), you're approved for the Illinois State Redbirds! The next steps: Post in this thread and politely request to be assigned to your team. [Note: this step is on hold until FCS teams are added to the interface, but you will need to do it at some point] Make an account on the interface with the same username as you have on here. Go to the blue "Need a team" box (second item from the top) and request your team--make sure you request the CFBHC version, not the CBBHC version. When your team is progressed, your roster will be found here and you will post your depth chart here Let me know if you have any questions!
  11. stormstopper

    [2022] 1st Round Rookie Salary Negotiations

    OT Brian Chavez 6-1 299 R Baylor [Pass Blocking] [0] 82 4 years // 18.0 million // 62.50% Guaranteed G//4.5//2.25//2.25//2.25//Total:11.25 $//0.0//2.25//2.25//2.25//Total:6.75 Total//4.5//4.5//4.5//4.5//Total:18.0
  12. stormstopper

    Neovenator250

    HOW COULD YOU
  13. stormstopper

    [Interface Help] Divisions

    Cincinnati,East Connecticut,East ECU,East USF,East Temple,East UCF,East Houston,West Memphis,West Navy,West Tulsa,West SMU,West Tulane,West Boston College,Atlantic Clemson,Atlantic Florida State,Atlantic Louisville,Atlantic NC State,Atlantic Syracuse,Atlantic Wake Forest,Atlantic Duke,Coastal Georgia Tech,Coastal Miami (FL),Coastal North Carolina,Coastal Pittsburgh,Coastal Virginia,Coastal Virginia Tech,Coastal Iowa State,Big 12 Kansas,Big 12 Kansas State,Big 12 Oklahoma,Big 12 West Virginia,Big 12 Baylor,Big 12 Oklahoma State,Big 12 TCU,Big 12 Texas,Big 12 Texas Tech,Big 12 Indiana,East Maryland,East Michigan,East Michigan State,East Ohio State,East Penn State,East Rutgers,East Illinois,West Iowa,West Minnesota,West Nebraska,West Northwestern,West Purdue,West Wisconsin,West Charlotte,East Florida International,East Marshall,East Middle Tennessee,East Old Dominion,East Western Kentucky,East Florida Atlantic,East Louisiana Tech,West Rice,West North Texas,West Southern Miss,West UTEP,West UTSA,West UAB,West Akron,East Bowling Green,East Buffalo,East Kent State,East Miami (OH),East Ohio,East Ball State,West Central Michigan,West Eastern Michigan,West Northern Illinois,West Toledo,West Western Michigan,West Air Force,Mountain Boise State,Mountain Colorado State,Mountain New Mexico,Mountain Utah State,Mountain Wyoming,Mountain Fresno State,West Hawaii,West Nevada,West San Diego State,West San Jose State,West UNLV,West California,North Oregon,North Oregon State,North Stanford,North Washington,North Washington State,North Arizona,South Arizona State,South Colorado,South UCLA,South USC,South Utah,South Florida,East Georgia,East Kentucky,East Missouri,East South Carolina,East Tennessee,East Vanderbilt,East Alabama,West Arkansas,West Auburn,West LSU,West Mississippi State,West Ole Miss,West Texas A&M,West Appalachian State,East Coastal Carolina,East Georgia Southern,East Georgia State,East Troy,East Arkansas State,West Louisiana-Lafayette,West Louisiana-Monroe,West South Alabama,West Texas State,West Notre Dame,FBS Independents BYU,FBS Independents Army,FBS Independents UMass,FBS Independents Liberty,FBS Independents New Mexico State,FBS Independents North Dakota State,FCS Eastern Washington,FCS Delaware,FCS New Hampshire,FCS Harvard,FCS James Madison,FCS Illinois State,FCS Youngstown State,FCS South Dakota State,FCS Montana,FCS North Dakota,FCS Northern Iowa,FCS
  14. stormstopper

    2022 Pre-season sign up

    Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans at Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts
  15. stormstopper

    I Called It - Draft Predictions

    Exactly six offensive linemen will be drafted in the first round. Ryan Harris goes #3 by trade-up, #6 by trade-up, or #14 naturally. One team will get jumped in the 1st for running out of time. The Reaper will be the second OLB drafted. Neo will swear a lot.
  16. stormstopper

    Introductions

    Both of those teams (but especially Notre Dame) are usually pretty good about easing down expectations pretty early, so you should be fine there.
  17. stormstopper

    Introductions

    Michigan...and Notre Dame? You're right, that's surprising, but I'm sure there's a good reason there. The fact that you root for the Sox and not the Cubs means I'll give you the benefit of the doubt
  18. stormstopper

    [2022] Draft interface passwords

    Chicago please
  19. stormstopper

    Introductions

    Go Duke!
  20. stormstopper

    [2022] MAC Media Days - Day #1 (Bowling Green)

    An absolute masterclass in coachspeak, and I love this as a concept.
  21. Historical across time, offense: a backfield of Mohammed Foster and James Otero with Raheem Robinson at wide receiver, each in their final year in college Historical across time, defense: Peak Morris Millen and peak Kenyatta Henderson just murdering opposing backfields. Historical in real time, offense: College Aaron Kotar with Marcus Barry in the backfield, throwing to Mike Triplett, Marvin White, Ryan Mitchell, and Marcus Banks--AKA the actual 2014 Ohio State offense. Historical in real time, defense: College Anthony Ortiz, Earl Jackson, Louis Peterson, and Dewey Tomlinson all in the front seven--AKA the actual 2014 Oklahoma State defense. Current, offense: Sean Jenkins, JC Weldon, and Donnie Allen all catching passes for the same team. Doesn't even matter who's quarterback, they could probably make Nu Battles look good. Current, defense: Older Morris Millen and older Kenyatta Henderson still just murdering opposing backfields.
  22. BEARS MAKE WAVES IN FREE AGENCY Abraham bursts downfield during a game in his final season with the Cowboys CHICAGO - Former Dallas Cowboys star runningback Vaughan Abraham, All-Pro slot defender Jaylen Harris, and standout former Steelers and Jets receiver Charlie Paul are among the five free agents to agree to terms with the Chicago Bears since free agency officially opened on Monday. In addition, the Bears' roster moves have included the signing of tight end James Ware, veteran offensive guard Jamie Shank, and a trade of cornerback Samuel Shaw to the New York Jets in exchange for strong safety Jesse Hutchins and a swap of picks. "We've added a wealth of talent and a whole new dimension of experience this offseason," said general manager stormstopper. "We are always going to put the best team we can on the field every game, and this team just got a whole lot better." The first domino was the Shaw-for-Hutchins trade on Monday morning. The Bears' defense ranked 24th in the league in passing yards allowed per attempt and per game, though the trade essentially just shifted strength from the corners to the safeties. However, it also opened up room for Jaylen Harris to become the first signee on Tuesday evening. He will reportedly make up to $22 million over the next four years; $14.5 million is guaranteed. Mere minutes later, veteran tight end James Ware inked his contract, which was effectively a one-year deal with a team option for a second season. Ware will join Donnie Allen and Paul Carter-Williams in the tight end corps as a depth option who will likely see most of his time in two-TE, block-heavy sets. On Wednesday, the cavalcade continued when Charlie Paul chose the Bears over reported offers from the Giants and Jaguars. He will essentially step in to fill the hole left by Brandon Snead's unexpected retirement. David Gaines will still be the star of the show, but Charlie Paul will be brought on to do damage in the slot or from a flanker role; he and Aaron Paglieli will in some fashion be expected to cover both duties. He also adds an extra pair of hands for second-year quarterback Mohammed Foster, who is effectively the preordained starter with Norris Brooksheer's departure to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The big name didn't pop up until Thursday. The Bears were linked to Vaughan Abraham from the beginning of free agency, but interest from the Titans, Vikings, and most prominently the Arizona Cardinals popped up over the succeeding three days. Ultimately, though, $42.5 million ($33 million guaranteed) over three years would convince the former Dallas superstar to take his talents up to the shores of Lake Michigan. "It's an exciting opportunity, coming up to a new city, getting to work with an exciting young quarterback like Mo," said Abraham at the team's introductory press conference. "I want to thank all the fans in Dallas and the entire Cowboys organization for eight amazing years, but today is the start of my next chapter." Next up for the Bears, barring any more signings, will be the draft. After a 7-9 season, the Bears are slotted for the 11th overall pick.
  23. I'm excited to see how junior-year Christian Graham performs, with hopefully a better OL to make up for his lack of good WR targets. And I'm definitely excited to see how the best defensive line I've ever had performs.
  24. stormstopper

    [2021] PFF Draft Evaluation: Los Angeles (Rams) & Miami

    He seems to be flying a bit under the radar, but I'm starting to think that J.C. Weldon kid might be kinda good. Not really sure what to make of the Rams' grades. Still an organization that has a strong drafting track record, so maybe patience is the key word.
  25. stormstopper

    What do you look like?

    We'll have to rectify that while the season is still going on!
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