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TheTodd15

Conference Commissioner
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TheTodd15 last won the day on December 17 2019

TheTodd15 had the most liked content!

About TheTodd15

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Interests
    Sports

CFBHC

  • Favorite Team
    The Ohio State Buckeyes

Coaching Information

  • Offense
    13
  • Defense
    16
  • Special Teams
    10
  • Clock Mgmt
    10
  • Discipline
    10
  • Youth Mgmt
    13
  • CFBHC Career
    Navy Midshipmen (2017-Present)
  • NFLHC Career
    Tennessee Titans Head Coach (2019-Present)
  • Achievements
    1x AAC Champion (2021)
  • Feat #1
    Strength in Growth (+0.5 potential)

Recent Profile Visitors

4,127 profile views
  1. TheTodd15

    Curby4

    @Curby4 Congrats you are approved for Tulsa! You know the drill. Don't forget to request account elevation here. Also request Tulsa on the interface. If you are not logged in for two weeks you will be deemed inactive again, which will make getting a job here in the future more difficult. Pls don't leave me again.
  2. It appears I am responsible for developing the best FCS and FBS quarterback this year
  3. TheTodd15

    UConn in 2024

    Are we doing Big 12 style conference championship?
  4. Post-2023 Update: Offense: 14 (+1) Defense: 15 (-1) Special Teams: 10 (0) Clock Mgmt: 11 (+1) Discipline: 12 (+2) Youth Mgmt: 12 (-1) Career: unchanged Achievements: unchanged Feats: unchanged
  5. Wow! Lombardi cleaned up. I am also surprised he came so close in Heisman voting. I thought for sure he'd be below Williams and Davis. Congrats my son. I hope you come back but you should go get paid since you are clearly that good.
  6. End of Season Awards Player of the Year: QB Marcus Burden, Offensive Player of the Year: QB Marcus Burden, Defensive Player of the Year: OLB Darrien Bullock, Offensive Lineman of the Year: OT Dahntay Dickerson, Defensive Lineman of the Year: DE Jermaine Caldwell, Freshman of the Year: OLB Darrien Bullock, Coach of the Year: @Time, Quarterback of the Year: Zach Lombardi, QB, Running Back of the Year: Noel Ransom, RB, Defensive Back of the Year: Preston Cleveland, CB, Linebacker of the Year: Darrien Bullock, OLB, Receiver of the Year: Jacob Benson, WR, Tight End of the Year: Leonard Donahue, TE, Kicker of the Year: Cole Carlton, K, Punter of the Year: Brody Whalen, P, Return Specialist of the Year: Jermaine Whitehead, CB, Media of the Year: An Oral History of the Connecticut Huskies Series, @TheTodd15 Media Writer of the Year: @Curby4 and @TheTodd15
  7. Player of the Year: QB Marcus Burden, Offensive Player of the Year: QB Marcus Burden, Defensive Player of the Year: OLB Darrien Bullock, Offensive Lineman of the Year: OT Dahntay Dickerson, Defensive Lineman of the Year: DE Jermaine Caldwell, Freshman of the Year: OLB Darrien Bullock, Coach of the Year: @Time, Quarterback of the Year: Zach Lombardi, QB, Running Back of the Year: Noel Ransom, RB, Defensive Back of the Year: Preston Cleveland, CB, Linebacker of the Year: Darrien Bullock, OLB, Receiver of the Year: Jacob Benson, WR, Tight End of the Year: Leonard Donahue, TE, Kicker of the Year: Cole Carlton, K, Punter of the Year: Brody Whalen, P, Return Specialist of the Year: Jermaine Whitehead, CB, Media of the Year: An Oral History of the Connecticut Huskies Series, @TheTodd15 Media Writer of the Year: @Curby4 and @TheTodd15
  8. Damn. Relationship with Computer Poll ended. Now coaches poll is my new best friend.
  9. Ayyyy thanks so much for doing this. Didn't get around to it.
  10. Beat: 12, 67, 68, 71, 81, 86, 88, 90, 121, 129 Lost to: 1, 22 Yeah gonna need the AAC and Army/Air Force to get a lot better
  11. This feels about right to me. Oregon vs. Tennessee is a terribly difficult call to make. I'm pulling for a good bowl matchup. I really want the chance to see what this team is made of.
  12. TheTodd's Post-CCG Playoff Voting Primer and Sample Ballot So I guess copying and pasting from Google Docs fucks the formatting all up. I had to rush to get this up before polls are released, so excuse any errors and the bolding/lack of formatting. Here is my guide to voting for the at-large teams on the ballot with key stats, game outcomes, and my personal write up on how to weigh each team. Autoqualifiers SMU Michigan Oklahoma Duke LSU At-Large Candidates: Florida (11-1) Sos: 74 MoV: 36.7-14.5 (+22.2) Head to Head: L @ #7/5/5 [computer, coaches, AP] Tennessee (Week 4: 24-26) Best Victory: W vs #5/3/3 LSU (Week 10: 38-34) Win profile OOC (4-0): Opponent average wins (all opponents) - 3.75 W Florida State (6-6) W Utah State (1-11) W Florida A&M - (2-10) W Miami (6-6) Conference (7-1) wins against teams with winning records: 2 Loss profile: see Head to Head My opinion: Few teams have seemed as dominant as Florida since their loss over 12 weeks ago. They solidify their position with a win over Top 5 LSU. Outside of that, they played a weaker SoS, but few could account for FSU and Miami’s lackluster seasons. Their SoS is further hit by a top heavy SEC East with 4 teams without winning records. Their second best win is 8-4 Missouri. Despite this, you cannot leave out a team that lost to the SEC runner-up by 2 points, away, 12 weeks ago. They also have a signature win over LSU, and they are the only 11-1 team in contention. There’s no way I would leave them out. Oregon (10-2) SoS: 13 MoV: 28.8-19.7 (+9.1) Head to head: L vs #10/13/13 Washington (week 16: 23-24) Best Victory: W vs #16/19/23 Auburn Week 1 (23-20) Win profile OOC (3-0): Opponent average wins - 6 W Auburn (8-4) W West Virginia (6-6) W South Carolina (4-8) Conference (7-2) wins against teams with winning records: 4 Loss Profile L @ (8-5) Arizona (week 15: 28-29) L vs (10-3) #10/13/13 Washington (week 16: 23-24) My Opinion: The write up of Washington explains why, in my mind, Oregon should be left out. First though, the positives. Oregon went 10-2 against the #13 SoS. None of the other contenders faced a stronger schedule except for [drumroll please] Washington! Oregon only has a single ranked win over #16/19/23 Auburn. Good, but not the best on this list. It can be said that their losses are excusable -- both by 1 point to the Pac-12 Champion and the runner-up. I like Oregon’s totality of wins and success against a very tough overall schedule. Still, if we bring up 2 close losses to good teams, we should mention Oregon won five of their games by less than a touchdown. This is a very tough team to weigh. They have a good aggregate record against a tough schedule but one real ranked win. They also have a loss to a conference champion that is actively vying for a spot as well… Which brings me to Washington. Washington (10-3) Conference Champion: Yes SoS: 10 MoV: 28.8-18.3 (+10.5) Head to Head: W @ #11/12/10 Oregon (week 16: 24-23) Best victory: W vs #17/18/17 Hawaii (week 2: 28-24) W @#11/12/10 Oregon (week 16: 24-23) Win Profile: OOC (1-2) average wins: 10.3 L SMU (13-0) W Hawaii (9-3) L Illinois (10-3) Conference (9-1) wins against teams with winning records: 4 Loss profile: L @ #13/11/9 Illinois (10-3) (Week 4: 17-19) L @ USC (8-4) (Week 11: 17-24) L @ #1/1/1 SMU (13-0) (week 12: 20-23) My opinion: I don’t think there is any way a voter can put Oregon ahead of Washington. When weighing the most important tie-breaking metrics in my mind, Washington wins all of them. They have a Pac-12 championship. They have SoS. They have head to head. And, they even beat the other team Oregon lost to. They also have a similar best victory (Hawaii compared to Auburn). In addition, they have a better second victory, over Oregon itself. Washington lost 3 games, but they are to the undefeated #1 team, a top 20 Illinois team, and one less forgivable drop to USC. Washington’s loss to USC, is in no way worse than Oregon’s to Arizona, however. If we are looking at letting the Pac-12 in, it has to be Washington. They are too comparable to Oregon, but they have a CCG win and the H2H. There’s no doubt in my mind that Washington should be over Oregon. Tennessee (11-2) SoS: 65 MoV: 27.5-13.3 (+14.2) Head to Head: L @ #5/3/3 LSU (CCG: 6-13) Best victory: #4/2/2 vs Florida (11-1) (Week 3: 26-24) Win Profile: OOC (4-0) average wins: 5.5 7-5 Boston College 6-6 Pitt 4-8 NC State 5-7 USF Conference (8-2) wins against teams with winning records: 2 Loss profile: L @ Georgia (6-6) (week 8: 14-17) L vs #5/3/3 LSU (12-1) (CCG: 6-13) The only team to beat Florida, but they lack any other signature wins. Their next best win is 8-4 Missouri or 7-5 Boston College. Their close loss against LSU, in my mind, should not be punished. The real question is whether that 14-17 loss to Georgia counts significantly. It was away, and it was potentially when Franz was actively coaching. Still, it is unquestionably the worst loss of any of the playoff contenders. Tennessee is one of the hardest teams to peg. Because their loss to LSU was so close, I would vote to give them another shot. They don’t have many pros outside of 11 wins and the victory against Florida. But they also don’t have any huge reasons to doubt them. I personally am forgiving the Georgia loss, other voters might not be so kind. At the end of the day, I could see them matching up favorably against any of the playoff teams, including LSU again. Navy (10-2) SoS: 70 MoV: 31.6-21.2 (+11.4) Head to Head: W vs #12/9/12 Notre Dame (Week 13: 31-14) Best Victory: see head to head Win Profile OOC (3-1) average wins: 6.5 L #22/24/22 Rice (10-2) W Air Force (5-7) W Army (1-11) W #12/9/12 Notre Dame (10-2) Conference (7-1) wins against teams with winning records: 0 (sheesh, 3 6-6 teams tho) Loss Profile: L @ #22/24/22 Rice (10-2) (Week 2: 17-27) L vs #1/1/1 SMU (13-0) (Week 4: 10-27) My opinion: The computer loves Navy at this point, probably more than I do myself. I really like a 17-point win over Notre Dame in week 13, but there is nothing else there to boost the resume. The next best win is either 6-6 Tulane, 6-6 Tulsa, or 6-6 ECU. That double-digit win over Top 15 Notre Dame cannot be discounted however. It compares more favorably to Oregon’s best win against Auburn, similar to Washington’s over Oregon, but not to Tennessee’s over Florida or Notre Dame’s over Michigan. Navy hasn’t lost in 12 weeks, but there was only one matchup in that time that should have challenged them. Ultimately, if they beat Rice, they’d be in the playoffs. Navy’s losses have a combined record of 23-2. Nobody’s losses compare to that, but neither of those losses were particularly close. Further, Rice has proven itself to be a team hovering around the top 25, not the 12-0 team it was originally looking like. Unfortunately, there was just not enough meat outside of those tough games for Navy to prove themselves. I have them just outside the playoffs. Though, if we want to do a true comparison, Navy has a similar SoS to Tennessee, a similar (though slightly worse) win over a Top-10 team, but way better losses (13-0 SMU and 10-2 Rice compared to 12-1 LSU and 6-6 Georgia). Ultimately, I think Navy has to prove it in a bowl game that they should have been there, and then carry that momentum into next year. Notre Dame (10-2) SoS: 47 MoV: 29.1-20.4 (+8.7) Head to Head: L @ #8/10/11 Navy (Week 13: 14-31) Best Victory: W vs #2/6/7 Michigan (Week 0: 38-28) Win Profile OOC (10-2) average wins (excluding losses): 5.6 Wins against winning programs: 5 Loss Profile: L @ #8/10/11 Navy (Week 13: 14-31) L vs North Carolina (7-5) (Week 4: 27-31) My Opinion: Notre Dame - Navy occupies a similar conundrum to Washington - Oregon. In my mind, both teams are below Washington and Tennessee so it doesn’t really matter. Notre Dame has a better win against Top 5 Michigan, but worse losses to Top 10 Navy and 7-5 North Carolina (who is no means bad, but worse than Rice). Notre Dame’s SoS is a clear head above Navy’s but they lack any signature win outside Michigan. There is 9-3 BYU, whose wins were inflated by an incredibly weak schedule. There is also 8-4 USC, 7-5 Boston College, and 8-4 USC, which are all better than Navy’s remaining wins against teams not named Notre Dame. There’s no contention that Notre Dame had a tougher overall schedule. When just evaluating Notre Dame’s record, best wins, losses, and overall SoS, I have them with a slim but definite edge over Navy. That is until I get to that head to head. There is no way I can put a team in the playoffs that JUST lost to a team I’m holding out by 17 points. We have two decently similar teams with 10-2 records, I’m always gonna weigh that head to head. And that is where I land with Notre Dame last in my rankings. My make-believe ballot:
  13. Not that it is a terribly difficult concept, but I found this to be a good primer on end-arounds vs. sweeps. https://www.windycitygridiron.com/2014/11/5/7132567/football-101-difference-between-a-jet-sweep-an-end-around-reverse
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