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stormstopper

[2019] Prediction Lookback

4 posts in this topic

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There were a lot of things I said would happen this season. I made 20 bold predictions in the preseason (2 for each team), predicted the results of every game before the season, and predicted every game for almost every week throughout the season. This is a quick look at how often I'm right and how often my predictions go udders-up.

 

Preseason Bold Predictions:

 

Baylor

  • Baylor wins the Big XII South for the first time since 2014 - correct
  • The team's interception count takes a steep dropoff (from 17), as does Kyle Cunningham's (from 7) - half credit: team interceptions fell to 12 (29% dropoff), Cunningham's only fell to 6

Iowa State

  • Arturo Pacheco wins the Doak Walker Award - not particularly close
  • The Cyclones finish tied with or behind Oklahoma in the North standings - finished 3-4 to Oklahoma's 6-1

Kansas

  • Eric Jennings ends the year as the Big XII career leader in passing yards - correct: 11709 yards
  • Jennings throws 12+ interceptions for the second straight year - thankfully incorrect

Kansas State

  • Julius Minnow sets at least two Kansas State single-season passing records (completion percentage, passer rating, YPA, yards, or touchdowns) - zero records set
  • Kansas State’s conference losing streak continues through the season - correct

Oklahoma

  • Graham Burnett leads the Big XII in passer rating for the 2019 season - correct: 167.68
  • Oklahoma gives up the highest yards allowed per carry average in the Big XII - they gave up the second-fewest, actually

Oklahoma State

  • Raheem Robinson passes Tai Miller to become the Big XII’s all-time leader in receiving yards, finishing over 4000 for his career - correct: 4517
  • Oklahoma State becomes the first Big XII team to reach 0-7 against a single opponent (Oklahoma) - incorrect: 35-17

TCU

  • TCU’s defense allows fewer than 15 points per game - incorrect: 28.42
  • TCU’s offense scores fewer than 20 points per game - incorrect: 21.17

Texas

  • Simeon Wells rushes for more than 1200 yards (or 100 yards per game) as a true freshman - correct: 1412 (108.6 per game)
  • Texas misses a bowl game for the first time in school history - incorrect: won the Cactus Bowl

Texas Tech

  • Texas Tech enters the final three weeks of the season in contention for the South title - correct: loss to Baylor in week 14 eliminated Texas Tech
  • For the 5th time in 7 years, Texas Tech finishes with 5 or 6 wins, no more and no less - incorrect: 7 wins

West Virginia

  • Mohammed Foster breaks off 3+ touchdown runs of 50 yards or more.
  • Mohamed Mustafa finishes 10th or worse among Big XII runningbacks in yards per carry - incorrect: 6th

 

Score: 8.5/20 (42.5%)

 

Preseason game predictions:

  • Baylor: 9/12
  • Iowa State: 6/12
  • Kansas: 7/12
  • Kansas State: 12/12
  • Oklahoma: 7/12
  • Oklahoma State: 8/12
  • TCU: 4/12
  • Texas: 10/12
  • Texas Tech: 6/12
  • West Virginia: 10/12

 

Score: 79/120 (65.8%)

 

Weekly game predictions:

  • Week 1: 6/8
  • Week 2: 5/6
  • Week 3: 3/7
  • Week 4: 6/7
  • Week 5: 4/5
  • Week 6: 4/6
  • Week 7: 4/5
  • Week 8: 5/6
  • Week 9: N/A
  • Week 10: N/A
  • Week 11: 2/4
  • Week 12: 5/5
  • Week 13: 2/3
  • Week 14: 5/5
  • Week 15: 6/6
  • Week 16: 3/4
  • CCG: 0/1
  • Bowls: 4/8

 

Score: 64/86 (74.4%)

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5 hours ago, stormstopper said:

Kansas State

  • Julius Minnow sets at least two Kansas State single-season passing records (completion percentage, passer rating, YPA, yards, or touchdowns) - zero records set
  • Kansas State’s conference losing streak continues through the season - correct

 

Well that is thoroughly depressing... bold prediction for 2020: Rahim sets at least 2 KSU single season passing records

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1 hour ago, pumph said:

You have another color that is redder than red for the TCU defense prediction?

I would, but I'm saving it for when someone predicts the Chargers will get Ben Goode.

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