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T-C-U BETTER BELIEVE IT

#3 TCU took on #5 LSU this weekend and let everyone know that the Horned Frogs are legit. It was a defensive struggle but TCU was able to come out on top 13-10.

THE BUC STOPS HERE

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers didn't give Christian Skaggs any break Sunday, sacking the QB 6 times. The offense did their part behind QB Taylor Heiden and rookie RB DeNorris Jackson and came away with a 28-21 win.

DREAM KILLERS?

A top 15 matchup between the #11 Toledo Rockets and #15 Florida Gators ended in heartbreak for the Rockets. Florida managed to pull out the 25-22 win on the road. Anyone doubting either team was put on notice.

CATCH ME IF YOU CAN

The Green Bay Packers have raced to a 5-0 start after beating the 2-2 Seattle Seahawks. This game was very banner worthy which is why it is on here. I wonder if anyone can "catch" the Green Bay Packers, or maybe "intercept" them? No no, definitely catch.
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    Rome

    [2020] Week 4 Roman Stats

    Recommended Posts

    Here is everything post week 3!

     

    Power Rankings

    Spoiler
    1. SF, 0.8691
    2. CAR, 0.7654
    3. JAX, 0.7458
    4. GB, 0.741
    5. MIA, 0.7189
    6. DAL, 0.7063
    7. DEN, 0.6829
    8. LAR, 0.6715
    9. DET, 0.6096
    10. NYJ, 0.5745
    11. ATL, 0.567
    12. OAK, 0.5515
    13. HOU, 0.5206
    14. SEA, 0.5178
    15. CIN, 0.5122
    16. TEN, 0.4936
    17. PIT, 0.4927
    18. CLE, 0.4867
    19. NE, 0.4032
    20. ARI, 0.3899
    21. PHI, 0.3871
    22. BUF, 0.3845
    23. NYG, 0.3747
    24. BAL, 0.3655
    25. LAC, 0.3621
    26. IND, 0.3394
    27. CHI, 0.3177
    28. NO, 0.3093
    29. MIN, 0.3016
    30. WAS, 0.2984
    31. KC, 0.295
    32. TB, 0.2059

     

    Elo

    Spoiler
    1. SF, 1687
    2. CAR, 1664
    3. NYJ, 1662
    4. MIA, 1655
    5. LAR, 1611
    6. DET, 1608
    7. OAK, 1597
    8. DEN, 1592
    9. DAL, 1591
    10. GB, 1586
    11. JAX, 1583
    12. ATL, 1548
    13. SEA, 1502
    14. NE, 1498
    15. IND, 1489
    16. PHI, 1476
    17. MIN, 1475
    18. NYG, 1454
    19. HOU, 1452
    20. PIT, 1448
    21. CHI, 1439
    22. BAL, 1434
    23. KC, 1434
    24. BUF, 1428
    25. CLE, 1428
    26. WAS, 1426
    27. NO, 1412
    28. CIN, 1405
    29. TEN, 1374
    30. LAC, 1360
    31. ARI, 1356
    32. TB, 1353

     

    Elo Change (since season started)

    Spoiler
    1. DAL, 117
    2. CAR, 115
    3. JAX, 115
    4. GB, 111
    5. MIA, 75
    6. SF, 61
    7. CLE, 53
    8. LAR, 53
    9. ATL, 49
    10. DEN, 43
    11. NYJ, 31
    12. DET, 29
    13. HOU, 23
    14. CIN, 22
    15. TEN, 17
    16. PIT, 9
    17. OAK, 2
    18. ARI, -1
    19. SEA, -8
    20. NE, -37
    21. BUF, -47
    22. LAC, -53
    23. NYG, -60
    24. IND, -61
    25. MIN, -62
    26. WAS, -67
    27. CHI, -68
    28. PHI, -72
    29. BAL, -89
    30. NO, -89
    31. KC, -99
    32. TB, -111

     

    PF+ (Points For adjusted by opponents)

    Spoiler
    1. GB, 16
    2. NO, 13.75
    3. SF, 13.39
    4. CAR, 11.13
    5. LAR, 9.79
    6. PIT, 5.75
    7. IND, 5.06
    8. NE, 3.58
    9. JAX, 3.46
    10. BUF, 3.33
    11. HOU, 2.5
    12. DET, 2.42
    13. CIN, 1.25
    14. KC, 0.92
    15. DAL, 0.5
    16. MIA, -0.75
    17. SEA, -0.92
    18. DEN, -2.33
    19. NYJ, -2.5
    20. MIN, -3
    21. TEN, -3.08
    22. PHI, -4.11
    23. OAK, -4.56
    24. ATL, -5.08
    25. BAL, -6
    26. ARI, -6.04
    27. TB, -6.25
    28. CHI, -6.67
    29. NYG, -7.08
    30. LAC, -7.75
    31. CLE, -11.67
    32. WAS, -12.58

     

    PA+ (Points Against adjusted by opponents)

    Spoiler
    1. DEN, -11.25
    2. DAL, -9
    3. MIA, -8.67
    4. DET, -8.58
    5. CAR, -7.71
    6. JAX, -6.83
    7. CLE, -6.67
    8. SEA, -6.5
    9. ATL, -6.25
    10. TEN, -5.33
    11. SF, -4.56
    12. IND, -3.17
    13. OAK, -2.06
    14. GB, -1.92
    15. WAS, -1.25
    16. NYG, -0.42
    17. CHI, -0.17
    18. LAR, 0.79
    19. CIN, 1.17
    20. PIT, 2.5
    21. BAL, 2.5
    22. HOU, 3
    23. NE, 3.08
    24. NYJ, 3.92
    25. BUF, 4.33
    26. ARI, 4.71
    27. LAC, 7.33
    28. PHI, 7.67
    29. KC, 7.71
    30. NO, 11.08
    31. TB, 11.67
    32. MIN, 18.33

     

    SOS+ (SOS with games of the team in question removed)

    Spoiler
    1. SF, 1
    2. IND, 0.875
    3. KC, 0.81818
    4. NO, 0.75
    5. TEN, 0.75
    6. BAL, 0.66667
    7. BUF, 0.66667
    8. NYG, 0.66667
    9. DEN, 0.63636
    10. HOU, 0.58333
    11. NE, 0.58333
    12. LAC, 0.58333
    13. WAS, 0.54545
    14. SEA, 0.54167
    15. CIN, 0.5
    16. DET, 0.5
    17. PIT, 0.5
    18. LAR, 0.5
    19. TB, 0.5
    20. ARI, 0.45455
    21. CAR, 0.45455
    22. PHI, 0.44444
    23. CHI, 0.41667
    24. JAX, 0.36364
    25. GB, 0.31818
    26. OAK, 0.28571
    27. ATL, 0.25
    28. CLE, 0.25
    29. MIA, 0.25
    30. DAL, 0.20833
    31. MIN, 0.16667
    32. NYJ, 0.16667

     

    Estimated Win Total (Current Wins + Probability of Win in Remaining Games)

    Spoiler
    1. SF, 12.649
    2. CAR, 12.606
    3. MIA, 12.038
    4. JAX, 11.941
    5. DAL, 11.163
    6. GB, 10.987
    7. NYJ, 10.816
    8. LAR, 10.763
    9. DET, 10.443
    10. DEN, 10.37
    11. OAK, 10.06
    12. ATL, 9.618
    13. SEA, 7.924
    14. PIT, 7.74
    15. CLE, 7.617
    16. HOU, 7.396
    17. IND, 6.885
    18. CIN, 6.793
    19. BAL, 6.534
    20. NE, 6.434
    21. MIN, 6.339
    22. PHI, 6.302
    23. NYG, 6.269
    24. TEN, 6.084
    25. BUF, 5.934
    26. CHI, 5.858
    27. NO, 5.122
    28. WAS, 5.093
    29. KC, 4.986
    30. LAC, 4.793
    31. ARI, 4.725
    32. TB, 3.721

     

    AY/A+ (Adjusted Yards Per Attempt. 100 Average, 15 Standard Deviation)

    Spoiler
    1. Jason Johnson, 137.266
    2. Christian Skaggs, 130.466
    3. Erik Wegert, 126.775
    4. Rob LeCount, 125.906
    5. Aaron Deveraux, 125.198
    6. Paul Davenport, 119.402
    7. Brian Brown, 118.506
    8. Aaron Shea, 117.807
    9. A.J. Jefferson, 117.109
    10. R.J. Stanford, 114.985
    11. Taylor Rodriguez, 112.181
    12. Alex Leshoure, 111.742
    13. Darrell Murphy, 109.7
    14. Nick Hall, 108.463
    15. Ryan Clark, 105.91
    16. Todd Lester, 105.014
    17. Christian Barkley, 102.255
    18. Todd Jennings, 100.669
    19. Taylor Heiden, 98.797
    20. Jeremy Henry, 94.049
    21. Allan Taylor, 93.234
    22. Thomas Wheeler, 92.186
    23. Jarius Jones, 91.397
    24. Joel King, 89.883
    25. Kareem Taylor, 86.649
    26. Brian Vardell, 86.362
    27. Joaquin Younger, 85.251
    28. Reggie Watkins, 84.159
    29. Lawyer Johnson, 81.65
    30. Javier Fields, 79.67
    31. Norris Brooksheer, 76.651
    32. Alexander Williams, 75.764
    33. Will Thompson, 75.504
    34. Yancey Musgrave, 71.939

     

    xAY/A+ (Same as above, but adjusted for opponents)

    Spoiler
    1. Aaron Deveraux, 15.99
    2. Jason Johnson, 10.24
    3. R.J. Stanford, 9.58
    4. Aaron Shea, 8.7
    5. Todd Lester, 8.43
    6. Darrell Murphy, 8.38
    7. Alex Leshoure, 8.06
    8. Paul Davenport, 7.1
    9. Erik Wegert, 7.04
    10. Christian Skaggs, 7
    11. Rob LeCount, 5.44
    12. A.J. Jefferson, 5.21
    13. Brian Brown, 4.87
    14. Taylor Heiden, 4.64
    15. Taylor Rodriguez, 2.97
    16. Joaquin Younger, 2.74
    17. Todd Jennings, 2.43
    18. Yancey Musgrave, 1
    19. Jeremy Henry, 0.32
    20. Nick Hall, 0.03
    21. Thomas Wheeler, -0.37
    22. Jarius Jones, -1.89
    23. Christian Barkley, -2.33
    24. Kareem Taylor, -3.89
    25. Ryan Clark, -4.46
    26. Joel King, -5.09
    27. Allan Taylor, -5.29
    28. Lawyer Johnson, -5.37
    29. Will Thompson, -6.15
    30. Reggie Watkins, -7.64
    31. Brian Vardell, -7.97
    32. Norris Brooksheer, -10.22
    33. Alexander Williams, -13.18
    34. Javier Fields, -15.19

     

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