bingo415

[2020] Week 11 Power Rankings

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Big shoutout to @smckenz3 for writing up my crappy rankings last week...he poured a ton of time into that and it is much appreciated. Just another of the great guys on this site...thanks! 

 

Some serious movement in the top half of the rankings this week, and a bit toward the bottom as well. While we're certainly seeing a clearing of top-tier teams from the herd, the great middle is muddled as ever. This week, I'm gonna provide one stat per team that points to why I have them ranked as such. Enjoy!

 

Remember, if you don't like where you are in these rankings...play better!

 

CCG Favorites--Pick Range: #29-32

1.     Los Angeles Rams

            Why: The Rams lead the League in 15 statistical categories, but we'll go with Best DYPP defense in the League (22.03), 3 points clear of 2nd place (19.51), where 3rd place is 18.67. Wow. Good luck, everyone else.

 

2.     Carolina Panthers

            Why: Best 3rd Down % in the League (39.84%). Skaggs won't let them punt. And the 2nd best scoring team in the League.

 

3.     Indianapolis Colts

            Why: 7 straight wins, is ridiculous, but par for the course for the team with League's highest rated QB (minimum 150 passes): 117.28, 25-4 TD-INT ratio.

 

4.     New York Jets

             Why: Discipline and efficient balance. 2nd fewest penalties in the League, #4 in OYPP, #8 in DYPP. Those numbers equate to good coaching.

 

Playoff-caliber Teams, One Could Get Hot and Win It All--Pick Range: #21-29

5.     Detroit Lions

              Why: League's best YPCA (3.77) and YPGA (72.7) means you can't run on the Lions. If you have to pass, that's when Keyshawn and Cam Jones smile. 

 

6.     Dallas Cowboys

              Why: League's best OLine rating (8.32) and fewest sacks allowed (11) plus 3rd best DYPP means that Dallas wins both sides of the line of scrimmage. 

 

7.     Green Bay Packers

              Why: Offensive Efficiency. The Pack are only team in the League under 11 OYPP (10.5). In this League, offense usually wins. 

 

8.     San Francisco 49ers

               Why: 2nd best YPG/YPGA ratio in the League. Coach Duncan knows that field position wins games in the Playoffs. 

 

9.     Jacksonville Jaguars

              Why: Fewest Turnovers in the League. Barkley & Co. have turned it over only 5 times (all INTs). 

 

10. Atlanta Falcons

              Why: Stingiest 3rd Down % Defense in the League (22.14%) plus 2nd most sacks in the League. RIP QBs on 3rd down.

 

11. Philadelphia Eagles

              Why: Best YPGA (218.6) and Most defensive TDs means the Eagles have playmakers all over the D. Combine that with the League's 2nd best 3rd Down % on O. 

 

12. Denver Broncos

              Why: 2nd best YPAA in the League (7.1) in the pass-happy AFC West is solid. 

 

13. Seattle Seahawks

             Why: By many measures, the Hawks have the League's 2nd best defense, highlighted by their insane 6.43 YPAA. 

 

Edge of the Playoffs--Pick Range: #14-20

14. Oakland Raiders

             Why: Most safeties in the League (2) is mitigated by giving up as many points as they score (0 score differential, 238 each way). 

 

15. Miami Dolphins

            Why: Excellent trench warfare. Dolphins have given up only 13 sacks, and are #4 in the League with 27 sacks in their own right.

 

16. Houston Texans

           Why: Offensive efficient is good (6th in OYPP, 4th in 3rd%), but overall YPG is 30th. Get those guys playing a little faster, eh?

 

17. Cleveland Browns

           Why: Top yardage defense in the League (302.5 YPGA) and solid YPCA is balanced 5th worst YPC. Apparently, a game against CLE is a giant stalemate.

 

18. Cincinnati Bengals

           Why: The number 15 is rough for the Cincy offense: 15 INTs ties for 2nd worst in the League, and 15 drops IS the worst. 9.49 YPAA is also the worst mark in the League.

 

19. Kansas City Chiefs

           Why: Chiefs can't get to the QB. Fewest sacks in the League (9) leaves lots of time for opposing QBs to pick apart their secondary (-20 YPGD). 

 

Economy Seats on the Airplane of NFLHC--Pick Range: #5-13

20. New Orleans Saints

          Why: Worst pass yardage and overall yardage defense in the League outweighs being tied for 6th in offensive yardage (366.1 yards per game). 

 

21. Baltimore Ravens

          Why: Ravens can stop the run (2nd best YPCA in the League) but not the pass (2nd worst YPAA). Opposing coaches, you know what to do. 

 

22. Pittsburgh Steelers

          Why: Causality. PIT can't get to the QB (4th fewest sacks), which means QBs pick them apart (4th worst YPAA). 

 

23. Arizona Cardinals

          Why: Offensive efficiency starts up front. Cards have 3rd worst OLine rating (7.43) and the 3rd worst OYPP and 3rd Down %. 

 

24. Tennessee Titans

          Why: The Titans are almost the League's most average team, except for their point differential (-59, with 18 TDs scored and 27 allowed).

 

25. New York Giants

          Why: Giants see the fewest plays on defense in the League, but need to stay on the field during 3rd downs on offense (5th worst 3rd down %).

 

26. New England Patriots

          Why: Pats are a sieve in run defense. Worst rush yardage team by a mile (115 per game, 5.4 per rush) kills a good pass defense (225 yards pass per game).

 

27. Chicago Bears

          Why: Most sacks in the League (34) matches the number of TDs given up (34, tied for 5th worst). 2nd worst rushing offense (60 ypg) doesn't help. 

 

Possibly Picking #1 Overall--

28. Buffalo Bills

          Why: Buffalo's 3rd down offense is atrocious (only team under 20%) and their passing offensive is 2nd worst in the League (#31 in YPG and YPA). 

 

29. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

          Why: Points are hard to come by for the Bucs. League's lowest scoring team per game (14.4) with the 2nd worst point differential means it doesn't get better when the Bucs move to D.

 

30. Minnesota Vikings

          Why: Worst rushing yardage offense in the League means that Vikes can't get into the end zone (4th lowest scoring per game).

 

31.  Los Angeles Chargers

          Why: The ball is precious and the Chargers don't like the ball. Most turnovers in the League (15 INT, 10 FL) combines with 2nd worst YPC (3.46). 

 

32. Washington Redskins

          Why: All the reasons. Worst yardage offense per game, fewest total TDs, most penalties. There are areas in which the Skins aren't terrible, but they are rare. 

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We have 25 turnovers and just 4 takeaways.  That's -21 for those struggling with the math.

 

The NFL record for worst turnover margin in a season is held by the 1965 Pittsburgh Steelers, at -30 (14 games).

 

The record for most turnovers in a season was set by the 1978 San Francisco 49ers, at 63.

 

At least those Niners won the SuperBowl three years later, so there's a glimmer of hope.

bingo415, SageBow and Jumbo like this

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Love the rankings, bingo. I have a few quibbles here and there but I'd say these are some of the most accurate (at least IMO) I've ever seen you put out!

bingo415 likes this

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2 hours ago, alienufo said:

Chargers are worse than the skins imo

Willis is back, Tunch is back in a couple weeks, but right now, yes, I'd put us behind the Skins.  Maybe with them back we can contend for a Top 30 spot.

 

Worse record than the Skins.

Worse defense.

Marginally better offense, but who could tell with all the turnovers?

We've earned 32.

bingo415 likes this

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