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    npklemm

    [2022] Bowling Green Preview

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    MACConferenceFeatureLogo.png?w=1200

     

    Coached by @ecnirp

     

    The Falcons were lead to a Bowl Game by former coach @Kirby, but this year's rendition has a tough hill to climb if they want to go bowling again. Coach ecnirp is a first year coach, and he has a long ways to go to make Bowling Green a season in, season out competitive team.

     

    The Good:

     

    A.J. Coyne. Replacing Eddie Connelly is no easy task. Connelly completed over 66% of his passes for 22 Touchdowns and 9 Interceptions last year. With the lack of talent around him, the red-shirt freshman has to play well for this team to win. If Coyne can get around 65% completion and limit interceptions, the offense has a chance to stay on the field consistently.

    Israel Parson. DT Parson has a huge role to play in the defense, the rest of the F-7 is not good. Parson had 12 Tackles, 3 TFL and 3.5 Sacks last year. He needs to step up this year, the MAC likes to run and Parson is a big boy in the middle and needs to help disrupt the running game.

    Safeties. SS Antonio Jackson and FS Brody Grimes are maybe the best safety pair in the division. Grimes didn't start last year, but Jackson did and he had 49 Tackles, 6 Picks, and 8 Passes Defended. If Grimes and Jackson can play well and help clean up after the corners, the Falcons defense can maybe limit opposing offenses enough to give its own offense a chance.

     

    The Bad:

     

    Offensive Skill Positions: RB Calvin Alexander had less 4.5 YPC last season with only 10 TDs on the ground. WR Brandon Lockhart fared a little better, 57 catches, 832 Yards, 11 Touchdowns (but 3 Drops). WR Arthur Ledford had less than 500 yards and only 4 Touchdowns. TE Marc Brunner Jr. was a backup last season. The skill positions surrounding Coyne are either low on experience or are just average at best.

    Linebackers: OLB Thierno Neal, ILB Jackson Greenberg, and OLB Joshua Lyles combined for 42 Tackles, 1 TFL, and 2 Sacks (all by the OLBs) in 2021. McNeal is a 2.5/2.5 and Lyles is a 2.5/3.0. Greenberg didn't start last season but he is a 3.5/3.5. So the best player in the unit is the most inexperienced. Tight Ends and RBs out of the backfield should be able to do well in the passing game and stopping the run might be challenging for the Falcons Defense.

    Cornerbacks: Steven Lewis started last year (he's a 2.5/2.5 now) and managed 1 Pick last season. The #2 CB is SS Jaden Carson (3/3) who doesn't appear to have started in any capacity before. The #3 guys is SS Eli Hill (2.5/2.5) who is also inexperienced. Teams with poor passing games should be able to throw on these Corners. The safeties are going to have to put in overtime to cover for the Corners.

     

    The Schedule:

     

    The OOC is:

    Week 1 versus UTSA

    Week 3 at Marshall

    Week 4 versus Nevada

    Week 6 at MTSU

     

    I see a 1-3 record at best with the one win being at Marshall. Even then, I have that as a toss up game and could see a loss there easily. UTSA just has a higher talent level at this point in time, Nevada is a playoff hopeful, and MTSU has a similar talent level, but that game is at MTSU so I'll give the win to them.

     

    The Conference is:

    Week 7 versus Ohio

    Week 8 at Kent State

    Week 10 versus Central Michigan

    Week 11 versus Western Michigan

    Week 12 at Ball State

    Week 14 versus Akron

    Week 15 at Buffalo

    Week 16 at Miami (OH)

     

    I see a win Week 8 at Kent State (but that's a toss up as well). Ohio, CMU, WMU, Ball State, Akron, and Miami (OH) are all just better right now. (And Zak Cera might set CFBHC record when he goes up against these Corners). Buffalo being a road game flips that game for me over to a win for the Bulls (although that's a toss up).

     

    Final Record: 2-10 (1-7) or 1-11 (1-7) if Toss Up games go the other way.

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